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ABC Inc.

Initial findings and restructuring plan

April XX, 2008
Contents


          Overview                                                                                 3

          Executive summary                                                                        4

          Performance analysis (Financial)                                                         7

          Performance analysis (Operations)                                                      19

          Restructuring plan                                                                     24

          Appendix A                                                                             27




                                              © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
    ABC Inc.
2
Overview


• ABC Inc. (“ABC” or the “Company”) has experienced a rapid downturn in its sales volume and has, for the first
  time, missed the expected financing covenants with its financial partners. These events have put pressure on the
  Company’s finances and caused management to question the present financial and operational structure.
• As such, Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. (“Deloitte”) has been hired by the Company to analyze its
  current financial situation and to recommend ways to improve cash flow and thus return the Company to the
  desired level of profitability.
• The following report outlines initial findings. The majority of findings are supported by a series of analyses. Other
  findings and recommendations presented are based on interviews with management and other on-site
  observations.
• Management has requested that portions of this report be communicated to the principal financial stakeholders and
  that Deloitte assist management in the preparation and the implementation of a communication strategy.




    Management of the Company has prepared the prospective financial information referred to herein to present the revised forecast for 2007-2008, the cash
    flow and borrowing base. Therefore management is solely responsible for representations about its plans and expectations and for disclosure of significant
    information that might affect the ultimate realization of the prospective financial information. Deloitte has not expressed any opinion or other form or
    assurance on this information or its feasibility or its achievability and assumes no responsibility for, and disclaims any association with the prospective financial
    information. This information is not fact and should not be relied upon as being necessarily indicative of future results, and readers of this report are cautioned
    not to place reliance on the prospective financial information. The assumptions and estimates underlying management’s prospective financial information are
    inherently uncertain and, though considered reasonable by management as of the date of its preparation, are subject to a wide variety of significant business,
    economic and competitive risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the prospective financial
    information.




                                                                                                 © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
       ABC Inc.
3
Executive Summary
The following serves as a summary of key issues identified to date:


General overview       • The US economy’s downturn began around August 2007 and, as financial markets became unstable,
                         consumer spending tightened such that retail sales slumped. This decline became most evident to ABC
                         when it observed disappointing peak season results (Oct-Dec 2007) relative to initial forecasts.
                       • The Company has experienced financial problems over the past months related to the following:
                           – Rapidly declining sales levels;
                           – Lower accounts receivable turnover yielding higher balances due to slower payments from customers;
                           – Increasing levels of returns.
                       • The Company’s sales have been adversely affected from the rise of the Canadian dollar, and though
                         measures were taken in 2007 with its main supplier to naturally hedge its risk, a significant loss
                         ($14.5M) was incurred between 2005 and 2007.



Immediate issues       Managing financial stakeholders’ expectations
and concerns
                       For the first time, the Company finds itself in a negative borrowing base position;
                       • Short-term liquidity concerns may impair the Company’s ability to develop certain projects;
                       • Pressure from a key supplier, XYZ Inc. (“XYZ”), may add to the Company’s financial challenges;
                       • At present, the Company needs to review contractual obligations with key financial stakeholders.

                       Understanding and addressing declining sales and increased returns

                       • The Company’s traditional sales channels are tightening up. The Company must turn to alternative
                         channels to liquidate excess inventory and generate cash flow;
                       • Inventory management and clients order management have had a significant impact on the Company’s
                         cash flow.




                                                                             © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
     ABC Inc.
4
Executive Summary (continued)
The following serves as a summary of key issues identified to date:


Immediate issues       Optimizing the cost structure
and concerns
                       • Though management recognized the advantages of outsourcing part of its operations to XYZ, this
(continued)
                         transition should be completed to reduce fixed costs and optimize the Company’s financial structure to
                         give it additional flexibility;
                       • Initial calculations indicate that significant savings could be generated by completing the transition to
                         outsourcing;
                       • Though management proactively implemented cost-cutting measures to date, it may become necessary
                         to consider additional initiatives to right-size operations if sales continue to decline.




                                                                            © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
     ABC Inc.
5
Executive Summary (continued)
The following serves as a summary of key issues identified to date:


Other issues and       Managing and forecasting
concerns
                       • The Company does not appear to have the management tools needed to properly review the
                         profitability of sales:
                            – Analysis of profitability by SKU;
Operations
                            – Analysis of return rates by SKU and how they affect profit.
                       • The Company does not have the proper financial tools necessary to prepare accurate and useful
                         forecast and to monitor actual results:
                            – Linked P&L, balance sheet and cash flow schedule.
                       • Proper tools will need to be put in place in order to improve financial reporting, monitoring and
                         operational planning.
                       Slow moving inventory
                       • A systematic liquidation of slow moving inventory should be considered as a permanent measure to
                         generate additional liquidities and deal with excess inventory.




                                                                                © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
     ABC Inc.
6
Performance analysis

Financial
Financial results analysis
                                                                                                                                     Actual Quarterly Results
                                         Annual Results
                                                                                                              18,000
          45,000
                                                                                                              16,000
          40,000
                                                                                                              14,000
          35,000
                                                                                                              12,000
          30,000




                                                                                                    CAN$000
CAN$000




                                                                                                              10,000
          25,000
          20,000                                                                                               8,000

          15,000                                                                                               6,000
          10,000                                                                                               4,000
           5,000                                                                                               2,000
                -
                                                                                                                   -
                      2002      2003      2004           2005           2006    2007      2008
           (5,000)                                                                                                     Q2 -   Q3 -    Q4 -    Q1 -     Q2 -    Q3 -   Q4 -   Q1 -   Q2 -
                                                                                                                       2006   2006    2006    2007     2007    2007   2007   2008   2008
                     Audited   Audited   Audited        Audited     Audited    Audited   Forecast
                                                   Net sales   EBITDA                                                                   Net sales    Gross margin   EBITDA




                                                                                           Key insights



          • Since 2002, net sales have steadily risen from $21.4M to $37.9M in 2007 for a compound growth of 77%. The revised sales
            forecast for 2008 estimates sales will decline to $25.4M of sales for a decrease of 33%.
          • EBITDA, for the same period, has improved from $1.8M to $3.3M for a compound growth of 83% but forecasted EBITDA for
            2008 will decline to negative ($2.15M).
          • Quarterly results made available since 2006 indicate that Q2 (Oct–Dec) is traditionally the peak sales period.
          • Sales for Q2 2008 were significantly lower than historical results and off by $2.5M relative to forecasts.
          • These results have prompted a review of the 2007-2008 forecast presented hereinafter.




                                  While the sales have trended upward and Q2 has historically been a peak period for sales,
                                                         2007-2008 results will likely reverse that trend.


                                                                                                                 © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
              ABC Inc.
8
Financial results analysis (continued)

                                 Actual        % of         Actual         % of                        Actual           % of         Actual         % of
($000)                            20061      Net sales      20071        Net sales                   Q1 - 20082       Net sales    Q2 - 20082     Net sales
Net sales                        35,910.9                   37,915.9                                        9,481.9                    8,625.7
Cost of sales                    23,840.4                   24,993.9                                        6,701.2                    5,727.4
Gross margin                     12,070.5     33.61%        12,922.0      34.08%                            2,780.7    29.33%          2,898.3     33.60%


Administrative salaries            2,117.4                   2,443.0                                         582.3                       643.5
Sales salaries and commissions     2,003.7                   1,779.3                                         362.9                       385.5
Warehouse salaries                   499.3                     667.5                                         151.8                       99.7
Other SG&A expenses                5,814.8                   6,575.8                                        1,382.3                    1,464.6
Total SG&A expenses              10,435.2     29.06%        11,465.6      30.24%                            2,479.3    26.15%          2,593.3     30.06%

Earnings before income taxes      1,635.3     4.55%          1,456.4      3.84%                              301.4     3.18%            305.0      3.54%


Note 1: Not based on the Company's fiscal year, but based on the calendar year (January 1 to December 31).
Note 2: Q1 and Q2 of 2008 Company's fiscal year are included in Actual 2007 as the last 6 months of 2007.




                                                                       Key insights

    • For 2006 and 2007, SG&A expenses increased by 9.8% from $10.4M to $11.5M while sales increased by 6% for the same
      period.
    • As fixed costs growth has outpaced sales growth for the period the Company’s earnings have dropped by 12%.
    • In reaction to these results, the Company implemented a first round of cost-cutting measures estimated at $1.8M
      annually, whose benefits will impact cash flow and results positively as of April 2008.




                          The Company initiated cost-cutting measures estimated to yield $1.8M in annual savings
                                         when sales growth no longer outpaced fixed costs growth.


                                                                                          © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
       ABC Inc.
9
Foreign exchange impact
                                                                                 Audited        Audited     Audited         YTD           Total
                                                                                                                                1
                   ($000)                                                                                                  2008
                                                                                  2005           2006        2007
                   Net sales                                                       32,653         32,660      37,916         18,108
                   USA sales (80% of net sales) ($CAN)                             26,122         26,128      30,333         14,486

                   Average foreign exchange                                          1.2494       1.1629       1.1327         1.0134
                   USA sales (US$)                                                  20,908       22,468       26,779         14,295

                                                                           2
                   USA sales (CAN$) without foreign exchange fluctuation            27,638       29,700       35,399         18,896
                   Loss (Gain) of sales due to foreign exchange fluctuation          1,516        3,572        5,067          4,410        14,565


                   Note 1: 6 month-period ended as of December 31, 2007.
                   Note 2: Calculated with a foreign exchange rate of 1.3219 as of July 2004.




                                Key insights



     • The US dollar dropped by 23% from CAN$1.3219 in
       July 2004 to CAN$1.0134 by December 31, 2007.
     • The graph on the right illustrates the foreign exchange
       fluctuations of this period, starting with July 2004
       (fiscal 2005) and trending downwards to December
       2007(6 months of fiscal 2008).
     • The cumulative impact of these foreign exchange
       fluctuations on net sales from 2005 to this year is
       estimated to represent a loss of $14.6M in net sales.




