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INDONESIA
Country Analysis
Index Content
MARKET
POTENTIAL INDEX

INTRODUCTION

GLOBAL
COMPETITIVE INDEX

HOFSTEDE
MODEL

PESTEL & SWOT
ANALYSIS

RISK
ASSESSMENT
Introduction
Indonesia Map
Introduction
GENERAL ASPECTS ABOUT INDONESIA
1. Indonesia is a sovereign state in Southeast Asia & Oceania.

2. It is called an Archipelago (Group of Islands) since it
comprises of 17,508 islands.
3. Population is 251 million – 4th most populous country in the
world. (As of 2013)
4. Founding Member of ASEAN.
5. 1 INR = 196.46 IDR
About Indonesia
Republic of Indonesia
CAPITAL CITY
GOVERNMENT

PEOPLE

Jakarta: which is the business and governmental center
Type: Independent Republic
Independence: 17 August 1945
Highest Authority: People’s Consultative Assembly
Nationality: Indonesian
Population: 240.8 million: >50% under age of 29 (2010-15E annual average growth:
1.0%)
Religions: Islam 86%, Protestant 6%, Catholic 3%, Hindu 2%, Others 3%

CURRENCY

Indonesian Rupiah (IDR)

INFLATION

Average of 5.1% in 2010; 5.4% in 2011 and 4.3% in 2012
Forecasted between 3.5% - 6.1% over 2013-14

NATURAL RESOURCES
GDP & GDP growth rate

Oil, tin, natural gas, coal, gold, copper, silver, nickel, bauxite, timber, fertile soils
$ 878 Billion, Growth rate = 6%
Sector-Wise Contribution
0.8%
7.3%

10.2%

10.1%

Services

15.2%

Agriculture
Mining

Transport
Hotels
Manufacturing

23.6%

12.7%

Construction

Electricity
Financial Services

6.6%
13.5%
Economic Growth
Indonesia’s Economic Growth 2009 - 2013 (annual percentage change)

Quarter I

Quarter II

Quarter III

Quarter IV

2013

6.05

5.83

5.62

-

2012

6.29

6.36

6.16

6.11

2011

6.45

6.52

6.49

6.50

2010

5.99

6.29

5.81

6.81

2009

4.60

4.37

4.31

4.58

Source: Statistics Indonesia (BPS)
Market Potential Index
Market Potential Index
Countries under Comparison
Country

Overall Rank

Overall Score

Indonesia

16

34

India

9

41

Singapore

1

62

Thailand

20

30
Market Potential Index

Market Size

Market Growth Rate

37

40

100

86

90

35

80

30

70

25

50

15

74

60

20

68

40

10

10

30

5

1

3

0

19

20
10
0

Indonesia

India

Singapore

Thailand

Indonesia

India

Singapore

Thailand
Market Potential Index

Market Intensity

Market Consumption Capacity

74

80
70
60
50
40
30

28

Indonesia

India

31

28

20
10
0

Singapore

Thailand

80
78
76
74
72
70
68
66
64
62
60

77

78

66

Indonesia

India

66

Singapore

Thailand
Market Potential Index

Commercial Infrastructure
90

Economic Freedom

80

80

70

70

60

47

50
40

83

90

80

32

54

52

Indonesia

India

49

50
40

22

30

60

30

20

20

10

10

0

0

Indonesia

India

Singapore

Thailand

Singapore

Thailand
Market Potential Index

Market Receptivity

Country Risk

120

120

97

100

100

100

80

80

60

60

40

40

20

17
3

3

0

39

Indonesia

India

48

42

20

0

Indonesia

India

Singapore

Thailand

Singapore

Thailand
Hofstede Model
Hofstede Model - Indonesia v/s India
Indonesia

India

90

80

78

77

70

61

56

60

48

50

46

48
40

40
30
20

14

10
0

PDI

IDV

MAS

UAI

LTO
Power Distance Indicator (PDI)
High score - 78
Dependent on hierarchy
Unequal rights between power holders and non power holders

Superiors in-accessible
Leaders are directive, management controls and delegates
Power centralized
Communication is indirect and negative feedback hidden
Co-workers expect to be clearly directed by boss or manager: Classic Guru-Student kind of dynamic
Individualism (IDV)
Low score of 14 - Collectivist society

High preference for a strongly defined social framework in which individuals are
expected to conform to the ideals of the society and the in-groups to which they belong
Child-parent commitment

Family loyalty
Masculinity/Femininity (MAS)
Score of 46 - Low Masculine

Status and visible symbols of success important; but not always material gain that brings motivation

Position that a person holds is more important

Indonesian concept called “gengsi” – outward appearances

Strongly maintain “gengsi”- aimed at impressing and creating the aura of status
Uncertainty Avoidance Index (UAI)
Score of 48 - Medium low preference for avoiding uncertainty

