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Search Marketers’ Guide to Our
New Robot Overlords
@KelvinNewman - State of Search, 2016
@kelvinnewman
So, who is this guy?
@kelvinnewman
Founder of BrightonSEO
@kelvinnewman
kelvin@brightonseo.com
http://www.slideshare.net/kelvinnewman
Kelvin Newman
@kelvinnewman
I’m from the United Kingdom
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
In the seaside resort of Brighton
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Actually; I live in Worthing
@kelvinnewman
Which is famous for one thing…
@kelvinnewman
Birdman Competition where people see how far
they can jump of the pier
@kelvinnewman
Room above the pub
I started organising a meet up in
the upstairs room of this pub
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
And 3500 people came
along to the last one
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Because I organise an SEO
conference I spend more time
than is healthy thinking
about what SEO is really
about
* this isn’t actually me thinking about the
future of search, I’m reading my emails, but it
makes me look moody and enigmatic
@kelvinnewman
Consequently, I’m really interested in how
technology works
@kelvinnewman
But I’m most interested in the
people who use technology
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
And the impact that technology
has on people.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
I also spend a lot of time
assembling stupid stuff I
bought of eBay
@kelvinnewman
But I got told that’d be a
boring topic for a talk
though…
@kelvinnewman
So what is this presentation
about?
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Well, this presentation isn’t
about…
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
If you spend fifteen minutes
doing this you’ll get seventy
billion links
“
“
It’s more about getting you to think differently about the future.
And the impact technology has on people.
@kelvinnewman
It will introduce you to our new
marketing robot overlords
@kelvinnewman
Most of the SEO talks about AI,
Machine Learning, robots, etc.
focus on the search engine,
@kelvinnewman
Not the search engine optimizer
@kelvinnewman
I want to talk about both.
@kelvinnewman
When we talk about robot
overlords you probably think
of things like…
@kelvinnewman@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Or the scariest robot of all, one
that will send shivers down
your spine and give you
nightmares.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
But the ones that should the
ones that should really scare us
look very different.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Or don’t even really look like
robots at all
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
So why should I be scared
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Mark Carney
Governor of the Bank of
England
He’s not a robot you should
be scared of.


But his organisation is behind
a report that scared me.
@kelvinnewman
Taking the probabilities of automation, and multiplying them by
the numbers employed, gives a broad brush estimate of the
number of jobs potentially automatable.
For the UK, that would suggest up to 15 million jobs could be at
risk of automation. In the US, the corresponding figure would be
80 million jobs.
“
“
Andy Haldane
Chief Economist at the Bank of England
@kelvinnewman
Is 15 Million a lot of Brits
though?
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Hands up who’s birthday is between Jan 1st and May 2nd?
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Sorry the robot’s taken your job.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
That’s about a third of the
population who’s job is at risk
due to “robots”
@kelvinnewman
oops
I made a mistake
15 million is a third of the population,
but actually about half of the working
population
@kelvinnewman
That’s 30
times as many
U.S jobs as
lost in the
2008 financial
crash
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman@kelvinnewman
OK, breathe, I don’t flip
burgers in McDonald’s so I’m
alright?!?
@kelvinnewman
http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf
Perception &
Manipulation
Creative
Intelligence
Social
Intelligence
Frey and Osborne have examined how
susceptible jobs are to computerisation
@kelvinnewman
Three types of task
Perception &
Manipulation
Robots are still unable to
match the depth and
breadth of human
perception.
Tasks that relate to an
unstructured work
environment can make
jobs less susceptible to
computerisation.
Creative
Intelligence
The psychological
processes underlying
human creativity are
difficult to specify.
The principal obstacle to
computerising creativity is
stating our creative values
sufficiently clearly that
they can be encoded in
an program.
Social
Intelligence
Human social intelligence
is important in a wide
range of work tasks, such
as those involving
negotiation, persuasion
and care.
The realtime recognition
of natural human emotion
remains a challenging
problem.
@kelvinnewman
Things people are good at…
Tasks requiring perception
in unstructured
environments.
Creative tasks which rely
both on novelty and
value.
Non-routine social tasks
which rely on hard to
articulate “common
sense”
Things machines are good at…
Routine tasks in structured
environments.
Tasks which require novelty
and experimentation.
Analysis at a speed and
scale.
@kelvinnewman
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/2015/speech864.pdf
@kelvinnewman
What do I actually mean by
robots?
