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Analyzing Fine Tuning
Probability Calculations
Mark Tabladillo Ph.D.
December 19, 2014
@marktaborg
Introduction
Some fine tuning arguments include probability calculations
This presentation breaks down the questions to ask the original scientists about how
they calculated their probabilities
What is a probability calculation?
For the purpose of this video, we consider a simple probability calculation
π‘ƒπ‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘π‘Žπ‘π‘–π‘™π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ =
π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ
π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ
π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ ≀ π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ
Denominator: Three possibilities
Zero: The calculation is infinite
Infinite (or approaching infinite): The calculation is zero (or approaching zero)
Some number representing the possible base range
Numerator: Three possibilities
Zero: The calculation is zero
Some number less than the denominator
Equal to the denominator: The calculation is one
Denominator
Numerator
Two Questions to Ask
How did you establish the denominator
How did you establish the numerator
π‘ƒπ‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘π‘Žπ‘π‘–π‘™π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ =
π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ
π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ
Denominator
Numerator
Thanks!
Linked In
@marktaborg
Mark Tabladillo
Atlanta, GA

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Analyzing fine tuning probability calculations

  • 1. Analyzing Fine Tuning Probability Calculations Mark Tabladillo Ph.D. December 19, 2014 @marktaborg
  • 2. Introduction Some fine tuning arguments include probability calculations This presentation breaks down the questions to ask the original scientists about how they calculated their probabilities
  • 3. What is a probability calculation? For the purpose of this video, we consider a simple probability calculation π‘ƒπ‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘π‘Žπ‘π‘–π‘™π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ = π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ ≀ π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ
  • 4. Denominator: Three possibilities Zero: The calculation is infinite Infinite (or approaching infinite): The calculation is zero (or approaching zero) Some number representing the possible base range
  • 5. Numerator: Three possibilities Zero: The calculation is zero Some number less than the denominator Equal to the denominator: The calculation is one Denominator Numerator
  • 6. Two Questions to Ask How did you establish the denominator How did you establish the numerator π‘ƒπ‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘π‘Žπ‘π‘–π‘™π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ = π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ Denominator Numerator