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RADIATION PROTECTION IN DIAGNOSTIC AND INTERVENTIONAL RADIOLOGY L 3: Biological effects of ionizing radiation IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Topics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overview ,[object Object]
Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 1: Classification of radiation health effects IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
Radiation health effects DETERMINISTIC Somatic Clinically attributable in the exposed individual CELL DEATH STOCHASTIC somatic & hereditary epidemiologically attributable in large populations ANTENATAL somatic and hereditary  expressed in the foetus, in the live born or descendants BOTH TYPE OF EFFECTS CELL TRANSFORMATION
Biological effects of ionizing radiation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Deterministic effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Radiation injury from an industrial source
Threshold Doses for Deterministic Effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],dose Severity of effect threshold
Stochastic Effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
DIRECT ACTION INDIRECT ACTION
 
 
 
Outcomes after cell exposure DAMAGE REPAIRED CELL DEATH (APOPTOSIS) TRANSFORMED CELL DAMAGE TO DNA
Outcomes after cell exposure DAMAGE REPAIRED CELL NECROSIS OR APOPTOSIS TRANSFORMED CELL DAMAGE TO DNA
How DNA is repaired ?
 
Repair of DNA damage ,[object Object]
 
Outcomes after cell exposure DAMAGE REPAIRED CELL NECROSIS OR APOPTOSIS TRANSFORMED CELL DAMAGE TO DNA
Normal human lymphocyte: chromosomes  uniformly  distributed
Apoptotic cell: chromosomes  and nucleus fragmented and collapsed into apoptotic bodies
Effects of cell death Acute dose (in mSv) Probability of cell death 5000 100%
Outcomes after cell exposure DAMAGE REPAIRED CELL NECROSIS OR APOPTOSIS TRANSFORMED CELL DAMAGE TO DNA
Chromosomal deletions
Chromosomal translocations
 
CANCER INITIATION TUMOR PROMOTION MALIGNANT PROGRESSION METASTASIS MALIGNANT TRANSFOMATION STEAM CELL DIVISION MUTATION NECROSIS OR APOPTOSIS
NORMAL TISSUE
CELL INITIATION An initiating event creates a mutation in  one of the basal cells
DYSPLASIA More mutations occurred. The initiated cell has gained proliferative  advantages. Rapidly dividing cells begin to accumulate within the epithelium.
BENIGN TUMOR More changes within the proliferative cell line lead to full tumor development.
MALIGNANT TUMOR The tumor breaks through the basal lamina. The cells are irregularly shaped and the cell line is immortal. They have an increased mobility and invasiveness.
METASTASIS Cancer cells break through the wall of a lymphatic vessel or blood capillary. They can now migrate throughout the body and potentially seed new tumors.
A simple generalized scheme for multistage oncogenesis Damage to chromosomal DNA of a normal target cell Failure to correct DNA repair Appearance of specific neoplasia-initiating mutation Promotional growth of pre-neoplasm Conversion to overtly malignant phenotype Malignant progression   and tumour spread
10 -6 10 -12 10 -9 10 -15 10 -3 1 second 1 hour 1 day 1 year 100 years 1 ms 10 0 10 9 10 6 10 3 Energy deposition Excitation/ionization Initial particle tracks Radical formation PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS PHYSICO-CHEMICAL INTERACTIONS BIOLOGICAL RESPONSE MEDICAL EFFECTS Diffusion, chemical reactions Initial DNA damage DNA breaks / base damage Repair processes Damage fixation Cell killing Promotion/completion Teratogenesis Cancer Hereditary defects Proliferation of "damaged" cells Mutations/transformations/aberrations T I M E ( s e c ) Timing of events leading to  radiation effects.
Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 2: Factors affecting the radiosensitivity IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
Radiosensitivity [RS] (1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Radiosensitivity (2) Muscle Bones Nervous system Skin Mesoderm organs (liver, heart, lungs…) Bone Marrow Spleen Thymus Lymphatic nodes Gonads Eye lens Lymphocytes  ( exception to the RS laws) Low RS Medium RS High RS
Factors affecting the radiosensitivity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],G1 S G2 M G0    LET    LET % survivor cells M M
Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 3: Dose-effect response curve IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
Systemic effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Skin effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Histologic view of the skin Basal stratum cells, highly mitotic, some of them with melanin, responsible of pigmentation. From “Atlas de Histologia...”. J. Boya (*):alopecia: loss or absence of hair (**): ectasia: swelling of part of the body
Skin reactions Injury Threshold  Dose to  Skin (Sv) Weeks to   Onset Early transient erythema 2 <<1 Temporary epilation 3 3 Main erythema 6 1.5 Permanent epilation 7 3 Dry desquamation 10 4 Invasive fibrosis 10 Dermal atrophy 11 >14 Telangiectasis 12 >52 Moist desquamation 15 4 Late erythema 15 6-10 Dermal necrosis 18 >10 Secondary ulceration 20 >6 Skin damage from prolonged fluoroscopic exposure
Skin injuries
Skin injuries
Effects in eye ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],From “Atlas de Histologia...”. J. Boya Histologic view of eye: Eye lens is highly RS, moreover, it is surrounded by highly RS cuboid cells. > 0.15 5.0 Visual impairment (cataract) > 0.1 0.5-2.0 Detectable opacities Sv/year for many years Sv single brief exposure Effect
Eye injuries
Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 4: Whole body response: acute radiation syndrome IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
Whole body response: adult ,[object Object],Chronic irradiation syndrome Survival time Dose Lethal dose 50 / 30 BONE MARROW GASTRO INTESTINAL CNS (central nervous system) 1-10 Gy 10 - 50 Gy > 50 Gy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1 2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lethal dose 50 / 30 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 5: Effects of antenatal exposure and delayed effect IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
Effects of antenatal exposure (1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Time % Pre-implantation   Organogenesis Foetus Lethality Congenital anomalies
Effects of antenatal exposure (2) ,[object Object],Time % Pre-implantation   Organogenesis Foetus Lethality 0.1 Gy
Effects of antenatal exposure (3) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Severe mental retardation with a risk factor of   0.1/Sv Severe  mental  retardation with a risk factor of   0.4/Sv 15-25 week 8-15 week
Delayed effects of radiation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Part 3: Biological effects of ionizing radiation Topic 6: Epidemiology IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
Epidemiology I ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Epidemiology II ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Epidemiology III ,[object Object]
Epidemiology IV ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Epidemiology V ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Detectability limits in Radioepidemiology Number of people in study and control groups E F F E C T I V E D O S E ( m S v ) 5 10 -1 10 0 10 0 10 1 10 1 10 2 10 2 10 4 10 4 10 3 10 3 10 6 10 7 10 8 10 9 10 10 10 11 10 CHERNOBYL DOSES REGION OF DETECTABILITY REGION OF UNDETECTABILITY Theoretical limit of detectability due to statistical causes  (90%  confidence interval)
High and Low Spontaneous Cancer Rates Incidence/105  Tissue   High     Low   Male / Female Male /Female   Nasopharynx 2 3.3   9.5 0. 2   0. 1 Esophagus  2 0.1  8. 3 0.5   0. 2   Stomach  9 5.5   4 0.1 5. 2  2. 2 Colon 35.0  29.6  1.8  1.3 Liver 46.7  11.5 0. 7 0. 3 Lung+Bronchus 11 0.8  29.6  10.3   2 .4 Skin melanoma  33.1  29.8 0.2  0.2 Breast female 10 3 . 7   1 4 .6 Cervix 53.5 3.0 from UNSCEAR  2000
