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World Future Society
Scottsdale AZ, November 9, 2017
Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga
The Future of Artificial Intelligence
Blockchain & Deep Learning
Melanie Swan
Philosophy, Purdue University
melanie@BlockchainStudies.org
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Discussion Questions
1. Probability humans will extinct
ourselves by mistake? _____%
2. How much are automated algorithms
changing your workplace or everyday
life? _____%
3. Would you prefer a mortgage that
corresponds to your specific needs, or
is standard (for the same cost)?
4. Would you like to make a digital backup
of your mind?
1
?
??
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain 2
Melanie Swan, Technology Theorist
 Philosophy Department, Purdue University,
Indiana, USA
 Founder, Institute for Blockchain Studies
 Singularity University Instructor; Institute for Ethics and
Emerging Technology Affiliate Scholar; EDGE invited
contributor; FQXi Advisor
Traditional Markets Background
Economics and Financial
Theory Leadership
New Economies research group
Source: http://www.melanieswan.com, http://blockchainstudies.org
https://www.facebook.com/groups/NewEconomies
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Agenda
 Artificial Intelligence
 Blockchain Technology
 Deep Learning Algorithms
 Future of Artificial Intelligence
3
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain 4
Considering blockchain and deep learning
together suggests the emergence of a new
class of global network computing system.
These systems are self-operating
computation graphs that make probabilistic
guesses about reality states of the world.
Future of AI Smart Network thesis
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
What are we running on networks?
5
Value (Money)
Intelligence (Brains)
Information
2010s-2020s
2050s(e)
1980s
Thought-
tokening
Value-
tokening
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Future of AI: Smart Networks
6
Source: Expanded from Mark Sigal, http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/10/post-pc-revolution.html
Fundamental Eras of Network Computing
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
What is Artificial Intelligence?
 Artificial intelligence
(AI) is a computer
performing tasks
typically associated
with intelligent beings
-Encyclopedia Britannica
7
Source: https://www.britannica.com/technology/artificial-intelligence
Ke Jie vs. AlphaGo AI Go player, Future of
Go Summit, Wuzhen China, May 2017
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
“Creeping Frontier” of Technology
8
Source: https://www.britannica.com/technology/artificial-intelligence
 Achievements are quickly forgotten
 AI = “whatever we can’t do yet”
Innovation Frontier
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
What is the AI problem?
 Computer capabilities can grow faster than
human capabilities
 Therefore, one day computers might
become vastly more capable than humans
(i.e. superintelligent)
 And willfully or inadvertently present a
danger to humans
9
Source: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsn-on-assignment-instagram-filtering-out-hate/, https://deepmind.com/applied/deepmind-
ethics-society/research/AI-morality-values/
“Pessimistic”
“Optimistic”
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Global Existential Risk
10
Source: Sandberg, A. & Bostrom, N. (2008): “Global Catastrophic Risks Survey”, Technical Report #2008-1, Future of Humanity
Institute, Oxford University: pp. 1-5.
Percent chance of different types of disaster before 2100
Method: Informal
survey of
participants,
Global
Catastrophic
Risk Conference,
Oxford, July
2008
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Standard AI Ethics Modules?
 Roboethics (how the machine behaves)
 Facebook AI bots create own language
 OpenAI self-play bot defeats top Dota2 player
 Instagram “nice” filter eliminates hate speech
 Criminal justice algorithms discriminate
 Robotiquette (how the machine interacts)
11
Facebook AI bots OpenAI Dota2 Victory
Source: Swan. M. In review. Toward a Social Theory of Dignity: Hegel’s Master-Slave Dialectic and Essential Difference in the
Human-Robot Relation. In Robots, Power, Relationships. Eds. J. Carpenter, F. Ferrando, A. Milligan.
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Is our human future doomed?
12
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Technological Unemployment
 Challenge: facilitate an orderly transition to
Automation Economy
 Half (47%) of employment is at risk of automation in the
next two decades – Carl Frey, Oxford, 2015
 Why are there still so many jobs in a world that could be
automating more quickly? – David Autor, MIT, 2015
13
Source: Swan, M. (2017). Is Technological Unemployment Real? Abundance Economics. In Surviving the Machine Age: Intelligent
Technology and the Transformation of Human Work. Hughes & LaGrandeur, Eds. London: Palgrave Macmillan. 19-33.
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Future of “Work”?
14
http://www.robotandhwang.com/attorneys
 “Work” = meaningful
engagement of human
capacities
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
What is important for our Future?
15
Maslow’s hierarchy of needs
Survive
Flourish &
Thrive
Source: Swan, M. (2017). Cognitive Easing: Human Identity Crisis in a World of Technology,
http://ieet.org/index.php/IEET/more/Swan20170107.
