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DPRI, KYOTO UNIV.




Comments on the report of the
 2011 Unmyong-san disaster

         Hiroshi FUKUOKA
            Associate Professor
      Research Center on Landslides
  Disaster Prevention Research Institute
             Kyoto University
DEBRIS SLIDE – DEBRIS FLOW
      EXPERIMENT IN JAPAN, 2003
 by giving artificial rainfall of 80 mm/h x
         5 hours to natural slope




Artificial landslide experiment using rainfall simulator
   (front view) (Forestry and Forest Product Research Institute)
Artificial landslide experiment using rainfall simulator
    (side view) (Forestry and Forest Product Research Institute)
Comments on the “6. Concluding Remarks”

• 1. Widely distributed thick colluvial deposits and shallow ground
  water table which frequently appears suggests high risk.
• 2. (recovery work at Dukwooam source area is not clear)
• 3. Topography and other geomaterial condition on the border of Air
  Force before the disaster is still unknown, then their responsibility is
  not clear. (Problem is not the # of slides.)
• 4. Check dam and other large-scale structured countermeasure
  construction needs more than a year. Complete coverage needs
  gigantic costs (unrealistic). Damage to the properties in 2011 could
  NOT be avoided, but early warning could have helped more lives.
• 5. Reservoirs sometimes contributed to longer debris flow runout.
• 6. Ground motion due to underground blastings never caused slides,
  however, may have contributed to more underground cracks.
  Groundwater veins, pipings may have been affected, and long-term
  slope stability could be affected, too.
Present risk of artificial fill on the
    border of Air Force Base
Air force base border
Hyeongchon
reservoir site
Temple site
Conduit of Temple site
Proposed slit
work against
 upcoming
debris flows
Comment (1)
• Extra-ordinary intense rainfall of 120-years
  return period is the primary triggering factor of
  the 2011 disaster.
• Frequency of those extreme weather events in
  limited area (a few km2) is apparently increasing
  in most countries. Could expect more events in
  the future.
• Structured countermeasure for those events
  everywhere cost so high and not realistic.
Numerous landslides
in Shobara city,
Hiroshima Prefecture,
Japan, induced by
extreme rainfall in
July 2010. This
disaster is localized
in a small area of
about 5 km x 3 km.
Debris flow distribution in Shobara city
           (Asia Air Survey, Co.)
A number of landslides were induced by the
              intense rainfall
A panoramic photo of the head part of the
Ohto river. Shallow landslides took place
    and covered almost 360 degrees.




                                C
Debris flow distribution in Hofu city
     interpreted by airphotos
Hourly precipitation and 10 minutes precipitation as well as cumulative in
                        Hofu and Yamaguchi city
Calculated return period of hourly, 3-hours, 6-
      hours, and 24 hours precipitation




           Yamaguchi city: return period of max 6 hour rain = 601,7 years.
                    Hofu city: max 6-hours rain: 245,9 years.
The key factor was extraordinary large 6-hours precipitation
Comment (2)
• Micro-landslide scars could be extracted by
  detailed interpretation of LiDAR-based map
  combined with appropriate image processing.
• Precursor depression could NOT be extracted
  by present sensors yet, except ground-based
  precise sensors.
• Comparison of before and after the disaster can
  give volume estimates of initiation, erosion and
  deposition.
Airborne laser scanner penetrating
      forests to detect old landslide scars
Example : July
2009 Hofu city
debris flow disaster
area, western Japan
GPS Satellites
                             Pulse laser penetrates to
                Helicopter   the ground surface
                             hidden under the forest

Reference pt.
Comment (3)
• Initiation mechanism: penetration of rain
  water + sliding surface liquefaction,
  otherwise unlimited displacement can not
  be expected. ß geotechnical
  characterisitcs
• Evolving mechanism: Fluidizing or
  scraping of torrent deposits by undrained
  impacting loading by slide body.
Air photo of a slide-debris flow in Hiroshima (1999.7.14 Sassa)and its plan map
                            (after Yokota et al., 1999)
The source volume is about 300 m3,
the deposits is 20 times larger.
Ring-
Ring-shear test for reproduction of landslide movement




                             Simulating
                             the sliding
                               surface

       Normal    axis      Normal
        stress              stress




                                     res   s
                            Shear st
    Sliding             Sample
    surface                                                           24
                                               Un-drained shear box
A slide- debris flow disaster in Izumi city, 1997
体積減少
                 Volume decrease                   せん断ゾーン
                                                    Shear zone




         すべり面における粒子破砕とすべり面液状化
Grain crushing takes place in the shear zone, volume tends to
decrease, then excess pore pressure is generated up to almost
same level as the normal stress (liquefaction). This condition is
named as “Sliding-Surface Liquefaction”
         Illustration of sliding surface liquefaction
            (Sassa, 1996 and Sassa et al.1996)
Landslide Ring-Shear Simulator to reproduce high speed
             shearing at a sliding surface
   (Normal Stress 200 kPa , Shear Velocity 200cm/sec)




   Grain crushing causes muddy water and sliding surface liquefaction
Sliding Surface Liquefaction can be compared to….
3rd floor
              ※Rooms are filled with water and undrained
2nd   floor   condition is maintained



1st floor


               Big reduction of apparent friction


                High water pressure is generated
Model of the landslide-triggered debris flow (Sassa et al. 1997)
Illustration of moving landslide mass along a torrent
                (after Sassa et al 2004a)
Results of a test to
simulate undrained
loading to the tuff
breccia deposits in
Minamata landslide
(BD = 0.89) (after
Sassa et al 2004a).
Thank you for your
attention !!!

