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     m*"y#J,_9#1*.                                                                                      ft
            ffi       Find probabilities of compound eventa.

                       Vocabulary
                        The rmion or intersection two eventsis called a compound event.
                                                 of
                        Two eventsareoverlapping ifthey haveone or more outcomesin
                        common.
                        Two eventsaredisjoin! or nutually exclusive,if they haveno
                        outcomes common.
                                in



      ffiAEEE Find probability of disioint events
                      d card is randomly s€lected from a standard deck of 52 Gards.What is
                      the probability that it is a 5 or an ace?
                      Let eventI be selectinga 5 andeventB be selectingan ace.I has4 outcomes
                                                                                            and
                      B has4 outcomes. Because andB aredisjoint, the probability is:
                                                I

                      P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) : 52 ', L : a = sz- n r s a
                                                ^ 52 Z 13


      mf|sf|          Find probability of overlapping events
                      A card is randomly selected from a standard deck of 52 cards. l,lfhat is
                      the probability that it is a club or a 3?                                          E
                                                                                                 and
                       Let eventI be selectinga club and eventB be selectinga 3. I has 13 outcomes
                      . has4 outcomes. these,I outcomeis commonto I andB. fiie probability of
                                        Of
                       -B                                                                               =
                       selecting club ora3 is:
                                a

                       PA B): P(A)P(B)P(Aand E + - + : E : fr = o.:os
                         or       +   -     :
                                           B)
                                               -                                                        -
                                                                                                        '.4
                                                                                                        .=
       rcr{rdffifl Use a formula to find PIA and Bl
                       Given P(Al = o.3, P(8) = O-72' and HA or Et = O.6, find P(A and al'               =
                                                                                                         E
                        P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B - P(A nd B           write gbneral
                                                                                  formula.
                                                                                                         o
                             0.6: 0.3+ 0.72- P(A and
                                                   B)                  Substituteknown probabilities.
                       P(A and' : 0.42
                              B)                                       Solvefor P(l andB).               o
                                                                                                         .g)

                       Exercises for Examples 1, 2, and 3
                       A card is randomly selected from a standard deck of 52 Gards' Find the
                       probability of the given event.
                         1. Selectinga queenor a 4                  2. Selecting spade a 5
                                                                               a     or
                                                                                                        u
                   3. FindP(,4andB) whenP(l) : 0.25,P(B) : 0.40,andP(A orB) : 0.55.
     A|gebra
           2
44   ChaoterResource
          10     Book
i:q1i*n6:1{i?99rit49{6!-r:
                                                                                                                                l'   -


        Name                                                            Date



         PJ"Y#J"
e f- -r'.'i-l F,:i!*"'"'0""0
          ffi       Find probabilities of oomplements
                                                   thereare36 possibleoutcomes'Find the
                    When two six-sideddice arero11e4
                    probability of the given went.
                     a. The sumis lessthan or equalto 3.                        ,
                     b. The sumis greaterthan 3.

                    Solution
                     a. The outcomes which the sumis lessthan or equalto 3 are
                                      for
                         (1,r),Q ,1),and(1 , 2 ).
                         P(sum 3) : 36: i-
                              <            0'083

                      b. P(sum>3)= I - P(sum(3)
                                  _ .t l
                                    r_T
                                        1t
                                        12

                                     - 0.917

           ffiffi    Use a comPlement in real life
 I                   Annual Salary A university conducted nationalresearch
                     desrees. Fromthe research
                                                              a                 studyofrecipients of PhD
                                                 data,the universitydetermined the probability that
                                                                               that
                     thie recipientshad annualsalaries            of
                                                         in excess $95,000   was 0'834' What is the
                     protaUility that a recipientftom the stuclyhad an annualsalaryof $95,000or less?
 E
                     Solution
                     The probability that a recipienthad an annualsalaryof $95,000or lessis the
 =                                                                                        of
                     complement oithe went that a recipienthad an annualsalaryin excess $95'000'
                                     :            >
                     P(salary $95,000) I - P(salary $95,000)
                            <
 x
                                     : 1 - 0.834
 '..>
   a                                     = 0.166