                                                                                          © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
        ABC Inc.
10
Balance sheet analysis
                                                                                                                 Quarterly evolution of receivables and inventory vs net sales
                               Annual evolution of receivables and inventory
                                    vs evolution of net sales
                                                                                                        25,000
            40,000
                                                                                                        20,000
            35,000




                                                                                            (CAN$000)
            30,000
(CAN$000)




                                                                                                        15,000
            25,000
            20,000
                                                                                                        10,000
            15,000
            10,000                                                                                       5,000
             5,000
                                                                                                             -
                -
                                                                                                                  2006    2006     2006        2007    2007       2007     2007     2008    2008
                        2002    2003       2004       2005       2006    2007     2008
                                                                                                                   Jan     Q3       Q4         Q1       Q2        Q3       Q4        Q1      Q2
                     Audited   Audited   Audited    Audited   Audited   Audited Forecast

                                                                                                                                   Net sales        Receivables        Inventory
                                    Net sales      Receivables    Inventory


                                                                                                                            2002         2003          2004         2005          2006      2007
                                         Key insights                                      ($000)
                                                                                           Net sales                         21,416       27,133        29,894      32,652         32,660   37,916
                                                                                           COGS                              14,548       17,796        20,714      21,025         21,385   24,967
      • From 2002 to 2006, accounts receivable steadily grew
        from $8M to $13.7M (compound growth of 71%) while
                                                                                           AR (% of net sales)                37.4%       20.2%         23.7%        35.1%         42.0%    49.7%
        sales volume grew from $21.4M to $32.7M (compound
                                                                                           Turnover (days)                      137           74            86         128           153      182
        growth of 53%).
      • In 2007, however, sales grew by $5.3M (16%) while                                  Inventory (% of COGS)              38.3%       33.9%         32.6%        38.9%         32.7%    33.2%
        accounts receivable grew by $5.1M (37%).                                           Turnover (days)                      140         124           119          142           119      121
      • More notably, sales decreased steadily from $11.1M in
                                                                                           Note: Based on fiscal year - July 1 to June 30.
        Q2 2007 to $8.6M in Q2 2008 (compound decline of
        23%).
      • Accounts receivable for the same period grew from                                                  Accounts receivable turnover has been out of step
        $20.8M to $21.6M (compound growth of 4%).                                                         with the evolution of sales, turning over more slowly
                                                                                                             thus putting additional pressure on cash flow.
      • Accounts receivable turnover slowed by 108 days
        (compound growth of 146%) from 74 days in 2003 to                                                       The Company would have generated $3M
        182 days in 2007.                                                                                 of additional cash flow if its 2007 accounts receivable
                                                                                                          turnover had matched its 2006 statistics of 153 days.
      • Inventory turnover stayed stable for the same period.

                                                                                                             © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
             ABC Inc.
11
Cash flow analysis
                                               Audited         Audited        Audited             Audited             Internal                Total
 ($000)                                       FY 2004          FY 2005       FY 2006              FY 2007            YTD 20081

 Operating activities                          (459.7)       (2,351.0)      (2,636.3)            (1,751.3)             (942.6)             (8,140.9)
 Investing activities                          (882.2)         (801.6)        (859.8)               (512.0)              (72.2)            (3,127.8)

 Financing activities
 Increase in bank indebtedness                1,640.0          2,600.9      (2,822.3)             2,649.3              1,263.2               5,331.1
 Issuance of LT debt                                -               -         5,000.0                    -                   -               5,000.0
 Issuance of share capital                          -               -         1,000.0                    -                   -               1,000.0
 Repayment of LT debt                           (71.6)           (69.7)       (227.2)               (299.3)            (208.3)                (876.1)
 Loan from parent company                           -            500.0            (86.7)            (86.7)               (40.1)                286.5
                                              1,568.4          3,031.2        2,863.8             2,263.3              1,014.8             10,741.5


 Net cash (Outflow) inflow                      226.5          (121.4)        (632.3)                   -                    -               (527.2)
 Note 1: YTD 2008 is for the 6-month period ended on December 31, 2007.



                                                                   Key insights

     • For the past 4½ years, the Company has generated $8.1M in negative cash flow from operating activities. This outflow
       generally results from an increase in accounts receivable of $9.5M over the past 2 years which has allowed the Company
       to generate a positive net income for the period.
     • The $3.1M outflow from investing activities represents the acquisitions of masters, licenses and capital assets.
     • The Company financed its $11.3M negative cash flow from operating and investing activities by securing additional
       external financing. This was achieved by an increase of $5.3M of its operating line of credit, an additional $5M in
       long-term financing from the other financial institution and a $1M investment by the principal shareholder stemming from
       a sale-leaseback transaction of the Company’s head office property.
     • In addition, the Company also sold $2.8M of packaging inventory to a supplier in 2007, in a non-cash transaction which
       resulted in a reduction of the inventory and payables.


                       The Company’s negative cash flow has been entirely financed through debt issuance ($10.3M),
                                       sale of assets ($1M) or has been borne by suppliers ($2.8M).

                                                                                       © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
        ABC Inc.
12
Eight-month actual results for 2007-2008
                                                   8 months - July 2007 to February 2008
                                                               % of net                % of net
                                                                                                                                      Detail of other expenses                ($000)
                                              Initial budget    sales     Actual        sales     Variance
                                                                                                                                      Interest expense                          573
                                                  ($000)                  ($000)                   ($000)
                                                                                                                                      Advertising & promotion                   481
 Revenues
                                                                                                                                      Rent & utilities                          427
 Sales                                               35,309                 28,136                   7,173
                                                                                                                                      Interest on long-term debt                393
 Returns                                             (8,121)       23%      (7,640)        27%        (481)                           Car, travel & entertainment               389
 Net sales                                                                                                                            Professional fees                         332
                                                     27,188                 20,496                   6,692
                                                                                                                                      Warehouse salaries                        312
                                                                                                                                      Commissions                               248
 Cost of sales                                       17,988        66%      15,436         75%       2,552
                                                                                                                                      Amortization - licenses and masters       182
                                                                                                                                      Office & computer expenses                160
 Gross profit                                          9,200       34%        5,060        25%       4,140
                                                                                                                                      Amortization - capital assets             156
                                                                                                                                      Insurance and taxes                       123
 Operating and administrative expenses                                                                                                Provision for FX losses                    94
 Administrative salaries                               1,824        7%        1,679         8%         145                            Bad debts                                  93
 Sales salaries                                                                                                                       Telecommunications                         78
                                                       1,082        4%          740         4%         342
                                                                                                                                      Capital tax expense                        60
 Others                                                4,943       18%        4,220        21%         723
                                                                                                                                      Bank charges                               34
 Total operating SG&A                                  7,849                  6,639                  1,210
                                                                                                                                      Repairs & maintenance                      32
                                                                                                                                      Amortization - deferred expenses           32
 Earnings (Loss) before income taxes                   1,351                 (1,579)                (2,930)                           Miscellaneous                              21
                                                                                                                                                                              4,220
Note 1: This budget was submitted to the bank in May 2007.




                                                                                        Key insights


     • Actual net sales were $6.7M (24.6%) less than budgeted for the period with Q2 having been 21% off the initial forecast.
     • Cost of sales declined by $2.55M (14.2%), though not as quickly as sales over the same period.
     • The decline in sales, and consequently in gross profits, has resulted in a decline of the earnings before income taxes of $2.9M.
     • SG&A expenses have decreased by 15% as gross sales decreased by over 20%.




                     Year-to-date sales are $7.2M lower than forecasts for the same period. Management reacted positively
                     by implementing cost-cutting measures, but the lag in timing has not insulated the Company from losses.


                                                                                                              © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
        ABC Inc.
13
Revised forecast for the remainder of 2007-2008
                                                                            4 months - March to June 2008
                                                                                % of net                               % of net
                                                              Initial forecast1   sales    Revised forecast             sales             Variance
                                                                   ($000)                             ($000)                                ($000)
Revenues
Sales                                                              16,693                             11,544                                 (5,149)
Returns                                                            (3,839)          23%               (7,551)             65%                (3,712)
Net sales                                                          12,854                              3,994                                 (8,860)

Cost of sales                                                       8,524           66%                3,950              99%                (4,574)

Gross profit                                                        4,330           34%                    44             1%                 (4,286)

Operating and administrative expenses
Administrative salaries                                               908           7%                   519              13%                  (389)
Sales salaries                                                        541           4%                   233              6%                   (308)
Others                                                              2,423           19%                1,732              43%                  (691)
Total operating SG&A                                                3,872                              2,484                                 (1,388)


Earnings (Loss) before income taxes                                   458                             (2,441)                                (2,899)
Note 1: This budget was submitted to the bank in May 2007.



                                                                   Key insights
     • Prevailing market conditions have led management to review its sales forecast downwards by $5.2M (30%) for the remainder of the
       2007-2008 year (four months).
     • Expected returns for the balance of the year (from March to June 2008) have been increased significantly by $3,7M (97%) to reflect the
       Company’s plan to demand that unsold inventory be reprocessed and sold through existing or alternative channels.
     • Forecasted SG&A expenses have been reduced to reflect implemented cost-cutting measures. However, due to the rapid decline of net
       sales, SG&A expenses have not been able to be adjusted as quickly, consequently, these expenses have not matched the sales decline.
     • The Company now forecasts a loss before income taxes for the final 4 months of the fiscal year in excess of $2.4M.


              The combination of rapid sales decline and high returns will have made a significant impact from March to June 2008
                                                       yielding an expected loss of $2.4M.


                                                                                     © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
         ABC Inc.
14
Revised forecast
                                                                                         Revised
                                                                                                                                                           Actual     Actual     Budget
                                                                           Actual       Forecast
                                                                         July 07 to    March 08 to  Revised
                                                           Initial                                                                                            2006       2007      2008
                                                                        February 08      June 08    forecast
                                                         forecast1      (8 months)     (4 months) (12 months)
 ($000)
                                                                                                                                                                    (In thousand $)
Revenues
Sales                                                         52,000        28,136         11,544       39,680
Returns                                                      (11,960)       (7,640)        (7,551)     (15,191)
Net sales                                                    40,040         20,496          3,994      24,489
                                                                                                                  Net sales                                  35,911    37,916     24,489
                                                                               -              -
Cost of sales                                                26,509         15,436          3,950      19,386
                                                                                -             -
Gross profit                                                 13,531          5,060                44    5,103     Cost of sales                              23,840    24,994     19,386

Operating and administrative expenses
Administrative salaries                                       2,732          1,679            519       2,198
Sales salaries                                                2,271            740            233         973     Gross Profit                               12,071    12,922      5,103
Others                                                        6,719          4,220          1,732       5,952
                                                                                                                                                             33.6%      34.1%     20.8%
Total operating SG&A                                         11,722          6,639          2,484       9,123
                                                                                -             -
                                                                                                                  Operating and administrative expenses      10,435    11,466      9,123
Earnings (Loss) before income taxes                           1,809          (1,579)       (2,441)      (4,020)

                                                                                                                                                             29.1%      30.2%     37.3%
Begining retained earnings                                    4,030                                     4,030

Ending retained earnings                                      5,839                                        10     Earnings (Loss) before income taxes         1,636      1,456    (4,020)
Note 1: This budget was submitted to the bank in May 2007.




