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India Investment Study

       June 2011
Introduction
Capital MSL and the London Stock Exchange undertook a research study of international
institutional investor attitudes towards investing in India and Indian companies. The aim of the
survey was to research the views of fund managers from blue chip institutions in Europe that
invest in emerging markets.

This research was conducted ahead of two major conferences hosted in June by the London Stock
Exchange in Mumbai and New Delhi for Indian companies interested in understanding how to raise
capital domestically and abroad.

We hope you find the following study informative.

Richard Campbell & Nick Bastin                                                       Tracey Pierce
                                                               Director of Equity Primary Markets

Capital MSL                                                        London Stock Exchange Group

+44 207 307 5330                                                               +44 207 7797 4152

www.capitalmsl.com                                          www.londonstockexchangegroup.com



About Capital MSL

Capital MSL is an international strategic communications consultancy that delivers advice to
many of the world’s leading businesses and financial institutions, often during critical stages in
their development.

    The foundation of our success is the quality of the long term relationships that we nurture
    with our clients, our staff and the intermediaries that impact an organisation’s reputation.
    We lead the industry in client and staff retention.
    We are committed to senior advice, and combine deep sector knowledge with a thorough
    understanding of capital markets.
    Part owned by the management team, we are majority owned by MSLGROUP, Publicis
    Groupe’s flagship specialist communications, PR and events network.
    MSLGROUP is the world’s fifth biggest PR firm, with 2,500 communications professionals in
    22 countries, including in every major capital market.
    Our sister company, Hanmer MSL, is one of India’s largest communications firms.


We build corporate reputations that are envied, in sectors that we know and understand.

    Our teams deliver innovative, bespoke solutions, across a diverse set of stakeholders, that
    address the communications demands of organisations, both large and small.
    Our capabilities are broad, and range from helping to build corporate reputations to
    employee and capital market communications, including M&A and IPO support.


Together with our client Essar Energy, Capital MSL was recently awarded the UK’s Chartered
Institute for Public Relations (CIPR) Excellence Award in Investor Relations for our work advising
Essar Energy on its May 2010 $1.9bn IPO on the London Stock Exchange.




                                                                                                 2
Summary

India unquestionably remains of significant interest to foreign investors. While there are some
short term issues, such as inflation and rising interest rates, the longer term picture is recognised
as being very strong.

The key findings of the research are:

    Top market: 23% of participants gave India and Brazil the most positive ratings as an
    investment destination relative to their emerging market peers. China was in third place
    with 20%.

    Strong outlook: The overwhelming majority of investors remain confident in the Indian
    growth story in the longer term, with 73% of investors very confident in respect of India’s
    outlook in 12-18 months time. However, the short term picture is less positive, with only 5%
    of respondents being very confident of the picture for the next six months, pointing to
    concerns over the inflation outlook and interest rates.

    Investors believe that, despite these issues at play, Indian corporates will continue to
    perform well and record strong growth.

    Macro criteria: When looking at India as an investment destination, 17% of investors cited
    inflation and corporate valuation as the most important investment criteria, with GDP
    growth and regulation cited by 14% and 11% of investors respectively.

    Company specific factors: Investors rated corporate governance, disclosure and
    transparency equally, with 15% of top ratings each, as the most important considerations
    when making an investment decision in an Indian company. These were followed closely by
    management access (14%), regulation (13%) and liquidity (12%).

    Sectors: Consumer industries (14% of top ratings), financial services (12%), infrastructure
    (11%) and technology (9%) were highlighted as the most attractive sectors, although power
    (7%) and renewable energy (7%), if combined, would have ranked joint first.

    Horizon: 67% of investors said that a one to three year period is the preferred term for
    holding investments. This was usually determined by a combination of factors, including
    investment policy, long term return potential and tax considerations. However, 29% said
    their time horizon was in excess of three years: a sign of commitment to, and confidence in,
    the Indian market.

    Access: 46% of those surveyed access the Indian market through the domestic exchange, due
    to the liquidity available. However, a number cited regulatory constraints as a hindrance,
    and 24% of respondents prefer to invest through the London Stock Exchange and a further
    24% through depositary receipts and / or participatory notes.