                     Exercises for ExamPles 4 and 5
 =
                     Find RA).
                      4. P(A) = 0.63                             5. P(l): *
 @
                       6. P('4): o'45                            7. P(A):0.0e

                       8. ln Example5 if the probability that the recipientsof PhD degreeshad annuat
                          salaries excess
                                 in        of$95,000was0.668,      whatis theprobabilitythat a recipient
                          ftom the studyhad an annualsalaryof $95,000or less?



                                                                                                Algebra2
                                                                                                    Book
                                                                                      Chapter Resource
                                                                                           10                             45
Name


         W|f.T"y,*,v,
                  -G,:liA"
                                                                                                                       s
                                                       events'
                 GEEEI Eiamine independentand dependent

                           Vocabulary
                                                                                      effect on
                            Two eventsareindepenilent if the occurrence onehasno
                                                                        of
                            the occurrencb the other'
                                          of
                                                                                     ofone
                            Two events andB are ilependent eventsif the occurrence
                                       I
                            affectsthe occurrenceofthe other'
                                                                                   is called the
                            The probabiliWthat B wiil occw giventhatI hasoccurred
                                                                                      A)'
                             conditionalprobability of B given'4 andis writtenasPB I




           f f iFindp r o b a b i | i t y o f t h r e e in d e p e n d e n te ve n ts
                                                                                 of 52 Gards' Each
                          Kenesha, Sue, and Juan each have a standard deck
                                     card from his or her d€ck. Find the probability that they each
                          lir*"
                          draw a  " heart.
                                                                              eventsareindependent'
                          Let events B, and C be eachpersondrawinga heart'The
                                     l,
                          so the probabilitYis:
                                                               = rrtl
                                   andQ: P (A) ' P ( B ) ' P ( c ) i' i'
                           P (A ardB                                           i: A : o ' o t t u
                                                                                                                       I

           ffi             Find a conditional Probability.
                                                                          a red card second from a
                           Find the probability that you randomly select                     a heart'
                           si.iaara'ae"f of 52 cards given that the first Gard selected was
                           Solution
                                                  Number of red cards remaining in the deck
                           P(red cardI heart) : T.rTtal
                                                     numberof         remainingin the deck
                                                                 "urds
                                               =fr - o.+eo

                            Exercises for ExamPles 1 and 2
                                                                                                              first
                              r. e ruir      l. tossedtwice. what is the probability of getting a tail on the
                                        "oin
                                 toss,andof gettinga headon the second       toss?
                                                                                             that eachtossis a tail'
                              2. Rich, Amy, and Joeeachtossa coin' Find the probability
                                                                                             second from a
                              3. Find the probability that you randon y selecta facecard
                                           ae"t of 5i cartli given that tle first cardselectedwas ajack'
                                  stuoaa.a

                                                                                                                       e
                2
          Algehra
    54    Chapter       Book
                10Resource
-
Name


     ,a I f'F-l
              f,,,*ig#, ",,',,,"0
                    f;1t)ie
           mEEEtrI Gomparilg indeRendentand dependentevents
                         You randomly select two cards from a standard deck of 52 cards,
                                                                                             Find
                         the probability that the first card is a diamond and the second card
                                                                                               is
                         nofa spade if (a) you replace the first card before selecting the second
                         card, and (bl you do nof replace the first card.
                         Letl be "the fust cardis a diamond,'andB
                                                                be..thesecond
                                                                            cardis nol a spade.,,
                           a. With replacement, probability of drawinga diamond,andthen
                                              the
                              zot drawinga spadeis:
                              p(A B) p(A). :
                                and=    p(B')
                                             E. # : i. i :ft - o.raa
                          b. Without replacement, probability of drawinga diamond,and
                                                the
                             thenro, dmwinga spade is:
                              p (AandB): p(Bl: g.#:
                                     p(A).
                                                                       i .#: ffi - o.rso
           Hf.fitl{rfi   Solve a multi-step problem
                         FocusTesting A companyfocustestsa nev/proteinbar.The focus grotp ts 52o/o
                         male. Of the malesin the group60% saidthat they would buy the protein bar, and of
                         the females,460lo that they would buy the proteinbar Find the probability that a
                                          said
                         randomlyselected  personwould buy the proteinbar.
                         Solution
                         A probabilitiy tree diagramcanhelp you solvethe problem.Notice that the
     E
                         probabilitiesfor all branches
                                                     from the samepoint must sumto 1.
                                                                                   Event C: will buy bar