 Enable human potential, Maslow’s self-actualization
 Freed from obligatory work, who will we be?
Aspirational
Needs
Material
Needs
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Privacy Pendulum:
Swinging back to more privacy
16
 Historically: lots of privacy; Surveillance era: strange
logic of few bad apples so insecure surveillance of all;
centralized (Equifax) cybersecurity does not work
 Future era: swing back to privacy; restore checks &
balances
Institutionally-
specified Reality
Self-determined
Reality
More Privacy
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Our AI Future: high-impact emerging tech
17
Big Data &
Deep Learning
Blockchain CRISPR &
Bioprinting
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain 18
Top disruptors: Deep Learning & Blockchain
Source: https://www.ipe.com/reports/special-reports/securities-services/securities-services-blockchain-a-beginners-
guide/10014058.article
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Job Growth Skills in Demand
1. Robotics/automation/data science/deep learning
2. Blockchain/Bitcoin
19
Source: https://www.computerworld.com/article/3235972/financial-it/blockchains-explosive-growth-pushes-job-
skills-demand-to-no-2-spot.html
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Future of AI: Smart Networks
20
Source: Expanded from Mark Sigal, http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/10/post-pc-revolution.html
Fundamental Eras of Network Computing
 Future of AI: intelligence “baked in” to smart networks
 Blockchains to confirm authenticity and transfer value
 Deep Learning algorithms for predictive identification
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Species of Networks
21
Source: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsn-on-assignment-instagram-filtering-out-hate/, https://deepmind.com/applied/deepmind-
ethics-society/research/AI-morality-values/
 Social Networks
 Transportation
 Communications
 Information
 Biological
 Superorganisms
 Ecosystems
 Organisms
 Plants
 Finance, credit, payment
 Deep Learning
Superorganisms: Trans-individual, Trans-national
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Agenda
 Artificial Intelligence
 Blockchain Technology
 Deep Learning Algorithms
 Future of Artificial Intelligence
22
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Blockchain
23
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
 To inspire us to build
this world
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain 24
Conceptual Definition:
Blockchain is a software protocol;
just as SMTP is a protocol for
sending email, blockchain is a
protocol for sending money
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
What is Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Tech?
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain 25
Technical Definition:
Blockchain is the tamper-resistant
distributed ledger software underlying
cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, for
recording and transferring data and assets
such as financial transactions and real
estate titles, via the Internet without needing
a third-party intermediary
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
What is Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Tech?
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
How does Bitcoin work?
Use eWallet app to submit transaction
26
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5JGQXCTe3c
Scan recipient’s address
and submit transaction
$ appears in recipient’s eWallet
Wallet has keys not money
Creates PKI Signature address pairs A new PKI signature for each transaction
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
P2P network confirms & records transaction
27
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5JGQXCTe3c
Transaction computationally confirmed
Ledger account balances updated
Peer nodes maintain distributed ledger
Transactions submitted to a pool and miners assemble
new batch (block) of transactions each 10 min
Each block includes a cryptographic hash of the last
block, chaining the blocks, hence “Blockchain”
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
How robust is the Bitcoin p2p network?
28
p2p: peer to peer; Source: https://bitnodes.21.co, https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin
 11,690 global nodes run full Bitcoind (11/17); 160 gb
Run the software yourself:
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
What is Bitcoin mining?
29
 Mining is the accounting function to record
transactions, fee-based
 Mining ASICs “find new blocks” (proof of work)
 Network regularly issues random 32-bit nonces
(numbers) per specified cryptographic parameters
 Mining software constantly makes nonce guesses
 At the rate of 2^32 (4 billion) hashes (guesses)/second
 One machine at random guesses the 32-bit nonce
 Winning machine confirms and records the
transactions, and collects the rewards
 All nodes confirm the transactions and append the
new block to their copy of the distributed ledger
 “Wasteful” effort deters malicious players
Sample
code:
Run the software yourself:
Fast because ASICs
represent the hashing
algorithm as hardware
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Distributed Networks
30
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
Decentralized
(based on hubs)
Centralized Distributed
(based on peers)
 Radical implication: every node is a peer who can
provide services to other peers
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
P2P Network Nodes provide services
31
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
Centralized bank tracks
payments between clients
“Classic”
Banking
Peer
Banking
 Nodes deliver services to others, for a small fee
 Transaction ledger hosting (~11,960 Bitcoind nodes)