                                                                                                    3
While the research does show that Indian companies could make improvements that would make
them even more attractive to foreign institutional investors, these are eminently resolvable.
Those areas highlighted by investors include corporate governance, financial reporting and
transparency and access to management:


Reporting standards and transparency
Respondents were keen to stress the importance of adequate reporting and the following of best
practice standards by Indian companies.


      “I would like to reiterate the importance of reporting standards, which is a hindrance at
      the moment. We are taking a wait and hold policy, watching progress on this. There is a
        lot of capital on the sidelines that could potentially find its way if this is addressed.”

          “India must improve institutions, governance, regulation & reporting before its
                               companies can be taken seriously.”




The need for improved corporate governance…

             “India is strangled by a public sector that is too big. This encourages
                         conglomerates and discourages transparency.”

      “We need to see better corporate governance and better alignment with minority
                                      shareholders.”



…and more frequent interaction with management

All survey respondents agreed that better exposure is required to Indian companies – of all sizes
and from all sectors – to improve understanding and access to these businesses.


      “We believe that better roadshows need to be held, whether in London or in India,
       to give investors wider exposure to Indian companies of all sectors and sizes.”




Is summary, the picture for listed Indian corporates is bright. There is significant interest from
international investors that could be converted into capital to fund India’s continued growth and
the London Stock Exchange remains an attractive market for Indian companies looking to raise
money – either through main market listings or depositary receipts. While there are areas where
Indian companies need to improve their interaction with investors, these are easily
surmountable.




                                                                                                     4
Detailed investor feedback

Investors were asked a series of questions about access, confidence in India, concerns and areas
of interest. Almost all investors were currently invested in India and had a good knowledge of the
Indian market.


Below is an analysis of the survey findings broken down according to the questionnaire. Verbatim
comments from respondents are included in italics. To show an accurate picture of the strength
of views, we have also shown the conviction of investors by including the percentage of total
respondents that gave a 4 or 5 rating from the response scale. Not every investor answered every
question.




                                                                                                 5
Access

1. What is your preferred route of investing in emerging market / Indian companies?

Almost half of the investors surveyed (46%) access the Indian market through the domestic
exchange due to the liquidity available. However, a number of respondents cited this as a
hindrance due to regulatory constraints. 24% prefer to invest in India through ordinary shares of
companies / investment vehicles listed on the London Stock Exchange and an equal number
through depositary receipts or participatory notes.
            46%




                                   24%                                              24%




                                                            5%




     Investing directly   Through ordinary shares Through ordinary shares Through Depositary
  through ordinary shares      of companies /           of companies /   Receipts or Participatory
      of companies on       investment vehicles     investment vehicles           Notes
    domestic exchanges     listed on the London      listed on the other
                              Stock Exchange              exchanges



       “It is often easier to invest in local markets and exchanges, which opens more
                               options and access to companies.”

         “We prefer to go where the liquidity is, for India this is through domestic
     exchanges and hence that currently tends to be the preference to invest through.”




Almost half of the respondents (48%) stated a preference to invest in India through companies
listed on the London Stock Exchange or through Depositary Receipts or Participatory Notes.


       “We would prefer to invest in Indian companies and access investment in India
                     through listings on the London Stock Exchange.”

      “It must be said that reporting standards at Indian companies leave a lot to be
     desired and prove a hindrance. Access is also difficult and takes time to open the
     market. We would hope to see a lot more of Indian companies come to London in
                                     the near future.”




Just 5% expressed an interest in investing through ordinary shares of companies / investment
vehicles listed on other exchanges.

                                                                                                     6
Sentiment

2. As a firm, what is your overall sentiment towards India in the near and long term?

The overwhelming majority of investors (73%) remain confident in the Indian growth story in the
longer term. However, in the short term there is concern regarding the macro outlook – with
respondents citing rising inflation and interest rates.

90%

80%

70%                                             18%

60%

50%

40%               73%
                                                                              9%
30%                                             63%

20%
                                                                              32%
10%
                   5%
0%

            Very confident             Somewhat confident                  Neutral

                                    6 months   12 - 18 months




                        “We are positive towards the longer term.”