Strong preference towards the Javanese culture of separation of internal self from external self

Maintaining work place and relationship harmony very important

Conflict resolution- Direct communication often seen as threatening and uncomfortable situation
Using a third party intermediary- exchange of views without loss of face,
intermediary removes the uncertainty associated with a confrontation
“Asal Bapak Senang” (Keep the Boss Happy) – rewarded; no economic or status uncertainty
Global Competitive Index
Overall Ranking
Country

Efficiency
Enhancers

Innovation &
Sophistication
Factors

Indonesia

38

Malaysia

Basic
Requirements

Ranking

24

Singapore

2

Thailand

37
Basic Requirements
Country

Ranking

Indonesia

45

Malaysia

27

Singapore

1

Thailand

49

Institutions

Infrastructure

Macroeconomic environment

Health and primary education
Efficiency Enhancers
Higher education and training

Country

Ranking

Indonesia

52

Malaysia

23

Singapore

2

Thailand

40

Goods market efficiency

Labour market efficiency

Financial market development

Technological readiness

Market size
Innovation & Sophistication Factors
Country
Business sophistication

Innovation

Ranking

Indonesia

33

Malaysia

25

Singapore

13

Thailand

52
Comparison
120

96

100
80

60

60
40

52

45

38

42

41

33

20
0

Overall Ranking
Indonesia
India

Basic Requirements

Efficiency Enhancers

38
60

45
96

52
42

Innovation and
Sophistication Factor
33
41
PESTEL Analysis
Political
01

Democracy still young, however relatively stable

02

Political System: A work in progress owing to the Suharto era

03

Presidential and parliamentary elections scheduled in 2014

04

Corruption & bureaucracy
Economic
01

Shielded from global economic crisis (GDP growth 6%)

02

Major destination for FDI in Asia

03

Leading exporter of high-value commodities like palm oil &
thermal coal

04

Free-trade zones
Social
01

World’s 3rd largest young democracy & Muslim majority
country

02

Transiting from lower to middle income society

03

Literacy rate 90.4% however quality of higher education
questionable

04

Unemployment rate 6.25%

05

High crime rate
Technological

01

World’s 3rdtechnological implementation
IT industry largest young democracy & Muslim majority
country

02

Supply chain mechanismmiddle income society
Transiting from lower to

03

Literacy rate 90.4% however quality of higher education
Allocated approximately $205 Million for R&D
questionable
Environmental

01

At high 3rd largest young democracy its geographical
World’s risk to natural disasters due to& Muslim majority
location
country & topography

02

Deforestation lower to middle income society
Transiting from

03

Literacy rate 90.4% however quality of& sewage
Water pollution from industrial wastes higher education
questionable
Legal

01

World’s system opaque, incoherent, andMuslim majority
Judicial 3rd largest young democracy & time-consuming
country

02

Discriminatory attitude towards income investors
Transiting from lower to middle foreign society

03

Literacy rate 90.4% & smuggling involved in exports
Barriers to imports however quality of higher education
questionable
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Sustainable economic growth – 6%
Southeast Asia’s largest potential market
Wealth of natural resources
Strengthening Banking Sector

Diversity of human resources
Low cost labor
Tourism
Consistent development leading to considerable foreign government and multilateral support
Weaknesses
Logistical shortcomings
Low investment rate
Raw materials exports dependent on China’s demand

Lack of infrastructure
Persistent corruption & lack of transparency
Poverty accentuation inter-ethnic tension
Opportunities
Foreign involvement is allowed
Huge growth opportunities in health, education

Emerging markets – Automobiles, consumer goods, banks, natural resources, infrastructure
Large geothermal resources – big market for alternative energy technology and equipments

Major opportunities for financial firms, construction companies and equipment providers
Threats
Corruption, bureaucratic inertia, and inconsistent and unclear regulations.
No legal protection for employers

Deficient healthcare system
Terrorism and crimes against persons and property

Indigenous groups considers foreign direct investment exploitive
Risk Assessment
Risk Assessment
Country rating: B

Growth is
strong and will
be very robust
in 2013

Business climate rating: C

Economy is relatively closed: exports represent only 25% of GDP.

Growth is still driven by domestic demand, spurred by continuous
credit growth.
Exports are expected return to growth in 2013, with raw materials
benefiting from strong Chinese demand.

Inflation is expected to remain in the Central Bank’s Target Range
(3.5 – 5.5%)
Risk Assessment
Public debt will continue to fall in 2013 under the combined effect of
sustained growth and a low deficit.

The financial
position
remains solid
but the current
account
balance is now
in deficit

Public infrastructure investment remains weak.

The trade balance suffered in 2012 from a strong import growth.

The current account balance is expected to worsen further in 2013
despite an expected export rebound.
Foreign investments, are rising sharply particularly in the sectors
related to household consumption.