Data on irradiated populations Population Approximate Size Atomic bomb survivors  Japan :   86  000 Atomic tests : Semipalatinsk/Altai 3 0 000 Marshallese islanders    2  8 00 Nuclear accidents :  intervention teams Chernobyl (total) > 200 000 population Chernobyl (>185 kBq /m 2   137 Cs) 1 500 000 population Chelyabinsk (total) 70 000 Medical procedures : low LET   iodine treatment and therapy ~ 70 000 chest fluoroscopy  64  000 children hemangioma treatment 14 000 high LET thorotrast angiography 4   2 00 Ra-224 treatment 2  8 00 Prenatal exposure  (fetal radiography, atomic bombs)  6 000 Occupational exposure :  workers nuclear industry   (Japan, UK) 115  000 uranium  miners    21  000 radium dial painters 2   5 00 radiologists 10 000 Natural exposure  (Chinese, EC and US studies)  several 100 000
Populations Studied for Specific Cancers (I) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Populations Studied for Specific Cancers (II) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Excess Solid-Tumor Deaths among Atomic-Bomb Survivors
Relative Mortality Risks at Different Times After Exposure 0.5 5 1950-  1954 1963-  1966 1959-  1962 1955-  1958 1971-  1974 1967-  1970 1975-  1978 1979-  1982 1 10 20 2 Interval of follow-up Atomic bomb survivors Estimated relative risk at 1 Gy All cancers except  leukaemia (+ 4.8%/y) Leukaemia ( ~10.7%/y)
Relative Risks of Radon from Indoor Exposure and from Mining           0 100 200 300 400 500 0.3 1 0.5 0.6 2 0.4 Radon concentration Bq/m 3 Relative  risk miner studies (cohorts) indoor studies (case controls) log-linear fit to indoor studies estimated from  correlation  study  in different regions 1.5
Breast Cancer in Women Exposed to Fluoroscopy Observed/expected breast cancers      0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4 Mean absorbed dose (Gy)
Thyroid Tumors in Irradiated Children         0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0 2 4 6 8 10 Mean dose (Gy) Relative risk Thyroid Cancer Thyroid benign  tumors
Thyroid Cancer Cases in Children after the Chernobyl Accident                                       86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 0 20 40 60 80 100 Ukraine   Russian Fed.   Belarus   No of Cases Children under 15 years of age at diagnosis
Thyroid Cancer in Children in the Chernobyl Region Region     No of Cases   before the accident  after the accident Belarus (1977-1985)  7  (1986-1994)  390 Ukraine (1981-1985)  24  (1986-1995)  220 Russia ( Bryansk and Kaluga region only ) (1986-1995)  62 The data represent incidences (not mortality) and are preliminary results. Most excess cancers occurred since 1993. Thyroid cancer has a high rate of cure >90%, but many of the cancers found are of the aggressive papillary type.
Risk Estimates from Occupational Exposure Study   Excess relative risk  per Sv All cancer Leukemia UK National Registry Radiation Workers 0.47 (-0.12-1.20)  4.3 (0.4-13.6) 1,218,000 person years  34 mSv average dose US Workers -1.0 (<0-0.83 <0 (<0-3.4) 705,000 person years 32 mSv average dose Atomic Bomb Survivors 0.33 (0.11-0.6) 6.2 (2.7-13.8) 2,185,000 person years 251 mSv average dose
Doses and Risks for in Utero Radiodiagnostics Exposure  Mean foetal dose  Hered. Disease  Fatal cancer  (mGy)   to age 14  y X Ray       Abdomen 2.6 6.2 10 -5 7.7 10 -5 Barium enema 16 3.9 10 -4 4.8 10 -4 Barium meal 2.8 6.7 10 -5 8.4 10 -5 IV urography 3.2 7.7 10 -5 9.6 10 -5 Lumbar spine 3.2 7.6 10- 5 9.5 10 -5 Pelvis 1.7 4.0 10 -5 5.1 10 -5 Computed tomography Abdomen 8.0 1.9 10 -4 2.4 10 -4 Lumbar spine 2.4 5.7 10 -5 7.1 10 -5 Pelvis 25 6.1 10 -4 7.7 10 -4 Nuclear medicine Tc bone scan 3.3 7.9 10 -4 1.0 10 -4 Tc brain scan 4.3 1.0 10 -5 1.3 10 -4
Extrapolation by Additive and Multiplicative Risks Models Annual Probability of death /1000 persons Age Years 15 5 25 35 45 Following exposure to 2 Gy at an age of 45 years Spontaneous risks :   increase with age : Radiation risks become apparent after a lag period (5) -10 years Additive risk models:   imply constant risk  independent of background. Multiplicative risk models:   imply an increase proportional to background risk  55 60 65 70 75
Risk Probability Coefficients (ICRP) Tissue  Probability of fatal Cancer (10 -2 /Sv) Population  Workers Bladder   0.30 0.24 Bone marrow   0.50 0.40 Bone surface   0.05 0.04 Breast   0.20 0.16 Colon   0.85 0.68 Liver   0.15 0.12 Lung   0.85 0.68 Esophagus   0.30 0.24 Ovary   0.10 0.08 Skin   0.02 0.02 Stomach   1.10 0.88 Thyroid   0.08 0.06 Remainder   0.50 0.40 Total all cancers   5.00 4.00 Genetic effects weighted   1.00 0.50
Proportion of Fatal Cancers Attributable to Different Agents Agent or Class  Percentage of all Cancer Disease Best estimate  Range Smoking  31 29 - 33 Alcoholic beverages 5 3 - 7 Diet   35 20 - 60 Natural hormones  15 10 - 20 Infection  10 5 - 15 Occupation  3 2 - 6 Medicines, medical practices 1 0.5 - 2  Electromagnetic radiation  8 5 -10 Ionizing (85% from natural radiation*)  4.5 Ultraviolet    2.5 Lower frequency    <1 Industrial products  <1 <1 - 2 Pollution 2 <1 - 4 Other  ? ?