                                                                                             Key insights


     • Revised forecasts for fiscal year 2007-2008 now show a loss before income taxes of approximately $4M as opposed to
       forecasted earnings of $1.8M.
     • Net sales are expected to decline by $13M (35%) for 2008 and gross profit will be significantly lower at $5M.
     • Retained earnings as at June 2007 were $4M, expected losses will eliminate retained earnings by fiscal year-end.




                          Earnings forecasts for 2008 have been revised downwards significantly due to a rapid sales slowdown
                                                     thus yielding an estimated $4M loss for the year.
                                                                                                                  © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
          ABC Inc.
15
Estimated borrowing base calculation
 as at March 31, 2008
                                                                                               At           At
                                                 ($000)                                    February 29   March 31                                    Key insights


 Accounts receivable                                                                         20,576       18,954

 Less: Account over 150 days                                                                  8,299        7,113                   • Between February 29 and March 31,
                                                                                                                                     the borrowing base deficit has
 Total admissible accounts receivable                                                        12,277       11,841
                                                                                                                                     increased to over $870k, a
                                                                                                                                     deterioration of almost $500k.
 Applicable financing ratio:                                                                  68%          68%
                                                                                                                                   • The borrowing base has remained
                                                                                                                                     stable, however the bank loan has
 Lending value on accounts receivable                                                         8,348        8,052
                                                                                                                                     increased by $500k between
                                                                                                                                     February 29 and March 31, 2008.
 Lending value on inventory                                                                   2,716        3,000
                                                                                                                                   • Ineligible accounts receivable have
                                                                                                                                     decreased by over $1M, in part
                                                                                             11,064       11,052                     because of the high level of returns.
                                                                                                                                   • Lending value on inventory is capped
 Total claims to be deducted (1)                                                               792          792                      at $3M due to the high levels of
                                                                                                                                     returns in February. These returns
                                                                                                                                     caused inventory levels to increase
 Borrowing base                                                                              10,272       10,260
                                                                                                                                     significantly.
 Estimated loan balance                                                                      10,662       11,131

 Surplus (Deficit)                                                                             (390)       (871)
Note 1: Prior claims as at March 31 were estimated to be the same as the previous month.




      Borrowing base deficit has deteriorated by $500k in the month of March as the bank loan has increased by the same amount.


                                                                                                                  © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
           ABC Inc.
 16
Forecasted 13-week cash flow and borrowing base

                                            March 31    May 5      June 2
                                                                                                                  Critical success factors
                                               to         to         to
                                             May 2      May 30    June 27   Total


Estimated loan balance - Opening              11,131     11,331   10,174    11,131
                                                                                             • The Company will liquidate finished goods inventory
                                                                                               for $1M;
     Total receipts                            2,128      3,018     2,120    7,266
                                                                                             • The other financial institution will agree to a
     Total disbursements                       2,328      1,862     1,769    5,958
                                                                                               moratorium on the repayment of interest and capital
                                                                                               on its long-term debt for 6 months.
Net source (Use) of funds from operations       (200)     1,157      351     1,308
                                                                                             • The Company’s accelerated accounts receivable
                                                                                               objectives will be met.
Net loan balance - Closing                    11,331     10,174     9,823    9,823


Borrowing base                                10,792      9,949   10,251
Surplus (Deficit)                               (539)     (225)      428

                                                                              Key insights

     • Management estimates that its short-term liquidity measures will yield improvements for the bank’s position.
     • The loan balance is estimated to drop from $11.1M to $9.8M, while the borrowing base reverts from a deficit of $539k to a surplus of
       $428k over the same period.
     • However, the weekly cash flow and borrowing base prepared by the Company (see Appendix A) show a loan balance that rises as high
       as $12.5M before decreasing to $9.8M.
     • Since accounts receivable collections are traditionally month-end loaded, this explains the borrowing base deficits in the interim periods.
     • The borrowing base deficit reaches a high of $1.4M before reverting to a surplus position of $428k by the end of June.
     • Cash receipts include $1M in receipts from the liquidation of excess inventory.



          Management’s short-term liquidity measures can lower the outstanding bank balance and improve the borrowing base.


                                                                                               © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
         ABC Inc.
17
Estimated liquidation value as at March 31, 2008

                                                         Book          Estimated     Estimated
                                                         Value        Realization   Liquidation
($000)                                                  March 31                       Value
                                                                                                                              Key insights
Accounts receivable
Accounts under 150 days                                  11,841.0
Expected returns                                 30%     (3,552.3)
Net receivables                                           8,288.7            60%        4,973.2

Accounts over 150 days                                     7,113.0
                                                                                                   • The bank loan as at March 31, 2008 is $11.1M.
Expected returns                                 75%      (5,334.8)
Net receivables                                            1,778.3           60%        1,067.0
                                                                                                   • The liquidation value of the assets subject to the
Other receivables                                           537.6             0%             -
                                                                                                     bank’s security as at March 31, 2008 is estimated at
Total                                                                                   6,040.2
                                                                                                     $10M before liquidation costs.
Inventory
Raw materials at XYZ Inc.                                   791.7             5%          39.6
                                                                                                   • The estimated deficit for the bank if operations ceased
Other raw materials                                         588.2             5%          29.4
                                                                                                     at March 31, 2008 would have been $1.1M before
Inventory at XYZ Inc.                         2,139.6
                                                                                                     liquidation costs.
      Best-seller products                        47%     1,005.6            50%         502.8
      Regular products                            19%       406.5            50%         203.3
                                                                                                   • Accounts receivable are significantly discounted to
      Slow-moving products                        26%       556.3            20%         111.3
      Non-moving products                          8%       171.2            15%          25.7
                                                                                                     reflect expected discounts to customers.
                                                 100%

                                                                                                   • Challenges related to the liquidation of inventory:
Inventory in LaVille and on consignment        6135.8
      Best-seller products                       17%      1,043.1            50%         521.5
                                                                                                      – Limited to North American market (licensing rights);
      Regular products                           29%      1,779.4            50%         889.7
      Slow-moving products                       24%      1,472.6            20%         294.5
                                                                                                      – Purchasers need retail outlets which would compete with
      Non-moving products                        30%      1,840.7            15%         276.1
                                                                                                        existing clients;
                                                100%

                                                                                                      – Accounts receivable and inventory realization values
Returns from clients (A/R)                                8,887.1
Returns at cost                                  50%      4,443.5            20%          888.7
                                                                                                        could be negatively impacted if there was a flood of
                                                                                        3,782.6
                                                                                                        product on the market.
Intellectual property
                                                                                                   • Intellectual property includes licenses, masters and
(book value as at January 30, 2008)                         800.0            25%         200.0

                                                                                                     pre-paid royalties.
Liquidation value of the assets subject to
 the security of the bank                                                             10,022.7

Estimated loan balance as at March 31, 2008                                           11,100.0

Surplus (Deficit)                                                                      (1,077.3)




               In a liquidation scenario, the bank’s estimated position at March 31, 2008 would have been deficient by $1.1M.

                                                                                                     © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
       ABC Inc.
18
Performance analysis

Operations
Client analysis                                          Returns in percentage of sales
                                2006                                 2007                                                      2006                                 2007
($000)              Sales      Returns     % of sales   Sales      Returns    % of sales    ($000)                 Sales      Returns     % of sales   Sales      Returns      % of sales
Superstore A        23,381.9     7,115.3       30.43%   27,023.4    6,007.9        22.23%
                                                                                            Superstore D (US)      16,717.6     6,038.1       36.12%   19,531.6      4,952.6       25.36%
Superstore B         6,610.7     1,236.8       18.71%    4,620.0    2,230.8        48.29%
                                                                                            Superstore E (US)       2,918.6       355.5       12.18%    3,450.1       335.9          9.74%
Superstore C         2,352.3        58.2        2.47%    4,434.4     583.2         13.15%
                                                                                            Superstore E (CDN)      2,227.0       542.8       24.37%    2,165.6       421.9        19.48%
Others (CDN)         3,294.4       741.1       22.50%    2,959.7     669.8         22.63%
                                                                                            Superstore A (CDN)      1,518.7       178.9       11.78%    1,876.1       297.5        15.86%
Others (US)          7,692.8       299.5        3.89%    6,663.3     595.4          8.94%
                                                                                            Total Superstore A     23,381.9     7,115.3       30.43%   27,023.4      6,007.9       22.23%
Total               43,332.1     9,450.9       21.81%   45,700.8   10,087.1        22.07%


                                                                                                                                 Key insights
                                   Key insights



     • Return rates with Superstore B increased significantly from                             • Superstore D return rates are significantly higher than other
       18.71% in 2006 to 48.29% in 2007. Management believes that                                intermediaries who cater to Superstore A, though the rate has
       this was exceptionally due to a communication breakdown on a                              dropped measurably from 2006 to 2007.
       promotion item which was improperly marketed by the client.
                                                                                               • Management’s challenge will be to improve communication with
     • Notwithstanding the preceding, sales to Superstore B dropped                              Superstore D so as to better coordinate production with expected
       by 30% from 2006 to 2007. A review of the client approach is                              returns to optimize inventory management.
       warranted to identify means to recapture lost sales.
                                                                                               • If Management had better controlled Superstore D returns and
     • Superstore C represents a potential avenue to grow sales all the                          yielded an average return rate equivalent to the other
       while limiting returns due to the promotion package in place.                             intermediaries (14%), returns for 2007 would have been 2.2M
                                                                                                 units lower.
     • Overall, return sales have remained stable relative to sales.




