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© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN
Uh Oh.
The Million Dollar
Optimization Strategy
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com3
André Morys
@morys
© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
5.8 bn ! Retail / Lead-Volume
4
0
1,5
3
4,5
6
2008 2010 2012
CRO Volumen (Mrd. !)
@morys
© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
115 Conversion Experts in 15 Offices worldwide
5
Web Arts is founder of the
worldwide alliance of leading
conversion optimization
companies
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Agenda today
6
1.Don‘t call it „Conversion Rate Optimization“
2.Optimization is not Testing.
3.Don‘t let the numbers lie to you. (Case Study)
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Growth of Top 10 e-Commerce Ventures in 5 Years (DE)
15
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com16
Part I:
It‘s about Growth, stupid.
Who has a business plan for CRO?
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com18
Do You Have a Business Plan for Your CRO Strategy?
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Profit Margin
20
Opportunity Cost:
! 500‘ Profit
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Challenge needed?
21
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Compare the effect of two optimization strategies:
22
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Profit Margin
24
Opportunity Cost:
! 2.2mProfit
@morys
© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Now you can re-invest ! 2.2m in
optimization...
25
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #1
‣It‘s not about conversion rates. It‘s about
GROWTH.
‣ Set your goals properly.
‣ Measure your optimization efficiency.
‣ Average Uplift per Test
‣ Amount of Tests per Year
‣ Cumulated Uplift per Year
‣ Test Success Rate
‣ ROI per Test (%)
26
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com27
„If you
double the number
of experiments
you do per year you're going to
double your
inventiveness“
Jeff Bezos, CEO amazon, 2004
© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
0
300
600
900
1200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
The Zalando Effect?
28
@morys
© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
So, what‘s the problem?
29
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
For a 25% Compounded Global CR Increase, You Need...
30
2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 10 Tests à 2.5%?
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 Tests à 5%?
5 5 5 5 5
20 Tests à 5%
and 50%
success rate?5 5 5 5 5
Problem #1:
Organizations are too lame
to execute 20 tests per year.
Problem #2:
This is really expensive and
complex. Organizations hate
both.
Problem #3:
Most CMOs still prefer to
buy 25% more traffic.
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Why only 5% average uplift per test?
32
‣In the last case study, they talked about 45%
Uplift!
-> E-Commerce conversion rate is not email
subscription or download CR.
‣My last test had 33% Uplift!
-> Was it real? Don‘t confuse statistical
significance with validity. Tests should run
around 4 weeks for a sufficient sample size.
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com33
A/B Test Result
Reality
„I can‘t feel the uplift!“
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com34
Testresults - Significance versus Validity
1 week
500 vs. 550 conversions
+10% Uplift
significant - wohoo!
2 weeks
1000 vs. 1030 conversions
+3% Uplift
not significant - :-(
Run your experiments longer to get valid insights!
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com43
A/B
Testing
70% don‘t know that there is a Phase 2
20% have no answer
10% have an idea how to reach Phase 3
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
KPI: Average E-Commerce CR Uplift per Template Type
44
0 %
2,5 %
5 %
7,5 %
10 %
Homepage Category Product Page Cart Checkout Site Wide
9,81 %
7,3 %
6,59 %
9,28 %
6,35 %
3,32 %
Average Uplift by Template Type (n= 134)
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #2
‣Growth is about effectiveness.
‣ To increase real CR, you need many really good test results.
‣ Average Uplift per Test influences your growth directly.
‣ So: Do the right things!
‣ Don‘t do it too fast.
‣ Don‘t test everything. It is expensive.
45
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com46
Part II:
Where do good optimization ideas
come from?
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com47
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com50
where would you buy?
why?
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com51
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com52
quantitative qualitative
How much? Why?
♥︎
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com53
Traffic
Website
Web
Analytics
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com54
Traffic
Website
Web
Analytics
Click
Hand
Motor Control
prefrontal Cortex
Limbic System
Perception
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Test: facebook Acount Deaktivierung
58
@morys
ROI
„I have to buy it.“
Brand, Habits
„I want to buy it.“
Motivation, Emotion
„I can buy it.“
Usability, Accessability,
Visibility
Focus on Consumer Behavior
@morys
© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com60
Factors, that influence the chance of conversion, can be
identified with a conversion framework
7E Framework
@morys
You are too dumb to
buy here.
