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Options and Future markets מצגת מאת פרופסור רפי אלדור עבור השיעור של יום חמישי ה-19.3.15
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Options and futures markets #1 #2
1.
1 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Options and Futures Markets Class #1 + #2 12-19.3.2015 Prof Rafi Eldor Mr. Eitan Zeevi
2.
2 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Introduction Fundamentals of Options Forwards and Futures Properties of Options Binomial Option Pricing Model Black and Scholes Formula Volatility Options Strategies Options Pricing Parameters
3.
3 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Introduction What is a Derivative? A financial Instrument whose price is derived from the value/price of an Underlying Asset Derivatives are traded on Exchanges or Over the Counter (OTC) Examples of Derivatives: Forwards Futures Options Swaps Set of payments or payoffs
4.
4 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Introduction What is an Underlying? The underlying is the asset whose value serves as the reference for the derivatives price There are many types of Underlings out there, for example: Currencies Equity Stocks Interest Rate Commodities
5.
5 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Introduction Derivatives markets in numbers
6.
6 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Options o 1973 – Options trading launches at CBOE o 1973 - Black-Scholes-Merton publish their path breaking papers (Models) o 1997 – Merton and Scholes received Nobel Prize in economics o 1993 – Options trading launches at Tel Aviv Stock Exchange
7.
7 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Example: Construction company offers the following option: For an up front payment today of $5,000, the client can buy an apartment next year for a price of $100,000 (in addition to the $5,000 already paid) Call Option Fundamentals Apartment Price in $ Payout Profit 70,000 0 -5,000 80,000 0 -5,000 90,000 0 -5,000 100,000 0 -5,000 110,000 10,000 5,000 120,000 20,000 15,000 130,000 30,000 25,000 140,000 40,000 35,000
8.
8 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Price next year 2 0 1 0 -5 20 15 10 5 0 - 5 - 5 - 5 5 1 5 80 12011010090 Option ValueOption Profit 0 0 0 Value/Profit Example: Construction company offers the following option: For an up front payment today of $5,000, the client can buy an apartment next year for a price of $100,000 (in addition to the $5,000 already paid) Call Option Fundamentals
9.
9 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor 1. What is the break-even point? 2. Should we exercise the option in a year if Apt price is $102,000? Value/Profit Apartment Price in a year time -5 20 15 10 5 0 80 12011010090 Options ValueOptions Profit Call Option Fundamentals
10.
10 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor 1. What is the break-even point? 2. Should we exercise the option in a year if Apt price is $102,000? Answers: 1. Break-even point: Strike + Premium = $100,000+ $5,000 = $105,000 2. Yes, the premium was already paid, since option payout is positive the investor will exercise the option. If the investor will not exercise the option => loss of $5,000 (premium) If the investor will exercise the option => Profit from the option +$2000 minus $5,000 premium = Total of -$3,000 Call Option Fundamentals
11.
11 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Terminology Explanation Underlying asset The underlying is the asset that must be delivered if the contract is exercised Strike price The strike price is the price at which the options holder has the right to buy or sell the underlying asset Expiration Date The last date on which the rights attached to an option may be exercised Premium The price of the option that the options holder pays Call Option – Definition The buyer of a Call option has the right to buy a predetermined amount of the underling asset (notional) at a given price during specific period or at a particular point in time against payment of premium Call Option Fundamentals
12.
12 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Example Graph below describes the payout for C(1500) = 1000 Shekel As a function of TA25 at expiration date Break-even at 1510 15501500 5000 1000- TA 25 Index at expiration date Value and Payoff Call Option Fundamentals
13.
13 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Few Comments: o Options value is always positive o Value of the option at expiry is the difference between the strike and the underlying price o The profit is the value of the option at expiry minus the paid premium o The breakeven point is when profit from the options is zero, for Call option it’s the Strike level + Premium o The holder of the option should exercise the option if the value of the option is positive at expiry time. Call Option Fundamentals
14.
14 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Option on Tel Aviv 25 Index European options with Cash Settled settlement Underlying Tel Aviv 25 Index (Underlying is multiplied by 100) Strike As per the contract X 100 Expiry date Last Friday of the relevant month Premium Market price as traded in the exchange Call Option Fundamentals
15.
15 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Options and Futures Markets Options and Futures Markets Class #2 19.3.2015 Prof Rafi Eldor Mr. Eitan Zeevi
16.
16 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Call Option The buyer of a Call option has the right (but not the obligation) to buy a predetermined amount of the underling asset (notional) at a given price during specific period or at a particular point in time against payment of premium Call Option Fundamentals Break-Even Point Option Value at expiration date. Option Profit at expiration date Profit/Value Underlying Price at expiry.
17.
17 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Selling a Call Option (writing an option) Break-even Payoff/Profit for the Seller Underlying price at expiry Option value at expiry Payoff at expiry Call option payoff as a function to the underlying price at expiration date (for the seller) Call Option Fundamentals 4.00 4.0380
18.
18 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Call option payoff and Profit as a function of the underlying price at expiration date (for the buyer) Sell Call USD/ILS strike 4.00 expiration date 30.4.15 = 380 ILS Call Option Fundamentals USD/ILS Sell Call 4.00 Premium +380 Strike Payout Profit 3.70 0 380 3.80 0 380 3.90 0 380 4.00 0 380 4.10 -1,000 -620 4.20 -2,000 -1,620 4.30 -3,000 -2,620 4.40 -4,000 -3,620 Breakeven rate = 4.0000 + 0.0380 = 4.0380
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19 ©All rights reserved
to prof. Rafi Eldor Profit/Loss Buyer Seller Maximum Profit Unlimited Premium Maximum Loss Premium Unlimited Trading an option can also be considered as “zero sum game”, for any dollar the buyer of the option gains, the seller of the option losses the same amount (and vice versa) Call Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Few Comments: o Options value is always positive o Value of the option at expiration date is the difference between the strike and the underlying price o The profit is the value of the option at expiry minus the paid premium o The breakeven point is when profit from the options is zero, for Call option it’s the Strike level + Premium o The holder of the option should exercise the option if the value of the option is positive at expiration date. Call Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Exercise Type of an Option o European – exercise is allowed only at the expiration date at a certain time o American – exercise is allowed at any time till expiration date o Bermudian – specific dates o Asian – average of pre defined period (very common in Commodity options) *Bermudian and Asian are Exotic options Call Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Settlement Arrangements o Delivery – Physical delivery of the underlying asset o Cash Settlement – the holder of the option receives the difference between strike price and the underlying asset price (Put option) or the difference between the underlying asset price and the strike price (Call Option) Call Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Call Spread Strategy – Bull Spread Payout/ Profit Underlying price at expiry Option value at expiry Call spread strategy is a combination of two options, for example: Buying Call USD/ILS with strike 4.00 and selling Call USD/ILS with strike 4.10 for the same expiration date. Call Option Fundamentals 4.00 4.10 Profit
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Call Spread Strategy – Bull Spread Call Option Fundamentals USD/ILS Call 4.00 Call 4.10 Cost -390 80 -310 Strike Payout Payout Profit 3.70 0 0 -310 3.80 0 0 -310 3.90 0 0 -310 4.00 0 0 -310 4.10 1,000 0 690 4.20 2,000 -1,000 690 4.30 3,000 -2,000 690 4.40 4,000 -3,000 690 Breakeven rate = 4.00+0.0310 = 4.0310 Buy Call USD/ILS 4.00 and sell Call USD/ILS 4.10
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Call Spread Strategy – Bull Spread Bull Spread strategy, scenarios: o If market will move up – the buyer of the options will make a profit (limited) o If market will move down – limited loss Example: Buying Call options with Strike $50 (Premium $8) and sell Call options with strike $55 (Premium $3) For an investor who expects the price of the underlying asset will go up Call Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Different exercise prices (Moneyness) Moneyness: In the money Strike is lower than current underlying rate At the money Strike = Current underlying rate Out of the money Strike is higher than current underlying rate A call option value will be higher when option’s strike is lower If your expectations are for a much higher underlying rate it is recommended to buy Call options with higher strikes i.e. out of the money options (cheaper options allow more leverage) Call Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Put Option Definition: The buyer of a Put option (long Put) has the right (but not the obligation) to Sell a predetermined amount of the underling asset (notional) at a given price during specific period or at a particular point in time against payment of premium Comments: o Option value can not be negative o The value of the option at expiration date is the difference between the strike and underlying rate. Put Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Underlying price at expiry Breakeven Option value at expiry Payoff/Profit Payoff at expiry Put option payoff as a function of the underlying price at expiration date (for the buyer) Put Option Fundamentals 4.003.98
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Put option payoff as a function of the underlying price at expiration date (for the buyer) Put Option Fundamentals USD/ILS Buy Put 4.00 Expiration 28.3.15 Cost -200 Strike Payout Profit 3.70 3,000 2,800 3.80 2,000 1,800 3.90 1,000 800 4.00 0 -200 4.10 0 -200 4.20 0 -200 4.30 0 -200 4.40 0 -200 Breakeven rate = 4.0000 – 0.0200 = 3.9800
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to prof. Rafi Eldor 600- 1500 Payoff/Profit Breakeven at 1494 Different Strikes The lower the strike is of a Put option the lower the premium is (less protection) TA 25 example Graph below describes the payout for P(1500,May) = 600 As a function of TA25 index at expiration date Option value at expiry Payoff at expiry Put Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Underlying price at expiry Option value at expiry Payoff at expiry Selling a Put Option: Put option payoff as a function of the underlying price at expiration date (for the seller) Payoff/Profit for the seller Put Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Selling a Put Option: Put option payout and profit as a function of the underlying price at expiration date (for the seller) Put Option Fundamentals USD/ILS Sell Put 4.00 Expiration 28.3.15 Cost +200 Strike Payout Profit 3.70 -3,000 -2,800 3.80 -2,000 -1,800 3.90 -1,000 -800 4.00 0 +200 4.10 0 +200 4.20 0 +200 4.30 0 +200 4.40 0 +200 Breakeven rate = 4.0000 – 0.200 = 3.9800
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Profit/Loss Buyer Seller Maximum Profit Strike price minus premium Premium Maximum Loss Premium Strike price minus premium Put Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Moneyness for Put Option: In the money Strike is higher than current underlying rate At the money Strike = Current underlying rate Out of the money Strike is Lower than current underlying rate Put Option Fundamentals
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Put Spread Strategy – Bear Spread Payout Underlying price at expiry Option value at expiry Put spread strategy is a combination of two Put options, for example: Buying Put USD/ILS with strike 4.00 and selling Put USD/ILS with strike 3.90 for the same expiration date. Put Option Fundamentals 3.90 4.00
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Bear Spread Buy Put USD/ILS strike 4.00 and sell Put strike 3.90 Put Option Fundamentals USD/ILS Sell Put 3.90 Buy Put 4.00 Cost 30 -130 -100 Strike Payout Payout Profit 3.70 -2,000 3,000 900 3.80 -1,000 2,000 900 3.90 0 1,000 900 4.00 0 0 -100 4.10 0 0 -100 4.20 0 0 -100 4.30 0 0 -100 4.40 0 0 -100 Breakeven rate = 4.0000 – 0.0100 = 3.9900
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Spot Profit Spot Profit Long Call Short Call Spot Profit Spot Profit Long Put Short Put Call and Put Payoffs Summary
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Strategies There are few types of Strategies o Naked – buying or selling options without holding the underlying or any other option to hedge this positon o Hedging – buying/selling options as well as holding the underlying o Spreads - combination of options, buy and sell o Bull/Bear - Same expiration date – Different Strikes o Calendar spread - different expiation dates – Same/Different Strikes Strategies
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Straddle A straddle is a vanilla strategy, it can be either of the following: Buying a Straddle Buying a Call option and buying a Put option, both with the same strike, expiration date and notional amount. Selling a Straddle Selling a Call option and selling a Put option, both with the same strike, expiration date and notional amount. Strategies
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Straddle Long Straddle Buying a Straddle (Long Straddle) For an investor who wants to profit from a volatile market Buy a Call option and a Put option with the same strikes, same notional amount and for the same expiration date For example: an investor will buy Call option with strike $50 (premium $5) and a Put option with strike of $50 (premium $3), expiration date in 1 year.