      “Longer term we are seeing some head winds and expect the market to improve
                                       further.”

         “We remain positive towards India despite the recent volatility – the long
                                 term story is strong.”




63% of investors still remain “somewhat confident” towards India in the short term, while 32%
chose “neutral” as their response. Notably, a number of respondents voiced caution on the
recent volatility and developments in India, saying that they have revised their outlook, but
believe that the long term story remains robust.


      “At the macro level, India is still among the best. Indian companies are witnessing
           real economic growth and strong performance despite rising inflation.”




Investors believe that despite the macro issues at play, Indian corporates continue to perform
well and record strong growth: nearly three quarters of survey respondents remaining buoyant on
India in the next 12-18 months.



                                                                                              7
3. How has this changed in the past six months?

An equal number of investors (39%) stated that they had become more cautious over the past six
months or their views on the Indian market remained unchanged. About a fifth (22%) of
respondents, however, recorded a more positive outlook.



      “We have become more cautious towards emerging markets, including India. The
      macro picture looks cloudy at the moment. However, we are confident that Indian
                      corporates are charting the waters comfortably.”




45%

40%

35%

30%

25%                                           39%                         39%

20%

15%              22%

10%

 5%

 0%

              Increased                   Decreased                   No change




       “We believe the whole market has moved from being optimistic to being more
                       cautious. There are interest rate concerns.”

        “We are concerned about inflation as well as interest rates, which have been
                                         rising.”

        “India has had a good run in the past 18 months, so we expect a correction.
                        Commodity fears also add to our caution.”




                                                                                             8
4. As an investment destination, please rate the following markets.

In terms of the relative attractiveness of India, it was ranked the highest alongside Brazil by the
investors surveyed. 23% of participants gave India and Brazil the most positive ratings (a rating of
four or five, on a scale of one to five, where one is low and five is high) as an investment
destination relative to their emerging market peers, with China in third place with 20%.



                           India                                                           23%

                          Brazil                                                           23%

                          China                                                  20%

                       Indonesia                               10%

                         Turkey                           8%

                          Russia                          8%

                Frontier markets                     7%

                     Middle East         2%

                                   0%         5%          10%        15%       20%         25%


                                    % of respondents who gave a 4 or 5 rating




                            India


                           Brazil


                           China


                        Indonesia


                          Turkey


                           Russia


                 Frontier markets


                      Middle East


                                    0%         20%             40%       60%         80%         100%

                                               1     2     3     4   5


                              Scale from 1 to 5, where 1 is low and five is high




                                                                                                        9
Investment considerations

5. When investing in India, how important are the following criteria?

When looking at India as an investment destination, 17% of investors cited inflation and corporate
valuation as the most important investment criteria, followed by GDP growth and regulation
which were cited by 14% and 11% respectively by those surveyed.

                     Valuation                                                      17%

                      Inflation                                                     17%

                  GDP growth                                                 14%

                    Regulation                                         12%

                     Liquidity                                       11%

                  Political risk                               9%

            Currency stability                            7%

           Quality of research                            7%

                     Volatility                      6%


                                   0%           5%             10%            15%         20%

                                        % of respondents who gave a 4 or 5 rating



While political risk and currency stability were not high on the agenda with respect to India,
valuation was, and a number of investors were of the view that “Indian stocks are overpriced”
and “India is an expensive market.”

Concerns around rising inflation in India continue to dominate investor attitudes with inflation
ranking closely with valuation as the primary concern.


A few investors also highlighted the hindrances regulatory requirements pose in accessing the
Indian stock market. These investors stated that they prefer investing in Indian companies listed
in London and access exposure to India through depositary receipts.



                   “Indian stocks are overpriced, it is an expensive market.”

       “We would like to have access to the market, but this is a headache to get the
        requisite licenses etc. We prefer to invest in companies listed in London and
                                   through DRs and ADRS.”




                                                                                                10
6. When making an investment in an Indian company, how would you rate the following
   considerations?