@morys
@morys
@morys
© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com81
Conversion Optimization means:
„Get a relevant unique value
proposition in the users mind.“
good feeling
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #3
82
‣It is not hard to implement a testing tool. It‘s hard
to find the right things to optimize.
‣ Find out, what really motivates users.
‣ Use different qualitative methods, like user research, personas, etc.
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Conversion DMAIC®
Lean Innovation Process by Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
83
quantitative
qualtitative
LEARN
BACKLOG
CONTROL
IMPROVE ANALYSE
DEFINE
MEASURE
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com84
#1
Is the change bold enough
that it will be perceived by
users?
#2
Does the variation have
enough contrast to change
the behavior of users?
#3
Does it use psychological /
social principles?
#4
Is it situated on the primary
path of conversion?
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #4
85
‣Always prioritize your testing hypothesis!
‣ Optimization is not trial and error.
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com86
Part III:
Measure The Right Stuff.
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN
Control Template Discount Value Prop.
143 %
114 %113 %
100 %
Visitor - Order Conversion (relative)
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN
Control Basis Preis QualitätControl Template Discount Value Prop.
291 %
204 %
243 %
100 %
Return rate (relative)
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN
Control Basis Preis QualitätControl Basis Preis QualitätControl Template Discount Value Prop.
122,2 %
87,1 %
102,3 %
100 %
Profit Contribution (relative)
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #5
96
‣Measure economical KPIs.
‣ Don‘t try to get them statistical significant.
‣ Conversion goal = organisations goal
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com
Five Pillars of Growth Strategy:
1. CRO -> Growth.
2. Efficiency -> Effectiveness.
3. Prioritize Hypotheses.
4. Motivate users.
5. Measure the right stuff.
It makes a difference.
97
@morys
„If it doesn‘t sell,
it isn‘t creative.“
David Ogilvy
@morys
© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com99
André Morys
CEO
Web Arts AG
andre.morys@web-arts.com
Tel. +49.6172.68097-15
www.web-arts.com
Thank You!

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The Million Dollar Optimization Strategy - Andre Morys - ConversionXL Live 2015

  • 1. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN Uh Oh. The Million Dollar Optimization Strategy
  • 2. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com3 André Morys @morys
  • 3. © Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com 5.8 bn ! Retail / Lead-Volume 4 0 1,5 3 4,5 6 2008 2010 2012 CRO Volumen (Mrd. !) @morys
  • 4. © Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com 115 Conversion Experts in 15 Offices worldwide 5 Web Arts is founder of the worldwide alliance of leading conversion optimization companies @morys
  • 5. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Agenda today 6 1.Don‘t call it „Conversion Rate Optimization“ 2.Optimization is not Testing. 3.Don‘t let the numbers lie to you. (Case Study) @morys
  • 6. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Growth of Top 10 e-Commerce Ventures in 5 Years (DE) 15
  • 7. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com16 Part I: It‘s about Growth, stupid.
  • 8. Who has a business plan for CRO?
  • 9. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com18 Do You Have a Business Plan for Your CRO Strategy? @morys
  • 10. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Profit Margin 20 Opportunity Cost: ! 500‘ Profit @morys
  • 11. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Challenge needed? 21 @morys
  • 12. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Compare the effect of two optimization strategies: 22 @morys
  • 13. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Profit Margin 24 Opportunity Cost: ! 2.2mProfit @morys
  • 14. © Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Now you can re-invest ! 2.2m in optimization... 25 @morys
  • 15. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #1 ‣It‘s not about conversion rates. It‘s about GROWTH. ‣ Set your goals properly. ‣ Measure your optimization efficiency. ‣ Average Uplift per Test ‣ Amount of Tests per Year ‣ Cumulated Uplift per Year ‣ Test Success Rate ‣ ROI per Test (%) 26 @morys
  • 16. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com27 „If you double the number of experiments you do per year you're going to double your inventiveness“ Jeff Bezos, CEO amazon, 2004
  • 17. © Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com 0 300 600 900 1200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 The Zalando Effect? 28 @morys
  • 18. © Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com So, what‘s the problem? 29
  • 19. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com For a 25% Compounded Global CR Increase, You Need... 30 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 10 Tests à 2.5%? 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 Tests à 5%? 5 5 5 5 5 20 Tests à 5% and 50% success rate?5 5 5 5 5 Problem #1: Organizations are too lame to execute 20 tests per year. Problem #2: This is really expensive and complex. Organizations hate both. Problem #3: Most CMOs still prefer to buy 25% more traffic. @morys
  • 20. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Why only 5% average uplift per test? 32 ‣In the last case study, they talked about 45% Uplift! -> E-Commerce conversion rate is not email subscription or download CR. ‣My last test had 33% Uplift! -> Was it real? Don‘t confuse statistical significance with validity. Tests should run around 4 weeks for a sufficient sample size.
  • 21. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com33 A/B Test Result Reality „I can‘t feel the uplift!“ @morys
  • 22. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com34 Testresults - Significance versus Validity 1 week 500 vs. 550 conversions +10% Uplift significant - wohoo! 2 weeks 1000 vs. 1030 conversions +3% Uplift not significant - :-( Run your experiments longer to get valid insights! @morys
  • 23. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com43 A/B Testing 70% don‘t know that there is a Phase 2 20% have no answer 10% have an idea how to reach Phase 3 @morys
  • 24. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com KPI: Average E-Commerce CR Uplift per Template Type 44 0 % 2,5 % 5 % 7,5 % 10 % Homepage Category Product Page Cart Checkout Site Wide 9,81 % 7,3 % 6,59 % 9,28 % 6,35 % 3,32 % Average Uplift by Template Type (n= 134) @morys
  • 25. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #2 ‣Growth is about effectiveness. ‣ To increase real CR, you need many really good test results. ‣ Average Uplift per Test influences your growth directly. ‣ So: Do the right things! ‣ Don‘t do it too fast. ‣ Don‘t test everything. It is expensive. 45 @morys
  • 26. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com46 Part II: Where do good optimization ideas come from? @morys
  • 27. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com47
  • 28. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com50 where would you buy? why?
  • 29. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com51
  • 30. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com52 quantitative qualitative How much? Why? ♥︎
  • 31. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com53 Traffic Website Web Analytics
  • 32. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com54 Traffic Website Web Analytics Click Hand Motor Control prefrontal Cortex Limbic System Perception
  • 33. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Test: facebook Acount Deaktivierung 58 @morys
  • 34. ROI „I have to buy it.“ Brand, Habits „I want to buy it.“ Motivation, Emotion „I can buy it.“ Usability, Accessability, Visibility Focus on Consumer Behavior @morys
  • 35. © Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com60 Factors, that influence the chance of conversion, can be identified with a conversion framework 7E Framework @morys
  • 36. You are too dumb to buy here.
  • 40. © Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com81 Conversion Optimization means: „Get a relevant unique value proposition in the users mind.“ good feeling @morys
  • 41. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #3 82 ‣It is not hard to implement a testing tool. It‘s hard to find the right things to optimize. ‣ Find out, what really motivates users. ‣ Use different qualitative methods, like user research, personas, etc. @morys
  • 42. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Conversion DMAIC® Lean Innovation Process by Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com 83 quantitative qualtitative LEARN BACKLOG CONTROL IMPROVE ANALYSE DEFINE MEASURE @morys
  • 43. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com84 #1 Is the change bold enough that it will be perceived by users? #2 Does the variation have enough contrast to change the behavior of users? #3 Does it use psychological / social principles? #4 Is it situated on the primary path of conversion? @morys
  • 44. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #4 85 ‣Always prioritize your testing hypothesis! ‣ Optimization is not trial and error. @morys
  • 45. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com86 Part III: Measure The Right Stuff. @morys
  • 46. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN Control Template Discount Value Prop. 143 % 114 %113 % 100 % Visitor - Order Conversion (relative)
  • 47. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN Control Basis Preis QualitätControl Template Discount Value Prop. 291 % 204 % 243 % 100 % Return rate (relative)
  • 48. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN Control Basis Preis QualitätControl Basis Preis QualitätControl Template Discount Value Prop. 122,2 % 87,1 % 102,3 % 100 % Profit Contribution (relative)
  • 49. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #5 96 ‣Measure economical KPIs. ‣ Don‘t try to get them statistical significant. ‣ Conversion goal = organisations goal @morys
  • 50. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com Five Pillars of Growth Strategy: 1. CRO -> Growth. 2. Efficiency -> Effectiveness. 3. Prioritize Hypotheses. 4. Motivate users. 5. Measure the right stuff. It makes a difference. 97 @morys
  • 51. „If it doesn‘t sell, it isn‘t creative.“ David Ogilvy @morys
  • 52. © Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com99 André Morys CEO Web Arts AG andre.morys@web-arts.com Tel. +49.6172.68097-15 www.web-arts.com Thank You!