 Transaction confirmation and logging (mining)
 News services (“decentralized Reddit”: Steemit, Yours)
 Banking services (payment channels (netting offsets))
Network nodes store transaction
record settled by many individuals
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Public and Private Distributed Ledgers
32
Source: Adapted from https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/making-blockchain-safe-government-merged-mining-chains-tori-adams
 Private: approved users
(“permissioned”)
 Identity known, for enterprise
 Approved credentials
 Controlled access
 Public: open to anyone
(“permissionless”)
 Identity unknown, for individuals
 Ex: Zcash zero-knowledge proofs
 Open access
Transactions logged
on public Blockchains
Transactions logged
on private Blockchains
Any user Financial Inst, Industry
Consortia, Gov’t Agency
Examples:
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Examples:
R3
Hyperledger
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Blockchain Applications Areas
33
Source: http://www.blockchaintechnologies.com
Smart Property
Cryptographic
Asset Registries
Smart Contracts
IP Registration
Money, Payments,
Financial Clearing
Identity
Confirmation
 Impacting all industries
because allows secure
value transfer in four
application areas
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Agenda
 Artificial Intelligence
 Blockchain Technology
 Deep Learning Algorithms
 Future of Artificial Intelligence
34
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
 Global Data Volume: 40 EB 2020e
 Scientific, governmental, corporate, and personal
Big Data…is not Smart Data
Source: http://www.oyster-ims.com/media/resources/dealing-information-growth-dark-data-six-practical-steps/
35
35
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Big Data requires Deep Learning
36
 Older algorithms cannot keep up with the growth in
data, need new data science methods
Source: http://blog.algorithmia.com/introduction-to-deep-learning-2016
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Broader Computer Science Context
37
Source: Machine Learning Guide, 9. Deep Learning
 Within the Computer Science discipline, in the field of
Artificial Intelligence, Deep Learning is a class of
Machine Learning algorithms, that are in the form of a
Neural Network
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain 38
Conceptual Definition:
Deep learning is a computer program that can
identify what something is
Technical Definition:
Deep learning is a class of machine learning
algorithms in the form of a neural network that
uses a cascade of layers (tiers) of processing
units to extract features from data and make
predictive guesses about new data
Source: Swan, M., (2017)., Philosophy of Deep Learning, https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/deep-learning-explained
What is Deep Learning?
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Deep Learning & AI
 System is “dumb” (i.e. mechanical)
 “Learns” with big data (lots of input examples) and trial-and-error
guesses to adjust weights and bias to identify key features
 Creates a predictive system to identity new examples
 AI argument: big enough data is what makes a
difference (“simple” algorithms run over large data sets)
39
Input: Big Data (e.g.;
many examples)
Method: Trial-and-error
guesses to adjust node weights
Output: system identifies
new examples
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Sample task: is that a Car?
 Create an image recognition system that determines
which features are relevant (at increasingly higher levels
of abstraction) and correctly identifies new examples
40
Source: Jann LeCun, http://www.pamitc.org/cvpr15/files/lecun-20150610-cvpr-keynote.pdf
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Supervised and Unsupervised Learning
 Supervised (classify
labeled data)
 Unsupervised (find
patterns in unlabeled
data)
41
Source: https://www.slideshare.net/ThomasDaSilvaPaula/an-introduction-to-machine-learning-and-a-little-bit-of-deep-learning
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Early success in Supervised Learning (2011)
 YouTube: user-classified data
perfect for Supervised Learning
42
Source: Google Brain: Le, QV, Dean, Jeff, Ng, Andrew, et al. 2012. Building high-level features using large scale unsupervised
learning. https://arxiv.org/abs/1112.6209
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Machine learning: human threshold
43
Source: Mary Meeker, Internet Trends, 2017, http://www.kpcb.com/internet-trends
 All apps voice-activated and conversational?
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
2 main kinds of Deep Learning neural nets
44
Source: Yann LeCun, CVPR 2015 keynote (Computer Vision ), "What's wrong with Deep Learning" http://t.co/nPFlPZzMEJ
 Convolutional Neural Nets
 Image recognition
 Convolve: roll up to higher
levels of abstraction in feature
sets
 Recurrent Neural Nets
 Speech, text, audio recognition
 Recur: iterate over sequential
inputs with a memory function
 LSTM (Long Short-Term
Memory) remembers
sequences and avoids
gradient vanishing
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
3 Key Technical Principles of Deep Learning
45
Reduce combinatoric
dimensionality
Core computational unit
(input-processing-output)
Levers: weights and bias
Squash values into
Sigmoidal S-curve
-Binary values (Y/N, 0/1)
-Probability values (0 to 1)
-Tanh values 9(-1) to 1)
Loss FunctionPerceptron StructureSigmoid Function
“Dumb” system learns by
adjusting parameters and
checking against outcome
Loss function
optimizes efficiency
of solution
Non-linear formulation
as a logistic regression
problem means
greater mathematical
manipulation
What
Why
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
How does the neural net actually learn?
