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Alex Honchar | Neurons Lab LTD | 2020
AI in the post-COVID era
what broke, what stays, what appeared
🚀
Entrepreneur



creating and selling AI
solutions worldwide
"
Practitioner



7 years building data-
driven products
🎯
Educator



university lecturer, events
speaker and blogger
About me
I am teaching machines
About Neurons Lab
Uninterrupted 

energy production



20% less maintenance fees
Explainable AI 

in Finance



10% higher Sharpe ratio
Human-free 

merchandising

5% higher sales and margins
Fully distributed AI consulting boutique
Plan for today
18:00-19:30
• General AI landscape

what worked well?

• AI applications emerged in crisis

what broke? what has to be fixed?
• Future AI applications

what we are looking into? 

AI software market valuation based on CBInsights estimations
> $25B
Value chain
what this AI actually does?
Project Create Promote Provide Prevent
Retail
Anticipate, predict
and find sources ->
launch new ideas
Automate, augment
and optimize human
roles -> better
processes
Advertisement, sales
and pricing -> drive
the revenues
Enhanced user
experience,
minimized human-
based support
Risk management,
radical negative
events prevention
Wealth
Management
Utilities
Healthcare
Value chain
what results it delivers?
Project Create Promote Provide Prevent
Retail
1–2% EBIT
improvement
30% reduction of

stocking time
30% online sales

increase
5% higher margins
with merchandising
50% less burglaries
and stealing
Wealth
Management
More accurate
predictions
9%+ outperform
classical funds
General sales
increase
$2.2T 

roboadvisers
market
20% less
unprofitable deals
Utilities
Cuts up to 10%
electricity usage
20% energy
production growth General faster and
better support and
delivery
$10–$30 savings on

monthly bills
Healthcare
$300 billion possible

savings in the United

States
Up to 2% GDP
savings for oper.

efficiencies
5–9% health

expenditure
reduction
0.2–1.3 additional

years of average life

expectancy
Value chain
what technologies are used?
Project Create Promote Provide Prevent
Retail
Time Series
Forecasting
Optimization,
Robotics
Recommender
Systems and KYC
Technologies
Computer Vision 

and 

Natural Language
Processing
Computer Vision
Wealth
Management Optimization and
Reinforcement
Learning and
Robotics
Anomaly detection
Utilities
Healthcare Computer vision, NLP, DSP
Generative 

modeling
$11.5TUS equities lost of value
Affected industries
highest probability / least probability to default
Airlines 23.16% 

Casinos & Gaming 16.46% 

Leisure Facilities 19.74% 

Auto Parts & Equipment 18.81% 

Oil & Gas Drilling 22.5%
Property & Casualty Insurance 1.06% 

Health Care REITs 0.52% 

Multi-line Insurance 0.92% 

Life & Health Insurance 1.00% 

Industrial REITs 0.55%
Expert opinions
people talk in 2 months from the crash
Value chain affections
where AI broke here?
Project Create Promote Provide Prevent
Retail
Demand and Supply
patterns changed
Robotics here will be
very handy
People simply buy
less now
Shopping
experience changed
Facial recognition
doesn’t work
anymore
Wealth
Management
Forecasting doesn’t
work at all
The stock market is still alive, people are still trading
How to survive next
market crash?
Utilities
Predictive maintenance to avoid too much
of the human work
Do you really need to promote utilities
differently? The support is online already
What if all factory
workers get sick?
Healthcare
Doctors are not looking to be replaced by
AI here right now
Don’t see how AI will
help to sell here
How to scale
services?
Preventive medicine
with all the data we
have
guess time
predictions
Nowcasting
• Retail:



supply-demand price elasticity models
“broke” due to completely new market
situation, new online-learning models
are going to replace them
• Wealth management:



econometric models for price
prediction “broke” as well, alternative
data analysis will be a key for
nowcasting.
instead of forecasting
Remote operations
• Augment, not automate



- predictive maintenance: a way to reduce amount of time spent by workers
checking physical objects



- telemedicine is real and yes, bots can do the primary asking



- robotics has to arrive sooner, even it’s not ready yet
• Create new work places:



- each AI solution frees routine work of one type, but creates more of other types.
Industrial revolutions give more jobs than take away
work from home or at least less physical presence at the object
Public safety
• Public surveillance:



- are you far enough from others?

- are you wearing a mask?

- what temperature do you have?
• Workspace safety:



- are you coughing?

- are you wearing protective suits?

- are you washing your hands?
aka hello to the totalitarianism in the Western World
AI computing
shovels for the golden rush
let’s discuss
thoughts?
Conclusions
• Investors:



Social distance hole will be filled with the machines. Let them to help people to get rid of
the manual work and use their data to live longer.
• Entrepreneurs:



Build “nowcast” analytics on every step of the value chain: from business predictions to
executions
• AI experts:



Learn how to create the value for the guys above, it’s your time now!
ping me for details and to collaborate
alex.honchar@neurons-lab.com
Resources used
in this presentation
• McKinsey AI Report https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mckinsey/industries/
advanced%20electronics/our%20insights/
how%20artificial%20intelligence%20can%20deliver%20real%20value%20to
%20companies/mgi-artificial-intelligence-discussion-paper.ashx

• Affected industries https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-
insights/blog/industries-most-and-least-impacted-by-covid-19-from-a-
probability-of-default-perspective-march-2020-update

• Demand pattern changes: https://blog.griddynamics.com/rapid-response-to-
covid-19-supply-chain-and-market-shocks/
Resources used
in this presentation
• Nowcasting vs Forecasting: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?
abstract_id=3562025

• McKinsey on COVID: https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/risk/our-
insights/covid-19-implications-for-business

