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PROF. RAJENDRA PRATAP GUPTA
GLOBAL HEALTHCARE LEADER
DIGITAL HEALTH
FROM &HOPE, HYPE HALT
TO HOPE, HEAL
& HEALTH
Prof. Rajendra Pratap
Gupta is a global
healthcare leader,
served on the
guideline’s development
group for digital health
at WHO, and a former
Advisor to the Health
Minister of India.
Over the past 40 years, the healthcare community has been repeatedly excited by the hope of
providing better care through the effective adoption of the technology. In the hope that digital
health is going to be the game changer, an aura of hype has been created amongst the
stakeholders of healthcare industry. However, digital health is yet to witness a large-scale adoption
that could match the hope created about its utility. There does not exist an example where digital
health has successfully transformed the health system of a geography and has demonstrated a
net positive return on the initial investment. Owing to the lack of a positive business case, the
initiatives pertaining to digital health are losing steam.
Corporates are shutting down digital health labs, staunching investments in digital health, digital
health conferences are consolidating, and governments are re-evaluating the funding regimes for
such initiatives. For the technology to be able to create desired impact in this sector, the principle
stakeholders namely governments, hospitals, insurers, tech developers, medical professionals,
and patients need to participate equitably. The resources need to be focused on high impact areas
like epidemiology surveys, legal and regulatory frameworks, geriatric care, and human resources
training. For a new technology to thrive, the industry competitors and governments must work in
unison to develop solutions that are pragmatic, solves the problems, reduce the cost of care
delivery, and are sustainable in the long-term. Digital Health Champions also need to answer the
key question; Who pays?What would the Digital Health financing model be? Digital health is not
dead, but it is in a stage where its revival is an up-hill yet doable task, and above all is necessary.
Dr. Rahul K. Garg is a management
consultant with an experience of
advising governments and
corporations regarding digital health
strategy and implementation.
Dr. RAHUL K. GARG
MANAGEMENT CONSULTANT
Tech revolution: First, the world was changed by the invention of wheel. The second
invention that matched the magnitude of impact of wheel is the electricity. The concept of
electricity has existed for over 2,000 years, but its commercial supply for civilian use began
in late nineteenth century. The adoption of electricity has been very steady since then and
before the World War II, whole North America and Europe had access to electricity. The third
invention in the league of wheel is the internet connectivity. Post World-War II, the world
realized the need of effective flow of information.
Internet has revolutionised the human civilization beyond the expectations of
subject matter experts. The most significant contribution of internet is making
the world flat. Internet has uncovered the change that is possible through the
power of human interaction. Many industries have reaped the benefits of
connected global markets through blockbuster products and borderless
territories. The wheel, electricity, and internet form the backbone of the
present-day infrastructure. The technology means productive man-hours,
higher revenues, and targeted customer acquisition and convergence across
sectors.
Henry Ford used a combination of wheels and
electricity to develop the assembly line concept.
These assembly lines made cars so affordable, that
it changed the way we commute today. Banks use
cash counting machines, which are again a precise
combination of wheels and electricity. These
machines have saved millions of hours of human
effort by making our cashiers more productive.
Interestingly, internet and global market places are
making cash redundant, another seismic shift.
Cellular phones have made inter-human connectivity
a fundamental service. Human behaviour has
evolved significantly by the fact that we are
connected to everyone, every time, everywhere. The
role of technology is so ingrained in our lives, that
any deviation from it is unimaginable. Every industry
and sector has been revolutionized by the
technology. The dependency of organizations on
technology has reached to a point where the survival
and competitive advantage of organizations
depends upon technology.
In 1950s, when the world was recovering from world
wars, the digital technology was endeavouring to
jump out of innovation labs into the real business
world. Automation of simple and repetitive human
jobs was the lowest hanging fruit plucked by digital
technologies in 1950s and 60s. The governments,
financial institutions, corporate organizations, and
manufacturing industry were tempting to experiment
with the idea that data generated can be used to
break down the problems and substitute human
efforts with mechanical or electronic interventions.
