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Suresh Jayaraju
                  MVAS and Mobile Internet
                  Conflict and convergence
1   Issues in MVas


2   The New framework


3   Operating in the new frame
All is well with MVas India?




Source: IAMAI Mobile VAS Report April 2008
Issues
VAS Products Development

                     - Hurry, innovate    Revenue Models /
                     - Product Planning   Business Models
                     - User experience,
                     - Reporting




                                          - What's my count today
                                          - Incentivisation
                                          - NPD / R&D
                                          - Squeeze
Openness!

Most issues in VAS would cease to exist on open platforms like Desktop Internet




  Desktop Internet
  • Best products win
  • Choose products, not providers
  • Competition is just a click away
  • Entry with few $$’s                                  MVAS not
  • Ad’s reward products                              Open Platform like
                                                       desktop Internet
1   Issues in MVas


2   The New framework


3   Operating in the new frame
Emergence of a New Framework



             1. Proliferation of Mobile Internet

             2. Penetration of Smartphone's

             3. Development of Browsers



 • It’s a start
 • No one size fits all
 • Address India’s US and Japan First
1. Proliferation of Mobile Internet
Proliferation of Mobile Internet worldwide

                                                By the end of 2009…

                           200 million                                                240 million
                             Computer
                          Browsers Shipped                            <                   Mobile
                                                                                      Browsers Shipped




                                                                                     In 2011, Smartphone
                                                                                        search rates are
                                                                                      expected to exceed
                                                                                      PC search rates of
                                                                                             2007


                                                                                                           9

Source: IDC, comScore, IAB and Merrill Lynch Estimates, June 2008, Google Estimate
Google India Mobile Internet Growth

                                          Numbers Indexed for confidentiality

                                  250




                                  150



                                  100
                                 Q1, 09              Q2, 09                 Q3, 09




Active GPRS users estimated to    Google Mobile Search Inventory
        be 20to 25Mn                  growing at 60% QoQ /
 40% of Desktop Internet users       Quadrupling every year
The Metro PCS – “The leader in Unlimited”




• 51% YoY growth in its subscriber base - Q1 ’08 – ’09 ; the fastest % growth among all US
  operators
• Mobile Internet Offer:1 month of free web-access at sign-up, Flat rate unlimited data
  access thereafter (for $5 per month)
• Metro internet traffic grew >2.5x more quickly than another global carrier with 10 times
  as many users and a 3G network, Nearly half of Metro’s subscribers use the mobile
  Internet
Proliferation of Mobile Internet

   Mobile Internet traffic, Algeria 2008                                                              Mobile Internet traffic, Iran 2007-08

                                                                                                                                 Happy GPRS 2
                                                                                                                                    (24x7)
                                                                                                                      Happy
                                                                                                                      GPRS
                                                                                                                    (weekends)




        Algeria: Internet traffic spiked when                                                        Iran: Irancell internet traffic spiked when it
        Nedjma offered its subscribers “3MB                                                           introduced its “Happy GPRS weekends”
                 free every Friday”                                                                      plan-with near-free Internet access




           “Globally, half of all new Internet connections in 2009 will come from a
                                 phone” (eMarketer 2008, 2009)


* Note: (1) In all cases, we have used Google internal traffic data as a proxy for overall mobile browser traffic
       (2) Mobile subscriber data used in this analysis is from Informa / WCIS reports + individual company investor reports
Mobile Data Plans becoming affordable in India

                                            Unlimited Data Plans- 2009

                                                Mo
                                                  bile
                                                         Da
                                                           ta
                                                                pla
                                                                   n   pri
                                                                             ci n
                                                                                 ga
                                                                                      cro
                                                                                         ss
                                                                                              op
                                                                                                era
                                                                                                   t or
                                                                                                       s


     Data plans at Rs.98/- and 95/-          Expected downward spiral on data
 unlimited browsing is setting the stage                 prices
             for affordability



                     • Data Plan < 100 = 5X Google Mobile
                     • 5 New Operators
                     • 3G dream
                     • MNP
2. Penetration of Smartphones
Global Smartphone penetration

     70%                           In 2011, Smartphone search
            26%
                    5%             rates are expected to
                          20%      exceed PC search rates of
                                   2007

                                  0%
                                        11%
                                               46%    53%




 • US smart phone use grew 70% to 34 million
 • Smartphones account for roughly 20% of sales in N.A., a
   dramatic increase over the past year
 • 24% of smartphones in the world are in the US
iPhone & Android are Game Changers


Over 30 million iPhones sold to date     Several million Android Devices sold

Over 50,000 iPhone apps                  Ranked #2 in mobile web browsing
                                         In 5 short months
Over 1,000,000,000 app downloads
                                         Over 18 Android devices in market
Accounts for 50% of mobile web traffic
in US                                    in 2009
India Smartphone penetration



                        14

                        12                                                               Samsung Star
                                                                             Full touch screen, 3G browsing phone
                        10
       Volumes (in M)




                                                                                Available at sub Rs.10K in India
                         8

                         6
                                                       No device above 8k doing 1M+ volume
                         4

                         2       1 million

                         0
                             0   2k     4k   6k   8k       k     k     k       k     k     k     k     k     k     k     k
                                                         10    12    14      16    18    20    22    24    26    28    30
                                                                           INR (in k)
                                        Volumes of top devices at each price point, over 1 year



* Source: Operator/OEM survey plus data shared by partners
3. Development of Browsers
New Age Browsers - The Start of a Platform Transition

    Mobile WAP Browsing       Full Scale HTML Browsing




    • Optimized for mobile         • Comparable to PC

     • Minimal navigation         • Multiple page support

       • Quick loading              • Zoom in and out
                                                            19
What’s interesting about new age browsers

                             Phones now have
Android and iphone           • Eyes,
- Webkit platform , HTML5,   • Ears,
- Standardization            • Skin
 - Web apps                  • Location
 - Rich Media experience     • Motion sensor




  Google
Voice Search
1   Issues in MVas


2   The New framework


3   Operating in the new framework
Open Platforms and Products

Product Development
•Global footprint,
•Competition will be a click away
•Common Open Platform
•Certified tested products




Product Marketing

- Try n Buy

- SPAM?

- Product appeal and features
Revenue and Business Models
                          Direct, Indirect Streams
                          Multiple Streams
                          -   Ad revenue
                          -   Product sale,
                          -   Subscription
                          -   Pay per view/ Pay per use….


Partners in round table
-   Device OEMs,
-   Platform owners
-   Operators
-   Developers
-   Content providers
VAS was Internet Limited !.....

With Mobile Internet MVAS becomes unlimited
Thanks

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Google Represented at The Mobile VAS 2009