• AI computing prices plot: https://theassets.ru/

• Proprietary Neurons Lab documentation and knowledge base

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AI in the post-COVID era

  • 1. Alex Honchar | Neurons Lab LTD | 2020 AI in the post-COVID era what broke, what stays, what appeared
  • 2. 🚀 Entrepreneur
 
 creating and selling AI solutions worldwide " Practitioner
 
 7 years building data- driven products 🎯 Educator
 
 university lecturer, events speaker and blogger About me I am teaching machines
  • 3. About Neurons Lab Uninterrupted 
 energy production
 
 20% less maintenance fees Explainable AI 
 in Finance
 
 10% higher Sharpe ratio Human-free 
 merchandising
 5% higher sales and margins Fully distributed AI consulting boutique
  • 4. Plan for today 18:00-19:30 • General AI landscape
 what worked well? • AI applications emerged in crisis
 what broke? what has to be fixed? • Future AI applications
 what we are looking into? 

  • 5. AI software market valuation based on CBInsights estimations > $25B
  • 6. Value chain what this AI actually does? Project Create Promote Provide Prevent Retail Anticipate, predict and find sources -> launch new ideas Automate, augment and optimize human roles -> better processes Advertisement, sales and pricing -> drive the revenues Enhanced user experience, minimized human- based support Risk management, radical negative events prevention Wealth Management Utilities Healthcare
  • 7. Value chain what results it delivers? Project Create Promote Provide Prevent Retail 1–2% EBIT improvement 30% reduction of stocking time 30% online sales increase 5% higher margins with merchandising 50% less burglaries and stealing Wealth Management More accurate predictions 9%+ outperform classical funds General sales increase $2.2T 
 roboadvisers market 20% less unprofitable deals Utilities Cuts up to 10% electricity usage 20% energy production growth General faster and better support and delivery $10–$30 savings on monthly bills Healthcare $300 billion possible savings in the United States Up to 2% GDP savings for oper. efficiencies 5–9% health expenditure reduction 0.2–1.3 additional years of average life expectancy
  • 8. Value chain what technologies are used? Project Create Promote Provide Prevent Retail Time Series Forecasting Optimization, Robotics Recommender Systems and KYC Technologies Computer Vision 
 and Natural Language Processing Computer Vision Wealth Management Optimization and Reinforcement Learning and Robotics Anomaly detection Utilities Healthcare Computer vision, NLP, DSP Generative 
 modeling
  • 10. Affected industries highest probability / least probability to default Airlines 23.16% Casinos & Gaming 16.46% Leisure Facilities 19.74% Auto Parts & Equipment 18.81% Oil & Gas Drilling 22.5% Property & Casualty Insurance 1.06% Health Care REITs 0.52% Multi-line Insurance 0.92% Life & Health Insurance 1.00% Industrial REITs 0.55%
  • 11. Expert opinions people talk in 2 months from the crash
  • 12. Value chain affections where AI broke here? Project Create Promote Provide Prevent Retail Demand and Supply patterns changed Robotics here will be very handy People simply buy less now Shopping experience changed Facial recognition doesn’t work anymore Wealth Management Forecasting doesn’t work at all The stock market is still alive, people are still trading How to survive next market crash? Utilities Predictive maintenance to avoid too much of the human work Do you really need to promote utilities differently? The support is online already What if all factory workers get sick? Healthcare Doctors are not looking to be replaced by AI here right now Don’t see how AI will help to sell here How to scale services? Preventive medicine with all the data we have
  • 14. Nowcasting • Retail:
 
 supply-demand price elasticity models “broke” due to completely new market situation, new online-learning models are going to replace them • Wealth management:
 
 econometric models for price prediction “broke” as well, alternative data analysis will be a key for nowcasting. instead of forecasting
  • 15. Remote operations • Augment, not automate
 
 - predictive maintenance: a way to reduce amount of time spent by workers checking physical objects
 
 - telemedicine is real and yes, bots can do the primary asking
 
 - robotics has to arrive sooner, even it’s not ready yet • Create new work places:
 
 - each AI solution frees routine work of one type, but creates more of other types. Industrial revolutions give more jobs than take away work from home or at least less physical presence at the object
  • 16. Public safety • Public surveillance:
 
 - are you far enough from others?
 - are you wearing a mask?
 - what temperature do you have? • Workspace safety:
 
 - are you coughing?
 - are you wearing protective suits?
 - are you washing your hands? aka hello to the totalitarianism in the Western World
  • 17. AI computing shovels for the golden rush
  • 19. Conclusions • Investors:
 
 Social distance hole will be filled with the machines. Let them to help people to get rid of the manual work and use their data to live longer. • Entrepreneurs:
 
 Build “nowcast” analytics on every step of the value chain: from business predictions to executions • AI experts:
 
 Learn how to create the value for the guys above, it’s your time now!
  • 20. ping me for details and to collaborate alex.honchar@neurons-lab.com
  • 21. Resources used in this presentation • McKinsey AI Report https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mckinsey/industries/ advanced%20electronics/our%20insights/ how%20artificial%20intelligence%20can%20deliver%20real%20value%20to %20companies/mgi-artificial-intelligence-discussion-paper.ashx • Affected industries https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news- insights/blog/industries-most-and-least-impacted-by-covid-19-from-a- probability-of-default-perspective-march-2020-update • Demand pattern changes: https://blog.griddynamics.com/rapid-response-to- covid-19-supply-chain-and-market-shocks/
  • 22. Resources used in this presentation • Nowcasting vs Forecasting: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm? abstract_id=3562025 • McKinsey on COVID: https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/risk/our- insights/covid-19-implications-for-business • AI computing prices plot: https://theassets.ru/ • Proprietary Neurons Lab documentation and knowledge base