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Losing
Serendipity
    by
Lenny
Rachitsky
Serendipity
=
Good
Losing
Serendipity
=
Bad
Source: http://www.fanpop.com/spots/movies/images/44843/title/serendipity-wallpaper
Serendipity


ser‐en‐dip‐i‐ty
(noun):
The
effect
by
which

one
accidentally
stumbles
upon

something
fortunate,
especially
while

looking
for
something
entirely
unrelated.
Good
News




                    Serendipity



Today                             Future
Good
News




                    Serendipity



Today                             Future
Good
News




                    Serendipity



Today                             Future
Bad
News




                         Serendipity



Today                                  Future
        Life
Changing
Serendipity
Serendipity



      Today                                                  Future
                               Life
Changing
Serendipity
Source: http://bit.ly/9QRbuV
We
think
we’re
more
connected...




Source: http://www.airlines3.com/
...reality
is
that
we
are
not




Source: http://www.flightglobal.com/blogs/aircraft-pictures/2008/12/
We
read
about
the
same
kinds
of
places...




Source: http://globalmatterspost.blogspot.com/2009/12/ebook-and-iran-vs-
                              michael.html
We
make
friends
with
the
same

      kinds
of
people...

Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/metroblossom/
                   133933735/
Non-Mac




                                                            Becoming
more
and
more

                                                                   similar...
Source: http://philtered.com/timages/i/lots-of-apples.jpg
“Knowledge
that
takes
you

                             not
beyond
yourself
is
far

                              worse
than
ignorance”
                                                                                    ‐
Sufi
saying




Source: http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/elif_shafak_the_politics_of_fiction.html
What
you
like
What
you’ll
find



 What
you
like
What
you’ll
find



 What
you
like
What
you’ll
miss




What
you’ll
find



 What
you
like
What
you’ll
miss




New
favorite

   song



                What
you’ll
find



                 What
you
like
What
you’ll
miss




               New
favorite

                  song



                               What
you’ll
find



                                What
you
like




Best
dessert
   ever
What
you’ll
miss




               New
favorite

                  song



                               What
you’ll
find



                                What
you
like




Best
dessert
   ever
                                                  Your
new

                                                   passion
What
you’ll
miss   Your
soul
                                                    mate



               New
favorite

                  song



                               What
you’ll
find



                                What
you
like




Best
dessert
   ever
                                                  Your
new

                                                   passion
Are
we
screwed?
Enable
Serendipity
Enable
Serendipity
Cluster
A


            Best
stuff


                        Cluster
B
Source: http://www.fanpop.com/spots/movies/images/44843/title/serendipity-wallpaper

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How Technology is Limiting Serendipity and Discovery

Editor's Notes

  1. basic premise
  2. not the movie
  3. - what is serendipity?
  4. The good news is that overall opportunities for serendipity are increasing
  5. - thanks to things like the wikipedia rabbit hole - and twitter and foursquare
  6. the problem though is that the type of serendipity that changes your life, the big serendipitous events, are being lost
  7. - and like this guy that’s sad and scary
  8. - You would think that there are many more opportunities for major serendipity events now that we’re so connected and global, where we can travel anywhere and read news about everywhere
  9. - The reality is that we are still mostly living in our own clusters - if you look where people actually fly, it’s still focused on very few locations in the US and europe, excluding the rest of the world
  10. - Same thing with news - This is a map of the world distorted based on where people in the US read news about - For the US it’s obviously all about the US, and countries the US has invaded - This shows that we’re still living in our own bubbles
  11. - staying in our clusters, making friends with people pretty similar to us
  12. and becoming more and more similar, reinforcing those similarities, all the while thinking we’re think different
  13. - human beings have limited interest in trying new things that are outside their comfort zone, and we build filters to keep things out - As this quote by the Sufi’s puts it, knowledge that takes you NOT beyond yourself is far worse then ignorance - unfortunately technology is making that too easy by keeping us in our own bubbles, catering to what we tell it we like and want
  14. - I just read this book stumbling on happiness and the basic conclusion is that we’re really really bad at predicting what will actually make us happy, that we think we know what we want but really we don’t - and so without big serendipitous events, we may not discover the things that make us truly happy - here are a few examples of what I mean
  15. We tell recommendation engines what we like, which means we’re get more of the same kinds of things. - We teach Pandora what music we like, which means we won’t be exposed to music we never thought to check out. Most of the time it’s great and you find new music that you’ll like, but you’re missing out on totally new music that you may fall in love with - Amazon tells us what we’d like based on what we’ve already read, and what other like minded users like. We won’t be exposed to anything totally new. - Hunch.com is doing the same kind of thing on a larger scale.
  16. - We tell Google what kind of news we want to read
  17. We gather in places where like minded people post like minded stuff
  18. We use dating sites that match us with people based on things we think we want, like questions like this “How often do you tweet?”. - I’m guessing most of the married people here would never have met if they based their meeting on how well matched they matched up on specific traits, that serendipity had a factor
  19. We use Yelp to find the best restaurants around, killing that feeling of self discovery
  20. - even things like google directions reduce our chances for serendipity, getting us straight from point a to b - getting lost and making a wrong turn is usually the part of the trip you remember most
  21. - Here’s how I see it. - this circle represents the stuff you already like and are aware of
  22. - This represents the things that pandora and google news and amazon will expose you to
  23. - But you’re missing out on a huge amount of other stuff - This circle is so big I couldn’t even fit it on the screen - and even though access to it has gotten much easier, we rarely take advantage of it
  24. - But you’re missing out on a huge amount of other stuff - This circle is so big I couldn’t even fit it on the screen - and even though access to it has gotten much easier, we rarely take advantage of it
  25. - You miss out maybe a new favorite song
  26. or the best dessert you’ve never had
  27. or maybe a new life calling
  28. or that special someone that you’d never see on match.com
  29. things like Foursquare and even groupon give you new opportunities for serendipity
  30. I created a site that builds on foursquare that helps serendipity even more by telling you when the male to female ratio tips in your favor at your favorite venues and notifies you
  31. Something I would love to see other services adopt is a serendipity option
  32. when you check it
  33. shows you one thing that a different cluster of people find very interesting - there’s a good chance you’ll discover something really new and great
  34. Another idea I’ve seen is to follow a random person on Twitter that you normally wouldn’t be exposed to
  35. Maybe pick up a random magazine that you normally wouldn’t ever think about reading
  36. maybe go watch that movie you’d never normally watch. or maybe not. thank you.