  • 1. Suresh Jayaraju MVAS and Mobile Internet Conflict and convergence
  • 2. 1 Issues in MVas 2 The New framework 3 Operating in the new frame
  • 3. All is well with MVas India? Source: IAMAI Mobile VAS Report April 2008
  • 4. Issues VAS Products Development - Hurry, innovate Revenue Models / - Product Planning Business Models - User experience, - Reporting - What's my count today - Incentivisation - NPD / R&D - Squeeze
  • 5. Openness! Most issues in VAS would cease to exist on open platforms like Desktop Internet Desktop Internet • Best products win • Choose products, not providers • Competition is just a click away • Entry with few $$’s MVAS not • Ad’s reward products Open Platform like desktop Internet
  • 6. 1 Issues in MVas 2 The New framework 3 Operating in the new frame
  • 7. Emergence of a New Framework 1. Proliferation of Mobile Internet 2. Penetration of Smartphone's 3. Development of Browsers • It’s a start • No one size fits all • Address India’s US and Japan First
  • 8. 1. Proliferation of Mobile Internet
  • 9. Proliferation of Mobile Internet worldwide By the end of 2009… 200 million 240 million Computer Browsers Shipped < Mobile Browsers Shipped In 2011, Smartphone search rates are expected to exceed PC search rates of 2007 9 Source: IDC, comScore, IAB and Merrill Lynch Estimates, June 2008, Google Estimate
  • 10. Google India Mobile Internet Growth Numbers Indexed for confidentiality 250 150 100 Q1, 09 Q2, 09 Q3, 09 Active GPRS users estimated to Google Mobile Search Inventory be 20to 25Mn growing at 60% QoQ / 40% of Desktop Internet users Quadrupling every year
  • 11. The Metro PCS – “The leader in Unlimited” • 51% YoY growth in its subscriber base - Q1 ’08 – ’09 ; the fastest % growth among all US operators • Mobile Internet Offer:1 month of free web-access at sign-up, Flat rate unlimited data access thereafter (for $5 per month) • Metro internet traffic grew >2.5x more quickly than another global carrier with 10 times as many users and a 3G network, Nearly half of Metro’s subscribers use the mobile Internet
  • 12. Proliferation of Mobile Internet Mobile Internet traffic, Algeria 2008 Mobile Internet traffic, Iran 2007-08 Happy GPRS 2 (24x7) Happy GPRS (weekends) Algeria: Internet traffic spiked when Iran: Irancell internet traffic spiked when it Nedjma offered its subscribers “3MB introduced its “Happy GPRS weekends” free every Friday” plan-with near-free Internet access “Globally, half of all new Internet connections in 2009 will come from a phone” (eMarketer 2008, 2009) * Note: (1) In all cases, we have used Google internal traffic data as a proxy for overall mobile browser traffic (2) Mobile subscriber data used in this analysis is from Informa / WCIS reports + individual company investor reports
  • 13. Mobile Data Plans becoming affordable in India Unlimited Data Plans- 2009 Mo bile Da ta pla n pri ci n ga cro ss op era t or s Data plans at Rs.98/- and 95/- Expected downward spiral on data unlimited browsing is setting the stage prices for affordability • Data Plan < 100 = 5X Google Mobile • 5 New Operators • 3G dream • MNP
  • 14. 2. Penetration of Smartphones
  • 15. Global Smartphone penetration 70% In 2011, Smartphone search 26% 5% rates are expected to 20% exceed PC search rates of 2007 0% 11% 46% 53% • US smart phone use grew 70% to 34 million • Smartphones account for roughly 20% of sales in N.A., a dramatic increase over the past year • 24% of smartphones in the world are in the US
  • 16. iPhone & Android are Game Changers Over 30 million iPhones sold to date Several million Android Devices sold Over 50,000 iPhone apps Ranked #2 in mobile web browsing In 5 short months Over 1,000,000,000 app downloads Over 18 Android devices in market Accounts for 50% of mobile web traffic in US in 2009
  • 17. India Smartphone penetration 14 12 Samsung Star Full touch screen, 3G browsing phone 10 Volumes (in M) Available at sub Rs.10K in India 8 6 No device above 8k doing 1M+ volume 4 2 1 million 0 0 2k 4k 6k 8k k k k k k k k k k k k 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 INR (in k) Volumes of top devices at each price point, over 1 year * Source: Operator/OEM survey plus data shared by partners
  • 18. 3. Development of Browsers
  • 19. New Age Browsers - The Start of a Platform Transition Mobile WAP Browsing Full Scale HTML Browsing • Optimized for mobile • Comparable to PC • Minimal navigation • Multiple page support • Quick loading • Zoom in and out 19
  • 20. What’s interesting about new age browsers Phones now have Android and iphone • Eyes, - Webkit platform , HTML5, • Ears, - Standardization • Skin - Web apps • Location - Rich Media experience • Motion sensor Google Voice Search
  • 21. 1 Issues in MVas 2 The New framework 3 Operating in the new framework
  • 22. Open Platforms and Products Product Development •Global footprint, •Competition will be a click away •Common Open Platform •Certified tested products Product Marketing - Try n Buy - SPAM? - Product appeal and features
  • 23. Revenue and Business Models Direct, Indirect Streams Multiple Streams - Ad revenue - Product sale, - Subscription - Pay per view/ Pay per use…. Partners in round table - Device OEMs, - Platform owners - Operators - Developers - Content providers
  • 24. VAS was Internet Limited !..... With Mobile Internet MVAS becomes unlimited