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SCENARIO PLANNING
& STRATEGIC AGILITY
MANAGING UNCERTAINTY IN A
FAST-CHANGING WORLD
Paulo Soeiro Carvalho
www.ifmasterclasses.com
How to
Explore and
Act in a
turbulent,
unpredictable
and
exponential
future!
We can’t
Predict the Future
We can think about
Alternative Future(s)
We have our
Assumptions
about the Future
Time
Scenario 2
Scenario 4
Scenario 3
Scenario 1
(GEO)POLITICS SECURITY
ENVIRONMENTECONOMY
TECHNOLOGYECONOMY
5
MEGATRENDS
Surfing the Big Waves
Hacking
Humans
Growing
Innequality
Future
of Work
AI
Augmented
Digital
Ethics
Creativity and
Emotional Resillience
Digital Pollution &
AddictionEverything
as a Service
Planet
Centricity
Human
Centricity
Liquid
Economy
X @ Distance
COLLIDING
SPACES
8
Weak Signals
WILDCARD
S
10
UNCERTAINTIE
S
SCANNING, SENSING
AND ACTING ©
A powerful strategic foresight framework for
organizations to think and act on the future
Strategic Focus
and Time Horizon
Scanning to the Core:
From the Global to the
Transactional Environment
From Megatrends, Wild
Cards, Weak Signals,
and Uncertainties to a
“Scanning Dashboard”
Strategic Vision
Strategy Development
Strategic Design
New Business
Development
Strategic Innovation
Organisational Learning
Exploring Critical
Uncertainties and
Building Scenarios for
the Future
Anticipate Trends, face
Uncertainties, build future
Scenarios and use this to
improve your approach to
Strategy and Innovation
Paulo Soeiro Carvalho
(Founder & CEO, IF Insight & Foresight)
KEY FACTS
Online
12 hours
6 Sessions
15, 17, 19, 22, 24 & 26 June
5.30pm-7.30pm (Lisbon Time)
SCENARIO PLANNING & STRATEGIC AGILITY
www.ifmasterclasses.com
info@ifforesight.com

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