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2012 10-12 seoul unmyongsan comments(fukuoka, japan)

  • 1. DPRI, KYOTO UNIV. Comments on the report of the 2011 Unmyong-san disaster Hiroshi FUKUOKA Associate Professor Research Center on Landslides Disaster Prevention Research Institute Kyoto University
  • 2. DEBRIS SLIDE – DEBRIS FLOW EXPERIMENT IN JAPAN, 2003 by giving artificial rainfall of 80 mm/h x 5 hours to natural slope Artificial landslide experiment using rainfall simulator (front view) (Forestry and Forest Product Research Institute)
  • 3. Artificial landslide experiment using rainfall simulator (side view) (Forestry and Forest Product Research Institute)
  • 4. Comments on the “6. Concluding Remarks” • 1. Widely distributed thick colluvial deposits and shallow ground water table which frequently appears suggests high risk. • 2. (recovery work at Dukwooam source area is not clear) • 3. Topography and other geomaterial condition on the border of Air Force before the disaster is still unknown, then their responsibility is not clear. (Problem is not the # of slides.) • 4. Check dam and other large-scale structured countermeasure construction needs more than a year. Complete coverage needs gigantic costs (unrealistic). Damage to the properties in 2011 could NOT be avoided, but early warning could have helped more lives. • 5. Reservoirs sometimes contributed to longer debris flow runout. • 6. Ground motion due to underground blastings never caused slides, however, may have contributed to more underground cracks. Groundwater veins, pipings may have been affected, and long-term slope stability could be affected, too.
  • 5. Present risk of artificial fill on the border of Air Force Base
  • 6. Air force base border
  • 10. Proposed slit work against upcoming debris flows
  • 11. Comment (1) • Extra-ordinary intense rainfall of 120-years return period is the primary triggering factor of the 2011 disaster. • Frequency of those extreme weather events in limited area (a few km2) is apparently increasing in most countries. Could expect more events in the future. • Structured countermeasure for those events everywhere cost so high and not realistic.
  • 12. Numerous landslides in Shobara city, Hiroshima Prefecture, Japan, induced by extreme rainfall in July 2010. This disaster is localized in a small area of about 5 km x 3 km.
  • 13. Debris flow distribution in Shobara city (Asia Air Survey, Co.)
  • 14. A number of landslides were induced by the intense rainfall
  • 15. A panoramic photo of the head part of the Ohto river. Shallow landslides took place and covered almost 360 degrees. C
  • 16. Debris flow distribution in Hofu city interpreted by airphotos
  • 17. Hourly precipitation and 10 minutes precipitation as well as cumulative in Hofu and Yamaguchi city
  • 18. Calculated return period of hourly, 3-hours, 6- hours, and 24 hours precipitation Yamaguchi city: return period of max 6 hour rain = 601,7 years. Hofu city: max 6-hours rain: 245,9 years. The key factor was extraordinary large 6-hours precipitation
  • 19. Comment (2) • Micro-landslide scars could be extracted by detailed interpretation of LiDAR-based map combined with appropriate image processing. • Precursor depression could NOT be extracted by present sensors yet, except ground-based precise sensors. • Comparison of before and after the disaster can give volume estimates of initiation, erosion and deposition.
  • 20. Airborne laser scanner penetrating forests to detect old landslide scars Example : July 2009 Hofu city debris flow disaster area, western Japan GPS Satellites Pulse laser penetrates to Helicopter the ground surface hidden under the forest Reference pt.
  • 21. Comment (3) • Initiation mechanism: penetration of rain water + sliding surface liquefaction, otherwise unlimited displacement can not be expected. ß geotechnical characterisitcs • Evolving mechanism: Fluidizing or scraping of torrent deposits by undrained impacting loading by slide body.
  • 22. Air photo of a slide-debris flow in Hiroshima (1999.7.14 Sassa)and its plan map (after Yokota et al., 1999)
  • 23. The source volume is about 300 m3, the deposits is 20 times larger.
  • 24. Ring- Ring-shear test for reproduction of landslide movement Simulating the sliding surface Normal axis Normal stress stress res s Shear st Sliding Sample surface 24 Un-drained shear box
  • 25. A slide- debris flow disaster in Izumi city, 1997
  • 26. 体積減少 Volume decrease せん断ゾーン Shear zone すべり面における粒子破砕とすべり面液状化 Grain crushing takes place in the shear zone, volume tends to decrease, then excess pore pressure is generated up to almost same level as the normal stress (liquefaction). This condition is named as “Sliding-Surface Liquefaction” Illustration of sliding surface liquefaction (Sassa, 1996 and Sassa et al.1996)
  • 27. Landslide Ring-Shear Simulator to reproduce high speed shearing at a sliding surface (Normal Stress 200 kPa , Shear Velocity 200cm/sec) Grain crushing causes muddy water and sliding surface liquefaction
  • 28. Sliding Surface Liquefaction can be compared to…. 3rd floor ※Rooms are filled with water and undrained 2nd floor condition is maintained 1st floor Big reduction of apparent friction High water pressure is generated
  • 29. Model of the landslide-triggered debris flow (Sassa et al. 1997)
  • 30. Illustration of moving landslide mass along a torrent (after Sassa et al 2004a)
  • 31. Results of a test to simulate undrained loading to the tuff breccia deposits in Minamata landslide (BD = 0.89) (after Sassa et al 2004a).
  • 32. Thank you for your attention !!!