                                                                                                           © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
         ABC Inc.
20
Warehouse analysis
                                                                                Impacts of outsourcing warehousing of LaVille
Warehouse in LaVille                                 Actual      Warehouse
($000)                                                                          ($000)
                                                     2007          2007
Warehouse salaries (100%)                                668              668   Estimated costs of implementing this strategy
                                                                                Cost to disclaim lease1
Rent (70%)                                               655              459                                                                                            (330)
Insurance and taxes (70%)                                184              129   Moving costs                                                                                 (15)
                                                                                Employees2
Repairs and maint. (100%)                                   74             74                                                                                                (40)
                                                                                Warehouse equipment liquidation3
Cost of returns ($0.205/unit) - Supplier                                  128                                                                                                140
                                                                                Processing cost of units sent to XYZ Inc.4
                                                        1,581         1,458                                                                                              (300)
                                                                                Liquidation of LaVille's inventory5                                                     1,000
                                                                                                                                                                          455
Shipped quantity from LaVille (000 units)                             6,416
Returned quantity to LaVille (000 units)                                  623
                                                                                Note 1: Cost to disclaim the lease is estimated to be 6 months of the actual rent which is
                                                                                about $55k per month.
XYZ Inc. fulfillment (per unit)                                        0.10
XYZ Inc. return processing (per unit)                                  0.17     Note 2: Company would keep two employees with an annual salary of $40k each for 6
                                                                                months to manage the inventory liquidation and transition.
Cost to outsource to XYZ Inc.
                                                                                Note 3: Warehouse equipment realization is estimated at 50% of its book value of $285k.
Shipping cost ($0.10/unit)                                                642
Processing cost ($0.17/unit)                                              106   Note 4: Company would liquidate all its $3.2M of non-moving and slow-moving products at a
                                                                                net value of $1M.
Total                                                                     748
                                                                                Note : Company would send the balance of $2.8M of its inventory in LaVille to XYZ Inc. and
                                                                                will assume a processing cost of $0.17 per unit.
Estimated loss (Benefit) to outsource                                 (710)



                                                                     Key insights



     • Outsourcing its warehousing to XYZ would have represented savings of approximately $700k for the fiscal year ended December 31,
       2007. This excludes other potential savings which we were not able to evaluate such as transport fees and duplicated fulfillment fees
       related to orders for inventory coming from the three warehouses, other potential production and IT savings, costs of some special
       pallets, depreciation of fixed assets, potential volume rebates from XYZ, etc.




                The outsourcing of its Canadian warehouse management to XYZ would represent significant annual savings.
                  The Company must find a way to leave its current premises, to move its administration into smaller offices
                                              and to outsource its Canadian warehousing to XYZ.

                                                                                            © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
        ABC Inc.
21
Unit margin by client and products
                                                                                                                                                 Superstore D       Superstore B    Superstore E       Superstore E
                                Superstore D        Superstore B        Superstore E       Superstore E
                                    USA                  USA                USA              Canada                                                  USA                USA             USA              Canada
CD Multipack                                                                                                CD Single
Unit price                                7.14                 17.28              5.03             3.52     Unit price                                     3.51               N/A             3.57              1.96
Unit cost                                 (2.41)               (5.29)             (2.02)           (2.42)   Unit cost                                      (1.00)                             (1.07)           (0.91)
Unit margin                               4.73                 11.99              3.01             1.10     Unit margin                                    2.51                               2.50              1.05

 Royalties1                               (0.88)               (2.13)             (0.62)           (0.43)
                                                                                                             Royalties1                                    (0.43)                             (0.44)           (0.24)
 Fulfillment                              (0.10)               (0.10)             (0.10)           (0.10)
                                                                                                             Fulfillment                                   (0.10)                             (0.10)           (0.10)
 Display                                   N/A                 (0.35)              N/A                N/A
                                                                                                             Delivery, freight and duty2                   (0.18)                             (0.18)           (0.10)
 Delivery, freight and duty2              (0.36)               (0.86)             (0.25)           (0.18)
                                                                                                            Gross margin                                   1.80                               1.78              0.61
Gross margin                              3.39                  8.55              2.04             0.39

                                                                                                            Each return
Each return
                                                                                                             Processing                                    (0.17)                             (0.17)           (0.17)
 Processing                               (0.17)               (0.17)             (0.17)           (0.17)
                                                                                                             Fulfillment                                   (0.10)                             (0.10)           (0.10)
 Fulfillment                              (0.10)               (0.10)             (0.10)           (0.10)
                                                                                                             Delivery, freight and duty2
 Delivery, freight and duty2                                                                                                                               (0.18)                             (0.18)           (0.10)
                                          (0.36)               (0.86)             (0.25)           (0.18)
                                                                                                                                                           (0.45)                             (0.45)           (0.37)
                                          (0.63)               (1.13)             (0.52)           (0.45)


                                                                                                            Number of profitable returns                   4.00                               3.96              1.65
Number of profitable returns              5.38                  7.57              3.92             0.87


                                          Superstore D
                                                                                                                                     Key insights
                                                   USA
DVD Multipack
Unit price                                               3.15
Unit cost                                                (2.21)
                                                                        • Margins vary widely for the same product across clients.
Unit margin                                              0.94
                                                                        • Generally, for each kind of product, the Company has smaller margins with Superstore E
  Royalties1                                             (0.39)
                                                                          than with other clients we evaluated.
  Fulfillment                                            (0.10)
  Delivery, freight and duty2                                           • The unit margin for Superstore E Canada is very small, but we did not test other Canadian
                                                         (0.16)
Gross margin                                             0.29             clients. If the Company thinks it could be useful, we could do so for their other big clients.
                                                                        • The Company appears to have very good margins with Superstore B, but sales to
Each return
                                                                          Superstore B are decreasing and returns are increasing.
  Processing                                             (0.17)
  Fulfillment                                            (0.10)
                                                                        • DVD sales, which represent approximately 18% of sales, have a profitable return rate of
                            2
  Delivery, freight and duty                             (0.16)
                                                                          less than 1 indicating that such sales are riskier.
                                                         (0.43)


Number of profitable returns                             0.67


Note 1: The Company estimated its average royalties payable at 12.35% of selling price because the data on file does not produce a cost analysis which includes
this expense.
Note 2: Delivery, freight and duty expenses have been evaluated as a percentage of 2007 gross sales.


                                                                                                                            © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
             ABC Inc.
22
Benchmarking

                                            2006                              2007
                                                                                                                   Key insights from Competitor’s Y/E report
                             Competitor        DS      Variance Competitor      DS       Variance
($000)                          USD           CAD                  USD         CAD
Net sales                        77,109      35,911      41,198     93,195     37,916     55,279
                                                                                                             • Competitor has liquidated $3M worth of
COGS                             52,721      23,840      28,881     67,765     24,994     42,771
                                                                                                               discontinued, overstock and slow-moving
Gross margin                     24,388      12,071      12,318     25,430     12,922     12,508
                                                                                                               inventory.
                                                                                                             • Competitor outsources most of its manufacturing
Gross Margin                       31.6%      33.6%       -2.0%      27.3%      34.1%       -6.8%
                                                                                                               and all of its return processing requirements.
EBITDA (% of net sales)             7.0%       9.1%       -2.1%       5.1%       9.6%       -4.6%
                                                                                                             • Competitor’s declared business strategy :
AR (% of net sales)                37.9%      57.9%      -20.0%      30.7%      56.8%      -26.1%
                                                                                                                  - Expand footprint outside of traditional music
Turnover (days)                      138        211          -73       112        207          -95
                                                                                                                    marketplace
                                                                                                                  - Increase the efficiency of its cost structure
Inventory (% of net sales)         19.2%      21.7%       -2.6%      20.2%      22.4%       -2.2%
Turnover (days)                        70         79          -9         74         82          -8
                                                                                                                  - Increase market share.
                                                                                                             • Statistics show that retail unit sales were
AP (% of COGS)                     34.1%      40.1%       -6.0%      29.3%      41.0%      -11.7%
                                                                                                               down 15% for fiscal year-end 2007 from fiscal
Turnover (days)                      125        146          -22       107        150          -43
                                                                                                               year-end 2006.
Note: Based on calendar year - Jan 1 to Dec 31.



                                                                              Key insights

     • ABC gross margin and EBITDA are better than Competitor’s and have progressed in 2007.
     • Based on December 31 accounts receivable figures, ABC’s turnover is significantly lower than Competitor’s. ABC takes
       approximately three months more ($9.9M) than Competitor to collect its receivables.
     • ABC’s payable turnover is approximately two months faster than its receivable turnover, thus financing its customers for
       60 days ($6.3M).




                                                                                                     © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
        ABC Inc.
23
Restructuring plan
Restructuring plan
                                                                                                                   Number of              Annual
                                        Key insights

                                                                                                    Department Employees                  ($000)
     • The Company has contacted liquidators to liquidate slow-moving inventory.                 Administration       3                        77
       Management has forecasted receipts of $1M for this initiative.
                                                                                                 Creative             3                        79
     • Administrative, sales and warehouse salaries have been reduced by
                                                                                                 Production           1                        44
       approximately $150k/month with savings beginning as of April 2008.
                                                                                                 Product developer    3                       231
     • The Company had discussions with the other financial institution regarding a
                                                                                                 IT                   1                        27
       moratorium on the repayment of capital and interest on its long-term debt,
       which would represent a cash flow saving of approximately $110k/month –                   Sales                5                       381
       discussions are still underway.
                                                                                                 Warehouse            6                       128
     • The Company plans to negotiate an agreement with its key supplier, XYZ, to
                                                                                                 Agency personel                              370
       agree on terms of payment for its account payable and possibly transition
                                                                                                 Total lay offs       22                    1,337
       additional distribution operations.
     • The Company is looking into transferring all of its fulfillment and return
                                                                                                 General pay cuts             6                  443
       processing requirements to XYZ in order to gain some additional cash flow by
       lowering fixed costs.
                                                                                                 Total savings               28               1,780

Short-term cash inflows                                                 Long-term recurring cash flow improvements
                                                            ($000)                                                                    ($000)

Liquidation of slow-moving inventory                       1,000        Salary cuts                                                      1,800

Moratorium on repayment of debt                                         Transfer Canadian processing and                                   710
(6 months)                                                   660        returns to XYZ Inc. (Projected)
                                                           1,660                                                                         2,510



       Preliminary restructuring plan initiatives could generate recurring annual cash flow improvements of approximately $2.5M.



                                                                              © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
        ABC Inc.
25
Management tools

                                                                     Key tools



     A review of the Company’s operational management systems has revealed the absence of key management tools which
     hampered the Company’s ability to react to market factors in a timely manner.