Banking sector continues to perform satisfactorily: high capitalization
and profitability ratios, falling rate of non-performing loans.
Risk Assessment
Disagreements within the ruling coalition formed after the 2009
elections are becoming more and more visible.

More and more
visible
disagreements
within the
coalition

They impede the decision-making process and limit the government’s
ability to implement structural reforms in 2013.
The anti-corruption commission brought several of the country’s high
officials to justice in 2012.
Fighting corruption is a priority for President Yudhoyono.

New rules restricting foreign investment in the mining and banking
sectors were announced in 2012.
References
http://globaledge.msu.edu/mpi

http://geert-hofstede.com

http://www3.weforum.org

http://www.asiarisk.com
Thank you for your attention!

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Indonesia: Country Analysis (International Marketing)

  • 2. Index Content MARKET POTENTIAL INDEX INTRODUCTION GLOBAL COMPETITIVE INDEX HOFSTEDE MODEL PESTEL & SWOT ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT
  • 5. Introduction GENERAL ASPECTS ABOUT INDONESIA 1. Indonesia is a sovereign state in Southeast Asia & Oceania. 2. It is called an Archipelago (Group of Islands) since it comprises of 17,508 islands. 3. Population is 251 million – 4th most populous country in the world. (As of 2013) 4. Founding Member of ASEAN. 5. 1 INR = 196.46 IDR
  • 6. About Indonesia Republic of Indonesia CAPITAL CITY GOVERNMENT PEOPLE Jakarta: which is the business and governmental center Type: Independent Republic Independence: 17 August 1945 Highest Authority: People’s Consultative Assembly Nationality: Indonesian Population: 240.8 million: >50% under age of 29 (2010-15E annual average growth: 1.0%) Religions: Islam 86%, Protestant 6%, Catholic 3%, Hindu 2%, Others 3% CURRENCY Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) INFLATION Average of 5.1% in 2010; 5.4% in 2011 and 4.3% in 2012 Forecasted between 3.5% - 6.1% over 2013-14 NATURAL RESOURCES GDP & GDP growth rate Oil, tin, natural gas, coal, gold, copper, silver, nickel, bauxite, timber, fertile soils $ 878 Billion, Growth rate = 6%
  • 8. Economic Growth Indonesia’s Economic Growth 2009 - 2013 (annual percentage change) Quarter I Quarter II Quarter III Quarter IV 2013 6.05 5.83 5.62 - 2012 6.29 6.36 6.16 6.11 2011 6.45 6.52 6.49 6.50 2010 5.99 6.29 5.81 6.81 2009 4.60 4.37 4.31 4.58 Source: Statistics Indonesia (BPS)
  • 10. Market Potential Index Countries under Comparison Country Overall Rank Overall Score Indonesia 16 34 India 9 41 Singapore 1 62 Thailand 20 30
  • 11. Market Potential Index Market Size Market Growth Rate 37 40 100 86 90 35 80 30 70 25 50 15 74 60 20 68 40 10 10 30 5 1 3 0 19 20 10 0 Indonesia India Singapore Thailand Indonesia India Singapore Thailand
  • 12. Market Potential Index Market Intensity Market Consumption Capacity 74 80 70 60 50 40 30 28 Indonesia India 31 28 20 10 0 Singapore Thailand 80 78 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 62 60 77 78 66 Indonesia India 66 Singapore Thailand
  • 13. Market Potential Index Commercial Infrastructure 90 Economic Freedom 80 80 70 70 60 47 50 40 83 90 80 32 54 52 Indonesia India 49 50 40 22 30 60 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Indonesia India Singapore Thailand Singapore Thailand
  • 14. Market Potential Index Market Receptivity Country Risk 120 120 97 100 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 17 3 3 0 39 Indonesia India 48 42 20 0 Indonesia India Singapore Thailand Singapore Thailand
  • 16. Hofstede Model - Indonesia v/s India Indonesia India 90 80 78 77 70 61 56 60 48 50 46 48 40 40 30 20 14 10 0 PDI IDV MAS UAI LTO
  • 17. Power Distance Indicator (PDI) High score - 78 Dependent on hierarchy Unequal rights between power holders and non power holders Superiors in-accessible Leaders are directive, management controls and delegates Power centralized Communication is indirect and negative feedback hidden Co-workers expect to be clearly directed by boss or manager: Classic Guru-Student kind of dynamic
  • 18. Individualism (IDV) Low score of 14 - Collectivist society High preference for a strongly defined social framework in which individuals are expected to conform to the ideals of the society and the in-groups to which they belong Child-parent commitment Family loyalty
  • 19. Masculinity/Femininity (MAS) Score of 46 - Low Masculine Status and visible symbols of success important; but not always material gain that brings motivation Position that a person holds is more important Indonesian concept called “gengsi” – outward appearances Strongly maintain “gengsi”- aimed at impressing and creating the aura of status
  • 20. Uncertainty Avoidance Index (UAI) Score of 48 - Medium low preference for avoiding uncertainty Strong preference towards the Javanese culture of separation of internal self from external self Maintaining work place and relationship harmony very important Conflict resolution- Direct communication often seen as threatening and uncomfortable situation Using a third party intermediary- exchange of views without loss of face, intermediary removes the uncertainty associated with a confrontation “Asal Bapak Senang” (Keep the Boss Happy) – rewarded; no economic or status uncertainty