 System varies the
weights and biases
to see if a better
outcome is obtained
 Repeat until the net
correctly classifies
the data
46
Source: http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/chap2.html
 Structural system based on cascading layers of
neurons with variable parameters: weight and bias
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Backpropagation
 Problem: Inefficient to test the combinatorial
explosion of all possible parameter variations
 Solution: Backpropagation (1986 Nature paper)
 Backpropagation of errors and gradient descent are
an optimization method used to calculate the error
contribution of each neuron after a batch of data is
processed
47
Source: http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/chap2.html
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Agenda
 Artificial Intelligence
 Blockchain Technology
 Deep Learning Algorithms
 Future of Artificial Intelligence
48
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Future of Artificial Intelligence
49
Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/deep-learning-explained
 Blockchain & Deep Learning
 Next-gen global computing network
technology
 Computation graphs
 Self-operating state engines
 Make probabilistic guesses about
reality states of the world
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Future of AI: Smart Networks
50
Source: Expanded from Mark Sigal, http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/10/post-pc-revolution.html
Fundamental Eras of Network Computing
 Future of AI: intelligence “baked in” to smart networks
 Blockchains to confirm authenticity and transfer value
 Deep Learning algorithms for predictive identification
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Deep Learning Chains: cross-functionality
 Deep Learning Applications for Blockchain
 TensorFlow for Fee Estimation
 Predictive pattern recognition for security
 Fraud, privacy, money-laundering
 Deep Learning techniques (backpropagations of errors,
gradient descent, loss curves) to optimize financial graphs
 Formulate debt-credit-payment problems as sigmoidal
optimizations to solve with machine learning
 Blockchain Applications for Deep Learning
 Secure automation, registry, logging, tracking + remuneration
functionality for deep learning systems as they go online
 BaaS for network operations (LSTM is like a payment channel)
 Blockchain P2P nodes provide deep learning network services:
security (facial recognition), identification, authorization
51
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Deep Learning Chains: App #1
 Autonomous Driving & Drone Delivery, Social Robotics
 Deep Learning (CNNs): identify what things are
 Blockchain: secure automation technology
 Track arbitrarily-many units, audit, upgrade
 Legal liability, accountability, remuneration
52
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Deep Learning Chains: App #2
53
Source: https://www.illumina.com/science/technology/next-generation-sequencing.html
 Big Health Data
 Large-scale secure predictive analysis of big health
data to understand disease prevention
Population
7.5 bn
people
worldwide
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Deep Learning Chains: App #3
 Leapfrog technology for human potential
 Financial Inclusion
 2 bn under-banked, 1.1 bn without ID
 70% lack access to land registries
 Health Inclusion
 400 mn no access to health services
 Does not make sense to build out brick-
and-mortar bank branches and medical
clinics to every last mile in a world of
digital services
 eWallet banking and deep learning medical
diagnostic apps
54
Source: Pricewaterhouse Coopers. 2016. The un(der)banked is FinTech's largest opportunity. DeNovo Q2 2016 FinTech ReCap
and Funding ReView., Heider, Caroline, and Connelly, April. 2016. Why Land Administration Matters for Development. World Bank.
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/releases/2015/uhc-report/en/
Digital health wallet
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Deep Learning Chains: App #4
55
 Enact Friendly AI
 Digital intelligences running on
consensus-managed smart
networks (not in isolation)
 Good reputational standing required
to conduct operations
 Transactions to access resources
(like fund-raising), provide services,
enter into contracts, retire
 Smart network consensus only
validates and records bonafide
transactions from ‘good’ agents
Sources: http://cointelegraph.com/news/113368/blockchain-ai-5-top-reasons-the-blockchain-will-deliver-friendly-ai,
http://ieet.org/index.php/IEET/more/swan20141117
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
 Deep-thinkers Registry
 Register deep learners with
blockchains and monitor with
deep learning algorithms
 Secure tracking
 Remuneration
 Examples
 Autonomous lab robots
 On-chain IP discovery tracking
 Roving agriculture bots
 Manufacturing bots
 Intelligent gaming
 Go-playing algorithms
56
Source: Swan, M. Future of AI Thinking: The Brain as a DAC. Neural Turing Machines: https://arxiv.org/abs/1410.5401.