                                                                                   EventD: will not buy bar

                                                                                   Event C: will buy bar
     '6


                                                                                   Event D: will not buy bar

                         P(will buy proteinbar) : P(A and C) + P(B andA
     6
                                               : P(A).P(clA) p@). {clB)
                                                            +
'o
                                               : (0.s2X0.60)
                                                          + (0.48X0.46)
                                                                    - 0.533
     @

                         Exercises for Examples 3 and 4
                         Find the probability of drawing the given cards from a standard deck of
                         52 cards (a) with replacement and (b) without replacement.
                          4. A heart,then a club                   5. A nine, then a three
                          6, In Example4, find the probability that a personwould buy the protein bar, if
                             78%ofthe malesand82%ofthe females theywouldbuy theproteinbar.
                                                                       said

                                                                                        ,n.0,.,
                                                                                            ror.,filnili"ri
                                                                                                          55
Name


      aE                91"y,..9,v-.F,,*1$.
                  ru      Studyprobabilitydistributions.

                            Vocabulary
                            A random variable is a variablewhosevalue is determined the
                                                                                  by
                            outcomes a randomevent.
                                    of
                            A probability distribution is a f,rnctionthat givesthe probability of
                            eachpossiblevalue of a randomvariable.
                            A binomial distribution shows probabilities
                                                        the           ofthe outcomes a
                                                                                   of
                            binomial experiment.
                            A binomial experimenthasn independent    trials, hasonly two
                            oulcomes(success failure) for eachtrial, andthe probability for
                                             or
                            success thesame each
                                   is         for   trial-
                            A probability distribution symmetricifa verticalline canbe drawn
                                                      is
                            to dividethe histogram two partsthataremirror images.
                                                   into
                            A distribution that is not symmetricis called skewed.


            f{.f{|lEf     Gonstruct a probab i I ity distri bution
       I                  Let Xbe a random variable that represents the number of questions
                          that students answered correctly on a quiz with three questions. Make
                          a table and a histogram showing the probability distlibution for X,
      E                   Thepossible valuesofXare theintegers0,1,2,and3. Thetableshows numberof
                                                                                      the
      .s                  possibleoutcomes P(X).
                                           and
      E




      .2
      .=


      =


            En4Writ.:fllnterpret a probability distribution
      @
                         Use the probability distribution in Example 1 to find the probability
      .9
                         that a student enswers a! leas! twe qrestiens correctly.
                          The probability that a student answersat least tvo questions correctly is:
                          P(x>z): P(x:2) + P(x: 3)
                         _?1Ll
                               = ; * 8 : g : t:o s


                                                                                                        Algebra2
                                                                                              Chapter Besource
                                                                                                   10       Book   65
---
Name


         f;;;ie' " a
[TbrlP-."y,*,y" ",'t,,
             Exercises for Examples 1 and 2
              1. Use the datato constructa probability distributiontable and a histogram
                 showingthe probability distribution for X, a randomvariablethat represents
                 the numberof cell phones household.
                                          per