Tissue risk factor (1) ,[object Object],% Effect Dose    dose    probability Risk factor =    probability    dose
Tissue risk factor (2) ,[object Object],% Effect Dose    dose    probability Risk factor =    probability    dose
Indicators of relative organ tissue risk 0.05 Remainder 0.01 Bone surface 0.01 Skin 0.05 Thyroid 0.05 Oesophagus 0.05 Liver 0.05 Breast 0.05 Bladder 0.12 Stomach 0.12 Lung 0.12 Colon 0.12 Bone marrow (red) 0.20 Gonads w T TISSUE OR ORGAN
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where to Get More Information (1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where to Get More Information (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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L03 Biological Effects

  • 1. RADIATION PROTECTION IN DIAGNOSTIC AND INTERVENTIONAL RADIOLOGY L 3: Biological effects of ionizing radiation IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 1: Classification of radiation health effects IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
  • 6. Radiation health effects DETERMINISTIC Somatic Clinically attributable in the exposed individual CELL DEATH STOCHASTIC somatic & hereditary epidemiologically attributable in large populations ANTENATAL somatic and hereditary expressed in the foetus, in the live born or descendants BOTH TYPE OF EFFECTS CELL TRANSFORMATION
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.  
  • 13.  
  • 14.  
  • 15.  
  • 16. Outcomes after cell exposure DAMAGE REPAIRED CELL DEATH (APOPTOSIS) TRANSFORMED CELL DAMAGE TO DNA
  • 17. Outcomes after cell exposure DAMAGE REPAIRED CELL NECROSIS OR APOPTOSIS TRANSFORMED CELL DAMAGE TO DNA
  • 18. How DNA is repaired ?
  • 19.  
  • 20.
  • 21.  
  • 22. Outcomes after cell exposure DAMAGE REPAIRED CELL NECROSIS OR APOPTOSIS TRANSFORMED CELL DAMAGE TO DNA
  • 23. Normal human lymphocyte: chromosomes uniformly distributed
  • 24. Apoptotic cell: chromosomes and nucleus fragmented and collapsed into apoptotic bodies
  • 25. Effects of cell death Acute dose (in mSv) Probability of cell death 5000 100%
  • 26. Outcomes after cell exposure DAMAGE REPAIRED CELL NECROSIS OR APOPTOSIS TRANSFORMED CELL DAMAGE TO DNA
  • 29.  
  • 30. CANCER INITIATION TUMOR PROMOTION MALIGNANT PROGRESSION METASTASIS MALIGNANT TRANSFOMATION STEAM CELL DIVISION MUTATION NECROSIS OR APOPTOSIS
  • 32. CELL INITIATION An initiating event creates a mutation in one of the basal cells
  • 33. DYSPLASIA More mutations occurred. The initiated cell has gained proliferative advantages. Rapidly dividing cells begin to accumulate within the epithelium.
  • 34. BENIGN TUMOR More changes within the proliferative cell line lead to full tumor development.
  • 35. MALIGNANT TUMOR The tumor breaks through the basal lamina. The cells are irregularly shaped and the cell line is immortal. They have an increased mobility and invasiveness.
  • 36. METASTASIS Cancer cells break through the wall of a lymphatic vessel or blood capillary. They can now migrate throughout the body and potentially seed new tumors.
  • 37. A simple generalized scheme for multistage oncogenesis Damage to chromosomal DNA of a normal target cell Failure to correct DNA repair Appearance of specific neoplasia-initiating mutation Promotional growth of pre-neoplasm Conversion to overtly malignant phenotype Malignant progression and tumour spread
  • 38. 10 -6 10 -12 10 -9 10 -15 10 -3 1 second 1 hour 1 day 1 year 100 years 1 ms 10 0 10 9 10 6 10 3 Energy deposition Excitation/ionization Initial particle tracks Radical formation PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS PHYSICO-CHEMICAL INTERACTIONS BIOLOGICAL RESPONSE MEDICAL EFFECTS Diffusion, chemical reactions Initial DNA damage DNA breaks / base damage Repair processes Damage fixation Cell killing Promotion/completion Teratogenesis Cancer Hereditary defects Proliferation of &quot;damaged&quot; cells Mutations/transformations/aberrations T I M E ( s e c ) Timing of events leading to radiation effects.
