My conference for MERCK Innovation Center on how startups and multinationals should recalibrate their relationships after years of fumbling around and why building no-bullshit synergies matter more than ever.
5. I have known adventures, seen places
you people will never see, I've been
Offworld and back...frontiers! I've
stood on the back deck of a blinker
bound for the Plutition Camps with
sweat in my eyes watching the stars
fight on the shoulder of Orion. I've
felt wind in my hair, riding test boats
off the black galaxies and seen an
attack fleet burn like a match and
disappear. I've seen it...felt it!
I've seen things you people wouldn't
believe. Attack ships on fire off the
shoulder of Orion. I watched C-beams
glitter in the dark near the
Tannhäuser Gate. All those moments
will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
Time to die.
RISK IS A SUNK COST
6. Built to explore a specific risk ✔
Burn resources faster than normal ✔
Dies after for 2.8 years ✔
RISK IS A SUNK COST
7. Invention means the
conception of a novelty.
Instead innovation is
defined by the introduction
of the invention in the social
environment.
The market is a specific
form of social organization.
Joseph SCHUMPETER
RISK IS A SUNK COST
8. How do we rebuild
urban on-demand mobility
without legacy platforms?
RISK IS A SUNK COST
9. How do we rebuild
urban on-demand mobility
without legacy platforms?
RISK IS A SUNK COST
11. 1-3 Yrs 3-5 Yrs 5-10 Yrs
Level of UNCERTAINTY
NOW
complex chaotic
RISK IS A SUNK COST
12. NOW 1-3 Yrs
complex
Uberization
AKA « shit will happen »
A new entrant will deliver
better added value to your own
customers by using new
commodity technologies
(mobile B2C).
5-10 Yrs3-5 Yrs
chaotic
RISK IS A SUNK COST
13. NOW 1-3 Yrs
complex
Uberization
AKA « shit will happen »
A new entrant will deliver
better added value to your own
customers by using new
commodity technologies
(mobile B2C).
Amazonification
AKA « innovation is slow »
An new entrant from 5 years ago has build
up large-scale capabilities and you still have
to take it seriously, but truth to be told the
ecosystem has already rebooted itself while
you haven’t yet.
5-10 Yrs3-5 Yrs
chaotic
RISK IS A SUNK COST
14. NOW 1-3 Yrs
complex
Uberization
AKA « shit will happen »
A new entrant will deliver
better added value to your own
customers by using new
commodity technologies
(mobile B2C).
Amazonification
AKA « innovation is slow »
An new entrant from 5 years ago has build
up large-scale capabilities and you still have
to take it seriously, but truth to be told the
ecosystem has already rebooted itself while
you haven’t yet.
5-10 Yrs3-5 Yrs
chaotic
Teslafication
AKA « marketing mix is stupid »
While you were competing on product
lines, a tangent technology/product is
now producing better added value for
your own customers.
RISK IS A SUNK COST
15. NOW 1-3 Yrs
3-5 Yrs
chaotic
complex
Uberization
AKA « shit will happen »
A new entrant will deliver
better added value to your own
customers by using new
commodity technologies
(mobile B2C).
Amazonification
AKA « innovation is slow »
An new entrant from 5 years ago has build
up large-scale capabilities and you still have
to take it seriously, but truth to be told the
ecosystem has already rebooted itself while
you haven’t yet.
Wechatization
AKA « seems China did wake up»
As Westerners we still live in a world
where China is an emerging country
and the factory of the rest of the
world… that was 20 yrs ago.
Teslafication
AKA « marketing mix is stupid »
While you were competing on product
lines, a tangent technology/product is
now producing better added value for
your own customers.
5-10 Yrs
RISK IS A SUNK COST
16. 1-3 Yrs
3-5 Yrs
chaotic
complex
Uberization
AKA « shit will happen »
A new entrant will deliver
better added value to your own
customers by using new
commodity technologies
(mobile B2C).
Amazonification
AKA « innovation is slow »
An new entrant from 5 years ago has build
up large-scale capabilities and you still have
to take it seriously, but truth to be told the
ecosystem has already rebooted itself while
you haven’t yet.
Wechatization
AKA « seems China did wake up»
As Westerners we still live in a world
where China is an emerging country
and the factory of the rest of the
world… that was 20 yrs ago.
Teslafication
AKA « marketing mix is stupid »
While you were competing on product
lines, a tangent technology/product is
now producing better added value for
your own customers.
5-10 Yrs
NOW
RISK IS A SUNK COST
17. RISK IS A SUNK COSTRISK IS A SUNK COST
IoT Market worth
$661.74Billion by 2021
42. TRADING RISKS
Business ROI
Brand ROI
How more visible are you on the market, how do you build
better trust and customer intimacy…
Market ROI
How much better do you understand your current customers
or foresee new trends.
Alignment ROI
How well do you exchange best practices internally,how do
you get a better cross-team alignment, …
Culture ROI
How much agility and reactivity have been increased, how
many teams have a better understanding of your market, ...