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Forecasts & Trendsin the ICT Industry 16th August, 2009ICICT2009Dr. Sayeed Ghani Associate Dean, Faculty of Computer Science, IBA 1
TIA forecasts a 3 percent loss for ICT Industry in 2009. First overall decline ever predicted by TIA. However, ICT expected to be a driver for economic recovery in 2010-12. $26 billion ICT Stimulus funds being injected into the US economy. Modest 1.2 percent increase expected in 2010 Globally, strong rebound for the ICT industry projected after 2010: 6.4% revenue growth expected in 2011 7.9% increase expected in 2012 TIAs 2009 ICT Market Review & Forecast 2
TIAs 2009 ICT Market Review & Forecast 3
$26 billion overall for ICT industry to spur recovery $7.2 billion for broadband  $4.5 billion for Energy (Smart Grid) $2 billion for health IT  $3.6 billion for R&D recovery Broadband expected to be a driver for recovery in all areas. US Stimulus Package - Details 4
Speed vs Mobility 5
6 Convergence - Industry
Triple Play (Voice, Internet, TV) ,[object Object],PTCL ,[object Object],Worldcall Using FTTH (Fiber to the Home) GPON (Gigabit Passive Optical Network) Nayatel in deployment stage 802.11n? Broadband Services in Pakistan 7
PTCL’s Smart TV a 8
Revenue to grow at 9.1% (CAGR) Broadband in the U.S.  9
42% growth projected for 2009 Residential landlines proportion to go from 19% in 2008 to 42% by 2012 VoIP and IPTV Will Override the Recession 10
As of March 2009 IPTV  Penetration 11
In wireless services, overall spending is up data is the driver voice relatively flat Wireless Service revenueby category in US :($ millions) Wireless Services 12
Mobile/Wireless Trends 13
14 Pakistan Mobile IndustryGrowth in Subscribers leveling off - 2009
15 Network Readiness Index
Pakistan Software Exports & Services 16
Thank You! 17

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Forecasts & Trend in the ICT Industry

  • 1. Forecasts & Trendsin the ICT Industry 16th August, 2009ICICT2009Dr. Sayeed Ghani Associate Dean, Faculty of Computer Science, IBA 1
  • 2. TIA forecasts a 3 percent loss for ICT Industry in 2009. First overall decline ever predicted by TIA. However, ICT expected to be a driver for economic recovery in 2010-12. $26 billion ICT Stimulus funds being injected into the US economy. Modest 1.2 percent increase expected in 2010 Globally, strong rebound for the ICT industry projected after 2010: 6.4% revenue growth expected in 2011 7.9% increase expected in 2012 TIAs 2009 ICT Market Review & Forecast 2
  • 3. TIAs 2009 ICT Market Review & Forecast 3
  • 4. $26 billion overall for ICT industry to spur recovery $7.2 billion for broadband $4.5 billion for Energy (Smart Grid) $2 billion for health IT $3.6 billion for R&D recovery Broadband expected to be a driver for recovery in all areas. US Stimulus Package - Details 4
  • 6. 6 Convergence - Industry
  • 7.
  • 9. Revenue to grow at 9.1% (CAGR) Broadband in the U.S. 9
  • 10. 42% growth projected for 2009 Residential landlines proportion to go from 19% in 2008 to 42% by 2012 VoIP and IPTV Will Override the Recession 10
  • 11. As of March 2009 IPTV Penetration 11
  • 12. In wireless services, overall spending is up data is the driver voice relatively flat Wireless Service revenueby category in US :($ millions) Wireless Services 12
  • 14. 14 Pakistan Mobile IndustryGrowth in Subscribers leveling off - 2009
  • 16. Pakistan Software Exports & Services 16

Editor's Notes

  1. http://www.tiaonline.org/market_intelligence/documents/Market_Review_Presentation_5-21_press_conference.pdfhttp://www.tiaonline.org/news_events/press_room/press_releases/2009/PR-521_TIA_Forecasts_3_1_Percent_Loss_for_ICT_Industry_in.cfm
  2. http://www.tiaonline.org/news_events/press_room/press_releases/2009/PR-521_TIA_Forecasts_3_1_Percent_Loss_for_ICT_Industry_in.cfm
  3. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/04/02/AR2009040201610.htmlhttp://peakenergy.blogspot.com/2009/05/cisco-chases-billion-dollar-smart-grid.htmlThe industry has lobbied for the creation of standards for electric grids that would distribute and track energy flow using an Internet-based system capable of supporting a variety of applications developed by private companies Health Informatics, Electronic health record
  4. http://telecompk.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/09/wimax-comparison.JPG
  5. http://telecompk.net/category/fiber-to-the-home/
  6. http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_hb6534/is_200903/ai_n31511234/
  7. http://telecompk.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/09/wimax-comparison.JPG
  8. http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2009%5C08%5C01%5Cstory_1-8-2009_pg5_7