IPFS (Benet): https://medium.com/@ConsenSys/an-introduction-to-ipfs-9bba4860abd0#.bgig18cgp
Deep Learning Chains: App #5
9 Nov 2017
Blockchain
Conclusion
 Deep learning chains: needed for
next-generation challenges
 Financial inclusion, big health data,
global energy markets, and space
 Smart networks: a new form of
automated global infrastructure
 Identify (deep learning)
 Validate, confirm, and route
transactions (blockchain)
 Future of AI is smart networks
 Running value
 Running intelligence
 Possible answer to AI worries
57
World Future Society
Scottsdale AZ, November 9, 2017
Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga
The Future of Artificial Intelligence
Blockchain & Deep Learning
Melanie Swan
Philosophy, Purdue University
melanie@BlockchainStudies.org

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Future of AI: Blockchain and Deep Learning

  • 1. World Future Society Scottsdale AZ, November 9, 2017 Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga The Future of Artificial Intelligence Blockchain & Deep Learning Melanie Swan Philosophy, Purdue University melanie@BlockchainStudies.org
  • 2. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Discussion Questions 1. Probability humans will extinct ourselves by mistake? _____% 2. How much are automated algorithms changing your workplace or everyday life? _____% 3. Would you prefer a mortgage that corresponds to your specific needs, or is standard (for the same cost)? 4. Would you like to make a digital backup of your mind? 1 ? ??
  • 3. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain 2 Melanie Swan, Technology Theorist  Philosophy Department, Purdue University, Indiana, USA  Founder, Institute for Blockchain Studies  Singularity University Instructor; Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technology Affiliate Scholar; EDGE invited contributor; FQXi Advisor Traditional Markets Background Economics and Financial Theory Leadership New Economies research group Source: http://www.melanieswan.com, http://blockchainstudies.org https://www.facebook.com/groups/NewEconomies
  • 4. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Agenda  Artificial Intelligence  Blockchain Technology  Deep Learning Algorithms  Future of Artificial Intelligence 3
  • 5. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain 4 Considering blockchain and deep learning together suggests the emergence of a new class of global network computing system. These systems are self-operating computation graphs that make probabilistic guesses about reality states of the world. Future of AI Smart Network thesis
  • 6. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain What are we running on networks? 5 Value (Money) Intelligence (Brains) Information 2010s-2020s 2050s(e) 1980s Thought- tokening Value- tokening
  • 7. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Future of AI: Smart Networks 6 Source: Expanded from Mark Sigal, http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/10/post-pc-revolution.html Fundamental Eras of Network Computing
  • 8. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain What is Artificial Intelligence?  Artificial intelligence (AI) is a computer performing tasks typically associated with intelligent beings -Encyclopedia Britannica 7 Source: https://www.britannica.com/technology/artificial-intelligence Ke Jie vs. AlphaGo AI Go player, Future of Go Summit, Wuzhen China, May 2017
  • 9. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain “Creeping Frontier” of Technology 8 Source: https://www.britannica.com/technology/artificial-intelligence  Achievements are quickly forgotten  AI = “whatever we can’t do yet” Innovation Frontier
  • 10. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain What is the AI problem?  Computer capabilities can grow faster than human capabilities  Therefore, one day computers might become vastly more capable than humans (i.e. superintelligent)  And willfully or inadvertently present a danger to humans 9 Source: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsn-on-assignment-instagram-filtering-out-hate/, https://deepmind.com/applied/deepmind- ethics-society/research/AI-morality-values/ “Pessimistic” “Optimistic”
  • 11. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Global Existential Risk 10 Source: Sandberg, A. & Bostrom, N. (2008): “Global Catastrophic Risks Survey”, Technical Report #2008-1, Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford University: pp. 1-5. Percent chance of different types of disaster before 2100 Method: Informal survey of participants, Global Catastrophic Risk Conference, Oxford, July 2008
  • 12. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Standard AI Ethics Modules?  Roboethics (how the machine behaves)  Facebook AI bots create own language  OpenAI self-play bot defeats top Dota2 player  Instagram “nice” filter eliminates hate speech  Criminal justice algorithms discriminate  Robotiquette (how the machine interacts) 11 Facebook AI bots OpenAI Dota2 Victory Source: Swan. M. In review. Toward a Social Theory of Dignity: Hegel’s Master-Slave Dialectic and Essential Difference in the Human-Robot Relation. In Robots, Power, Relationships. Eds. J. Carpenter, F. Ferrando, A. Milligan.
  • 13. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Is our human future doomed? 12
  • 14. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Technological Unemployment  Challenge: facilitate an orderly transition to Automation Economy  Half (47%) of employment is at risk of automation in the next two decades – Carl Frey, Oxford, 2015  Why are there still so many jobs in a world that could be automating more quickly? – David Autor, MIT, 2015 13 Source: Swan, M. (2017). Is Technological Unemployment Real? Abundance Economics. In Surviving the Machine Age: Intelligent Technology and the Transformation of Human Work. Hughes & LaGrandeur, Eds. London: Palgrave Macmillan. 19-33.