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Automation by hardware
Where routine tasks are carried out by
a machine rather than a human.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
New Holland CR10.90
@kelvinnewman
GPS guided, touchscreen controlled, airplane-style joystick ... and yes, a
fridge and cup holder
@kelvinnewman
These sort of things probably won’t
affect “us”
i.e. people who muck about all day in front of a computer
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Automation by software
Where routine tasks are carried out by software rather than a human.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
https://ifttt.com/recipes/search?q=discover+weekly
@kelvinnewman
https://zapier.com/
@kelvinnewman
https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/twitter-archiver/pkanpfekacaojdncfgbjadedbggbbphi?hl=en
https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/twitter-archiver/pkanpfekacaojdncfgbjadedbggbbphi?hl=en
@kelvinnewman
Answer the
Public scrapes
and probes
Google Suggest
answerthepublic.com
@kelvinnewman
These sort of things aren’t sexy
But are likely to have the biggest most immediate impact on your life.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Machine learning
is sexy
And Artificial Intelligence, Deep Learning and other
sort of related things along those lines.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Artificial Intelligence, Machine
Learning and Deep Learning
What’s the difference between
https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/2016/07/29/whats-difference-artificial-intelligence-machine-learning-deep-learning-ai/
@kelvinnewman
I studied media studies at Uni not
computer science or anything like it…
Now feels like a good time to share
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Computer systems able to perform tasks normally requiring human
intelligence, such as visual perception, speech recognition, decision-making,
and translation between languages.
What is artificial intelligence?
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
The wide availability of GPUs that make parallel processing ever faster,
cheaper, and more powerful.
All aided by practically infinite storage and a flood of data sources.
Why AI has exploded?
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
There’s three levels of artificial intelligence in rising levels of nightmarish-ness
Difference between narrow, general and
super intelligence
@kelvinnewman
AI that specializes in one area. There’s AI that can beat the world
chess champion in chess, but that’s the only thing it does.
Ask it to figure out a better way to store data on a hard drive, and
it’ll look at you blankly.
Artificial Narrow Intelligence
(ANI)
@kelvinnewman
A computer that is as smart as a human across the board—a
machine that can perform any intellectual task that a human
being can. Creating AGI is a much harder task than creating ANI,
and we’re yet to do it.
Artificial General Intelligence
(AGI)
@kelvinnewman
Mustafa Suleyman
Our mission is to solve
general intelligence
“ “
@kelvinnewman
Artificial Superintelligence ranges from a computer that’s just a
little smarter than a human to one that’s trillions of times
smarter—across the board.
Artificial Superintelligence
(ASI)
@kelvinnewman
ASI is likely to either
mean we become immortal
or face extinction
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
The 24k words on AI on
this blog will literally
blow your mind
http://waitbutwhy.com/
2015/01/artificial-
intelligence-
revolution-1.html
@kelvinnewman
But enough of the sci-fi
dystopia stufff
@kelvinnewman
Machine Learning
Machine Learning at its most basic is the practice of using algorithms to
parse data, learn from it, and then make a determination or prediction
about something in the world.
So rather than hand-coding software routines with a specific set of
instructions to accomplish a particular task, the machine is “trained” using
large amounts of data and algorithms that give it the ability to learn how to
perform the task.
@kelvinnewman
Deep Learning
A branch of machine learning based on a set of algorithms that attempt to
model high level abstractions in data by using a deep graph with multiple
processing layers, composed of multiple linear and non-linear
transformations.
@kelvinnewman
https://www.flickr.com/photos/61408718@N02/6333712753/
When Robots
impressed me
@kelvinnewman
That previous slide was
made by slidebot.io
25,352,683 images combine with 10,000+ design rules and 237 unique
layout styles to create one powerful presentation.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
The rest of the slides I made
myself. But could the machine of
done better?
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Spotify’s key staff share how it works
https://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=qhYlmnqSDV0&index=7&list=PLSRBXQp3FvKJa4J5ZlKsupg189WJ4YhYc
@kelvinnewman
Beatles artificial intelligence
Flow Machine - Daddy’s Car
http://www.flow-machines.com/ai-makes-pop-music/
A Beatles-esque song written by artificial intelligence
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
To me it sounds more like the
Beach Boys than the Beatles,
but still hugely impressive
@kelvinnewman
https://github.com/david-gpu/srez
A Neural Networks that can
reconstruct Pixelated faces
@kelvinnewman
An Artificial Intelligence that
finds art like current news photos
http://recognition.tate.org.uk/
@kelvinnewman
Newspaper sports reports are often
generated by machines
Friona fell 10-8 to Boys Ranch in five innings on Monday at
Friona despite racking up seven hits and eight runs. Friona
was led by a flawless day at the dish by Hunter Sundre,
who went 2-2 against Boys Ranch pitching. Sundre singled
in the third inning and tripled in the fourth inning … Friona
piled up the steals, swiping eight bags in all …
https://www.wired.com/2012/04/can-an-algorithm-write-a-better-news-story-than-a-human-reporter/
@kelvinnewman
The software also generate natural
language Google Analytics Reports.
https://www.narrativescience.com/quill-engage
@kelvinnewman
IBM Watson and cancer
treatments
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/17/technology/ibm-is-
counting-on-its-bet-on-watson-and-paying-big-money-for-
it.html?_r=0
@kelvinnewman
At the University of North Carolina School of Medicine,
Watson was tested on 1,000 cancer diagnoses made by
human experts. In 99 percent of them, Watson
recommended the same treatment as the oncologists.