  • 39. Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 2: Factors affecting the radiosensitivity IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
  • 40.
  • 41. Radiosensitivity (2) Muscle Bones Nervous system Skin Mesoderm organs (liver, heart, lungs…) Bone Marrow Spleen Thymus Lymphatic nodes Gonads Eye lens Lymphocytes ( exception to the RS laws) Low RS Medium RS High RS
  • 42.
  • 43. Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 3: Dose-effect response curve IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. Skin reactions Injury Threshold Dose to Skin (Sv) Weeks to Onset Early transient erythema 2 <<1 Temporary epilation 3 3 Main erythema 6 1.5 Permanent epilation 7 3 Dry desquamation 10 4 Invasive fibrosis 10 Dermal atrophy 11 >14 Telangiectasis 12 >52 Moist desquamation 15 4 Late erythema 15 6-10 Dermal necrosis 18 >10 Secondary ulceration 20 >6 Skin damage from prolonged fluoroscopic exposure
  • 49.
  • 51. Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 4: Whole body response: acute radiation syndrome IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. Part 3: Biological effect of ionizing radiation Topic 5: Effects of antenatal exposure and delayed effect IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59. Part 3: Biological effects of ionizing radiation Topic 6: Epidemiology IAEA Training Material on Radiation Protection in Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. Detectability limits in Radioepidemiology Number of people in study and control groups E F F E C T I V E D O S E ( m S v ) 5 10 -1 10 0 10 0 10 1 10 1 10 2 10 2 10 4 10 4 10 3 10 3 10 6 10 7 10 8 10 9 10 10 10 11 10 CHERNOBYL DOSES REGION OF DETECTABILITY REGION OF UNDETECTABILITY Theoretical limit of detectability due to statistical causes (90% confidence interval)
  • 66. High and Low Spontaneous Cancer Rates Incidence/105 Tissue High Low Male / Female Male /Female Nasopharynx 2 3.3 9.5 0. 2 0. 1 Esophagus 2 0.1 8. 3 0.5 0. 2 Stomach 9 5.5 4 0.1 5. 2 2. 2 Colon 35.0 29.6 1.8 1.3 Liver 46.7 11.5 0. 7 0. 3 Lung+Bronchus 11 0.8 29.6 10.3 2 .4 Skin melanoma 33.1 29.8 0.2 0.2 Breast female 10 3 . 7 1 4 .6 Cervix 53.5 3.0 from UNSCEAR 2000
  • 67. Data on irradiated populations Population Approximate Size Atomic bomb survivors Japan : 86 000 Atomic tests : Semipalatinsk/Altai 3 0 000 Marshallese islanders 2 8 00 Nuclear accidents : intervention teams Chernobyl (total) > 200 000 population Chernobyl (>185 kBq /m 2 137 Cs) 1 500 000 population Chelyabinsk (total) 70 000 Medical procedures : low LET iodine treatment and therapy ~ 70 000 chest fluoroscopy 64 000 children hemangioma treatment 14 000 high LET thorotrast angiography 4 2 00 Ra-224 treatment 2 8 00 Prenatal exposure (fetal radiography, atomic bombs) 6 000 Occupational exposure : workers nuclear industry (Japan, UK) 115 000 uranium miners 21 000 radium dial painters 2 5 00 radiologists 10 000 Natural exposure (Chinese, EC and US studies) several 100 000
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70. Excess Solid-Tumor Deaths among Atomic-Bomb Survivors
  • 71. Relative Mortality Risks at Different Times After Exposure 0.5 5 1950- 1954 1963- 1966 1959- 1962 1955- 1958 1971- 1974 1967- 1970 1975- 1978 1979- 1982 1 10 20 2 Interval of follow-up Atomic bomb survivors Estimated relative risk at 1 Gy All cancers except leukaemia (+ 4.8%/y) Leukaemia ( ~10.7%/y)
  • 72. Relative Risks of Radon from Indoor Exposure and from Mining           0 100 200 300 400 500 0.3 1 0.5 0.6 2 0.4 Radon concentration Bq/m 3 Relative risk miner studies (cohorts) indoor studies (case controls) log-linear fit to indoor studies estimated from correlation study in different regions 1.5
  • 73. Breast Cancer in Women Exposed to Fluoroscopy Observed/expected breast cancers      0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4 Mean absorbed dose (Gy)
  • 74. Thyroid Tumors in Irradiated Children         0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0 2 4 6 8 10 Mean dose (Gy) Relative risk Thyroid Cancer Thyroid benign tumors
  • 75. Thyroid Cancer Cases in Children after the Chernobyl Accident                                       86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 0 20 40 60 80 100 Ukraine Russian Fed. Belarus No of Cases Children under 15 years of age at diagnosis
  • 76. Thyroid Cancer in Children in the Chernobyl Region Region No of Cases before the accident after the accident Belarus (1977-1985) 7 (1986-1994) 390 Ukraine (1981-1985) 24 (1986-1995) 220 Russia ( Bryansk and Kaluga region only ) (1986-1995) 62 The data represent incidences (not mortality) and are preliminary results. Most excess cancers occurred since 1993. Thyroid cancer has a high rate of cure >90%, but many of the cancers found are of the aggressive papillary type.