  • 15. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Future of “Work”? 14 http://www.robotandhwang.com/attorneys  “Work” = meaningful engagement of human capacities
  • 16. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain What is important for our Future? 15 Maslow’s hierarchy of needs Survive Flourish & Thrive Source: Swan, M. (2017). Cognitive Easing: Human Identity Crisis in a World of Technology, http://ieet.org/index.php/IEET/more/Swan20170107.  Enable human potential, Maslow’s self-actualization  Freed from obligatory work, who will we be? Aspirational Needs Material Needs
  • 17. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Privacy Pendulum: Swinging back to more privacy 16  Historically: lots of privacy; Surveillance era: strange logic of few bad apples so insecure surveillance of all; centralized (Equifax) cybersecurity does not work  Future era: swing back to privacy; restore checks & balances Institutionally- specified Reality Self-determined Reality More Privacy
  • 18. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Our AI Future: high-impact emerging tech 17 Big Data & Deep Learning Blockchain CRISPR & Bioprinting
  • 19. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain 18 Top disruptors: Deep Learning & Blockchain Source: https://www.ipe.com/reports/special-reports/securities-services/securities-services-blockchain-a-beginners- guide/10014058.article
  • 20. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Job Growth Skills in Demand 1. Robotics/automation/data science/deep learning 2. Blockchain/Bitcoin 19 Source: https://www.computerworld.com/article/3235972/financial-it/blockchains-explosive-growth-pushes-job- skills-demand-to-no-2-spot.html
  • 21. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Future of AI: Smart Networks 20 Source: Expanded from Mark Sigal, http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/10/post-pc-revolution.html Fundamental Eras of Network Computing  Future of AI: intelligence “baked in” to smart networks  Blockchains to confirm authenticity and transfer value  Deep Learning algorithms for predictive identification
  • 22. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Species of Networks 21 Source: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsn-on-assignment-instagram-filtering-out-hate/, https://deepmind.com/applied/deepmind- ethics-society/research/AI-morality-values/  Social Networks  Transportation  Communications  Information  Biological  Superorganisms  Ecosystems  Organisms  Plants  Finance, credit, payment  Deep Learning Superorganisms: Trans-individual, Trans-national
  • 23. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Agenda  Artificial Intelligence  Blockchain Technology  Deep Learning Algorithms  Future of Artificial Intelligence 22
  • 24. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Blockchain 23 Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491  To inspire us to build this world
  • 25. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain 24 Conceptual Definition: Blockchain is a software protocol; just as SMTP is a protocol for sending email, blockchain is a protocol for sending money Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491 What is Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Tech?
  • 26. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain 25 Technical Definition: Blockchain is the tamper-resistant distributed ledger software underlying cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, for recording and transferring data and assets such as financial transactions and real estate titles, via the Internet without needing a third-party intermediary Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491 What is Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Tech?
  • 27. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain How does Bitcoin work? Use eWallet app to submit transaction 26 Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5JGQXCTe3c Scan recipient’s address and submit transaction $ appears in recipient’s eWallet Wallet has keys not money Creates PKI Signature address pairs A new PKI signature for each transaction
  • 28. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain P2P network confirms & records transaction 27 Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5JGQXCTe3c Transaction computationally confirmed Ledger account balances updated Peer nodes maintain distributed ledger Transactions submitted to a pool and miners assemble new batch (block) of transactions each 10 min Each block includes a cryptographic hash of the last block, chaining the blocks, hence “Blockchain”
  • 29. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain How robust is the Bitcoin p2p network? 28 p2p: peer to peer; Source: https://bitnodes.21.co, https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin  11,690 global nodes run full Bitcoind (11/17); 160 gb Run the software yourself:
  • 30. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain What is Bitcoin mining? 29  Mining is the accounting function to record transactions, fee-based  Mining ASICs “find new blocks” (proof of work)  Network regularly issues random 32-bit nonces (numbers) per specified cryptographic parameters  Mining software constantly makes nonce guesses  At the rate of 2^32 (4 billion) hashes (guesses)/second  One machine at random guesses the 32-bit nonce  Winning machine confirms and records the transactions, and collects the rewards  All nodes confirm the transactions and append the new block to their copy of the distributed ledger  “Wasteful” effort deters malicious players Sample code: Run the software yourself: Fast because ASICs represent the hashing algorithm as hardware