  • 24. Efficiency Enhancers Higher education and training Country Ranking Indonesia 52 Malaysia 23 Singapore 2 Thailand 40 Goods market efficiency Labour market efficiency Financial market development Technological readiness Market size
  • 25. Innovation & Sophistication Factors Country Business sophistication Innovation Ranking Indonesia 33 Malaysia 25 Singapore 13 Thailand 52
  • 28. Political 01 Democracy still young, however relatively stable 02 Political System: A work in progress owing to the Suharto era 03 Presidential and parliamentary elections scheduled in 2014 04 Corruption & bureaucracy
  • 29. Economic 01 Shielded from global economic crisis (GDP growth 6%) 02 Major destination for FDI in Asia 03 Leading exporter of high-value commodities like palm oil & thermal coal 04 Free-trade zones
  • 30. Social 01 World’s 3rd largest young democracy & Muslim majority country 02 Transiting from lower to middle income society 03 Literacy rate 90.4% however quality of higher education questionable 04 Unemployment rate 6.25% 05 High crime rate
  • 31. Technological 01 World’s 3rdtechnological implementation IT industry largest young democracy & Muslim majority country 02 Supply chain mechanismmiddle income society Transiting from lower to 03 Literacy rate 90.4% however quality of higher education Allocated approximately $205 Million for R&D questionable
  • 32. Environmental 01 At high 3rd largest young democracy its geographical World’s risk to natural disasters due to& Muslim majority location country & topography 02 Deforestation lower to middle income society Transiting from 03 Literacy rate 90.4% however quality of& sewage Water pollution from industrial wastes higher education questionable
  • 33. Legal 01 World’s system opaque, incoherent, andMuslim majority Judicial 3rd largest young democracy & time-consuming country 02 Discriminatory attitude towards income investors Transiting from lower to middle foreign society 03 Literacy rate 90.4% & smuggling involved in exports Barriers to imports however quality of higher education questionable
  • 35. Strengths Sustainable economic growth – 6% Southeast Asia’s largest potential market Wealth of natural resources Strengthening Banking Sector Diversity of human resources Low cost labor Tourism Consistent development leading to considerable foreign government and multilateral support
  • 36. Weaknesses Logistical shortcomings Low investment rate Raw materials exports dependent on China’s demand Lack of infrastructure Persistent corruption & lack of transparency Poverty accentuation inter-ethnic tension
  • 37. Opportunities Foreign involvement is allowed Huge growth opportunities in health, education Emerging markets – Automobiles, consumer goods, banks, natural resources, infrastructure Large geothermal resources – big market for alternative energy technology and equipments Major opportunities for financial firms, construction companies and equipment providers
  • 38. Threats Corruption, bureaucratic inertia, and inconsistent and unclear regulations. No legal protection for employers Deficient healthcare system Terrorism and crimes against persons and property Indigenous groups considers foreign direct investment exploitive
  • 40. Risk Assessment Country rating: B Growth is strong and will be very robust in 2013 Business climate rating: C Economy is relatively closed: exports represent only 25% of GDP. Growth is still driven by domestic demand, spurred by continuous credit growth. Exports are expected return to growth in 2013, with raw materials benefiting from strong Chinese demand. Inflation is expected to remain in the Central Bank’s Target Range (3.5 – 5.5%)
  • 41. Risk Assessment Public debt will continue to fall in 2013 under the combined effect of sustained growth and a low deficit. The financial position remains solid but the current account balance is now in deficit Public infrastructure investment remains weak. The trade balance suffered in 2012 from a strong import growth. The current account balance is expected to worsen further in 2013 despite an expected export rebound. Foreign investments, are rising sharply particularly in the sectors related to household consumption. Banking sector continues to perform satisfactorily: high capitalization and profitability ratios, falling rate of non-performing loans.
  • 42. Risk Assessment Disagreements within the ruling coalition formed after the 2009 elections are becoming more and more visible. More and more visible disagreements within the coalition They impede the decision-making process and limit the government’s ability to implement structural reforms in 2013. The anti-corruption commission brought several of the country’s high officials to justice in 2012. Fighting corruption is a priority for President Yudhoyono. New rules restricting foreign investment in the mining and banking sectors were announced in 2012.
  • 44. Thank you for your attention!