As we see the history, military and financial
institutions took a lead to transform the lab
experiments into opportunities. NASA, for example,
leveraged an IBM computer to put a man on moon
(1). Banking industry created a business case for
automated teller machines to reduce the
dependency on human cashiers. This introduction
marked the dawn of digital era in commercial world.
The examples of uptake of digital technologies
include self-service gas stations, supermarket
billings, online shopping, real-time email
communications, automated ticket dispensers,
candy machines, traffic signals, and cyber warfare.
All these examples were advanced features of their
time, as well as, saved a lot of money for the public.
The proliferation of these innovations was
organic in nature. Healthcare, however, has
always been a shy cousin of these
industries and fails to provide some strong
examples of digitalization in that era.
Healthcare has spent billions of dollars on
committees and conferences to market the
idea of digital health yet failing to find any
mass adopters. For the purposes of this
paper, digital health is defined as
electronically connecting up the points of
care so that health information can be
shared securely (2).
There is no denying in the fact that digital
health has failed to deliver (3). Digital health
is struggling to survive, and signs have
begun to emerge that the era of legacy
technologies will soon be gone. In 2012,
the moratorium on all E-health and mobile
health initiatives in Uganda was the signal
that all is not well with digital health
adoption and scaling up (4). Since then, the
number of healthcare conferences on
digital health have drastically reduced.
More healthcare IT companies have gone
bankrupt in past five years, than in two
decades before that (5). The National
Health Services (NHS) in England and, to
some extent, Kaiser Permanent are trying
to implement digital health on mass scale
through the effective telemedicine and
digital health records projects. For the rest
of the world, there is no example of digital
health being implemented at national level
(6), (7). The industry is still struggling with
rudimentary issues of interoperability, data
privacy, legal frameworks, systemic
acceptability, and project financing. On top
of that, the changing the goal posts and
direction towards robotics have created
opaque lens to look through the past and
future of digital health.
04Vol. 8 Issue II September 2019
HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT
www.hhmglobal.com
Back in 1950s, there existed one
example of digital health in the
form of telemedicine. The wealthy
folks of that time could use their
landline telephones to speak to a
physician, describe their
condition, book an appointment,
or even request a home visit. In
fact, in 1959, Mudaliar
Committee referred to the use of
police wireless communication
for primary health centre staff (8).
Disappointing it is, that by 1980s,
it became almost impossible to
get a physician on the phone and
ridiculously expensive to request
a physician home visit. However,
technologies like internet and
sensors provided a hope that
healthcare would be accessible
anywhere and anytime.
There was a hope that some
digital solution would move the
epicenter of healthcare from
hospital to patient. Medical staff
hoped that they would have
patients’ data available on
fingertips. Hospitals hoped for an
instant payment from the
insurance companies using
secure technology. Insurance
providers hoped to use data and
analytics in reducing frauds and
save operational costs. Above all,
patients hoped to get a better
care they deserve. Everyone
expected that digital
technology was the
missing link between
“health-care” and
“health-cure”. What
came out was an entire
conference industry
built on digital health in
hype of mass adoption
of digital health.
The IT infrastructure in the
hospitals did not move beyond
billing and administration!!! And
the companies that still hold on
to the digital health portfolio are
cross-subsidizing the losses with
their income from BFSI (Banking,
Financial Services and Insurance)
verticals.
Electronic Medical Records
(EMRs) were looked upon as the
holy grail of digital health. Once
all the patient data gets
digitalized, infinite possibilities
would open. Overtime, EMRs
found it difficult to break into a
physician’s office. For a
considerable time, the myth
prevailed that physicians are
afraid of technology or physicians
see technological advancements
Health Digitization is a
Magic Wand
HOPE
as their enemy. This myth loses
its rationale when a physician’s
office is loaded with technologies
like digital stethoscopes, portable
glucometers, latest Computed
Tomography (CT) scan machines,
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
(MRI) machines etc. Medical
devices industry has exploded in
past three decades. CT and MRI
machines were made
commercially available in 1970s.
Within 20 years, there were at
least 1 MRI and 2 CT machines
per million population in the
developed world. At present,
there are more than 10 MRIs and
20 CT machines per million
population (9), (10). These
statistics are a proxy for
physician’s acceptance to the
new clinically proven
technologies if they add to his
knowledge of diagnosis/
treatment, add to his income, and
saves time for ‘doing more’ in his
practice. Knowledge, money, and
time are the underlying benefits
when it comes to DoI (Decision
on investment) for digital health.