Investors cited corporate governance (15% of top ratings), disclosure (15%) and transparency
(15%) as the most important considerations when making an investment decision in an Indian
company. This is followed closely by management access (14%), regulation (13%) and liquidity
(12%).



     Corporate governance                                                                                                 15%


                Disclosure                                                                                                15%


             Transparency                                                                                                 15%


       Management access                                                                                            14%


                Regulation                                                                                    13%


                 Liquidity                                                                              12%


         Investor relations                                                        8%


  Financial communications                                                7%


            Dividend yield         0%


                              0%          2%         4%         6%            8%          10%         12%      14%         16%


                                        % of respondents who gave a 4 or 5 rating



      Corporate governance

              Transparency

                 Disclosure

        Management access

                 Regulation

                   Liquidity

          Investor relations

   Financial communications

             Dividend yield

                               0%       10%    20%        30%       40%   50%           60%     70%    80%    90%     100%


                                                  1       2     3    4    5
                                    Scale from 1 to 5, where 1 is low and five is high




                                                                                                                                 11
Corporate governance, disclosure and transparency remain top of mind and the most critical
evaluating criteria when fund managers are making an investment decision. A number of
respondents stressed the need for better reporting by Indian companies.

Disclosure was highlighted as an area for potential improvement, but it was acknowledged that a
lot of good work is already done by the larger companies and that this just needs to continue to
develop.


               “Reporting standards can be quite weak for Indian companies.”

       “Reporting by companies is usually inversely proportional – with big companies
         having better structures in place in comparison to smaller ones that report
                                        inadequately.”

                          “Reporting is an important consideration.”

                      “Quality of financial disclosure is very important.”




Management access ranked highly. Investors stressed the need to meet with management before
making an investment decision. Furthermore, they also added that, on average, meetings with
management in London or the home country are necessary at least twice a year.


     “Management access is always poor and an issue. We like to meet management at
                            least two to three times a year.”

       “Compared to other emerging markets, there is poor access to management at
                                  Indian companies.”




On the issue of dividend yield, this was ranked as a low priority by a majority of investors
receiving a ranking of 1to 3 on a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is low and 5 high. While this may not be
totally surprising, given the nature of a fast growing market like India, where share price
appreciation is typically the focus, two investors did comment that Indian companies are not on
par with other emerging markets in respect of dividend policy and payout.


        “India ranks worst in almost any emerging markets on the matter of dividend
                         yield. I believe this is its greatest failing.”

     “Dividend yield is an issue. India’s atrocious policies on this are in stark contrast
     to those of other emerging markets, especially Brazil and Chile, where they have
                                     good payout ratios.”




                                                                                                 12
7. Investment prospects by sector

Consumer industries (14% of top ratings), financial services (12%), infrastructure (11%) and
technology (9%) were highlighted as the most attractive sectors, although power (7%) and
renewable energy (7%), if combined, would have ranked joint first.



            Consumer industries                                                                                       14%
                        Financial                                                                               12%
                   Infrastructure                                                                        11%
                      Technology                                                            9%
              Renewable energy                                                        7%
                              Power                                                   7%
                     Healthcare                                                       7%
                       Industrials                                               6%
                         Oil & gas                                      5%
              Metals and mining                                         5%
            Telecommunications                                          5%
                        Transport                                       5%
                             Leisure                     2%
                      Real Estate                        2%
                             Utilities             1%

                                         0%                           5%                         10%                    15%


                                               % of respondents who gave a 4 or 5 rating


     Consumer industries

               Financial

           Infrastructure

             Technology

       Renewable energy

                  Power

              Healthcare

              Industrials

                Oil & gas

       Metals and mining

     Telecommunications

               Transport

                 Leisure

             Real estate

                 Utilities

                             0%          10%      20%    30%      40%        50%      60%   70%        80%     90%    100%

                                                         1    2   3     4    5

                                  Scale from 1 to 5, where 1 is low and five is high


                                                                                                                              13
8. For what length of time do you usually hold Indian company investments?

67% of investors said that a one to three year period is the preferred term for holding
investments. This was usually determined by a combination of factors, including investment
policy, long term return potential and tax considerations. However, 29% said their time horizon
was in excess of three years.