       •   A complete monthly budgeting tool including a linked P&L, balance sheet and cash flow
           This would allow the Company to forecast results and bank position in advance, track inventory needs and asset utilization.
       •   A monthly budget control tool which would allow the monthly comparison of actual results to the forecast
           This tool is essential to identify trends and to quickly flag problems during an operational cycle.
       •   A unit cost system which will permit the Company to evaluate the cost and margin for each of its products
           This would allow the Company to adjust its selling price as necessary and to determine which products should be produced or not.
       •   A tracking system of licenses, masters and prepaid royalties
           This would enable the Company to determine the profitability of each of its masters license and royalty in order to evaluate the
           individual profitability and determine a break-even point based on the forecasted sales.
       •   A tracking system of returns by client and by product
       •   A tracking system of margins by product by client
       •   A tracking system linked with the major customers to forecast estimated returns by product
           This would allow the Company to plan future production by product based on estimated returns.
       •   A systematic liquidation process for slow-moving products
           To keep inventory levels at a minimum and generate cash flow.




      With the proper tools in place, the Company would be in a better position to improve its financial and operational planning,
                                        track its performance and identify challenges to better react.


                                                                                      © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
       ABC Inc.
26
Appendix A
Appendix A
Detailed cash flow projection
($000)                                             BUDGET     BUDGET     BUDGET     BUDGET     BUDGET    BUDGET       BUDGET      BUDGET     BUDGET    BUDGET     BUDGET     BUDGET     BUDGET     TOTAL
                                                   Week 1     Week 2     Week 3     Week 4     Week 5    Week 6        Week 7     Week 8     Week 9    Week 10    Week 11    Week 12    Week 13

Week beginning                                      31-Mar      7-Apr     14-Apr     21-Apr     28-Apr    5-May        12-May      19-May     26-May     2-Jun      9-Jun     16-Jun     23-Jun     Total
                                                   11,131     11,537     11,802     12,278     12,508    11,331        11,740     12,122     12,445     10,174     10,718     11,211     11,552    11,131
Estimated loan balance net & term Loan - Opening

Receipts
Receipts from opening accounts receivable              11        250         15         90      1,762        83           220         13      2,202          5         10          5      1,600     6,266
Receipts from new accounts receivable                    -          -          -          -         -          -             -          -         -          -          -          -          -         -

Sale of obsolete inventory                               -          -          -          -         -          -             -          -       500          -          -          -        500     1,000
   Total receipts                                      11        250         15         90      1,762        83           220         13      2,702          5         10          5      2,100     7,266


Disbursements
Payroll and payroll deductions                           -          -       110           -       110          -          110           -       110          -         90          -         90      620
Commissions                                              -        25           -          -         -        15              -          -         -         53          -          -          -       93
Suppliers                                             313        315        271        246        406       262           412        262        252        362        262        262        212     3,837
Royalties, licenses and masters                        23         23         23         23         23        23            23         23         23         23         23         23         23      299

Rent                                                     -          -          -          -         -        56              -          -         -         56          -          -          -      112

Utilities                                                -          7          -          -         -          7             -          -         -          -          7          -          -       20
Insurances                                               -          -        10           -         -          -           10           -         -          -          -         10          -       30
Corporate taxes                                        20         20         20         20         20        20            20         20         20         20         20         20         20      260
Professional fees                                      40         20         35         10          5          5             5        10          5          5          5         10          5      160

Long term debt (capital and interests)                   -          -          -          -         -          -             -          -         -          -          -          -          -         -

Interests on the credit line                             -        75           -          -         -        75              -          -         -          -         75          -          -      225

Other                                                  21         30         22         21         21        30            22         21         21         30         22         21         21      303
Foreign exchange effect                                  -          -          -          -         -          -             -          -         -          -          -          -          -         -
   Total disbursements                                417        515        491        320        585       493           602        336        431        549        504        346        371     5,958


                                                     (406)      (265)      (476)      (230)     1,177      (410)         (382)      (323)     2,271       (544)      (494)      (341)     1,729     1,308
Net source (Use) of funds from operations

                                                   11,537      11,802     12,278     12,508     11,331    11,740        12,122     12,445     10,174     10,718     11,211     11,552      9,823    9,823
Net loan balance - Closing


Borrowing base                                     10,401     10,627     11,013     11,347     10,792    10,282        10,687     11,232      9,949      9,856     10,596     11,339     10,251

Surplus (Deficit)                                   (1,136)    (1,174)    (1,265)    (1,160)     (538)    (1,458)       (1,435)    (1,213)     (225)      (862)      (616)      (213)       428




                                                                                                                   © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
             ABC Inc.
28
© Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.
Deloitte, known in Québec as Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l., is one of the leading
professional services firms in Québec and Canada, providing audit, tax, financial advisory and
consulting services. In Québec, approximately 1,900 people regularly draw on their expertise for
clients from every sector of the economy. With over 7,600 people working in 56 offices across the
country, Deloitte is dedicated to helping its clients and its people excel.
Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, a Swiss Verein, its member firms, and
their respective subsidiaries and affiliates. As a Swiss Verein (association), neither Deloitte Touche
Tohmatsu nor any of its member firms has any liability for each other's acts or omissions. Each of
the member firms is a separate and independent legal entity operating under the names “Deloitte,”
“Deloitte & Touche,” “Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu,” or other related names. Services are provided by
the member firms or their subsidiaries or affiliates and not by the Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Verein.
29 AbitibiBowater                                                                                 © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.

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Microsoft Power Point Report To Client Template April 2008