Money chasing digital
health: USA is paying around
$50,000 to each physician for
adopting EHRs. In 2009, the US
Federal Government set aside
$27 billion of the American tax
payers’ funds to boost the
adoption of EHR. Billions of
dollars were budgeted for training
health information technology
workers under the Health
Information Technology for
Economic and Clinical Health
(HITECH) Act.
“For physicians willing to
adopt EHRs, the financial
incentives offered by the
federal government were
substantial. The average
physician with at least 30
percent of his or her
patients covered by
Medicare is eligible for up to
$44,000 in total incentives.
A physician with at least 30
percent of his or her
patients covered by
Medicaid is eligible for even
more, up to $63,750. As of
May 19th,2011 320 health
care providers (including
283 physicians and 37
hospitals) had received a
total of $75 million in
Medicare incentive
payments for demonstrating
meaningful use of electronic
health records. The
relatively slow start was
perhaps to be expected” as
quoted in an article from the
Commonwealth Fund (11).
Despite this huge budgetary
allocation, the digital adoption in
American clinics and hospitals is
far from ideal. Less surprisingly,
fax machines have taken a refuge
in American health system (12),
(13). We need a deeper study as
to how and why 95% of physician
practices and hospitals in South
Korea have transitioned to a fully
digital state using EHRs without
monetary support from the
government. Almost all these
EHRs provide some smart
functionality like identifying drug
interactions and patient
communications, in addition to
medical data storage (14). The
USA policy is a classic case of
dollars chasing EHRs, and not
EHRs chasing dollars. If EHRs are
beneficial in principle, the
physician practices should be
adopting it for their own profit.
But the true value of EHRs has
not been captured as of today.
Additionally, this example sums
up the success day of lobbyists in
the Capitol Hill. The bottom line
is, digital health, when looked
holistically in terms of deployment
and use, has not been resounding
success. Picture 6
The positive side is, hope never
dies. The narrative has shifted
from e-health/telemedicine to
fitness devices, machine learning,
artificial intelligence, block-chain,
and automation. The hope is that
these technologies would bridge
the gap in access to right care.
Google, Apple, and Amazon are
driving their success in healthcare
through patient centered
approach. The hope remains that
automation would reduce errors
in healthcare, as it did in
manufacturing industry. The hope
is patient data could travel
instantly like money travels in
financial sector. The hope is that
every patient and disease
condition is accounted for like
items are tracked in Walmart.
Patients have expressed consent
to share their health data, if their
hopes are rightfully met.
06Vol. 8 Issue II September 2019
HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT
www.hhmglobal.com
Back in 1970s, when automation,
mechanization, and digitalization
were sprouting up, another
paradigm shift was being
orchestrated by Walmart. Being a
retailer, Walmart was very close
to consumers. It understood their
needs, communicated these
needs to manufacturers, and
delivered products which were
consumer centric. Walmart made
consumer the king.
“Patient Centric
Approach” became a hype
phrase in healthcare
conferences in no time.
Ten years ago, the digital
platforms created a hype
that healthcare will
undergo an overhaul in
ten years. Ironically,
nothing changed in those
ten years.
Healthcare conferences are a
major source of useful
information and unnecessary
hype in this sector. In the digital
health conferences, experts
would talk about patient data
privacy, data analysis, data
portability, etc. Not many digital
health providers discussed about
patient itself. Top-down approach
adopted by digital initiatives has
landed on its face. Healthcare
needs a bottom-up approach,
where patients dictate their
Digital Revolution is
Knocking the Doors
HYPE
needs and providers improvise
themselves to cater to these
needs. Companies like Apple,
Google, Facebook, and Amazon,
who have deep access to
consumers and their data, are
positioned very well to make
digital health a success. What
happened to Nokia and
Blackberry in the cellular industry,
might happen to most of the
digital health providers in near
future.
Dot com moment: During the
hype phase of digital health,
every corporation invested in
building a healthcare division.