              2. What is the probability that a household at leasttwo cell phones?
                                                        has

  ruWnm Constructa binomialdistribution
             A binomial experiment consists of n = 3 trials
             with probability O.4 of buccess on €ach tria!.
             Draw a histogram of the binomial distribution
             that shows the probability of exactly k successes.
             p(k: o)                 : 0.216
                     - 3co(0.4)o(0.6)3
             P(k: 1): 3C{0.4)t(0.6)2 :0.432
                                   :
             P(k : 2): 3c2(0.4)2(0.o10.288
                                : o.oo+
             P(k: 3): .q10.+f1o.o1o

  rulHttll   Interpret and classify a binomial 4istribution
                                                                                              E
              a. What is the leastlikely outcomefor the binomial distribution rn
                                                                                              .E
                 Example  3?
              b. What is the probability when ft : 1 in Example3?
              c. Describethe shapeof the binomial distributionin Example3.

             Solution                                                                         -
                                                                                              .9
              a. The leastlikely outcomeis the valueofft for which P(ft) is
                 smallest.  This probdbility is smallestfor /c: 3.                            =
              b. Theprobability   whent : I is 0.432.
                                                                                              =
              c- The distributionis skewed    because is not symmetricaboutany
                                                      it                                      6
                 vertical line.                                                               o


             Exercises for Examples 3 and 4                                                   @

             ln Excic:se3 3-5 ..:eethe fo!!cur!.9 infcrmelien. -l- binonria! expeiiment
             consists of n = 4 trials with probability o.1 of success on each trial.
              3. Constructa binomial distributionthat showsthe probability of exactlyft
                 successes drawa histogramof the distribution.
                          and
              4- Find the most likely outcome.
              5. Describethe shaoe the binomial distribution.
                                  of
Algebra
      2
ChapterResource
     10     Book

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Find probabilities of compound, overlapping, and disjoint events