  • 1. ABC Inc. Initial findings and restructuring plan April XX, 2008
  • 2. Contents Overview 3 Executive summary 4 Performance analysis (Financial) 7 Performance analysis (Operations) 19 Restructuring plan 24 Appendix A 27 © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 2
  • 3. Overview • ABC Inc. (“ABC” or the “Company”) has experienced a rapid downturn in its sales volume and has, for the first time, missed the expected financing covenants with its financial partners. These events have put pressure on the Company’s finances and caused management to question the present financial and operational structure. • As such, Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. (“Deloitte”) has been hired by the Company to analyze its current financial situation and to recommend ways to improve cash flow and thus return the Company to the desired level of profitability. • The following report outlines initial findings. The majority of findings are supported by a series of analyses. Other findings and recommendations presented are based on interviews with management and other on-site observations. • Management has requested that portions of this report be communicated to the principal financial stakeholders and that Deloitte assist management in the preparation and the implementation of a communication strategy. Management of the Company has prepared the prospective financial information referred to herein to present the revised forecast for 2007-2008, the cash flow and borrowing base. Therefore management is solely responsible for representations about its plans and expectations and for disclosure of significant information that might affect the ultimate realization of the prospective financial information. Deloitte has not expressed any opinion or other form or assurance on this information or its feasibility or its achievability and assumes no responsibility for, and disclaims any association with the prospective financial information. This information is not fact and should not be relied upon as being necessarily indicative of future results, and readers of this report are cautioned not to place reliance on the prospective financial information. The assumptions and estimates underlying management’s prospective financial information are inherently uncertain and, though considered reasonable by management as of the date of its preparation, are subject to a wide variety of significant business, economic and competitive risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the prospective financial information. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 3
  • 4. Executive Summary The following serves as a summary of key issues identified to date: General overview • The US economy’s downturn began around August 2007 and, as financial markets became unstable, consumer spending tightened such that retail sales slumped. This decline became most evident to ABC when it observed disappointing peak season results (Oct-Dec 2007) relative to initial forecasts. • The Company has experienced financial problems over the past months related to the following: – Rapidly declining sales levels; – Lower accounts receivable turnover yielding higher balances due to slower payments from customers; – Increasing levels of returns. • The Company’s sales have been adversely affected from the rise of the Canadian dollar, and though measures were taken in 2007 with its main supplier to naturally hedge its risk, a significant loss ($14.5M) was incurred between 2005 and 2007. Immediate issues Managing financial stakeholders’ expectations and concerns For the first time, the Company finds itself in a negative borrowing base position; • Short-term liquidity concerns may impair the Company’s ability to develop certain projects; • Pressure from a key supplier, XYZ Inc. (“XYZ”), may add to the Company’s financial challenges; • At present, the Company needs to review contractual obligations with key financial stakeholders. Understanding and addressing declining sales and increased returns • The Company’s traditional sales channels are tightening up. The Company must turn to alternative channels to liquidate excess inventory and generate cash flow; • Inventory management and clients order management have had a significant impact on the Company’s cash flow. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 4
  • 5. Executive Summary (continued) The following serves as a summary of key issues identified to date: Immediate issues Optimizing the cost structure and concerns • Though management recognized the advantages of outsourcing part of its operations to XYZ, this (continued) transition should be completed to reduce fixed costs and optimize the Company’s financial structure to give it additional flexibility; • Initial calculations indicate that significant savings could be generated by completing the transition to outsourcing; • Though management proactively implemented cost-cutting measures to date, it may become necessary to consider additional initiatives to right-size operations if sales continue to decline. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 5
  • 6. Executive Summary (continued) The following serves as a summary of key issues identified to date: Other issues and Managing and forecasting concerns • The Company does not appear to have the management tools needed to properly review the profitability of sales: – Analysis of profitability by SKU; Operations – Analysis of return rates by SKU and how they affect profit. • The Company does not have the proper financial tools necessary to prepare accurate and useful forecast and to monitor actual results: – Linked P&L, balance sheet and cash flow schedule. • Proper tools will need to be put in place in order to improve financial reporting, monitoring and operational planning. Slow moving inventory • A systematic liquidation of slow moving inventory should be considered as a permanent measure to generate additional liquidities and deal with excess inventory. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 6
  • 8. Financial results analysis Actual Quarterly Results Annual Results 18,000 45,000 16,000 40,000 14,000 35,000 12,000 30,000 CAN$000 CAN$000 10,000 25,000 20,000 8,000 15,000 6,000 10,000 4,000 5,000 2,000 - - 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (5,000) Q2 - Q3 - Q4 - Q1 - Q2 - Q3 - Q4 - Q1 - Q2 - 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited Forecast Net sales EBITDA Net sales Gross margin EBITDA Key insights • Since 2002, net sales have steadily risen from $21.4M to $37.9M in 2007 for a compound growth of 77%. The revised sales forecast for 2008 estimates sales will decline to $25.4M of sales for a decrease of 33%. • EBITDA, for the same period, has improved from $1.8M to $3.3M for a compound growth of 83% but forecasted EBITDA for 2008 will decline to negative ($2.15M). • Quarterly results made available since 2006 indicate that Q2 (Oct–Dec) is traditionally the peak sales period. • Sales for Q2 2008 were significantly lower than historical results and off by $2.5M relative to forecasts. • These results have prompted a review of the 2007-2008 forecast presented hereinafter. While the sales have trended upward and Q2 has historically been a peak period for sales, 2007-2008 results will likely reverse that trend. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 8
  • 9. Financial results analysis (continued) Actual % of Actual % of Actual % of Actual % of ($000) 20061 Net sales 20071 Net sales Q1 - 20082 Net sales Q2 - 20082 Net sales Net sales 35,910.9 37,915.9 9,481.9 8,625.7 Cost of sales 23,840.4 24,993.9 6,701.2 5,727.4 Gross margin 12,070.5 33.61% 12,922.0 34.08% 2,780.7 29.33% 2,898.3 33.60% Administrative salaries 2,117.4 2,443.0 582.3 643.5 Sales salaries and commissions 2,003.7 1,779.3 362.9 385.5 Warehouse salaries 499.3 667.5 151.8 99.7 Other SG&A expenses 5,814.8 6,575.8 1,382.3 1,464.6 Total SG&A expenses 10,435.2 29.06% 11,465.6 30.24% 2,479.3 26.15% 2,593.3 30.06% Earnings before income taxes 1,635.3 4.55% 1,456.4 3.84% 301.4 3.18% 305.0 3.54% Note 1: Not based on the Company's fiscal year, but based on the calendar year (January 1 to December 31). Note 2: Q1 and Q2 of 2008 Company's fiscal year are included in Actual 2007 as the last 6 months of 2007. Key insights • For 2006 and 2007, SG&A expenses increased by 9.8% from $10.4M to $11.5M while sales increased by 6% for the same period. • As fixed costs growth has outpaced sales growth for the period the Company’s earnings have dropped by 12%. • In reaction to these results, the Company implemented a first round of cost-cutting measures estimated at $1.8M annually, whose benefits will impact cash flow and results positively as of April 2008. The Company initiated cost-cutting measures estimated to yield $1.8M in annual savings when sales growth no longer outpaced fixed costs growth. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 9
  • 10. Foreign exchange impact Audited Audited Audited YTD Total 1 ($000) 2008 2005 2006 2007 Net sales 32,653 32,660 37,916 18,108 USA sales (80% of net sales) ($CAN) 26,122 26,128 30,333 14,486 Average foreign exchange 1.2494 1.1629 1.1327 1.0134 USA sales (US$) 20,908 22,468 26,779 14,295 2 USA sales (CAN$) without foreign exchange fluctuation 27,638 29,700 35,399 18,896 Loss (Gain) of sales due to foreign exchange fluctuation 1,516 3,572 5,067 4,410 14,565 Note 1: 6 month-period ended as of December 31, 2007. Note 2: Calculated with a foreign exchange rate of 1.3219 as of July 2004. Key insights • The US dollar dropped by 23% from CAN$1.3219 in July 2004 to CAN$1.0134 by December 31, 2007. • The graph on the right illustrates the foreign exchange fluctuations of this period, starting with July 2004 (fiscal 2005) and trending downwards to December 2007(6 months of fiscal 2008). • The cumulative impact of these foreign exchange fluctuations on net sales from 2005 to this year is estimated to represent a loss of $14.6M in net sales. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 10
  • 11. Balance sheet analysis Quarterly evolution of receivables and inventory vs net sales Annual evolution of receivables and inventory vs evolution of net sales 25,000 40,000 20,000 35,000 (CAN$000) 30,000 (CAN$000) 15,000 25,000 20,000 10,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 - - 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Jan Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited Forecast Net sales Receivables Inventory Net sales Receivables Inventory 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Key insights ($000) Net sales 21,416 27,133 29,894 32,652 32,660 37,916 COGS 14,548 17,796 20,714 21,025 21,385 24,967 • From 2002 to 2006, accounts receivable steadily grew from $8M to $13.7M (compound growth of 71%) while AR (% of net sales) 37.4% 20.2% 23.7% 35.1% 42.0% 49.7% sales volume grew from $21.4M to $32.7M (compound Turnover (days) 137 74 86 128 153 182 growth of 53%). • In 2007, however, sales grew by $5.3M (16%) while Inventory (% of COGS) 38.3% 33.9% 32.6% 38.9% 32.7% 33.2% accounts receivable grew by $5.1M (37%). Turnover (days) 140 124 119 142 119 121 • More notably, sales decreased steadily from $11.1M in Note: Based on fiscal year - July 1 to June 30. Q2 2007 to $8.6M in Q2 2008 (compound decline of 23%). • Accounts receivable for the same period grew from Accounts receivable turnover has been out of step $20.8M to $21.6M (compound growth of 4%). with the evolution of sales, turning over more slowly thus putting additional pressure on cash flow. • Accounts receivable turnover slowed by 108 days (compound growth of 146%) from 74 days in 2003 to The Company would have generated $3M 182 days in 2007. of additional cash flow if its 2007 accounts receivable turnover had matched its 2006 statistics of 153 days. • Inventory turnover stayed stable for the same period. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 11
  • 12. Cash flow analysis Audited Audited Audited Audited Internal Total ($000) FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 YTD 20081 Operating activities (459.7) (2,351.0) (2,636.3) (1,751.3) (942.6) (8,140.9) Investing activities (882.2) (801.6) (859.8) (512.0) (72.2) (3,127.8) Financing activities Increase in bank indebtedness 1,640.0 2,600.9 (2,822.3) 2,649.3 1,263.2 5,331.1 Issuance of LT debt - - 5,000.0 - - 5,000.0 Issuance of share capital - - 1,000.0 - - 1,000.0 Repayment of LT debt (71.6) (69.7) (227.2) (299.3) (208.3) (876.1) Loan from parent company - 500.0 (86.7) (86.7) (40.1) 286.5 1,568.4 3,031.2 2,863.8 2,263.3 1,014.8 10,741.5 Net cash (Outflow) inflow 226.5 (121.4) (632.3) - - (527.2) Note 1: YTD 2008 is for the 6-month period ended on December 31, 2007. Key insights • For the past 4½ years, the Company has generated $8.1M in negative cash flow from operating activities. This outflow generally results from an increase in accounts receivable of $9.5M over the past 2 years which has allowed the Company to generate a positive net income for the period. • The $3.1M outflow from investing activities represents the acquisitions of masters, licenses and capital assets. • The Company financed its $11.3M negative cash flow from operating and investing activities by securing additional external financing. This was achieved by an increase of $5.3M of its operating line of credit, an additional $5M in long-term financing from the other financial institution and a $1M investment by the principal shareholder stemming from a sale-leaseback transaction of the Company’s head office property. • In addition, the Company also sold $2.8M of packaging inventory to a supplier in 2007, in a non-cash transaction which resulted in a reduction of the inventory and payables. The Company’s negative cash flow has been entirely financed through debt issuance ($10.3M), sale of assets ($1M) or has been borne by suppliers ($2.8M). © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 12