     70%

     60%

     50%                                         67%

     40%

     30%

     20%                                                                   29%


     10%

                      5%
      0%
                Under 12 months              1 – 3 years               Over 3 years




      “We give management time to deliver results and the market to appreciate and
                                 correctly value it.”

            “We hold if the investment is performing in line with expectations.”

     “The generation of cash flows as expected, relative valuation and no “accidents”
                     are all considerations for the length of tenure.”

       “The four things that matter to us are quality, value, change and valuations –
         these are the criteria we use in determining the term of an investment.”

      “We have a buy and hold approach, and invest for over five years. We don’t take
                               these investments lightly.”




                                                                                             14
Methodology

The London Stock Exchange and Capital MSL conducted the research survey amongst key
emerging market investors located in Europe to gauge current perceptions of investing in Indian
companies from an equity investment perspective.

The survey consisted of an online, quantitative survey and a number of telephone interviews with
fund managers.

A total of 30 fund managers participated in the survey which was conducted on an anonymous
basis.

The survey was undertaken in May and June 2011.




                                                                                              15
Capital MSL

81 Whitfield Street
London
W1T 4HG

Tel: +44 (0)20 7307 5330
Fax: +44 (0)20 7307 5331

www.capitalmsl.com




                           16

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Capital MSL: India Investment Study