Software veterans like Microsoft,
Qualcomm, Siemens, Intel,
Oracle, Cisco, BlackBerry, Nokia
etc. invested billions of dollars in
developing healthcare solutions.
Manufacturing conglomerates
invested in health tech to hedge
their risks. Venture capitalist
funding flow in healthcare
increased exponentially.
Healthcare organizations like
Mayo Clinic and MD Anderson
invested a significantly in digital
health offerings. IT companies
spent millions of dollars on
healthcare conferences to get a
tap on hype or build their client
pipeline by getting leads. How
long did this hype survive?
Microsoft dropped down its
HealthVault app (15). Google
declared that “Google Health”
has failed (16). Mayo clinic &
Noaber Foundations Joint venture
spins out their digital arm Vital
Health and then sold it to Philips
(17). MD Anderson ended
contract with IBM Watson health,
after losing over $62 million in
digital health experiments (18).
Even the ‘Digital Health
conference’ industry is shrinking,
losing momentum, and
consolidating. mHealth summit
was acquired by HIMSS. It is
important to note that mHealth
summit a leading conference on
health and mobile based
technologies was backed by
National Institute of Health (NIH)
and Fogarty International Center
(19). The Connected Health
Symposium organized by
Partners HealthCare, merged with
the Personal Connected Health
Alliance’s (PCHA) ‘Connected
Health Conference’ to stage a
single conference since 2017 (20).
Health 2.0 got acquired by
HIMSS (21). The consolidation in
the event organization space is
an indicator to dwindling
confidence in digital health
events. The WHO trimmed their
team in eHealth department
drastically. In 2004, there were
22+ support staff at the WHO’s
eHealth health unit. By 2008, it
was reduced to about 14 and in
Jan 2017, 3 people with no
dedicated support staff, and in
Dec 2017, the eHealth unit was
left with just one staff.
98% of the digital health start-
ups have failed to survive (22). No
single healthcare start-up attains
unicorn status (more than $1
billion valuation). There is not a
single example, except National
Health Services (NHS) and to
some extent, Kaiser Permanente
of a large-scale implementation of
digital health solution. Smaller
countries like South Korea and
Estonia have made remarkable
implementation of digital health
solutions but the percentage of
global population impacted by
them is akin to a rounding error of
numbers. These examples point
in a direction that all the hype
about digital health was based on
speculation instead of facts. The
result is, people lost time,
corporations lost money, and
health system have sustained
inertia. Someone, somewhere has
got something wrong in digitizing
healthcare.
08Vol. 8 Issue II September 2019
HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT
www.hhmglobal.com
In 1990s, when digital
technologies and platforms were
going viral with software and
websites, the protectors of
healthcare invested their energies
in building a strong wall to keep
status quo intact. In a time when
people could do banking from
home, book tickets from
anywhere, and get groceries
delivered at home, hospitals are
enjoying a romantic relationship
with paper and fax. Less
surprisingly, healthcare industry
missed the digital wave. What is
the reason behind digital phobia
of healthcare industry? Despite
all the hype created around
digital health, there is a reason
why the experts failed to declare
digital health dead? Despite
examples and comparisons with
other industries, healthcare has
not adopted technology to the
level it should have.
The need for Digital Health
is far more than ever before;
holding back the ubiquitous
implementation of digital
health is estimated to cost
over a trillion dollars
annually to the global
population.
A technology like digital health
records would help physicians to
better manage their operations,
increase health access to the
patients, and lower the long-term
healthcare cost for the payer. Yet,
EMRs failed to establish a
rapport with physicians because
the physicians cannot find the
value-add worth their time and
The Non-starter
HALT
money investment (23). The biggest reason for the failure of
digital health is that more energies have been spent in
developing policy manuals and organizing conferences, than
developing a product, financial models and solve the
interoperability issues that can demonstrate value to the user
and demonstrate clinical evidence for better healthcare delivery.
The hope that patients will get better healthcare with the help of
technology is fading away. EMRs solved the issue of billing and
data storage, not access and care. The EMRs failed because
they were designed around hospitals and not for patients (24).
The need is to design patient centered solutions.
