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Organizational Learning
When Things Go Wrong
Matthew Graham
@lapsu #SHV16
BS CompEng 2000
http://www.etsy.com
SILICON HAPPY VALLEY 2016
2
Pilot
Operator
Human Error
3
4
5
Old View vs. New View
TAKEAWAYS
6
Old View vs. New View
TAKEAWAYS
Drawbacks
Symptoms
7
Old View vs. New View
TAKEAWAYS
Drawbacks
Symptoms
Approaches
Benefits
8
Organizational Learning
Healthy Culture
Path to Resilience
NEW VIEW BENEFITS
9
SECTION 1
Old View vs. New View
10
What is “Human Error”?
Why do humans make errors?
What to do when errors are made?
11
What is “Human Error”?
12
OLD VIEW
Systems are Reliable
People are Unreliable
1414
15
Human Error
is a Symptom
NEW VIEW
1616
Dead BatteryDead Battery
1717
Indicator BellIndicator Bell
1818
Auto OfAuto Of
19
Why do humans make errors?
20
OLD VIEW
Because They're
Bad Humans
2121
“What did they do wrong?”
2222
A Bad Apple
at Work
A Bad Apple
at Work
23
People Want
To Succeed
NEW VIEW
24
People Have Reasons:
Tools, Tasks, Situation
NEW VIEW
25
“What was the reason
for taking that action?”
NEW VIEW
26
What to do when errors are made?
27
OLD VIEW: WHAT TO DO WHEN ERRORS ARE MADE?
Mistakes Have
Consequences
28
Errors Are
Opportunity
NEW VIEW: WHAT TO DO WHEN ERRORS ARE MADE?
29
SECTION 2
Analyzing Failure
1) Identify Symptoms of Old View
2) Replace with New View Approaches
30
SYMPTOM OF OLD VIEW
Retrospection
31
See Sequence of Events in Reverse
Discount Other Possible Outcome
Perspective of Many Individuals
Knowledge of Outcome
RETROSPECTION
32
OUTCOME BIAS
Judging actions more harshly
once the outcome is known
3333
A Pitcher
Catching
Fly Balls?
A Pitcher
Catching
Fly Balls?
34
HINDSIGHT BIAS
Judge a past outcome as
predictable/knowable/obvious
3636
ForesightForesight
36
HindsightHindsight
37
Hindsight Foresight≠
38
Review Events in Order
Available Info Only
NEW VIEW: RETROSPECTION
3939
39
Too Close to the IslandToo Close to the Island
40
Schettino told the trial that it was common for
captains to take their ships close to islands in
order to provide a spectacle for passengers.
- The Telegraph
4141
Make Sure
Nothing Bad
Happens Ever
Make Sure
Nothing Bad
Happens Ever
Make $Make $
NEW VIEW: BALANCING BUSINESS PRIORITIES
4343
Meeting
Deadlines?
Meeting
Deadlines?
4444
Upon
Failure?
Upon
Failure?
45
Procedures Practice≠
NEW VIEW: PROCEDURAL ADAPTATIONS
46
'Embarrassing human error'
knocks out Telstra mobile data
and calls nation-wide
CNET HEADLINE 2016-02-16
48
OLD VIEW: BLAME
"We took that node down, unfortunately the
individual that was managing that issue did not
follow the correct procedure, and he
reconnected the customers to the
malfunctioning node, rather than transferring
them to the nine other redundant nodes that
he should have transferred people to."
49
Why didn't individual follow procedure?
Does anyone ever follow procedure?
Did individual know of procedure?
NEW VIEW
50
COUNTERFACTUALS AKA
Shoulda
Coulda
Woulda
51
SUBJUNCTIVE
Subjunctive forms of verbs are typically used to
express various states of unreality
52
OLD VIEW: COUNTERFACTUALS
"We took that node down, unfortunately the
individual that was managing that issue did not
follow the correct procedure, and he
reconnected the customers to the
malfunctioning node, rather than transferring
them to the nine other redundant nodes that
he should have transferred people to."
53
Whatever happened
is what happened
NEW VIEW
54
Why is that what happened?
NEW VIEW
56
Assume Good Intentions
Look to Individual for Info
Look to System for Problems
NEW VIEW: TELSTRA
57
Recovery took 3 hours;
what caused delays?
NEW VIEW: TELSTRA
58
OLD VIEW: BAD APPLE “SOLUTION”
"While this work is under way, Telstra
Operations has a heightened awareness plan,
including executive-level review of any
changes planned for our mobile and core IP
networks.” - Telstra COO
61
SECTION 3
Response to Error
62
SYMPTOM OF OLD VIEW
Justice
64
OLD VIEW: PUNSHMENT
Stop Hearing
About Errors
65
Punishment XOR Learning
66
Learning and Resilience:
New View Benefits
NEW VIEW: RESPONSE
6767
Share Failure Experience
Leadership Too
68
Individual Errs
Organization Learns
NEW VIEW: LEARNING
69
Errors identified sooner?
Faster recovery?
System provide correct action?
Redundancy?
NEW VIEW: RESILIENCE
70
Less Process & Approval
Work Without Obstruction
TRUST IN SUCCESS CONTEXT
71
SUMMARY
Identify Symptoms of Old View
Apply New View Approaches
Learn as an Organization
Improve Resilience
7272
References
The Field Guide to Understanding 'Human Error', Sidney Dekker
http://samnewman.io/blog/2016/02/10/telstra_outage/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/italy/11267617/C
osta-Concordia-captain-saluted-Giglio-to-impress-ships-waiter-ex-
captain-and-passengers.html
The Challenger Launch Decision, Diane Vaughan
http://www.cnet.com/au/news/telstra-outage-knocks-out-mobile-
data-and-voice-calls-nationally/
73
Questions?
THANK YOU
Matthew Graham
@lapsu
BS CompEng 2000
http://www.etsy.com

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Organizational Learning When Things Go Wrong