Blog – Geopolitical Events and Risk Management – COVID19 Pandemic Canada has less than 15% of its population fully vaccinated. Canada GDP continues to face many challenges as part of the new normal. Blog – Geopolitical Events and Risk Management – COVID19 Pandemic 1. Issues with supply chain - https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/will-supply-chain-disruptions-remain-an-obstacle-to-growth/?_ga=2.245076229.1453762003.1627501104-397216281.1627089954 2. Vaccination rollout – Israel offering booster shots - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/29/israel-to-offer-pfizer-booster-jab-to-the-over 3. 4b+ dosages given out - https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/ 4. Post COVID19 era - https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/strategy-and-corporate-finance/our-insights/the-coronavirus-effect-on-global-economic-sentiment 5. GDP - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-u-s-grew-6-5-in-the-spring-gdp-shows-as-the-economy-rallied-from-covid-11627562450 6. Gaps - https://blogs.imf.org/2021/07/27/drawing-further-apart-widening-gaps-in-the-global-recovery/ 7. New Variants - https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3142704/new-covid-19-variants-prompt-imf-slash-china-emerging-asia 8. Geopolitical Risks - https://globalriskinsights.com/ 9. Inflation - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/imf-warns-that-inflation-could-prove-to-be-persistent.html 10. Robotic Carpenters - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-how-robot-carpenters-could-help-solve-canadas-housing-crisis/ 11. Debt - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/economics/video/economist-who-predicated-the-last-financial-crisis-warns-of-a-debt-bubble-pop-amid-the-covid-19~1924800 12. Housing crisis - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/40-cities-could-poised-housing-110000460.html 13. Housing - https://www.politico.eu/home-truths-europes-housing-challenge/ 14. Climate change - https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/climate-change-has-raised-tricky-questions-over-policy-responses-11627402453792.html 15. Canada still has less than 15% of its population fully-vaccinated - https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2021/health/global-covid-vaccinations/

1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS – VACCINES
ROLLOUT – W/E JULY 31, 2021
Paul Young CPA CGA
July 31, 2021

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga

3. AGENDA
• Cases
• Deaths
• Vaccinations by country
• Vaccinations / Delivery
• Vaccines / Approval
• Vaccinations / Procurement
• Employment – January 2021 (USA vs Canada)
• Unemployment (Canada vs OECD and G7)
• Global GDP / Forecast
• Blog – Crisis Management
• Blog – New Normal
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
• Training/Development

4. CASES
Source -
https://www.nbc.ca/en/rates-
and-analysis/economic-
analysis.html
covid19-daily-monito
r_20213107.pdf

5. DEATHS
Source -
https://www.nbc.ca/en/rates
-and-analysis/economic-
analysis.html

6. DOSAGE
Source -
https://www.nbc.ca/en/r
ates-and-
analysis/economic-
analysis.html

7. DOSAGE
Source -
https://www.nbc.ca/en/r
ates-and-
analysis/economic-
analysis.html

8. VACCINES
APPROVAL
Source -
https://www.nytimes.com/inter
active/2020/science/coronaviru
s-vaccine-tracker.html

9. PROCUREMENT
/
VACCINATIONS
Source -
https://launchandscalefaster.or
g/COVID-19

10. VACCINATION DOSAGE
Source - https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/tracking-coronavirus-
across-the-world

11. PROCUREMENT VACCINATIONS
• Issues with EMEA supply chain - https://www.wsj.com/articles/vaccine-manufacturing-issues-force-moderna-
to-cut-supplies-to-canada-u-k-11618600046
• Establishing a hub - https://www.who.int/news-room/articles-detail/establishment-of-a-covid-19-mrna-
vaccine-technology-transfer-hub-to-scale-up-global-manufacturing
• India and vaccine production - https://www.reuters.com/world/india/indias-vaccinations-fall-peak-infections-
hit-record-2021-04-16/
• South Korea and production - https://www.reuters.com/world/india/indias-vaccinations-fall-peak-infections-
hit-record-2021-04-16/
• Biden and vaccinations - https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/covid-19-tracker-johnson-johnson-aims-to-
test-shot-kids-president-trump-talks-firing-fauci
• Production - https://www.livemint.com/topic/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker
• Half of California have at least one shot - https://www.vancouverisawesome.com/coronavirus-covid-19-
national-news/the-latest-half-eligible-californians-have-at-least-1-shot-3634318

12. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT

13. EMPLOYMEN
T – MAY
2021
SOURCE - HTTPS://WWW150.STATCAN.GC.CA/N1/DAILY-QUOTIDIEN/210709/DQ210709A-
ENG.HTM

14. GDP – CANADA VS USA
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5d512b38-
d983-47d7-b6e9-a343cbe5c8a7/
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/7e369473-72c6-44b5-8f75-
7f848fab76da/ or https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/141d2bb1-5de8-4baf-
9084-a73d6f4bd186 or /
GDP – Canada by Industry – May 2021 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-naics-may-2021

15. GDP FORECAST
Source – Scotiabank
Here is my latest work - Blog – Canada –
Economic and Fiscal Scorecard – May 2021
and June 2021
- High inflation here to stay for a while.
- High cost of housing (lack of affordable
options.
- Issues with getting goods out of the
ground to market.
- Risk of a brain drain.
- Inability of all levels of government to
build a resilient supply chain
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/c
anada-economic-and-fiscal-scorecard-may-
2021-and-june-2021

16. CANADA UNEMPLOYMENT VS OECD
Source - https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-unemployment-is-55-higher-than-g7-
average-oecd/

17. BLOG – CRISIS MANAGEMENT
There are emergency management
depts for a reason. So, why has
emergency management not been
subjected to annual audits as part of
scrutinization when it comes to
geopolitical events?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/crisis-and-emergency-management-
how-best-to-manage-risk

18. AUDIT REPORT / CANADA PANDEMIC
Crisis Management
Auditor/Report
Despite nearly two decades of warnings, planning and government spending, the
Public Health Agency of Canada was not ready for the global pandemic and did not
appreciate the threat it posed in its early stages, Canada's auditor general says.
In a hard-hitting review released today, Auditor General Karen Hogan took the
country's primary pandemic response agency to task for failures in early warning,
surveillance, risk assessments, data-sharing with the provinces and follow-up on
Canadian travelers who were ordered into quarantine.
"The agency was not adequately prepared to respond to the pandemic, and it
underestimated the potential impact of the virus at the onset of the pandemic," said
the AG's review — one of three that looked at the Liberal government's management
of the COVID-19 crisis, which as of Thursday had killed 22,780 Canadians and
brought the country's economy to its knees.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/auditor-general-pandemic-covid-phac-1.5963895
Here is my work on crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-be-audited-reports-of-
crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures

19. NEW NORMAL
Here are many links on great work by Mckinsey Group - https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/coronavirus-
leading-through-the-crisis?cid=other-eml-nsl-mip-
mck&hlkid=e220291424cb421991e4e6a3b37ecb2d&hctky=11493232&hdpid=b812b692-ed48-496d-a1e4-
9eb133561e6b#
I can add a bit more color in terms of what needs to transpire:
1. Careers in demand are those that are in areas like skills trades or healthcare or Information technology.
2. World continues to grow public sector employment at higher rate than the goods-producing sector.
3. Targeting policies that will support the reshoring of key parts of the supply chain.
4. Better balance between regulations when it comes to supporting getting goods to market.
5. More targeted focus of customers on areas like customer success to better help drive transformation of both the
public and private sectors.
6. Information technology will play a key role in terms of transforming the economy.
7. Fixing issues with global trade including the elimination of protectionism policies.
8. Reforming taxation including transforming tax acts as well as closing-down tax havens.
9. Reforming the housing market to ensure it is more affordable.
10. Reforming the size of government as part of moving to a digital model
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-canada-and-the-world-february-2021-242414576