  • 2. Introduction Capital MSL and the London Stock Exchange undertook a research study of international institutional investor attitudes towards investing in India and Indian companies. The aim of the survey was to research the views of fund managers from blue chip institutions in Europe that invest in emerging markets. This research was conducted ahead of two major conferences hosted in June by the London Stock Exchange in Mumbai and New Delhi for Indian companies interested in understanding how to raise capital domestically and abroad. We hope you find the following study informative. Richard Campbell & Nick Bastin Tracey Pierce Director of Equity Primary Markets Capital MSL London Stock Exchange Group +44 207 307 5330 +44 207 7797 4152 www.capitalmsl.com www.londonstockexchangegroup.com About Capital MSL Capital MSL is an international strategic communications consultancy that delivers advice to many of the world’s leading businesses and financial institutions, often during critical stages in their development. The foundation of our success is the quality of the long term relationships that we nurture with our clients, our staff and the intermediaries that impact an organisation’s reputation. We lead the industry in client and staff retention. We are committed to senior advice, and combine deep sector knowledge with a thorough understanding of capital markets. Part owned by the management team, we are majority owned by MSLGROUP, Publicis Groupe’s flagship specialist communications, PR and events network. MSLGROUP is the world’s fifth biggest PR firm, with 2,500 communications professionals in 22 countries, including in every major capital market. Our sister company, Hanmer MSL, is one of India’s largest communications firms. We build corporate reputations that are envied, in sectors that we know and understand. Our teams deliver innovative, bespoke solutions, across a diverse set of stakeholders, that address the communications demands of organisations, both large and small. Our capabilities are broad, and range from helping to build corporate reputations to employee and capital market communications, including M&A and IPO support. Together with our client Essar Energy, Capital MSL was recently awarded the UK’s Chartered Institute for Public Relations (CIPR) Excellence Award in Investor Relations for our work advising Essar Energy on its May 2010 $1.9bn IPO on the London Stock Exchange. 2
  • 3. Summary India unquestionably remains of significant interest to foreign investors. While there are some short term issues, such as inflation and rising interest rates, the longer term picture is recognised as being very strong. The key findings of the research are: Top market: 23% of participants gave India and Brazil the most positive ratings as an investment destination relative to their emerging market peers. China was in third place with 20%. Strong outlook: The overwhelming majority of investors remain confident in the Indian growth story in the longer term, with 73% of investors very confident in respect of India’s outlook in 12-18 months time. However, the short term picture is less positive, with only 5% of respondents being very confident of the picture for the next six months, pointing to concerns over the inflation outlook and interest rates. Investors believe that, despite these issues at play, Indian corporates will continue to perform well and record strong growth. Macro criteria: When looking at India as an investment destination, 17% of investors cited inflation and corporate valuation as the most important investment criteria, with GDP growth and regulation cited by 14% and 11% of investors respectively. Company specific factors: Investors rated corporate governance, disclosure and transparency equally, with 15% of top ratings each, as the most important considerations when making an investment decision in an Indian company. These were followed closely by management access (14%), regulation (13%) and liquidity (12%). Sectors: Consumer industries (14% of top ratings), financial services (12%), infrastructure (11%) and technology (9%) were highlighted as the most attractive sectors, although power (7%) and renewable energy (7%), if combined, would have ranked joint first. Horizon: 67% of investors said that a one to three year period is the preferred term for holding investments. This was usually determined by a combination of factors, including investment policy, long term return potential and tax considerations. However, 29% said their time horizon was in excess of three years: a sign of commitment to, and confidence in, the Indian market. Access: 46% of those surveyed access the Indian market through the domestic exchange, due to the liquidity available. However, a number cited regulatory constraints as a hindrance, and 24% of respondents prefer to invest through the London Stock Exchange and a further 24% through depositary receipts and / or participatory notes. 3
  • 4. While the research does show that Indian companies could make improvements that would make them even more attractive to foreign institutional investors, these are eminently resolvable. Those areas highlighted by investors include corporate governance, financial reporting and transparency and access to management: Reporting standards and transparency Respondents were keen to stress the importance of adequate reporting and the following of best practice standards by Indian companies. “I would like to reiterate the importance of reporting standards, which is a hindrance at the moment. We are taking a wait and hold policy, watching progress on this. There is a lot of capital on the sidelines that could potentially find its way if this is addressed.” “India must improve institutions, governance, regulation & reporting before its companies can be taken seriously.” The need for improved corporate governance… “India is strangled by a public sector that is too big. This encourages conglomerates and discourages transparency.” “We need to see better corporate governance and better alignment with minority shareholders.” …and more frequent interaction with management All survey respondents agreed that better exposure is required to Indian companies – of all sizes and from all sectors – to improve understanding and access to these businesses. “We believe that better roadshows need to be held, whether in London or in India, to give investors wider exposure to Indian companies of all sectors and sizes.” Is summary, the picture for listed Indian corporates is bright. There is significant interest from international investors that could be converted into capital to fund India’s continued growth and the London Stock Exchange remains an attractive market for Indian companies looking to raise money – either through main market listings or depositary receipts. While there are areas where Indian companies need to improve their interaction with investors, these are easily surmountable. 4