  • 13. Eight-month actual results for 2007-2008 8 months - July 2007 to February 2008 % of net % of net Detail of other expenses ($000) Initial budget sales Actual sales Variance Interest expense 573 ($000) ($000) ($000) Advertising & promotion 481 Revenues Rent & utilities 427 Sales 35,309 28,136 7,173 Interest on long-term debt 393 Returns (8,121) 23% (7,640) 27% (481) Car, travel & entertainment 389 Net sales Professional fees 332 27,188 20,496 6,692 Warehouse salaries 312 Commissions 248 Cost of sales 17,988 66% 15,436 75% 2,552 Amortization - licenses and masters 182 Office & computer expenses 160 Gross profit 9,200 34% 5,060 25% 4,140 Amortization - capital assets 156 Insurance and taxes 123 Operating and administrative expenses Provision for FX losses 94 Administrative salaries 1,824 7% 1,679 8% 145 Bad debts 93 Sales salaries Telecommunications 78 1,082 4% 740 4% 342 Capital tax expense 60 Others 4,943 18% 4,220 21% 723 Bank charges 34 Total operating SG&A 7,849 6,639 1,210 Repairs & maintenance 32 Amortization - deferred expenses 32 Earnings (Loss) before income taxes 1,351 (1,579) (2,930) Miscellaneous 21 4,220 Note 1: This budget was submitted to the bank in May 2007. Key insights • Actual net sales were $6.7M (24.6%) less than budgeted for the period with Q2 having been 21% off the initial forecast. • Cost of sales declined by $2.55M (14.2%), though not as quickly as sales over the same period. • The decline in sales, and consequently in gross profits, has resulted in a decline of the earnings before income taxes of $2.9M. • SG&A expenses have decreased by 15% as gross sales decreased by over 20%. Year-to-date sales are $7.2M lower than forecasts for the same period. Management reacted positively by implementing cost-cutting measures, but the lag in timing has not insulated the Company from losses. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 13
  • 14. Revised forecast for the remainder of 2007-2008 4 months - March to June 2008 % of net % of net Initial forecast1 sales Revised forecast sales Variance ($000) ($000) ($000) Revenues Sales 16,693 11,544 (5,149) Returns (3,839) 23% (7,551) 65% (3,712) Net sales 12,854 3,994 (8,860) Cost of sales 8,524 66% 3,950 99% (4,574) Gross profit 4,330 34% 44 1% (4,286) Operating and administrative expenses Administrative salaries 908 7% 519 13% (389) Sales salaries 541 4% 233 6% (308) Others 2,423 19% 1,732 43% (691) Total operating SG&A 3,872 2,484 (1,388) Earnings (Loss) before income taxes 458 (2,441) (2,899) Note 1: This budget was submitted to the bank in May 2007. Key insights • Prevailing market conditions have led management to review its sales forecast downwards by $5.2M (30%) for the remainder of the 2007-2008 year (four months). • Expected returns for the balance of the year (from March to June 2008) have been increased significantly by $3,7M (97%) to reflect the Company’s plan to demand that unsold inventory be reprocessed and sold through existing or alternative channels. • Forecasted SG&A expenses have been reduced to reflect implemented cost-cutting measures. However, due to the rapid decline of net sales, SG&A expenses have not been able to be adjusted as quickly, consequently, these expenses have not matched the sales decline. • The Company now forecasts a loss before income taxes for the final 4 months of the fiscal year in excess of $2.4M. The combination of rapid sales decline and high returns will have made a significant impact from March to June 2008 yielding an expected loss of $2.4M. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 14
  • 15. Revised forecast Revised Actual Actual Budget Actual Forecast July 07 to March 08 to Revised Initial 2006 2007 2008 February 08 June 08 forecast forecast1 (8 months) (4 months) (12 months) ($000) (In thousand $) Revenues Sales 52,000 28,136 11,544 39,680 Returns (11,960) (7,640) (7,551) (15,191) Net sales 40,040 20,496 3,994 24,489 Net sales 35,911 37,916 24,489 - - Cost of sales 26,509 15,436 3,950 19,386 - - Gross profit 13,531 5,060 44 5,103 Cost of sales 23,840 24,994 19,386 Operating and administrative expenses Administrative salaries 2,732 1,679 519 2,198 Sales salaries 2,271 740 233 973 Gross Profit 12,071 12,922 5,103 Others 6,719 4,220 1,732 5,952 33.6% 34.1% 20.8% Total operating SG&A 11,722 6,639 2,484 9,123 - - Operating and administrative expenses 10,435 11,466 9,123 Earnings (Loss) before income taxes 1,809 (1,579) (2,441) (4,020) 29.1% 30.2% 37.3% Begining retained earnings 4,030 4,030 Ending retained earnings 5,839 10 Earnings (Loss) before income taxes 1,636 1,456 (4,020) Note 1: This budget was submitted to the bank in May 2007. Key insights • Revised forecasts for fiscal year 2007-2008 now show a loss before income taxes of approximately $4M as opposed to forecasted earnings of $1.8M. • Net sales are expected to decline by $13M (35%) for 2008 and gross profit will be significantly lower at $5M. • Retained earnings as at June 2007 were $4M, expected losses will eliminate retained earnings by fiscal year-end. Earnings forecasts for 2008 have been revised downwards significantly due to a rapid sales slowdown thus yielding an estimated $4M loss for the year. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 15
  • 16. Estimated borrowing base calculation as at March 31, 2008 At At ($000) February 29 March 31 Key insights Accounts receivable 20,576 18,954 Less: Account over 150 days 8,299 7,113 • Between February 29 and March 31, the borrowing base deficit has Total admissible accounts receivable 12,277 11,841 increased to over $870k, a deterioration of almost $500k. Applicable financing ratio: 68% 68% • The borrowing base has remained stable, however the bank loan has Lending value on accounts receivable 8,348 8,052 increased by $500k between February 29 and March 31, 2008. Lending value on inventory 2,716 3,000 • Ineligible accounts receivable have decreased by over $1M, in part 11,064 11,052 because of the high level of returns. • Lending value on inventory is capped Total claims to be deducted (1) 792 792 at $3M due to the high levels of returns in February. These returns caused inventory levels to increase Borrowing base 10,272 10,260 significantly. Estimated loan balance 10,662 11,131 Surplus (Deficit) (390) (871) Note 1: Prior claims as at March 31 were estimated to be the same as the previous month. Borrowing base deficit has deteriorated by $500k in the month of March as the bank loan has increased by the same amount. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 16
  • 17. Forecasted 13-week cash flow and borrowing base March 31 May 5 June 2 Critical success factors to to to May 2 May 30 June 27 Total Estimated loan balance - Opening 11,131 11,331 10,174 11,131 • The Company will liquidate finished goods inventory for $1M; Total receipts 2,128 3,018 2,120 7,266 • The other financial institution will agree to a Total disbursements 2,328 1,862 1,769 5,958 moratorium on the repayment of interest and capital on its long-term debt for 6 months. Net source (Use) of funds from operations (200) 1,157 351 1,308 • The Company’s accelerated accounts receivable objectives will be met. Net loan balance - Closing 11,331 10,174 9,823 9,823 Borrowing base 10,792 9,949 10,251 Surplus (Deficit) (539) (225) 428 Key insights • Management estimates that its short-term liquidity measures will yield improvements for the bank’s position. • The loan balance is estimated to drop from $11.1M to $9.8M, while the borrowing base reverts from a deficit of $539k to a surplus of $428k over the same period. • However, the weekly cash flow and borrowing base prepared by the Company (see Appendix A) show a loan balance that rises as high as $12.5M before decreasing to $9.8M. • Since accounts receivable collections are traditionally month-end loaded, this explains the borrowing base deficits in the interim periods. • The borrowing base deficit reaches a high of $1.4M before reverting to a surplus position of $428k by the end of June. • Cash receipts include $1M in receipts from the liquidation of excess inventory. Management’s short-term liquidity measures can lower the outstanding bank balance and improve the borrowing base. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 17
  • 18. Estimated liquidation value as at March 31, 2008 Book Estimated Estimated Value Realization Liquidation ($000) March 31 Value Key insights Accounts receivable Accounts under 150 days 11,841.0 Expected returns 30% (3,552.3) Net receivables 8,288.7 60% 4,973.2 Accounts over 150 days 7,113.0 • The bank loan as at March 31, 2008 is $11.1M. Expected returns 75% (5,334.8) Net receivables 1,778.3 60% 1,067.0 • The liquidation value of the assets subject to the Other receivables 537.6 0% - bank’s security as at March 31, 2008 is estimated at Total 6,040.2 $10M before liquidation costs. Inventory Raw materials at XYZ Inc. 791.7 5% 39.6 • The estimated deficit for the bank if operations ceased Other raw materials 588.2 5% 29.4 at March 31, 2008 would have been $1.1M before Inventory at XYZ Inc. 2,139.6 liquidation costs. Best-seller products 47% 1,005.6 50% 502.8 Regular products 19% 406.5 50% 203.3 • Accounts receivable are significantly discounted to Slow-moving products 26% 556.3 20% 111.3 Non-moving products 8% 171.2 15% 25.7 reflect expected discounts to customers. 100% • Challenges related to the liquidation of inventory: Inventory in LaVille and on consignment 6135.8 Best-seller products 17% 1,043.1 50% 521.5 – Limited to North American market (licensing rights); Regular products 29% 1,779.4 50% 889.7 Slow-moving products 24% 1,472.6 20% 294.5 – Purchasers need retail outlets which would compete with Non-moving products 30% 1,840.7 15% 276.1 existing clients; 100% – Accounts receivable and inventory realization values Returns from clients (A/R) 8,887.1 Returns at cost 50% 4,443.5 20% 888.7 could be negatively impacted if there was a flood of 3,782.6 product on the market. Intellectual property • Intellectual property includes licenses, masters and (book value as at January 30, 2008) 800.0 25% 200.0 pre-paid royalties. Liquidation value of the assets subject to the security of the bank 10,022.7 Estimated loan balance as at March 31, 2008 11,100.0 Surplus (Deficit) (1,077.3) In a liquidation scenario, the bank’s estimated position at March 31, 2008 would have been deficient by $1.1M. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 18
  • 20. Client analysis Returns in percentage of sales 2006 2007 2006 2007 ($000) Sales Returns % of sales Sales Returns % of sales ($000) Sales Returns % of sales Sales Returns % of sales Superstore A 23,381.9 7,115.3 30.43% 27,023.4 6,007.9 22.23% Superstore D (US) 16,717.6 6,038.1 36.12% 19,531.6 4,952.6 25.36% Superstore B 6,610.7 1,236.8 18.71% 4,620.0 2,230.8 48.29% Superstore E (US) 2,918.6 355.5 12.18% 3,450.1 335.9 9.74% Superstore C 2,352.3 58.2 2.47% 4,434.4 583.2 13.15% Superstore E (CDN) 2,227.0 542.8 24.37% 2,165.6 421.9 19.48% Others (CDN) 3,294.4 741.1 22.50% 2,959.7 669.8 22.63% Superstore A (CDN) 1,518.7 178.9 11.78% 1,876.1 297.5 15.86% Others (US) 7,692.8 299.5 3.89% 6,663.3 595.4 8.94% Total Superstore A 23,381.9 7,115.3 30.43% 27,023.4 6,007.9 22.23% Total 43,332.1 9,450.9 21.81% 45,700.8 10,087.1 22.07% Key insights Key insights • Return rates with Superstore B increased significantly from • Superstore D return rates are significantly higher than other 18.71% in 2006 to 48.29% in 2007. Management believes that intermediaries who cater to Superstore A, though the rate has this was exceptionally due to a communication breakdown on a dropped measurably from 2006 to 2007. promotion item which was improperly marketed by the client. • Management’s challenge will be to improve communication with • Notwithstanding the preceding, sales to Superstore B dropped Superstore D so as to better coordinate production with expected by 30% from 2006 to 2007. A review of the client approach is returns to optimize inventory management. warranted to identify means to recapture lost sales. • If Management had better controlled Superstore D returns and • Superstore C represents a potential avenue to grow sales all the yielded an average return rate equivalent to the other while limiting returns due to the promotion package in place. intermediaries (14%), returns for 2007 would have been 2.2M units lower. • Overall, return sales have remained stable relative to sales. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 20
