This document outlines 20 trends that will define communities and businesses over the next decade. Some of the key trends discussed include: the aging populations in China and other regions driving increased automation and a move up the manufacturing value chain; the growth of robotics and how machines will take on more autonomous roles; the reinvention of entertainment through augmented and virtual reality technologies; and how payment systems and platforms will continue to evolve with the rise of big data and an increasingly connected world.

1. Twenty trends for 2020
Twenty trends for 2020
the decade’s defining forces

2. • The inventor of the world wide web, Tim Berners-Lee was in
Sydney a few weeks ago and said “I never make predictions
on trends. That’s for fools.”
• I am that fool.
• We’re in a time of great technology change, and of social and
economic change as well. These are creating trends that will
define our communities and businesses over the rest of our
decade.
• This is not just about technology, although those changes are
going to have great effects on society. Where technology is
made is the beginning of this.
Tim Berners-Leehttp://www.flickr.com/tanaka

3. Proudly designed in Dandong
• Japan lead the way over the 1950 and 60s where their products were seen as
substandard.
• Eventually they moved up the supply chain and today Japan leads the world in many
manufacturing and design sectors.
• We’re now seeing that in Korea with Samsung, LG and others leading their markets.
• Next is china
• part of what is driving this is China’s aging population, there’s a risk that will become old
before it becomes rich.
• sex imbalances as well
• Chinese governments are aware of this and recognise the need to move up the value chain
quickly.
• http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2013/01/growth-and-china?fsrc=rss

4. Gangnam clip

5. aging workforces
• This is not just a Chinese problem, it is
also one for southern Europe, Russia,
North America and, most of all Japan

7. robotics and automation
• The Japanese response has been increased automation, so
now we’re seeing companies releasing new equipment that
works autonomously.
• We thought machines would look like robots in Lost In Space.
• Better than human – Kevin Kelly
• Will a robot take your job? – Gary Marcus
• Robots and robber barons – Paul Krugman
• Myth of the jobless recovery – Matt Yglesias
• The end of labor – Timothy Noah

8. internet of machines
• computers, and robots talk.
• the social media enabled jet engine
• Internet enabled fridge

9. the reinvention of entertainment –
kinetic, google goggles, AR
• older technologies like Radio and movies
morph around these new technologies
• in a crowd while alone in our room
• movies and theatres have always been a
social experience
Noah Zerkin

10. The role of cash
• Payment systems
• Sorting out payment platforms
• Brad King – speaking
• Africa ..

11. 3D printer image

12. Robohand
• http://mashable.com/2013/02/13/robohand/

13. Noise of the internet
• Big Data, big brother -- Described as a
Buzzword tsunami
• we are going to have to deal with this.

14. the flat organization
• the cult of responsiblity
• responsibility back in fashion
• the death of the corporation –
• I’m joking but we’re going to see a major
change
• http://techcrunch.com/2013/01/27/marc-
andreessen-on-the-future-of-the-enterprise/

15. NOT business as usual