  • 1. Name m*"y#J,_9#1*. ft ffi Find probabilities of compound eventa. Vocabulary The rmion or intersection two eventsis called a compound event. of Two eventsareoverlapping ifthey haveone or more outcomesin common. Two eventsaredisjoin! or nutually exclusive,if they haveno outcomes common. in ffiAEEE Find probability of disioint events d card is randomly s€lected from a standard deck of 52 Gards.What is the probability that it is a 5 or an ace? Let eventI be selectinga 5 andeventB be selectingan ace.I has4 outcomes and B has4 outcomes. Because andB aredisjoint, the probability is: I P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) : 52 ', L : a = sz- n r s a ^ 52 Z 13 mf|sf| Find probability of overlapping events A card is randomly selected from a standard deck of 52 cards. l,lfhat is the probability that it is a club or a 3? E and Let eventI be selectinga club and eventB be selectinga 3. I has 13 outcomes . has4 outcomes. these,I outcomeis commonto I andB. fiie probability of Of -B = selecting club ora3 is: a PA B): P(A)P(B)P(Aand E + - + : E : fr = o.:os or + - : B) - - '.4 .= rcr{rdffifl Use a formula to find PIA and Bl Given P(Al = o.3, P(8) = O-72' and HA or Et = O.6, find P(A and al' = E P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B - P(A nd B write gbneral formula. o 0.6: 0.3+ 0.72- P(A and B) Substituteknown probabilities. P(A and' : 0.42 B) Solvefor P(l andB). o .g) Exercises for Examples 1, 2, and 3 A card is randomly selected from a standard deck of 52 Gards' Find the probability of the given event. 1. Selectinga queenor a 4 2. Selecting spade a 5 a or u 3. FindP(,4andB) whenP(l) : 0.25,P(B) : 0.40,andP(A orB) : 0.55. A|gebra 2 44 ChaoterResource 10 Book
  • 2. i:q1i*n6:1{i?99rit49{6!-r: l' - Name Date PJ"Y#J" e f- -r'.'i-l F,:i!*"'"'0""0 ffi Find probabilities of oomplements thereare36 possibleoutcomes'Find the When two six-sideddice arero11e4 probability of the given went. a. The sumis lessthan or equalto 3. , b. The sumis greaterthan 3. Solution a. The outcomes which the sumis lessthan or equalto 3 are for (1,r),Q ,1),and(1 , 2 ). P(sum 3) : 36: i- < 0'083 b. P(sum>3)= I - P(sum(3) _ .t l r_T 1t 12 - 0.917 ffiffi Use a comPlement in real life I Annual Salary A university conducted nationalresearch desrees. Fromthe research a studyofrecipients of PhD data,the universitydetermined the probability that that thie recipientshad annualsalaries of in excess $95,000 was 0'834' What is the protaUility that a recipientftom the stuclyhad an annualsalaryof $95,000or less? E Solution The probability that a recipienthad an annualsalaryof $95,000or lessis the = of complement oithe went that a recipienthad an annualsalaryin excess $95'000' : > P(salary $95,000) I - P(salary $95,000) < x : 1 - 0.834 '..> a = 0.166 Exercises for ExamPles 4 and 5 = Find RA). 4. P(A) = 0.63 5. P(l): * @ 6. P('4): o'45 7. P(A):0.0e 8. ln Example5 if the probability that the recipientsof PhD degreeshad annuat salaries excess in of$95,000was0.668, whatis theprobabilitythat a recipient ftom the studyhad an annualsalaryof $95,000or less? Algebra2 Book Chapter Resource 10 45
  • 3. Name W|f.T"y,*,v, -G,:liA" s events' GEEEI Eiamine independentand dependent Vocabulary effect on Two eventsareindepenilent if the occurrence onehasno of the occurrencb the other' of ofone Two events andB are ilependent eventsif the occurrence I affectsthe occurrenceofthe other' is called the The probabiliWthat B wiil occw giventhatI hasoccurred A)' conditionalprobability of B given'4 andis writtenasPB I f f iFindp r o b a b i | i t y o f t h r e e in d e p e n d e n te ve n ts of 52 Gards' Each Kenesha, Sue, and Juan each have a standard deck card from his or her d€ck. Find the probability that they each lir*" draw a " heart. eventsareindependent' Let events B, and C be eachpersondrawinga heart'The l, so the probabilitYis: = rrtl andQ: P (A) ' P ( B ) ' P ( c ) i' i' P (A ardB i: A : o ' o t t u I ffi Find a conditional Probability. a red card second from a Find the probability that you randomly select a heart' si.iaara'ae"f of 52 cards given that the first Gard selected was Solution Number of red cards remaining in the deck P(red cardI heart) : T.rTtal numberof remainingin the deck "urds =fr - o.+eo Exercises for ExamPles 1 and 2 first r. e ruir l. tossedtwice. what is the probability of getting a tail on the "oin toss,andof gettinga headon the second toss? that eachtossis a tail' 2. Rich, Amy, and Joeeachtossa coin' Find the probability second from a 3. Find the probability that you randon y selecta facecard ae"t of 5i cartli given that tle first cardselectedwas ajack' stuoaa.a e 2 Algehra 54 Chapter Book 10Resource -
