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Digital
transformation &
Innovation: how to
approach it?
Paulo Caroli
@paulocaroli
www.caroli.org
Product lifecycle
The 3Hs portfolio
Usefull models
Q&A
agenda
Product lifecycle
2. MVP
agenda
time
value
a product lifecycle
time
value
innovation
maturity
the S curve
time
value decline
Product lifecycle
The 3Hs portfolio
agenda
time
Horizon 1: stable
Horizon 2: emergent
Horizon 3: experiments
3 Hs
Investment
portfolio
based on
the 3 Horizons
But, what is a
portfolio?
Portfolio is a collection
of projects, programs
and other initiatives,
grouped to facilitate the
management of
organizational strategic
actions.
time
value
time
value
time
value
time
value
time
value
time
value
H1 investiments
60 %
time
value
H2 investiments
30 %
time
value
H3 investiments
10 %
time
value
10 %
30 %
60 %
3 Hs investment
example
H1
H2
H3
H3
experiments
H2
emergent
H1
stable
Product lifecycle
The 3Hs portfolio
Usefull models
agenda
3 Hs
3 Hs
H1
H1
stable
time
value
innovation
maturity
maturity
Some team built it,
We run it and make $
It is more traditional
Project oriented
Project
planning
Project execution
time
value
innovation
maturity
going down
time
value
Cost to maintain
and operate
going down
How to prioritize
projects, products,
or features?
CoD
Cost of Delay
Image from http://blackswanfarming.com
A
B
$10k per
week
$20k per
week
CoD
CoD
CD3
Cost of Delay
Divided by Duration
A
B
$10k per
week
$20k per
week
1 week
4 weeks
10k
5k
CoD Duration CD3
CD3 = CoD / Duration
3 Hs
3 Hs
H2
H2
emergent
time
value
innovation
growth
Digital
transformation
Product
over projects
1 3
4
5
6
2
http://www.chrisyin.com/images/spotify-mvp.png
time
value persevere
time
valuepivot or cancel
What is MVP?
MVP
What is MVP?
MVP
Usable
It’s Hard to Agree!
Jeff Patton drew this diagram and included it
in his book, “User Story Mapping.”
DEVELOPERS
QUALITY
Working together
Lean
Inception
www.caroli.org/diretoaoponto/
requisitos requisitos requisitosrequisitos requisitos requisitos
On building
stable products
and stable teams
3 Hs
3 Hs
H3
time
value
innovation
innovation
This is
real innovation
Experimentation
oriented
https://www.leanstartupmachine.com/
H1
H2
H3
time
value
10 %
30 %
60 %
What about your
investments?
3 Hs
H2H1
3 Hs
H3
“All models are wrong, but
some are usefull” Box, George
3 Hs 3 Hs
Success ->
Product lifecycle
The 3Hs portfolio
Usefull models
Q&A
agenda
Thank You!
Paulo Caroli
@paulocaroli
www.caroli.org/
www.caroli.org
twitter.com/paulocaroli
facebook.com/paulo.caroli
linkedin.com/in/paulocaroli
www.caroli.org

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Digital Transformation & Innovation: how to approach it?