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customerintelligence
Large-scale Predictive
Analytics in practice
Jonathan Burez, Head of Business analysts, ING Belgium
Meric Potier, Project Manager, ING Belgium
Geert Verstraeten, Managing Partner, Python Predictions
IÉSEG School of Management – 2 October 2015
customerintelligence
Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice
Where we are
Where we are going
ING Belgium - Customer Intelligence
Where we come from
customerintelligence
Belgium
Universal direct bank
Serving almost 2.4 mio active retail customers
730 branches and an expanded digital network
Extremely digital, extremely personal
customerintelligence
Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice
ING Belgium - Customer Intelligence
Where we come from
Where we are
Where we are going
customerintelligence
Elements for a mature environment (2005)
Strategy Sponsors
Analysts
SoftwareData
customerintelligence
Strategy (2006)
Predictive
Interpretable
Proactive
Customer-
Centric
Actionable Proactive
Targeting
Framework
Quality as high
as possible
Predictive quality
irrelevant if
result is not
interpretable
A toolbox of predictive
models a priori
available
Client ‘pull’ logic
preferred to product
‘push’ logic
Small, high-quality
target groups adapted
towards channel
capacity
customerintelligence
Skills of Analysts (2006)
« L’analyse est
un métier " Analytics
ITBusiness
Comm-
unication
+ Project
Management
customerintelligence
Confirmation (2008)
Comparison of campaign results
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
Business Selections Predictive Models
+ 67% on average
customerintelligence
Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice
ING Belgium - Customer Intelligence
Where we are
Where we come from
Where we are going
customerintelligence10
• From ~10 models in 2008 to an
extensive battery of models:
- 38 propensity & potential
models,
- 5 segmentations
- 2 similarity models
• 600 million scores per year
generated
• Around 4,4 million of those
scores are effectively used as
leads, which represents 60% of all
our commercial outbound contacts
in 2014.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
09/1 09/2 10/1 10/2 11/1 11/2 12/1 12/2 13/1 13/2 14/1 14/2 15/1
Million
Increase in model usage for commercial contacts
from 5% to 70% in 5 years
# Commercial contacts based on business rules & triggers
# Commercial contacts based on models
% of commercial contacts based on models
We increased the number and usage of models into our
marketing campaigns…
* Data of June not yet included
*
customerintelligence
… Allowing us to be more relevant for the clients
11
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Evolution # unique commercial
campaigns
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Target size evolution of
commercial campaigns
Sending the right message to the right customer via the right channel implies to send
more differentiated messages to smaller groups
* 1 message for 1 target group via 1 channel at a specific moment of time
customerintelligence
Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice
ING Belgium - Customer Intelligence
Where we are
Where we come from
Where we are going
customerintelligence13
The move towards a broader scope in analytics
 Data-driven Business Intelligence
 Aim for robust models and recipes
 Deliver Proof of Concepts
(tools, algos, new data, new viz, …)
 Fail fast, fail often… and learn
 Business analysis
 Modelling (all, standard methods)
 Industrialisation
 Modelling (explore new techniques)
 Feature extraction from text, graphs, etc.
 Exploration of Big Data analytics tools
Predictive Analytics (in production) Data Science Lab
(Predictive)
Analytics
Data
Advanced
(Predictive)
Analytics
PresentPast
(Predictive)
Analytics
Data
customerintelligence14
What is the difference between Business Analysts
and Data Scientists?
Data ScientistsBusiness Analysts
Business understanding
In-house data knowledge
Visualisation
Coding skills
Visualisation
customerintelligence15
Different approach with regards to tooling
Data Science LabPredictive Analytics (in production)
BI server
Operational Data Store
customerintelligence16
Key success factors of Data Science Lab:
Methodology
• Flexibility is key
• Learn fast, fail fast
• Regular status updates
and review sessions
• Exploration and R&D
with a certain pace
• Committing to a certain
scope for each sprint
customerintelligence17
Key success factors of Data Science Lab:
Multi-disciplinary teams
• Involvement of
Business Owner
• Data Scientists
• Hadoop Developers
• Scrum Master /
Functional Team
Manager
customerintelligence18
Key success factors of Data Science Lab:
Skills & compententies within the team
+ Soft Skills!
System Admin
Development Testing &
Deployment
DEVOPS
Domain Expertise
Mathematics Computer
Science
DATA
SCIENTIST
Machine
Learning
Data
Processing
Statistical
Research
+ Planning & organisation
skills!
Scrum Master as facilitator,
organiser and coach
customerintelligence19
Exploratory projects so far…
Text Mining
Personal
Banking
client
Personal
Banker
Bla bla bla
Notes
 Very high noise level
 Small dataset
 Clear business goals
 Time to explore
 Team effort
Graph analytics
Find patterns in transactions between businesses
for predictive analytics for knowledge discovery
customerintelligence 9/24/11 20Name ING department or name