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Long Straddle Combination of buying a Call option and buying a Put option with the same strike Table of a long straddle: Long Call and Put strike 4.00, expiration date 28.3.2015 USD/ILS Buy Put 4.00 Buy Call 4.00 Cost -150 -450 -600 Strike Payout Payout Profit 3.70 3,000 0 2,400 3.80 2,000 0 1,400 3.90 1,000 0 400 4.00 0 0 -600 4.10 0 1,000 400 4.20 0 2,000 1,400 4.30 0 3,000 2,400 4.40 0 4,000 3,400 4.50 0 5,000 4,400 * Investor is making a profit from sharp movements
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Long Straddle If we look between 3.90 to 4.08 USD/ILS Buy Put 4.00 Buy Call 4.00 Cost -150 -450 -600 Strike Payout Payout Profit 3.90 1000 0 400 3.92 800 0 200 3.94 600 0 0 3.96 400 0 -200 3.98 200 0 -400 4.0 0 0 -600 4.02 0 200 -400 4.04 0 400 -200 4.06 0 600 0 4.08 0 800 200 Maximum Loss * Investor will loss if market is stable
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Long Straddle Combination of buying a Call option and buying a Put option with the same strikes Graph of a long straddle: Payout/ Profit Underlying price at expiry We need to calculate 2 breakeven rates: 1. 4.00+0.06 = 4.06 2. 4.00 -0.06 = 3.94 4.063.94
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Straddle Selling a Straddle (Short Straddle) For an investor who wants to profit from a stable market Sell a Call option and a Put option with the same strikes, same notional and for the same expiration date For example: an investor will sell Call option with strike $50 (premium $5) and a Put option with strike of $50 (premium $3) Short Straddle
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Short Straddle Combination of selling a Call option and selling a Put option with the same strike USD/ILS Sell Put 4.00 Sell Call 4.00 Cost 150 450 600 Strike Payout Payout Profit 3.90 -1000 0 -400 3.92 -800 0 -200 3.94 -600 0 0 3.96 -400 0 200 3.98 -200 0 400 4.0 0 0 600 4.02 0 -200 400 4.04 0 -400 200 4.06 0 -600 0 4.08 0 -800 -200 Maximum Profit * Investor will profit from a stable market
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Short Straddle Combination of selling a Call option and selling a Put option with the same strike Payout Underlying price at expiry 600
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Strangle Strangle A strangle is a vanilla strategy. It can be either of the following: Long Strangle Buying the Strangle. This involves buying a call option and buying a put option, both with different strikes but with the same expiration date and notional amount. Short Strangle Selling the strangle. This involves selling a call option and selling a put option, both with different strikes but with the same expiry date and notional.
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Strangle Strangle Why buy a strangle? Like the straddle, the long strangle position expresses a view that the prices will move (in which direction is irrelevant). However, because the price needs to move further than with a straddle the strangle is cheaper. Strangles are commonly described as 25 delta, 15 delta and so on, volatility quotes for strangles are used as benchmarks to create a volatility surface (we will discuss that later in the course).
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Long Strangle Payout Underlying price at expiry Combination of buying a Call option and buying a Put option with different strikes 4.203.80
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Long Strangle USD/ILS Buy Put 3.80 Buy Call 4.20 Cost -20 -110 -130 Strike Payout Payout Profit 3.70 1,000 0 870 3.80 0 0 -130 3.90 0 0 -130 4.00 0 0 -130 4.10 0 0 -130 4.20 0 0 -130 4.30 0 1,000 870 4.40 0 2,000 1,870 4.50 0 3,000 2,870 Table of a long strangle: Long Put 3.80 and Call 4.20, expiration date 28.3.2015
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Short Strangle Payout Underlying price at expiry Combination of selling a Call option and selling a Put option with different strikes 4.203.80
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Risk Reversal Risk Reversal What is Risk Reversal? A Vanilla Strategy combined from long position on a Call option and short position on a Put option (or vice versa), both options with the same expiration day and with the same notional amount Long Risk Reversal - Buy Call and sell Put with different strikes Short Risk Reversal – Sell Call and buy Put with different strikes
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Risk Reversal Risk Reversal Why use Risk Reversal? Hedge – the buyer of the Risk Reversal can hedge himself from a higher spot rate. Lower cost – buying a Risk Reversal is cheaper than just buying a Call option. “Zero cost Risk Reversal” – very popular, being used mostly by corporates, combination of two options with the same premium.
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Risk Reversal Payout Underlying price at expiry Long call USD/ILS strike 4.10 and short Put 3.90 4.103.90
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Box Strategy +P(4.10) , -C(4.10) , -P(4.00) , +C(4.00) S Payout 4.00 4.10
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to prof. Rafi Eldor Box Strategy +P(4.10) , -C(4.10) , -P(4.00) , +C(4.00) 4.00 4.10 S 1000 Payout
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