  • 21. Warehouse analysis Impacts of outsourcing warehousing of LaVille Warehouse in LaVille Actual Warehouse ($000) ($000) 2007 2007 Warehouse salaries (100%) 668 668 Estimated costs of implementing this strategy Cost to disclaim lease1 Rent (70%) 655 459 (330) Insurance and taxes (70%) 184 129 Moving costs (15) Employees2 Repairs and maint. (100%) 74 74 (40) Warehouse equipment liquidation3 Cost of returns ($0.205/unit) - Supplier 128 140 Processing cost of units sent to XYZ Inc.4 1,581 1,458 (300) Liquidation of LaVille's inventory5 1,000 455 Shipped quantity from LaVille (000 units) 6,416 Returned quantity to LaVille (000 units) 623 Note 1: Cost to disclaim the lease is estimated to be 6 months of the actual rent which is about $55k per month. XYZ Inc. fulfillment (per unit) 0.10 XYZ Inc. return processing (per unit) 0.17 Note 2: Company would keep two employees with an annual salary of $40k each for 6 months to manage the inventory liquidation and transition. Cost to outsource to XYZ Inc. Note 3: Warehouse equipment realization is estimated at 50% of its book value of $285k. Shipping cost ($0.10/unit) 642 Processing cost ($0.17/unit) 106 Note 4: Company would liquidate all its $3.2M of non-moving and slow-moving products at a net value of $1M. Total 748 Note : Company would send the balance of $2.8M of its inventory in LaVille to XYZ Inc. and will assume a processing cost of $0.17 per unit. Estimated loss (Benefit) to outsource (710) Key insights • Outsourcing its warehousing to XYZ would have represented savings of approximately $700k for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007. This excludes other potential savings which we were not able to evaluate such as transport fees and duplicated fulfillment fees related to orders for inventory coming from the three warehouses, other potential production and IT savings, costs of some special pallets, depreciation of fixed assets, potential volume rebates from XYZ, etc. The outsourcing of its Canadian warehouse management to XYZ would represent significant annual savings. The Company must find a way to leave its current premises, to move its administration into smaller offices and to outsource its Canadian warehousing to XYZ. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 21
  • 22. Unit margin by client and products Superstore D Superstore B Superstore E Superstore E Superstore D Superstore B Superstore E Superstore E USA USA USA Canada USA USA USA Canada CD Multipack CD Single Unit price 7.14 17.28 5.03 3.52 Unit price 3.51 N/A 3.57 1.96 Unit cost (2.41) (5.29) (2.02) (2.42) Unit cost (1.00) (1.07) (0.91) Unit margin 4.73 11.99 3.01 1.10 Unit margin 2.51 2.50 1.05 Royalties1 (0.88) (2.13) (0.62) (0.43) Royalties1 (0.43) (0.44) (0.24) Fulfillment (0.10) (0.10) (0.10) (0.10) Fulfillment (0.10) (0.10) (0.10) Display N/A (0.35) N/A N/A Delivery, freight and duty2 (0.18) (0.18) (0.10) Delivery, freight and duty2 (0.36) (0.86) (0.25) (0.18) Gross margin 1.80 1.78 0.61 Gross margin 3.39 8.55 2.04 0.39 Each return Each return Processing (0.17) (0.17) (0.17) Processing (0.17) (0.17) (0.17) (0.17) Fulfillment (0.10) (0.10) (0.10) Fulfillment (0.10) (0.10) (0.10) (0.10) Delivery, freight and duty2 Delivery, freight and duty2 (0.18) (0.18) (0.10) (0.36) (0.86) (0.25) (0.18) (0.45) (0.45) (0.37) (0.63) (1.13) (0.52) (0.45) Number of profitable returns 4.00 3.96 1.65 Number of profitable returns 5.38 7.57 3.92 0.87 Superstore D Key insights USA DVD Multipack Unit price 3.15 Unit cost (2.21) • Margins vary widely for the same product across clients. Unit margin 0.94 • Generally, for each kind of product, the Company has smaller margins with Superstore E Royalties1 (0.39) than with other clients we evaluated. Fulfillment (0.10) Delivery, freight and duty2 • The unit margin for Superstore E Canada is very small, but we did not test other Canadian (0.16) Gross margin 0.29 clients. If the Company thinks it could be useful, we could do so for their other big clients. • The Company appears to have very good margins with Superstore B, but sales to Each return Superstore B are decreasing and returns are increasing. Processing (0.17) Fulfillment (0.10) • DVD sales, which represent approximately 18% of sales, have a profitable return rate of 2 Delivery, freight and duty (0.16) less than 1 indicating that such sales are riskier. (0.43) Number of profitable returns 0.67 Note 1: The Company estimated its average royalties payable at 12.35% of selling price because the data on file does not produce a cost analysis which includes this expense. Note 2: Delivery, freight and duty expenses have been evaluated as a percentage of 2007 gross sales. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 22
  • 23. Benchmarking 2006 2007 Key insights from Competitor’s Y/E report Competitor DS Variance Competitor DS Variance ($000) USD CAD USD CAD Net sales 77,109 35,911 41,198 93,195 37,916 55,279 • Competitor has liquidated $3M worth of COGS 52,721 23,840 28,881 67,765 24,994 42,771 discontinued, overstock and slow-moving Gross margin 24,388 12,071 12,318 25,430 12,922 12,508 inventory. • Competitor outsources most of its manufacturing Gross Margin 31.6% 33.6% -2.0% 27.3% 34.1% -6.8% and all of its return processing requirements. EBITDA (% of net sales) 7.0% 9.1% -2.1% 5.1% 9.6% -4.6% • Competitor’s declared business strategy : AR (% of net sales) 37.9% 57.9% -20.0% 30.7% 56.8% -26.1% - Expand footprint outside of traditional music Turnover (days) 138 211 -73 112 207 -95 marketplace - Increase the efficiency of its cost structure Inventory (% of net sales) 19.2% 21.7% -2.6% 20.2% 22.4% -2.2% Turnover (days) 70 79 -9 74 82 -8 - Increase market share. • Statistics show that retail unit sales were AP (% of COGS) 34.1% 40.1% -6.0% 29.3% 41.0% -11.7% down 15% for fiscal year-end 2007 from fiscal Turnover (days) 125 146 -22 107 150 -43 year-end 2006. Note: Based on calendar year - Jan 1 to Dec 31. Key insights • ABC gross margin and EBITDA are better than Competitor’s and have progressed in 2007. • Based on December 31 accounts receivable figures, ABC’s turnover is significantly lower than Competitor’s. ABC takes approximately three months more ($9.9M) than Competitor to collect its receivables. • ABC’s payable turnover is approximately two months faster than its receivable turnover, thus financing its customers for 60 days ($6.3M). © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 23
  • 25. Restructuring plan Number of Annual Key insights Department Employees ($000) • The Company has contacted liquidators to liquidate slow-moving inventory. Administration 3 77 Management has forecasted receipts of $1M for this initiative. Creative 3 79 • Administrative, sales and warehouse salaries have been reduced by Production 1 44 approximately $150k/month with savings beginning as of April 2008. Product developer 3 231 • The Company had discussions with the other financial institution regarding a IT 1 27 moratorium on the repayment of capital and interest on its long-term debt, which would represent a cash flow saving of approximately $110k/month – Sales 5 381 discussions are still underway. Warehouse 6 128 • The Company plans to negotiate an agreement with its key supplier, XYZ, to Agency personel 370 agree on terms of payment for its account payable and possibly transition Total lay offs 22 1,337 additional distribution operations. • The Company is looking into transferring all of its fulfillment and return General pay cuts 6 443 processing requirements to XYZ in order to gain some additional cash flow by lowering fixed costs. Total savings 28 1,780 Short-term cash inflows Long-term recurring cash flow improvements ($000) ($000) Liquidation of slow-moving inventory 1,000 Salary cuts 1,800 Moratorium on repayment of debt Transfer Canadian processing and 710 (6 months) 660 returns to XYZ Inc. (Projected) 1,660 2,510 Preliminary restructuring plan initiatives could generate recurring annual cash flow improvements of approximately $2.5M. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 25
  • 26. Management tools Key tools A review of the Company’s operational management systems has revealed the absence of key management tools which hampered the Company’s ability to react to market factors in a timely manner. • A complete monthly budgeting tool including a linked P&L, balance sheet and cash flow This would allow the Company to forecast results and bank position in advance, track inventory needs and asset utilization. • A monthly budget control tool which would allow the monthly comparison of actual results to the forecast This tool is essential to identify trends and to quickly flag problems during an operational cycle. • A unit cost system which will permit the Company to evaluate the cost and margin for each of its products This would allow the Company to adjust its selling price as necessary and to determine which products should be produced or not. • A tracking system of licenses, masters and prepaid royalties This would enable the Company to determine the profitability of each of its masters license and royalty in order to evaluate the individual profitability and determine a break-even point based on the forecasted sales. • A tracking system of returns by client and by product • A tracking system of margins by product by client • A tracking system linked with the major customers to forecast estimated returns by product This would allow the Company to plan future production by product based on estimated returns. • A systematic liquidation process for slow-moving products To keep inventory levels at a minimum and generate cash flow. With the proper tools in place, the Company would be in a better position to improve its financial and operational planning, track its performance and identify challenges to better react. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 26
  • 28. Appendix A Detailed cash flow projection ($000) BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET BUDGET TOTAL Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week beginning 31-Mar 7-Apr 14-Apr 21-Apr 28-Apr 5-May 12-May 19-May 26-May 2-Jun 9-Jun 16-Jun 23-Jun Total 11,131 11,537 11,802 12,278 12,508 11,331 11,740 12,122 12,445 10,174 10,718 11,211 11,552 11,131 Estimated loan balance net & term Loan - Opening Receipts Receipts from opening accounts receivable 11 250 15 90 1,762 83 220 13 2,202 5 10 5 1,600 6,266 Receipts from new accounts receivable - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Sale of obsolete inventory - - - - - - - - 500 - - - 500 1,000 Total receipts 11 250 15 90 1,762 83 220 13 2,702 5 10 5 2,100 7,266 Disbursements Payroll and payroll deductions - - 110 - 110 - 110 - 110 - 90 - 90 620 Commissions - 25 - - - 15 - - - 53 - - - 93 Suppliers 313 315 271 246 406 262 412 262 252 362 262 262 212 3,837 Royalties, licenses and masters 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 299 Rent - - - - - 56 - - - 56 - - - 112 Utilities - 7 - - - 7 - - - - 7 - - 20 Insurances - - 10 - - - 10 - - - - 10 - 30 Corporate taxes 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 260 Professional fees 40 20 35 10 5 5 5 10 5 5 5 10 5 160 Long term debt (capital and interests) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Interests on the credit line - 75 - - - 75 - - - - 75 - - 225 Other 21 30 22 21 21 30 22 21 21 30 22 21 21 303 Foreign exchange effect - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Total disbursements 417 515 491 320 585 493 602 336 431 549 504 346 371 5,958 (406) (265) (476) (230) 1,177 (410) (382) (323) 2,271 (544) (494) (341) 1,729 1,308 Net source (Use) of funds from operations 11,537 11,802 12,278 12,508 11,331 11,740 12,122 12,445 10,174 10,718 11,211 11,552 9,823 9,823 Net loan balance - Closing Borrowing base 10,401 10,627 11,013 11,347 10,792 10,282 10,687 11,232 9,949 9,856 10,596 11,339 10,251 Surplus (Deficit) (1,136) (1,174) (1,265) (1,160) (538) (1,458) (1,435) (1,213) (225) (862) (616) (213) 428 © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. ABC Inc. 28
  • 29. © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities. Deloitte, known in Québec as Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l., is one of the leading professional services firms in Québec and Canada, providing audit, tax, financial advisory and consulting services. In Québec, approximately 1,900 people regularly draw on their expertise for clients from every sector of the economy. With over 7,600 people working in 56 offices across the country, Deloitte is dedicated to helping its clients and its people excel. Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, a Swiss Verein, its member firms, and their respective subsidiaries and affiliates. As a Swiss Verein (association), neither Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu nor any of its member firms has any liability for each other's acts or omissions. Each of the member firms is a separate and independent legal entity operating under the names “Deloitte,” “Deloitte & Touche,” “Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu,” or other related names. Services are provided by the member firms or their subsidiaries or affiliates and not by the Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Verein. 29 AbitibiBowater © Samson Bélair/Deloitte & Touche s.e.n.c.r.l. and affiliated entities.