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Predictive analytics and data science at ING Belgium

  • 1. customerintelligence Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice Jonathan Burez, Head of Business analysts, ING Belgium Meric Potier, Project Manager, ING Belgium Geert Verstraeten, Managing Partner, Python Predictions IÉSEG School of Management – 2 October 2015
  • 2. customerintelligence Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice Where we are Where we are going ING Belgium - Customer Intelligence Where we come from
  • 3. customerintelligence Belgium Universal direct bank Serving almost 2.4 mio active retail customers 730 branches and an expanded digital network Extremely digital, extremely personal
  • 4. customerintelligence Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice ING Belgium - Customer Intelligence Where we come from Where we are Where we are going
  • 5. customerintelligence Elements for a mature environment (2005) Strategy Sponsors Analysts SoftwareData
  • 6. customerintelligence Strategy (2006) Predictive Interpretable Proactive Customer- Centric Actionable Proactive Targeting Framework Quality as high as possible Predictive quality irrelevant if result is not interpretable A toolbox of predictive models a priori available Client ‘pull’ logic preferred to product ‘push’ logic Small, high-quality target groups adapted towards channel capacity
  • 7. customerintelligence Skills of Analysts (2006) « L’analyse est un métier " Analytics ITBusiness Comm- unication + Project Management
  • 8. customerintelligence Confirmation (2008) Comparison of campaign results 0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% Business Selections Predictive Models + 67% on average
  • 9. customerintelligence Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice ING Belgium - Customer Intelligence Where we are Where we come from Where we are going
  • 10. customerintelligence10 • From ~10 models in 2008 to an extensive battery of models: - 38 propensity & potential models, - 5 segmentations - 2 similarity models • 600 million scores per year generated • Around 4,4 million of those scores are effectively used as leads, which represents 60% of all our commercial outbound contacts in 2014. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 09/1 09/2 10/1 10/2 11/1 11/2 12/1 12/2 13/1 13/2 14/1 14/2 15/1 Million Increase in model usage for commercial contacts from 5% to 70% in 5 years # Commercial contacts based on business rules & triggers # Commercial contacts based on models % of commercial contacts based on models We increased the number and usage of models into our marketing campaigns… * Data of June not yet included *
  • 11. customerintelligence … Allowing us to be more relevant for the clients 11 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Evolution # unique commercial campaigns 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Target size evolution of commercial campaigns Sending the right message to the right customer via the right channel implies to send more differentiated messages to smaller groups * 1 message for 1 target group via 1 channel at a specific moment of time
  • 12. customerintelligence Large-scale Predictive Analytics in practice ING Belgium - Customer Intelligence Where we are Where we come from Where we are going
  • 13. customerintelligence13 The move towards a broader scope in analytics  Data-driven Business Intelligence  Aim for robust models and recipes  Deliver Proof of Concepts (tools, algos, new data, new viz, …)  Fail fast, fail often… and learn  Business analysis  Modelling (all, standard methods)  Industrialisation  Modelling (explore new techniques)  Feature extraction from text, graphs, etc.  Exploration of Big Data analytics tools Predictive Analytics (in production) Data Science Lab (Predictive) Analytics Data Advanced (Predictive) Analytics PresentPast (Predictive) Analytics Data
  • 14. customerintelligence14 What is the difference between Business Analysts and Data Scientists? Data ScientistsBusiness Analysts Business understanding In-house data knowledge Visualisation Coding skills Visualisation
  • 15. customerintelligence15 Different approach with regards to tooling Data Science LabPredictive Analytics (in production) BI server Operational Data Store
  • 16. customerintelligence16 Key success factors of Data Science Lab: Methodology • Flexibility is key • Learn fast, fail fast • Regular status updates and review sessions • Exploration and R&D with a certain pace • Committing to a certain scope for each sprint
  • 17. customerintelligence17 Key success factors of Data Science Lab: Multi-disciplinary teams • Involvement of Business Owner • Data Scientists • Hadoop Developers • Scrum Master / Functional Team Manager
  • 18. customerintelligence18 Key success factors of Data Science Lab: Skills & compententies within the team + Soft Skills! System Admin Development Testing & Deployment DEVOPS Domain Expertise Mathematics Computer Science DATA SCIENTIST Machine Learning Data Processing Statistical Research + Planning & organisation skills! Scrum Master as facilitator, organiser and coach
  • 19. customerintelligence19 Exploratory projects so far… Text Mining Personal Banking client Personal Banker Bla bla bla Notes  Very high noise level  Small dataset  Clear business goals  Time to explore  Team effort Graph analytics Find patterns in transactions between businesses for predictive analytics for knowledge discovery
  • 20. customerintelligence 9/24/11 20Name ING department or name

Editor's Notes

  1. What did this lead to