  • 5. Detailed investor feedback Investors were asked a series of questions about access, confidence in India, concerns and areas of interest. Almost all investors were currently invested in India and had a good knowledge of the Indian market. Below is an analysis of the survey findings broken down according to the questionnaire. Verbatim comments from respondents are included in italics. To show an accurate picture of the strength of views, we have also shown the conviction of investors by including the percentage of total respondents that gave a 4 or 5 rating from the response scale. Not every investor answered every question. 5
  • 6. Access 1. What is your preferred route of investing in emerging market / Indian companies? Almost half of the investors surveyed (46%) access the Indian market through the domestic exchange due to the liquidity available. However, a number of respondents cited this as a hindrance due to regulatory constraints. 24% prefer to invest in India through ordinary shares of companies / investment vehicles listed on the London Stock Exchange and an equal number through depositary receipts or participatory notes. 46% 24% 24% 5% Investing directly Through ordinary shares Through ordinary shares Through Depositary through ordinary shares of companies / of companies / Receipts or Participatory of companies on investment vehicles investment vehicles Notes domestic exchanges listed on the London listed on the other Stock Exchange exchanges “It is often easier to invest in local markets and exchanges, which opens more options and access to companies.” “We prefer to go where the liquidity is, for India this is through domestic exchanges and hence that currently tends to be the preference to invest through.” Almost half of the respondents (48%) stated a preference to invest in India through companies listed on the London Stock Exchange or through Depositary Receipts or Participatory Notes. “We would prefer to invest in Indian companies and access investment in India through listings on the London Stock Exchange.” “It must be said that reporting standards at Indian companies leave a lot to be desired and prove a hindrance. Access is also difficult and takes time to open the market. We would hope to see a lot more of Indian companies come to London in the near future.” Just 5% expressed an interest in investing through ordinary shares of companies / investment vehicles listed on other exchanges. 6
  • 7. Sentiment 2. As a firm, what is your overall sentiment towards India in the near and long term? The overwhelming majority of investors (73%) remain confident in the Indian growth story in the longer term. However, in the short term there is concern regarding the macro outlook – with respondents citing rising inflation and interest rates. 90% 80% 70% 18% 60% 50% 40% 73% 9% 30% 63% 20% 32% 10% 5% 0% Very confident Somewhat confident Neutral 6 months 12 - 18 months “We are positive towards the longer term.” “Longer term we are seeing some head winds and expect the market to improve further.” “We remain positive towards India despite the recent volatility – the long term story is strong.” 63% of investors still remain “somewhat confident” towards India in the short term, while 32% chose “neutral” as their response. Notably, a number of respondents voiced caution on the recent volatility and developments in India, saying that they have revised their outlook, but believe that the long term story remains robust. “At the macro level, India is still among the best. Indian companies are witnessing real economic growth and strong performance despite rising inflation.” Investors believe that despite the macro issues at play, Indian corporates continue to perform well and record strong growth: nearly three quarters of survey respondents remaining buoyant on India in the next 12-18 months. 7
  • 8. 3. How has this changed in the past six months? An equal number of investors (39%) stated that they had become more cautious over the past six months or their views on the Indian market remained unchanged. About a fifth (22%) of respondents, however, recorded a more positive outlook. “We have become more cautious towards emerging markets, including India. The macro picture looks cloudy at the moment. However, we are confident that Indian corporates are charting the waters comfortably.” 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 39% 39% 20% 15% 22% 10% 5% 0% Increased Decreased No change “We believe the whole market has moved from being optimistic to being more cautious. There are interest rate concerns.” “We are concerned about inflation as well as interest rates, which have been rising.” “India has had a good run in the past 18 months, so we expect a correction. Commodity fears also add to our caution.” 8
  • 9. 4. As an investment destination, please rate the following markets. In terms of the relative attractiveness of India, it was ranked the highest alongside Brazil by the investors surveyed. 23% of participants gave India and Brazil the most positive ratings (a rating of four or five, on a scale of one to five, where one is low and five is high) as an investment destination relative to their emerging market peers, with China in third place with 20%. India 23% Brazil 23% China 20% Indonesia 10% Turkey 8% Russia 8% Frontier markets 7% Middle East 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% % of respondents who gave a 4 or 5 rating India Brazil China Indonesia Turkey Russia Frontier markets Middle East 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1 2 3 4 5 Scale from 1 to 5, where 1 is low and five is high 9
