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Prez epfl

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Prez epfl

  1. 1. Analysing completion rates of the first French xMOOC
  2. 2. Summary MOOC Description and Demographics Understanding Completion Rates Predicting Completion Rates EPFL– 12 February 2014
  3. 3. MOOC Description and Demographics One MOOC, three tracks A Centrale Lille MOOC, with many partners Platform : Canvas.net, 5 weeks (March-April 2013) Basic Statistics • 3485 signed in for the spring edition • 74.3% of them took part in the initial survey EPFL– 12 February 2014
  4. 4. MOOC Description and Demographics One MOOC, three tracks Auditing • • • 1h30 of video/week Forums Social Networks Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Exam and quizz deadlines Basic Certificate • • • Weekly Quizzes Final Exam ~ 2 hours of work /week Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Assignment deadline Advanced Certificate • • • Quizzes and Final exam 4 Peer-assessed assignments ~ 10 hours of work /week Peer evaluation EPFL– 12 February 2014
  5. 5. MOOC Description and Demographics MOOC Demographics > Learners’ Background Gender Employment status 6.5 14.3 In Management positions 32.2 Employees Masculine 67.8 52.2 13.7 Unemployed Students Feminine Others 13.4 Human Development Index 24% Very High High 5% 4% Medium 67% Low EPFL– 12 February 2014
  6. 6. Understanding Completion Rates Achievements vs. Objectives Learners’ achievements Basic Certificate Advanced Certificate No-show 26% Non-completers Learners’ intentions (initial survey) 49% 12% 26% 45% 13% Advanced Certificate Basic Certificate Score = Achievements - Objectives 43% Unsure or not interested by a certificate 29% 43% Null Score Positive Score 14% Negative Score EPFL– 12 February 2014
  7. 7. Understanding Completion Rates Analyzing Learners’ constraints Less than 2 hours Time constraints Between 2 and 4 hours 9% 26% Technical issues 16% Between 4 and 6 hours Skills More than 6 hours 24% 22% 62% 41% How much time do you intend to spend weekly for the MOOC ? What was your main constraint (2nd edition of the MOOC) ? • Lack of time seems to be one of the most important limiting factors for most learners EPFL– 12 February 2014
  8. 8. Understanding Completion Rates Achievements, Constraints and Objectives 2= Achievement 191, p < 0.001 400 350 Number of participants 2= NC : Non Completer BC : Basic Certificate AC : Advanced Certificate 300 < 2 hours 250 2-4 hours 200 4-6 hours 150 > 6 hours 100 Objective 193, p < 0.001 BC : Basic Certificate AC : Advanced Certificate NT: No Target or unsure 500 450 Number of participants 450 400 350 300 AC 250 BC 200 NT 150 100 50 50 0 0 NC BC AC Achievement vs. Time constraints NC BC AC Achievement vs. Initial Objectives • Time constraints and learners’ initial objectives are among the best predictors • Strong influence of employment status, experience in project management EPFL– 12 February 2014
  9. 9. Understanding Completion Rates Achievement score and learner’s background 800 2= Human Development Index 307, p < 0.001 Low 700 800 2= 31, p < 0.001 700 Medium or high 600 Very high 500 600 Male 500 400 Female 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 0 0 Negative Null Positive Negative Null Positive • Strong impact of Human Development Index on achievements (Lower Score for low HDI) • Men tend to overestimate their abilities compared to women EPFL– 12 February 2014
  10. 10. Predicting Completion Rates Learners forum activity : views vs. post Number of discussion threads viewed Number of posts • Most learners use forums, very few actually post • Is forum activity a good predictor for completion ? EPFL– 12 February 2014
  11. 11. Predicting Completion Rates Completion vs. Forum activity and involvment in peer assessment At the scale of the MOOC 2000 2= In the advanced track only 500 498, p < 0.001 2= 146, p < 0.001 NC 1600 BC NC 400 BC AC AC 1200 300 800 200 400 100 0 0 One post or more No post Achievement vs. Posting in the forum No evaluation Evaluation Achievement vs. Participation in peer assessment • Learners active in forums are way more likely to complete the course • Learners who do not take part in the peer assessment process won’t complete the advanced track EPFL– 12 February 2014
  12. 12. Conclusion • Most learners came from high HDI countries, and were in management positions • 38% of registered participants obtained a certificate, 57% reached or exceeded their objectives • Lack of time seems to be the main constraint for most participants • Human Development Index has a strong influence on achievement (completion, and score) • Forum activity and involvment in peer assessment are good predictors of completion EPFL– 12 February 2014

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