In 30 percent of the cases, Watson also found a treatment
option the human doctors missed. Some treatments were
based on research papers that the doctors had not read —
more than 160,000 cancer research papers are published a
year.
@kelvinnewman
Eliza simulated conversation by using a 'pattern matching' and substitution
methodology that gave users an illusion of understanding on the part of the
program, but had no built in framework for contextualizing events.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ELIZA
Eliza the 1960s rubbish robot
people loved
@kelvinnewman
https://theringer.com/meet-the-man-who-created-a-virtually-immortal-joey-
tribbiani-21b910295b1f#.ykixtfnhz
A video chat bot that generates
new lines for Joey from friends
@kelvinnewman
When the robots disappointed me
When 30 of the US’s biggest companies lost 9% of their value for no
apparently caused by algorithmic trading
May 2010 Flash Crash
I did a whole deck about the the implications of the flashcrash on how we think about SEO
http://bit.ly/flashcrashlessons
@kelvinnewmanhttps://blog.arik.io/facebook-m-the-anti-turing-test-74c5af19987c#.mq0ix93r2
Facebook’s Fake Robots
Their AI Assistants sometimes are actually people
@kelvinnewman
http://arstechnica.co.uk/business/2016/09/at-the-bleeding-edge-of-ai-quantum-grocery-picking-and-transfer-learning/
Everything but packing the bag
Ocado have automated nearly every aspect of their business
apart from packing the shopping bags
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
There’s software used across
the country to predict future
criminals.
And it’s racist.
https://www.propublica.org/article/machine-bias-risk-assessments-in-criminal-
sentencing
@kelvinnewman
Should we resist and fight back?
@kelvinnewman
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/
William_Lee_(inventor)
Elizabeth 1st
refused patent for
knitting machine
out of fear it
would cause mass
unemployment
@kelvinnewman
http://www.slate.com/articles/business/
the_dismal_science/1997/01/
the_accidental_theorist.html
Technology tends
to ultimately
displace rather
than completely
replace jobs.
@kelvinnewman
Anything that is in the world when you’re
born is normal and ordinary and is just a
natural part of the way the world works.
Douglas Adams
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Anything that’s invented between when
you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and
exciting and revolutionary and you can
probably get a career in it.
Douglas Adams
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Anything invented after you’re thirty-five is against the
natural order of things.
Douglas Adams
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
I’m 33, so I hoping the rate of
change slows down a bit
@kelvinnewman
So what are the actions?
@kelvinnewman
Things you can do when you
get back to the office…
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Panic!
and drink
@kelvinnewman
Buy shares in Uber, Amazon
and Google
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
OK, here’s some serious
advice
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Never do a job a machine
could do quicker
Or better than you…
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Examine the rough edges and
the exceptions to the rules.
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Stay ten minutes ahead of
Google
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Use the tech before it becomes part
of the core algo
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Google are
taking machine
learning for
image
recognition
seriously
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
image recognition open source
GoogleBrain have released their image captioning system
available as an open source model in TensorFlow.
https://research.googleblog.com/2016/09/show-and-tell-image-captioning-open.html
@kelvinnewman
https://research.googleblog.com/2016/09/introducing-open-images-dataset.html
Released a huge learning set of images - a
dataset consisting of ~9 million URLs to
images that have been annotated with
labels spanning over 6000 categories
@kelvinnewman
Is it part of the core algorithm
@kelvinnewman
Probably not
@kelvinnewman
Will it be?
@kelvinnewman
Certainly
@kelvinnewman
Is the lag an opportunity?
@kelvinnewman
Certainly
@kelvinnewman
How much could you improve you
alt text on your website if you ran
your images through this
captioning system?
@kelvinnewman
Use some
off the shelf
options
@kelvinnewman
Altify
Uses deep learning to caption
images in an HTML file and fills
out its alternative text attributes
with the related caption
https://github.com/ParhamP/altify
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
https://algorithmia.com/
A marketplace for algorithms
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Tutorials on use Machine
Learning on over 1M hotel
reviews finds interesting insights
https://blog.monkeylearn.com/machine-learning-1m-hotel-reviews-finds-interesting-insights
@kelvinnewman
Leave you with a final thought
@kelvinnewman
@kelvinnewman
Your job is to be
Luke Skywalker
Inexplicably understand the robots
when nobody else can
“ “
@kelvinnewman@kelvinnewman
Thanks for listening
Kelvin Newman - Founder of BrightonSEO
@kelvinnewman
kelvin@brightonseo.com
http://www.slideshare.net/kelvinnewman

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