  • 10. Investment considerations 5. When investing in India, how important are the following criteria? When looking at India as an investment destination, 17% of investors cited inflation and corporate valuation as the most important investment criteria, followed by GDP growth and regulation which were cited by 14% and 11% respectively by those surveyed. Valuation 17% Inflation 17% GDP growth 14% Regulation 12% Liquidity 11% Political risk 9% Currency stability 7% Quality of research 7% Volatility 6% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% % of respondents who gave a 4 or 5 rating While political risk and currency stability were not high on the agenda with respect to India, valuation was, and a number of investors were of the view that “Indian stocks are overpriced” and “India is an expensive market.” Concerns around rising inflation in India continue to dominate investor attitudes with inflation ranking closely with valuation as the primary concern. A few investors also highlighted the hindrances regulatory requirements pose in accessing the Indian stock market. These investors stated that they prefer investing in Indian companies listed in London and access exposure to India through depositary receipts. “Indian stocks are overpriced, it is an expensive market.” “We would like to have access to the market, but this is a headache to get the requisite licenses etc. We prefer to invest in companies listed in London and through DRs and ADRS.” 10
  • 11. 6. When making an investment in an Indian company, how would you rate the following considerations? Investors cited corporate governance (15% of top ratings), disclosure (15%) and transparency (15%) as the most important considerations when making an investment decision in an Indian company. This is followed closely by management access (14%), regulation (13%) and liquidity (12%). Corporate governance 15% Disclosure 15% Transparency 15% Management access 14% Regulation 13% Liquidity 12% Investor relations 8% Financial communications 7% Dividend yield 0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% % of respondents who gave a 4 or 5 rating Corporate governance Transparency Disclosure Management access Regulation Liquidity Investor relations Financial communications Dividend yield 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1 2 3 4 5 Scale from 1 to 5, where 1 is low and five is high 11
  • 12. Corporate governance, disclosure and transparency remain top of mind and the most critical evaluating criteria when fund managers are making an investment decision. A number of respondents stressed the need for better reporting by Indian companies. Disclosure was highlighted as an area for potential improvement, but it was acknowledged that a lot of good work is already done by the larger companies and that this just needs to continue to develop. “Reporting standards can be quite weak for Indian companies.” “Reporting by companies is usually inversely proportional – with big companies having better structures in place in comparison to smaller ones that report inadequately.” “Reporting is an important consideration.” “Quality of financial disclosure is very important.” Management access ranked highly. Investors stressed the need to meet with management before making an investment decision. Furthermore, they also added that, on average, meetings with management in London or the home country are necessary at least twice a year. “Management access is always poor and an issue. We like to meet management at least two to three times a year.” “Compared to other emerging markets, there is poor access to management at Indian companies.” On the issue of dividend yield, this was ranked as a low priority by a majority of investors receiving a ranking of 1to 3 on a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is low and 5 high. While this may not be totally surprising, given the nature of a fast growing market like India, where share price appreciation is typically the focus, two investors did comment that Indian companies are not on par with other emerging markets in respect of dividend policy and payout. “India ranks worst in almost any emerging markets on the matter of dividend yield. I believe this is its greatest failing.” “Dividend yield is an issue. India’s atrocious policies on this are in stark contrast to those of other emerging markets, especially Brazil and Chile, where they have good payout ratios.” 12
  • 13. 7. Investment prospects by sector Consumer industries (14% of top ratings), financial services (12%), infrastructure (11%) and technology (9%) were highlighted as the most attractive sectors, although power (7%) and renewable energy (7%), if combined, would have ranked joint first. Consumer industries 14% Financial 12% Infrastructure 11% Technology 9% Renewable energy 7% Power 7% Healthcare 7% Industrials 6% Oil & gas 5% Metals and mining 5% Telecommunications 5% Transport 5% Leisure 2% Real Estate 2% Utilities 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% % of respondents who gave a 4 or 5 rating Consumer industries Financial Infrastructure Technology Renewable energy Power Healthcare Industrials Oil & gas Metals and mining Telecommunications Transport Leisure Real estate Utilities 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1 2 3 4 5 Scale from 1 to 5, where 1 is low and five is high 13
  • 14. 8. For what length of time do you usually hold Indian company investments? 67% of investors said that a one to three year period is the preferred term for holding investments. This was usually determined by a combination of factors, including investment policy, long term return potential and tax considerations. However, 29% said their time horizon was in excess of three years. 70% 60% 50% 67% 40% 30% 20% 29% 10% 5% 0% Under 12 months 1 – 3 years Over 3 years “We give management time to deliver results and the market to appreciate and correctly value it.” “We hold if the investment is performing in line with expectations.” “The generation of cash flows as expected, relative valuation and no “accidents” are all considerations for the length of tenure.” “The four things that matter to us are quality, value, change and valuations – these are the criteria we use in determining the term of an investment.” “We have a buy and hold approach, and invest for over five years. We don’t take these investments lightly.” 14
  • 15. Methodology The London Stock Exchange and Capital MSL conducted the research survey amongst key emerging market investors located in Europe to gauge current perceptions of investing in Indian companies from an equity investment perspective. The survey consisted of an online, quantitative survey and a number of telephone interviews with fund managers. A total of 30 fund managers participated in the survey which was conducted on an anonymous basis. The survey was undertaken in May and June 2011. 15
  • 16. Capital MSL 81 Whitfield Street London W1T 4HG Tel: +44 (0)20 7307 5330 Fax: +44 (0)20 7307 5331 www.capitalmsl.com 16