  • 4. Name ,a I f'F-l f,,,*ig#, ",,',,,"0 f;1t)ie mEEEtrI Gomparilg indeRendentand dependentevents You randomly select two cards from a standard deck of 52 cards, Find the probability that the first card is a diamond and the second card is nofa spade if (a) you replace the first card before selecting the second card, and (bl you do nof replace the first card. Letl be "the fust cardis a diamond,'andB be..thesecond cardis nol a spade.,, a. With replacement, probability of drawinga diamond,andthen the zot drawinga spadeis: p(A B) p(A). : and= p(B') E. # : i. i :ft - o.raa b. Without replacement, probability of drawinga diamond,and the thenro, dmwinga spade is: p (AandB): p(Bl: g.#: p(A). i .#: ffi - o.rso Hf.fitl{rfi Solve a multi-step problem FocusTesting A companyfocustestsa nev/proteinbar.The focus grotp ts 52o/o male. Of the malesin the group60% saidthat they would buy the protein bar, and of the females,460lo that they would buy the proteinbar Find the probability that a said randomlyselected personwould buy the proteinbar. Solution A probabilitiy tree diagramcanhelp you solvethe problem.Notice that the E probabilitiesfor all branches from the samepoint must sumto 1. Event C: will buy bar EventD: will not buy bar Event C: will buy bar '6 Event D: will not buy bar P(will buy proteinbar) : P(A and C) + P(B andA 6 : P(A).P(clA) p@). {clB) + 'o : (0.s2X0.60) + (0.48X0.46) - 0.533 @ Exercises for Examples 3 and 4 Find the probability of drawing the given cards from a standard deck of 52 cards (a) with replacement and (b) without replacement. 4. A heart,then a club 5. A nine, then a three 6, In Example4, find the probability that a personwould buy the protein bar, if 78%ofthe malesand82%ofthe females theywouldbuy theproteinbar. said ,n.0,., ror.,filnili"ri 55
  • 5. Name aE 91"y,..9,v-.F,,*1$. ru Studyprobabilitydistributions. Vocabulary A random variable is a variablewhosevalue is determined the by outcomes a randomevent. of A probability distribution is a f,rnctionthat givesthe probability of eachpossiblevalue of a randomvariable. A binomial distribution shows probabilities the ofthe outcomes a of binomial experiment. A binomial experimenthasn independent trials, hasonly two oulcomes(success failure) for eachtrial, andthe probability for or success thesame each is for trial- A probability distribution symmetricifa verticalline canbe drawn is to dividethe histogram two partsthataremirror images. into A distribution that is not symmetricis called skewed. f{.f{|lEf Gonstruct a probab i I ity distri bution I Let Xbe a random variable that represents the number of questions that students answered correctly on a quiz with three questions. Make a table and a histogram showing the probability distlibution for X, E Thepossible valuesofXare theintegers0,1,2,and3. Thetableshows numberof the .s possibleoutcomes P(X). and E .2 .= = En4Writ.:fllnterpret a probability distribution @ Use the probability distribution in Example 1 to find the probability .9 that a student enswers a! leas! twe qrestiens correctly. The probability that a student answersat least tvo questions correctly is: P(x>z): P(x:2) + P(x: 3) _?1Ll = ; * 8 : g : t:o s Algebra2 Chapter Besource 10 Book 65 ---
  • 6. Name f;;;ie' " a [TbrlP-."y,*,y" ",'t,, Exercises for Examples 1 and 2 1. Use the datato constructa probability distributiontable and a histogram showingthe probability distribution for X, a randomvariablethat represents the numberof cell phones household. per 2. What is the probability that a household at leasttwo cell phones? has ruWnm Constructa binomialdistribution A binomial experiment consists of n = 3 trials with probability O.4 of buccess on €ach tria!. Draw a histogram of the binomial distribution that shows the probability of exactly k successes. p(k: o) : 0.216 - 3co(0.4)o(0.6)3 P(k: 1): 3C{0.4)t(0.6)2 :0.432 : P(k : 2): 3c2(0.4)2(0.o10.288 : o.oo+ P(k: 3): .q10.+f1o.o1o rulHttll Interpret and classify a binomial 4istribution E a. What is the leastlikely outcomefor the binomial distribution rn .E Example 3? b. What is the probability when ft : 1 in Example3? c. Describethe shapeof the binomial distributionin Example3. Solution - .9 a. The leastlikely outcomeis the valueofft for which P(ft) is smallest. This probdbility is smallestfor /c: 3. = b. Theprobability whent : I is 0.432. = c- The distributionis skewed because is not symmetricaboutany it 6 vertical line. o Exercises for Examples 3 and 4 @ ln Excic:se3 3-5 ..:eethe fo!!cur!.9 infcrmelien. -l- binonria! expeiiment consists of n = 4 trials with probability o.1 of success on each trial. 3. Constructa binomial distributionthat showsthe probability of exactlyft successes drawa histogramof the distribution. and 4- Find the most likely outcome. 5. Describethe shaoe the binomial distribution. of Algebra 2 ChapterResource 10 Book