Pemex has failed in using the new mechanisms of the Reform. With only three farmouts awarded and a challenging environment for complying with its investment commitments, it is vital that the new administration focuses in increasing and improving farm-outs that allow PEMEX to multiply its technical, financial and execution capabilities.
In this pager, our CEO Marco Cota and María Serna address PEMEX's performance up to date.
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Comprehensive energy regulatory consultancy by former key officials
1. Comprehensiveenergyregulatory
consultancygivenbyformerkey
officialsthatparticipatedinthe
designand implementationofthe
energyreform.
During decades, PEMEX was the only company developing Mexico’s E&P activities reaching an outstand-
ing record in some projects (e.g. naturally fractured reservoirs in shallow waters), whereas for some
others it has obtained lousy results (e.g. Chicontepec), has no proven experience (e.g. deep water and
shale) or not interest at all (e.g. marginal fields or Coal Bed Methane).
With PEMEX’s ongoing declining production, 2013 Reform’s objective was twofold: (1) increasing its
capabilities and (2) complementing them with private technical and financial resources. Below, a
hindsight of its performance:
1.- INCREASING PEMEX CAPABILITIES: ROUND ZERO AND FARMOUTS
The new model began by awarding PEMEX 489 Entitlements for E&P activities, allowing the possibility of
farming-out any of these areas where there is lack of operative and financial capabilities. According to
Constitution, by the third anniversary of Round Zero (Aug 2017) Pemex should have returned the entitle-
ments with unfulfilled work commitment. The following is PEMEX’s performance up to date:
PEMEX has failed in using the new mechanisms of the Reform. With only three farmouts awarded and a
challengingenvironmentforcomplyingwithitsinvestmentcommitments,itisvitalthatthenewadminis-
tration focuses in increasing and improving farm-outs that allow PEMEX to multiply its technical,
financial and execution capabilities.
2.- COMPLEMENTING E&P NATIONAL INVESTMENT WITH PRIVATE SECTOR PARTICIPATION
Private and public investment are complementary. Successful bidding rounds have been increasing
national investment mainly in areas where Pemex is not working.
PEMEX’s participation in the bidding processes has been active. It has presented a total of 29 offers
individually or as part of a consortium and it has been awarded with 14 blocks (9 in shallow water and 5
in deep water). This seems contradictory as it has failed in accomplishing its commitments of Round
Zero entitlements.
Round Zero’s entitlements are PEMEX’s better known areas and the new administration shall concen-
trate in developing them. PEMEX participation in bidding rounds should be fine only if it complies with
its entitlements' work commitments. The main objective of the upcoming bidding rounds should be to
complement PEMEX with investments and know-how.
PEMEXat5yearsfromthereform
november2018
Recommendations for the new
administration to improve PEMEX
production
Activity in Round Zero’s entitlements shall be
revisited as there is a big opportunity to
improve.
InordertostopPEMEX’sdecliningproduction
andreserves;itisvitalthatthenewadministra-
tion focuses in improving and increasing
farm-outs allowing PEMEX to multiply its
technical, financial and execution capabilities.
Success in farm-outs requires a change in its
terms and conditions (JOA). This will increase
tender participation and improve offers in
PEMEX’sbenefit.
It is urgent to redefine where PEMEX shall
participateandwherethereisaclearnecessi-
ty for private investment. Areas where
PEMEXhasnointerestnorsufficientcapabil-
ities shall come first. The country has an
urgent requirement for gas and shale basins
that have the largest oil and gas potential for
the future.
WherePEMEXcapabilitiesarelimitedorwhere
there is no interest by the State Productive
Enterprise, CNH must increase the pace of
internationaltenders.
1
2
3
4
5
Round Zero’s
entitlements
by work
committment
fulfillment status
(Aug 2017)
Fulfilled
Not fulfilled
Declining 2P
reserves from
2014 to 2018
(mmboe)
34%2014
2018
20,589
13,654
Farmout
Offers
received
Trion (DW)
Cárdenas-Mora (OS)
Ogarrio (OS)
Nobilis-Maximino (DW)
Ayin-Batsil (SW)
2
2
4
0
0
24
79
3 tenders
46 blocks
74 Wells
$597 MMUSD
Govt Take [63%-75%]
OS
4 tenders
31 blocks
34 Wells
$1,448 MMUSD
Govt Take [72%-85%]
SW
2 tenders
27 blocks
31 Wells
$1,821 MMUSD
Govt Take [60%-65%]
DW
DW: Deepwater, ON: Onshore,
SW: shallowwater
14
awarded blocks
18,813.7 km2
awarded area
$423.7 million
investment
8
wells committed
Paseo de la Reforma 483, 06500, Mexico City.
T. +52 (55) 7316 2228
1200 Smith St, 77002, Houston, Texas.
T. +1 (713) 353 3952
www.talanza.energy
Summary of bidding rounds
maría sernais the Head of
Legal Services specialized in
energy and environmental law.
She oversees the
implementation of the
regulatory compliance
strategies procuring the
minimum government
relationships wear.
maria.serna@talanza.energy
marco cota is the founder
and CEO of Talanza where he
assists international energy
companies in the design and
implementation of
tailor-suited strategies for
their regulatory compliance
adjusted to the applicable
geopolitical context,
considering current and
upcoming regulations.
marco.cota@talanza.energy
ANALYSTS
Estimated investment
for the 104 awarded blocks
Private investment
is 15x Pemex’s 2018
budget for E&P
E&P Pemex
Budget 2018
PEMEX’s drilling activity
in the last 16 years
Wells committed in only
two deep water tenders
$127,146 74
31$8,407