  • 31. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Distributed Networks 30 Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491 Decentralized (based on hubs) Centralized Distributed (based on peers)  Radical implication: every node is a peer who can provide services to other peers
  • 32. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain P2P Network Nodes provide services 31 Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491 Centralized bank tracks payments between clients “Classic” Banking Peer Banking  Nodes deliver services to others, for a small fee  Transaction ledger hosting (~11,960 Bitcoind nodes)  Transaction confirmation and logging (mining)  News services (“decentralized Reddit”: Steemit, Yours)  Banking services (payment channels (netting offsets)) Network nodes store transaction record settled by many individuals
  • 33. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Public and Private Distributed Ledgers 32 Source: Adapted from https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/making-blockchain-safe-government-merged-mining-chains-tori-adams  Private: approved users (“permissioned”)  Identity known, for enterprise  Approved credentials  Controlled access  Public: open to anyone (“permissionless”)  Identity unknown, for individuals  Ex: Zcash zero-knowledge proofs  Open access Transactions logged on public Blockchains Transactions logged on private Blockchains Any user Financial Inst, Industry Consortia, Gov’t Agency Examples: Bitcoin Ethereum Examples: R3 Hyperledger
  • 34. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Blockchain Applications Areas 33 Source: http://www.blockchaintechnologies.com Smart Property Cryptographic Asset Registries Smart Contracts IP Registration Money, Payments, Financial Clearing Identity Confirmation  Impacting all industries because allows secure value transfer in four application areas
  • 35. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Agenda  Artificial Intelligence  Blockchain Technology  Deep Learning Algorithms  Future of Artificial Intelligence 34
  • 36. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain  Global Data Volume: 40 EB 2020e  Scientific, governmental, corporate, and personal Big Data…is not Smart Data Source: http://www.oyster-ims.com/media/resources/dealing-information-growth-dark-data-six-practical-steps/ 35 35
  • 37. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Big Data requires Deep Learning 36  Older algorithms cannot keep up with the growth in data, need new data science methods Source: http://blog.algorithmia.com/introduction-to-deep-learning-2016
  • 38. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Broader Computer Science Context 37 Source: Machine Learning Guide, 9. Deep Learning  Within the Computer Science discipline, in the field of Artificial Intelligence, Deep Learning is a class of Machine Learning algorithms, that are in the form of a Neural Network
  • 39. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain 38 Conceptual Definition: Deep learning is a computer program that can identify what something is Technical Definition: Deep learning is a class of machine learning algorithms in the form of a neural network that uses a cascade of layers (tiers) of processing units to extract features from data and make predictive guesses about new data Source: Swan, M., (2017)., Philosophy of Deep Learning, https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/deep-learning-explained What is Deep Learning?
  • 40. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Deep Learning & AI  System is “dumb” (i.e. mechanical)  “Learns” with big data (lots of input examples) and trial-and-error guesses to adjust weights and bias to identify key features  Creates a predictive system to identity new examples  AI argument: big enough data is what makes a difference (“simple” algorithms run over large data sets) 39 Input: Big Data (e.g.; many examples) Method: Trial-and-error guesses to adjust node weights Output: system identifies new examples
  • 41. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Sample task: is that a Car?  Create an image recognition system that determines which features are relevant (at increasingly higher levels of abstraction) and correctly identifies new examples 40 Source: Jann LeCun, http://www.pamitc.org/cvpr15/files/lecun-20150610-cvpr-keynote.pdf
  • 42. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Supervised and Unsupervised Learning  Supervised (classify labeled data)  Unsupervised (find patterns in unlabeled data) 41 Source: https://www.slideshare.net/ThomasDaSilvaPaula/an-introduction-to-machine-learning-and-a-little-bit-of-deep-learning
  • 43. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Early success in Supervised Learning (2011)  YouTube: user-classified data perfect for Supervised Learning 42 Source: Google Brain: Le, QV, Dean, Jeff, Ng, Andrew, et al. 2012. Building high-level features using large scale unsupervised learning. https://arxiv.org/abs/1112.6209
  • 44. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Machine learning: human threshold 43 Source: Mary Meeker, Internet Trends, 2017, http://www.kpcb.com/internet-trends  All apps voice-activated and conversational?