20. SUPPLY CHAIN
@SeanFraserMP you would think that your government would support made-in Canada solutions or is it just doublespeak
from you and your govt? https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/nova-scotia-company-that-retooled-
factory-to-make-medical-gowns-loses-new-tender-267567/
Meanwhile, Biden is moving with identifying strategic parts of the supply chain! The target is areas like rare earths, chips,
medical supplies, and other areas that are important to health of the USA economy.
https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3123943/making-us-supply-chains-stronger-bidens-policies-may-end-
looking or https://nationalinterest.org/feature/biden%E2%80%99s-supply-chain-executive-order-doesn%E2%80%99t-
boost-defense-industrial-base%E2%80%94and-%E2%80%99s-ok-179124
My work - Mar/21 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-reshore-supply-chain-management

21. NEXT PANDEMIC
Source - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/g20-leaders-urged-at-
global-health-summit-to-take-bold-action-to-prevent-future-pandemics-
868068233.html
TORONTO, May 21, 2021 /CNW/ - As G20 leaders meet for a Global Health Summit, the global
charity World Animal Protection is urging them to prioritize pandemic prevention and to curb the
global commercial wildlife trade due to its role in this pandemic and previous epidemics.
How come you never demand performance audits from @WHO
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-importance-of-
value-for-money-and-perfomance-based-audits

22. RISK MANAGEMENT
Blog – Managing Data as part of Mitigating Geopolitical Risks –
Private and Public Sector
• This ties nicely into my many blogs around how best to
managed data as it relates to geopolitical events:
• Audit and Risk Analytics
https://ibm.ent.box.com/folder/116292560123
• Crisis and Emergency Management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0

23. SUMMARY
• More needs to be done to open up the economy in a safe way - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-can-both-the-
public-and-private-sectors-mitigate-geopolitical-risks
• The new normal is here to stay as both public and private sector cannot afford another shutdown that happen with COVID19 -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-the-global-economy-january-2021
• Accounting associations around the world need to push for mandatory audits of risk and crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/interna-audit-operational-and-performance-audit-outlook-2021-and-beyong
• The world is heading for a debt crisis - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/debt-issues-global-debt-crisis-analysis-and-
commentary
• Macro/Micro Indicators for the United States - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/key-macro-and-micro-indicators-
united-states-february-2021-245192755
• All levels of government need to work together to better support the private sector -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-fix-competitiveness-through-government-policy
• Trudeau and vaccines-” The doses from India were available due to the generosity of the Indian government and the
cancellation of contracts by countries like South Africa. These American doses aren’t being released out of true friendship with
Canada and Mexico, the Biden administration has been as protectionist on the vaccine front as the Trump administration.” -
https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/lilley-canada-gets-extra-doses-but-it-aint-due-to-trudeau

24. REOPENING THE ECONOMY
1. Many countries continue to struggle with the vaccination of its people - https://www.ft.com/content/a2901ce8-5eb7-4633-b89c-
cbdf5b386938
2. Rise of inflation around the globe - https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook/weekly-
update.html
3. Top re-opening stocks - https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/ready-global-economy-reopening-buy-155953883.html
4. Korea’s exports - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-20/korea-early-exports-surge-as-vaccines-spur-global-
reopening
5. GDP - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-21/charting-the-global-economy-u-s-europe-breaking-free-of-virus
6. Supply chain issues - https://www.ttnews.com/articles/world-economy-suddenly-running-low-everything
7. Job Quality issues - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/job-crisis-in-canada-may-2021
8. Small to medium size enterprises - While very large companies dominate news headlines in the manufacturing space, a new survey taking the pulse
of small firms indicates that nearly two in three expect business growth over the next six months — a night-and-day difference from a year earlier.
Link: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-small-medium-size-manufacturers-expecting-growth-paul-young/?published=t
9. Robot orders jumped 20 per cent in North America in the first quarter of 2021 over the same period in 2020, says a new report from the
Association for Advancing Automation (A3).There were spikes in orders from companies in metals (up 86 per cent), life
sciences/pharmaceutical/biomed (up 72 per cent), food and consumer goods (up 32 per cent), and other non-automotive industries (12 per cent)
Link - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-robotic-purchases-expanded-1q21-automation-paul-young/?published=t
10. New Normal
1. Merkel is working with WHO on an early warning Hub.
2. Too many governments are pushing the green agenda at all costs.
3. China continues to be in the driver seat.

25. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning, and
development then feel
free to review my material
on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies