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Dr. Manu CARRICANO
Director Pricing Center, EADA Business School
Director Research, Pricing Solutions Europe
THE RULE OF ALL RULES:
“PRICING IS HIGHLY REWARDING”
Jan’00/Jun’11 analysis by
+ 90% (2000 – 2011)
+50% (2008 – 2011)
S&P 500 vs Pricing Virtuosos Weighted Index
Source: Compustat, F500 & S&P 500
Pluralitas non est ponenda sine
necessitate
Plurality must never be posited
without necessity
William of Ockham
What is a rule?
SET
CONNECT
LEARN
SET
CONNECT
LEARN
Rule #1:
“Garbage in,
Garbage out”
 Transactional Data
 Customer Data
 Product Data
Transactional Must Have Data
• Invoice Number/ Lines – Unique
identification Number
• Time (Year, month, day, time, etc.)
• Volume (Quantity)
• Price
• Levers
Customer Must Have Data
• Customer number - Unique number
for each Customer
• Customer Name
• Segments (transactional)
• Geography (Country, Region, City, etc.)
• Related KPIs
Product Must Have Data
• Product Number - Unique number for
each Product
• Product Name
• Segments (transactional)
• Brand
• Category
Start With Must Have Data…
… But do not forget scalability
ERP
Research
Socio-
Market
Data
CRM
+
+
Data from Pricing Optimization:
• Predefined Calibrated Scenarios
• Optimal SO & Net Price points
• Competitive & Market Disruption
Intelligence
Transactional Pricing Analytics
Data from Value-Based Analytics:
• Behavioral Segmentation
• Value Perception / Utilities
• Premium/ Elasticity / Market Response
Rule #2:
“Granularity+Segmentation
= Visibility”
.
.
. . .
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Segmentation is Key
Rule #3 :
“Describe patterns to create awareness”
What do you see?
$
%
Different segments,
different conditions
$
%
$
%
What should we see?
What should we see?
$
%
Corridor Sell-out /
Mini Net Price
Sell-out vs
Mini Net Price
Trade-offs
Elasticity vs demand response curve accuracy
Optimal Price
Polynomial Regression (degree 6)
Q
P
SET
CONNECT
LEARN
Calibration:
linking estimated price points to oberved price points
Premium
Premium
%VolumeatRisk%VolumeatRisk
Scenarios:
Relate an optimal value at a certain stage
with dependent actions to be taken
Optimal
Condition 2
Optimal
Cost of Sales
Decided Sell-Out
Optimal
Condition 1
Optimal
Net Price
COGS
Gross Margin
Z(Profitability)
Optimization:
Identification of winning scenario among mutually
exclusive / conjointly exhaustive options available
SET
CONNECT
LEARN
Rule #6 :
“You can’t manage what you don’t measure”
Learn from controlled experiments:
Execution as a source of data for optimization
Learn how to track & document disruptions:
Variance analysis is at the heart of Pricing
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
-250
-125
0
125
250
375
500
625
750
875
1000
Consolidated Crop Commodity Price Index ($/ton) BR Price variance without Gly (%)
SYN Price variance without BR and Gly (%)
t
Price Commodity Index
Price Variance BU 1
Price Variance BU 2
Learn about your own Pricing Power:
Relate Environmental disruptions to predefined scenarios
Pricing Power is a copyrighted tool from
Learn how to Track Performance:
Pricing Dashboards as a key element of change
ProfitabilityVolume
Gross Profit Margin
Net Profit
Margin
YTD Profit
Gross Profit Margin
Net Profit
Margin
$
Sales
Variance
Gross Sales
Variance
Net Sales Variance
Price
Variance
Gross Price
Variance
Net Price Variance
Pocket
Margin
Variance
Other
MS
Mix
Variance
SoW
Sales Effectiveness
Premium
Price
Volume
Elasticity
Efficiency
ROI
Pricing
Power
Brand Equity
Competitiveness
Pricing
Leadership
Relative COGS
As a Wrap Up…
SET
LEARN
CONNECT
#3
Patterns
#6 Control
mcarricano@eada.edu
mcarricano@pricingsolutions-eu.com
@mcarricano

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Manu carricano gpes berlin 2013 ppt

  • 1. Dr. Manu CARRICANO Director Pricing Center, EADA Business School Director Research, Pricing Solutions Europe
  • 2. THE RULE OF ALL RULES: “PRICING IS HIGHLY REWARDING” Jan’00/Jun’11 analysis by + 90% (2000 – 2011) +50% (2008 – 2011) S&P 500 vs Pricing Virtuosos Weighted Index Source: Compustat, F500 & S&P 500
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Pluralitas non est ponenda sine necessitate Plurality must never be posited without necessity William of Ockham
  • 6. What is a rule?
  • 7.
  • 11.  Transactional Data  Customer Data  Product Data Transactional Must Have Data • Invoice Number/ Lines – Unique identification Number • Time (Year, month, day, time, etc.) • Volume (Quantity) • Price • Levers Customer Must Have Data • Customer number - Unique number for each Customer • Customer Name • Segments (transactional) • Geography (Country, Region, City, etc.) • Related KPIs Product Must Have Data • Product Number - Unique number for each Product • Product Name • Segments (transactional) • Brand • Category Start With Must Have Data…
  • 12. … But do not forget scalability ERP Research Socio- Market Data CRM + + Data from Pricing Optimization: • Predefined Calibrated Scenarios • Optimal SO & Net Price points • Competitive & Market Disruption Intelligence Transactional Pricing Analytics Data from Value-Based Analytics: • Behavioral Segmentation • Value Perception / Utilities • Premium/ Elasticity / Market Response
  • 15. Rule #3 : “Describe patterns to create awareness”
  • 16. What do you see? $ %
  • 18. $ %
  • 20. What should we see? $ % Corridor Sell-out / Mini Net Price Sell-out vs Mini Net Price Trade-offs
  • 21.
  • 22. Elasticity vs demand response curve accuracy Optimal Price Polynomial Regression (degree 6) Q P
  • 24.
  • 25. Calibration: linking estimated price points to oberved price points Premium Premium %VolumeatRisk%VolumeatRisk
  • 26. Scenarios: Relate an optimal value at a certain stage with dependent actions to be taken Optimal Condition 2 Optimal Cost of Sales Decided Sell-Out Optimal Condition 1 Optimal Net Price COGS Gross Margin
  • 27. Z(Profitability) Optimization: Identification of winning scenario among mutually exclusive / conjointly exhaustive options available
  • 29. Rule #6 : “You can’t manage what you don’t measure”
  • 30. Learn from controlled experiments: Execution as a source of data for optimization
  • 31. Learn how to track & document disruptions: Variance analysis is at the heart of Pricing -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% -250 -125 0 125 250 375 500 625 750 875 1000 Consolidated Crop Commodity Price Index ($/ton) BR Price variance without Gly (%) SYN Price variance without BR and Gly (%) t Price Commodity Index Price Variance BU 1 Price Variance BU 2
  • 32. Learn about your own Pricing Power: Relate Environmental disruptions to predefined scenarios Pricing Power is a copyrighted tool from
  • 33. Learn how to Track Performance: Pricing Dashboards as a key element of change ProfitabilityVolume Gross Profit Margin Net Profit Margin YTD Profit Gross Profit Margin Net Profit Margin $ Sales Variance Gross Sales Variance Net Sales Variance Price Variance Gross Price Variance Net Price Variance Pocket Margin Variance Other MS Mix Variance SoW Sales Effectiveness Premium Price Volume Elasticity Efficiency ROI Pricing Power Brand Equity Competitiveness Pricing Leadership Relative COGS
  • 34. As a Wrap Up…