  • 45. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain 2 main kinds of Deep Learning neural nets 44 Source: Yann LeCun, CVPR 2015 keynote (Computer Vision ), "What's wrong with Deep Learning" http://t.co/nPFlPZzMEJ  Convolutional Neural Nets  Image recognition  Convolve: roll up to higher levels of abstraction in feature sets  Recurrent Neural Nets  Speech, text, audio recognition  Recur: iterate over sequential inputs with a memory function  LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) remembers sequences and avoids gradient vanishing
  • 46. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain 3 Key Technical Principles of Deep Learning 45 Reduce combinatoric dimensionality Core computational unit (input-processing-output) Levers: weights and bias Squash values into Sigmoidal S-curve -Binary values (Y/N, 0/1) -Probability values (0 to 1) -Tanh values 9(-1) to 1) Loss FunctionPerceptron StructureSigmoid Function “Dumb” system learns by adjusting parameters and checking against outcome Loss function optimizes efficiency of solution Non-linear formulation as a logistic regression problem means greater mathematical manipulation What Why
  • 47. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain How does the neural net actually learn?  System varies the weights and biases to see if a better outcome is obtained  Repeat until the net correctly classifies the data 46 Source: http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/chap2.html  Structural system based on cascading layers of neurons with variable parameters: weight and bias
  • 48. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Backpropagation  Problem: Inefficient to test the combinatorial explosion of all possible parameter variations  Solution: Backpropagation (1986 Nature paper)  Backpropagation of errors and gradient descent are an optimization method used to calculate the error contribution of each neuron after a batch of data is processed 47 Source: http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/chap2.html
  • 49. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Agenda  Artificial Intelligence  Blockchain Technology  Deep Learning Algorithms  Future of Artificial Intelligence 48
  • 50. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Future of Artificial Intelligence 49 Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/deep-learning-explained  Blockchain & Deep Learning  Next-gen global computing network technology  Computation graphs  Self-operating state engines  Make probabilistic guesses about reality states of the world
  • 51. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Future of AI: Smart Networks 50 Source: Expanded from Mark Sigal, http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/10/post-pc-revolution.html Fundamental Eras of Network Computing  Future of AI: intelligence “baked in” to smart networks  Blockchains to confirm authenticity and transfer value  Deep Learning algorithms for predictive identification
  • 52. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Deep Learning Chains: cross-functionality  Deep Learning Applications for Blockchain  TensorFlow for Fee Estimation  Predictive pattern recognition for security  Fraud, privacy, money-laundering  Deep Learning techniques (backpropagations of errors, gradient descent, loss curves) to optimize financial graphs  Formulate debt-credit-payment problems as sigmoidal optimizations to solve with machine learning  Blockchain Applications for Deep Learning  Secure automation, registry, logging, tracking + remuneration functionality for deep learning systems as they go online  BaaS for network operations (LSTM is like a payment channel)  Blockchain P2P nodes provide deep learning network services: security (facial recognition), identification, authorization 51
  • 53. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Deep Learning Chains: App #1  Autonomous Driving & Drone Delivery, Social Robotics  Deep Learning (CNNs): identify what things are  Blockchain: secure automation technology  Track arbitrarily-many units, audit, upgrade  Legal liability, accountability, remuneration 52
  • 54. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Deep Learning Chains: App #2 53 Source: https://www.illumina.com/science/technology/next-generation-sequencing.html  Big Health Data  Large-scale secure predictive analysis of big health data to understand disease prevention Population 7.5 bn people worldwide
  • 55. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Deep Learning Chains: App #3  Leapfrog technology for human potential  Financial Inclusion  2 bn under-banked, 1.1 bn without ID  70% lack access to land registries  Health Inclusion  400 mn no access to health services  Does not make sense to build out brick- and-mortar bank branches and medical clinics to every last mile in a world of digital services  eWallet banking and deep learning medical diagnostic apps 54 Source: Pricewaterhouse Coopers. 2016. The un(der)banked is FinTech's largest opportunity. DeNovo Q2 2016 FinTech ReCap and Funding ReView., Heider, Caroline, and Connelly, April. 2016. Why Land Administration Matters for Development. World Bank. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/releases/2015/uhc-report/en/ Digital health wallet
  • 56. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Deep Learning Chains: App #4 55  Enact Friendly AI  Digital intelligences running on consensus-managed smart networks (not in isolation)  Good reputational standing required to conduct operations  Transactions to access resources (like fund-raising), provide services, enter into contracts, retire  Smart network consensus only validates and records bonafide transactions from ‘good’ agents Sources: http://cointelegraph.com/news/113368/blockchain-ai-5-top-reasons-the-blockchain-will-deliver-friendly-ai, http://ieet.org/index.php/IEET/more/swan20141117
  • 57. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain  Deep-thinkers Registry  Register deep learners with blockchains and monitor with deep learning algorithms  Secure tracking  Remuneration  Examples  Autonomous lab robots  On-chain IP discovery tracking  Roving agriculture bots  Manufacturing bots  Intelligent gaming  Go-playing algorithms 56 Source: Swan, M. Future of AI Thinking: The Brain as a DAC. Neural Turing Machines: https://arxiv.org/abs/1410.5401. IPFS (Benet): https://medium.com/@ConsenSys/an-introduction-to-ipfs-9bba4860abd0#.bgig18cgp Deep Learning Chains: App #5
  • 58. 9 Nov 2017 Blockchain Conclusion  Deep learning chains: needed for next-generation challenges  Financial inclusion, big health data, global energy markets, and space  Smart networks: a new form of automated global infrastructure  Identify (deep learning)  Validate, confirm, and route transactions (blockchain)  Future of AI is smart networks  Running value  Running intelligence  Possible answer to AI worries 57
  • 59. World Future Society Scottsdale AZ, November 9, 2017 Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga The Future of Artificial Intelligence Blockchain & Deep Learning Melanie Swan Philosophy, Purdue University melanie@BlockchainStudies.org