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The Internet in 2020

IGF-UA, Ukraine, 4 September 2010

Olivier Crépin-Leblond – ocl@gih.com
Ukraine Internet, May 1994
    Internet IP ( Moskow, AO Relcom, (M9) - 193.124.22.0)
    | | |
    | | +--193.125.68.131 (ns.carrier.kiev.ua) 19200 bps,
    | +--193.124.51.65 (ns.gu.kiev.ua) 19200 bps,
    |
    ++-193.124.57.65 (ktts.kharkov.ua) 19200 bps,
      |    this host has more than 20 (!) IP links in Kharkov
      |    and Donetsk (Ukraine).
      |
      |
      ++-193.124.65.254 (ukrcom.sebastopol.ua) 19200 bps
        +-193.124.53.65 (spider.cris.crimea.ua) 19200 bps
        +-193.124.52.20 (vista.odessa.ua)       19200 bps "

2
Infrastructure required
         for telecommunications
•Always connected “Data Glove” incorporating a
fully networked personal digital assistant
    •Possibility to consult pictures of area (like
    Google maps), to control drone aircraft
    directly or to access remote cameras
•Helmet-mounted Webcam, food, health and
GPS location device
•This is only addressable via IPv6



This will all be used in
 civilian applications!
                                                     Source: US Army Natick Systems

          3
Infrastructure required                                   These are the
for telecommunications                                  applications of the
•Always connected Personal Digital Assistant:                 future
    •Mobile phone (Apple iPhone & iPad, Nokia, HTC etc.)
    •Possibility to surf Web sites, but also use artificial intelligence for the
    digital assistant to automatically book tickets, shop, see pictures of area
    (like Google maps), to access remote cameras, and to find out about
    anything, anywhere. GPS location device with information about
    services. This is only addressable via IPv6!
•Law enforcement and civil protection
    •Police can use all of these services, and more, to ensure the safety of
    the population. Firemen can coordinate information more easily.
    Ambulances and emergency services will know more information before
    arriving on scene.
•Always online - Everywhere

          4
Future Solution – Internet everywhere




   In the future, communication will go everywhere


        5
IPv6 Sensors everywhere




6
The Smart Grid




7        Source: US National Institute of Standards & Technology
Internet essentials
     Today: human to human and human to device traffic

     Future that we know: a lot of device to device traffic
        Infrastructure has to be developed enough to support
        this
          • IPv6 addresses to many more devices than today
     We don’t know: Communication standards and all
     future services to be implemented

    What we need: User-centric Internet which respects the
        end to end principle and constitutes no barrier to
                           innovation

8
Don’t be afraid of change!

    Horse drawn carriages are history
    Today there’s a systemic barrier to the
    Internet’s Growth
      Laws and processes are designed to
      safeguard what is currently in place
      Baggage which, in some cases, will have to
      be changed
      Otherwise? The market will dictate change
      and it will find opportunities elsewhere

9
Internet in 2020?
Quotes – Vinton Cerf
US Scientist, widely known as one of the Fathers of the Internet

The Internet is based on a layered, end-to-end
model that allows people at each level of the
network to innovate free of any central control.
By placing intelligence at the edges rather than
control in the middle of the network, the Internet has
created a platform for innovation.
Science-fiction does not remain fiction for long, and
certainly not on the Internet.

     10
The Internet in 2020

            THANK YOU

Olivier Crépin-Leblond – ocl@gih.com

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The Internet in 2020 ukraine 20100904

  • 1. The Internet in 2020 IGF-UA, Ukraine, 4 September 2010 Olivier Crépin-Leblond – ocl@gih.com
  • 2. Ukraine Internet, May 1994 Internet IP ( Moskow, AO Relcom, (M9) - 193.124.22.0) | | | | | +--193.125.68.131 (ns.carrier.kiev.ua) 19200 bps, | +--193.124.51.65 (ns.gu.kiev.ua) 19200 bps, | ++-193.124.57.65 (ktts.kharkov.ua) 19200 bps, | this host has more than 20 (!) IP links in Kharkov | and Donetsk (Ukraine). | | ++-193.124.65.254 (ukrcom.sebastopol.ua) 19200 bps +-193.124.53.65 (spider.cris.crimea.ua) 19200 bps +-193.124.52.20 (vista.odessa.ua) 19200 bps " 2
  • 3. Infrastructure required for telecommunications •Always connected “Data Glove” incorporating a fully networked personal digital assistant •Possibility to consult pictures of area (like Google maps), to control drone aircraft directly or to access remote cameras •Helmet-mounted Webcam, food, health and GPS location device •This is only addressable via IPv6 This will all be used in civilian applications! Source: US Army Natick Systems 3
  • 4. Infrastructure required These are the for telecommunications applications of the •Always connected Personal Digital Assistant: future •Mobile phone (Apple iPhone & iPad, Nokia, HTC etc.) •Possibility to surf Web sites, but also use artificial intelligence for the digital assistant to automatically book tickets, shop, see pictures of area (like Google maps), to access remote cameras, and to find out about anything, anywhere. GPS location device with information about services. This is only addressable via IPv6! •Law enforcement and civil protection •Police can use all of these services, and more, to ensure the safety of the population. Firemen can coordinate information more easily. Ambulances and emergency services will know more information before arriving on scene. •Always online - Everywhere 4
  • 5. Future Solution – Internet everywhere In the future, communication will go everywhere 5
  • 7. The Smart Grid 7 Source: US National Institute of Standards & Technology
  • 8. Internet essentials Today: human to human and human to device traffic Future that we know: a lot of device to device traffic Infrastructure has to be developed enough to support this • IPv6 addresses to many more devices than today We don’t know: Communication standards and all future services to be implemented What we need: User-centric Internet which respects the end to end principle and constitutes no barrier to innovation 8
  • 9. Don’t be afraid of change! Horse drawn carriages are history Today there’s a systemic barrier to the Internet’s Growth Laws and processes are designed to safeguard what is currently in place Baggage which, in some cases, will have to be changed Otherwise? The market will dictate change and it will find opportunities elsewhere 9
  • 10. Internet in 2020? Quotes – Vinton Cerf US Scientist, widely known as one of the Fathers of the Internet The Internet is based on a layered, end-to-end model that allows people at each level of the network to innovate free of any central control. By placing intelligence at the edges rather than control in the middle of the network, the Internet has created a platform for innovation. Science-fiction does not remain fiction for long, and certainly not on the Internet. 10
  • 11. The Internet in 2020 THANK YOU Olivier Crépin-Leblond – ocl@gih.com