LEARN LIKE A SCIENTIST: YOUR FIRST EXPERIMENT (JABE BLOOM) - LKCE13
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A3, PDCA and the Build Measure Learn loop (to name a few loops) are all informed by experimentation. Kanban embraces the scientific method explicitly; "Improve Collaboratively (using models & the scientific method)" and Lean implementations can be more effectively supported by a sound understanding of the philosophy of science and proper experimental design. This presentation will briefly explore the basics of the scientific method, including deductive, inductive and abductive logic, probability, parsimony, and hypothesis testing. Through a series of group exercises, the audience will grapple with the concepts and return home ready to create an execute their first scientific experiment.
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LEARN LIKE A SCIENTIST: YOUR FIRST EXPERIMENT (JABE BLOOM) - LKCE13
- 1. LEARN LIKE A SCIENTIST: YOUR FIRST EXPERIMENT @cyetain
- 2. Joshua (Jabe) Bloom CTO: & blog http://jabe.co Send Anonymous Feedback http://sayat.me/jabebloom @cyetain
- 4. @cyetain
- 7. If It Is Scientific, You Can Show Me How You Did It and We Can See If I can Repeat It. @cyetain
- 8. Baloney Detection Kit Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the facts. ! Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view. ! Arguments from authority carry little weight (in science there are no "authorities"). ! Spin more than one hypothesis - don't simply run with the first idea that caught your fancy. ! Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it's yours. ! Quantify, wherever possible. ! If there is a chain of argument every link in the chain must work. ! Occam's razor - if there are two hypotheses that explain the data equally well choose the simpler. ! Ask whether the hypothesis can, at least in principle, be falsified (shown to be false by some unambiguous test). In other words, it is testable? Can others duplicate the experiment and get the same result? Carl Sagan http://jabe.co/BaloneyKit @cyetain
- 11. The truths science attempts to reveal about atoms and the solar system and even about microbes and bacteria would still be true even if human beings had never existed ! -Anthony O'Hear @cyetain
- 12. Veritas est adaequatio rei et intellectus A judgment is said to be true when it conforms to the external reality ! -Thomas Aquinas @cyetain
- 13. [Abduction] goes upon the hope that there is sufficient affinity between the reasoner's mind and nature's to render guessing not altogether hopeless, provided each guess is checked by comparison with observation... The eff ort should theref ore be to make each hypothesis... as near an even bet as possible. -Charles Peirce @cyetain
- 14. That's the whole point to the Scientific Method. It can never actually verif truth, but it can y show what is not true. ! -Jim Haines @cyetain
- 15. that which does not work is not true ! -William Ernest Hocking @cyetain
- 17. Rationality Pieces of behaviour, beliefs, arguments, policies, and other exercises of the human mind may all be described as rational. To accept something as rational is to accept it as making sense, as appropriate, or required, or in accordance with some acknowledged goal, such as aiming at truth or aiming at the good -Blackburn @cyetain
- 18. @cyetain
- 20. Analogue The Way Humans Think Probability Binary The Way Computers "Think" @cyetain ABDUCE Plausible Justifiable INDUCE Probable DEDUCE Predictive
- 22. @cyetain
- 24. Inspiration New Technology, New Problems, Personal Practice, Managed Serendipity ! Surprise @cyetain
- 27. Collaboration Explanation, Conversation, Interpretation, Challenging, Peer Reviewing, Repeating/ Validating @cyetain
- 28. Exploitation $$, Solve Problems, Make the World Better, Delight Customers @cyetain
- 29. Scientific examination arises out of, and is dependent upon, a previous, or an ontologically prior praxis context. -Ihde @cyetain
- 31. What Do Knowledge Workers Use Science For? @cyetain
- 34. @cyetain
- 35. Guess -> Knowledge ! Knowledge to Profit ! Canaries @cyetain
- 36. Improve collaboratively, evolve experimentally, using models and the scientific method @cyetain
- 37. The link between objective truth and inter-subjective agreement is so strong that the former is difficult to defend when the latter fails. ! -Hugh G. Gauch, Jr @cyetain
- 40. Safe-To-Fail @cyetain First Don’t Do (too much) Harm
- 41. Turn Commitments into Options (bring a rope) @cyetain
- 42. There is no surer way to screw up an experiment than to be certain of its outcome. ! -Stuart Firestein @cyetain
- 43. Experiences ABDUCE Hypothesises If Coherent DEDUCE Expected Outcomes If Expected Outcomes Match Reality INDUCE @cyetain @cyetain Effective Match
- 51. Which of these Assumptions MUST be True for my model to be coherent? @cyetain
- 52. How can I invalidate these assumptions? @cyetain
- 53. Write Down What You Think Will Happen BEFORE You DO It. ! Show it to your peers. ! Honestly PUBLICLY Examine Your Results @cyetain
- 54. Joshua (Jabe) Bloom CTO : The Library Corporation & TLC Labs http://tlclabs.co blog http://blog.jabebloom.com ! ! Send Anonymous Feedback http://sayat.me/jabebloom @cyetain