  • 77. Risk Estimates from Occupational Exposure Study Excess relative risk per Sv All cancer Leukemia UK National Registry Radiation Workers 0.47 (-0.12-1.20) 4.3 (0.4-13.6) 1,218,000 person years 34 mSv average dose US Workers -1.0 (<0-0.83 <0 (<0-3.4) 705,000 person years 32 mSv average dose Atomic Bomb Survivors 0.33 (0.11-0.6) 6.2 (2.7-13.8) 2,185,000 person years 251 mSv average dose
  • 78. Doses and Risks for in Utero Radiodiagnostics Exposure Mean foetal dose Hered. Disease Fatal cancer (mGy) to age 14 y X Ray Abdomen 2.6 6.2 10 -5 7.7 10 -5 Barium enema 16 3.9 10 -4 4.8 10 -4 Barium meal 2.8 6.7 10 -5 8.4 10 -5 IV urography 3.2 7.7 10 -5 9.6 10 -5 Lumbar spine 3.2 7.6 10- 5 9.5 10 -5 Pelvis 1.7 4.0 10 -5 5.1 10 -5 Computed tomography Abdomen 8.0 1.9 10 -4 2.4 10 -4 Lumbar spine 2.4 5.7 10 -5 7.1 10 -5 Pelvis 25 6.1 10 -4 7.7 10 -4 Nuclear medicine Tc bone scan 3.3 7.9 10 -4 1.0 10 -4 Tc brain scan 4.3 1.0 10 -5 1.3 10 -4
  • 79. Extrapolation by Additive and Multiplicative Risks Models Annual Probability of death /1000 persons Age Years 15 5 25 35 45 Following exposure to 2 Gy at an age of 45 years Spontaneous risks : increase with age : Radiation risks become apparent after a lag period (5) -10 years Additive risk models: imply constant risk independent of background. Multiplicative risk models: imply an increase proportional to background risk 55 60 65 70 75
  • 80. Risk Probability Coefficients (ICRP) Tissue Probability of fatal Cancer (10 -2 /Sv) Population Workers Bladder 0.30 0.24 Bone marrow 0.50 0.40 Bone surface 0.05 0.04 Breast 0.20 0.16 Colon 0.85 0.68 Liver 0.15 0.12 Lung 0.85 0.68 Esophagus 0.30 0.24 Ovary 0.10 0.08 Skin 0.02 0.02 Stomach 1.10 0.88 Thyroid 0.08 0.06 Remainder 0.50 0.40 Total all cancers 5.00 4.00 Genetic effects weighted 1.00 0.50
  • 81. Proportion of Fatal Cancers Attributable to Different Agents Agent or Class Percentage of all Cancer Disease Best estimate Range Smoking 31 29 - 33 Alcoholic beverages 5 3 - 7 Diet 35 20 - 60 Natural hormones 15 10 - 20 Infection 10 5 - 15 Occupation 3 2 - 6 Medicines, medical practices 1 0.5 - 2 Electromagnetic radiation 8 5 -10 Ionizing (85% from natural radiation*) 4.5 Ultraviolet 2.5 Lower frequency <1 Industrial products <1 <1 - 2 Pollution 2 <1 - 4 Other ? ?
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84. Indicators of relative organ tissue risk 0.05 Remainder 0.01 Bone surface 0.01 Skin 0.05 Thyroid 0.05 Oesophagus 0.05 Liver 0.05 Breast 0.05 Bladder 0.12 Stomach 0.12 Lung 0.12 Colon 0.12 Bone marrow (red) 0.20 Gonads w T TISSUE OR ORGAN
  • 85.
  • 86.
  • 87.

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