The digital health has not paid off to the investors, users, and
the patients. This technology has not earned the value it
promised for the governments, healthcare providers and the
patient communities. A bigger focus was laid on the
development of the business case. Digital health industry
should have shifted focus from tuning business model towards
fixing the service model. With most of the software being sold
as a service, digital health should be viewed as a service to the
key stakeholders of the healthcare industry. Going forward, the
hype and promises should be driven by the magnitude of
impact created, and not by the speculation of company
valuations. It must be a game of ‘clinical value creation’ and not
just ‘financial valuations for investors’.
Electronic Medical Records (EMRs) were looked upon as the
holy grail of digital health. Once all the patient data gets
digitalized, infinite possibilities would open. Overtime, EMRs
found it difficult to break into a physician’s office. For a
considerable time, the myth
prevailed that physicians are
afraid of technology or
physicians see technological
advancements as their enemy.
This myth loses its rationale
when a physician’s office is
loaded with technologies like
digital stethoscopes, portable
glucometers, latest Computed
10Vol. 8 Issue II September 2019
HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT
www.hhmglobal.com
The digital health is in a state of
atrophy as suggested by the
history its evolution. The
nomenclature and the goal
posts have kept changing over
the past two decades, helping
to rebrand the idea of IT in
healthcare. We are back from
“Hope, Hype to Halt” to hope
again and it looks tough to take
off. We need to galvanize the
global efforts for deciding a
roadmap as to what are the
building blocks. We must take
start at hurdle race once again,
but the path and goals must be
clearly articulated with evidence
of impact documented as we go
along. The role of the
Government must evolve.
Governments need to go
beyond its current role of acting
as a catalyst to derive
consensus amongst
stakeholders. Providing funding
and operational support at
national or global level is the
need. For example, the
Government of India is funding
telemedicine as an integral
service at Health & Wellness
Centers and collaborating with
private players to operate these
centers (25). Three major
developments in 2018-2019
could well give the much-
needed boost as one last
chance to lift the adoption of
Digital Health.
First major development is the
mHealth resolution at the World
Health Assembly proposed by
the Indian Government and this
resolution received global
support (26). This resolution
signals an increased focus on
mHealth, but the rest is a
grounds-up movement. The
second major development was
the launch of the Global Digital
Health Index, which may play a
role of a barometer for adoption
and maturity of digital health
(27). The index was launched
alongside the World Health
Assembly in May, 2018 (28).
Third major development is the
guidelines on digital
interventions for health system
Moment of Truth:
A Call to Action
The industry and the governments have begun to get the
sense of the failing digital health initiatives. We can either
declare the digital health as dead or initiate a resuscitation
phase. Another truth is, the rules of the game have
changed. Doctor is no longer the king of healthcare,
patient is. Digital health is transforming from a standalone
product to becoming a service to support clinical
outcomes. As the businesses are driven by the profit
motives, follow the money. Money in healthcare can be
backtracked to insurance companies (payers) and
patients. Health insurance providers would have larger role
to play in digitizing health sector to save costs and gain
competitive edge.
strengthening launched on 17th
April, 2019 (29). These guidelines
would help the governments of
the WHO member states to take
decisions on deploying digital
health solutions across the
continuum of care. Governments
must not miss this opportunity to
take a stewardship role for digital
health and all stakeholders must
get together to ensure that it
happens.
The healthcare systems across
the world are becoming
unsustainable. Technology can
help the health systems, but we
must start with human
interoperability before technical
interoperability, human-ware
before software or hardware.
Challenges in healthcare are
opportunities for digital health.
Digital initiatives in other
industries have worked the best
when the implementation was
orchestrated by the whole
industry as a uniform effort.
Aftermath 9/11, the initiative of
developing a process to deposit
cheques electronically was
develop by big banks in a unison.
Perhaps, this offers a cue to what
is needed. It’s time that the
industry takes the lead on patient
centric and clinical outcome
driven solutions. In this hurdle
race between technology and
medicine, the patient is the goal
post, and healthcare will win by
adoption of technology across
the continuum of care. The
government(s) takes the lead in
catalysing integration of digital
tools in delivery of care and the
UN, WHO & ITU work in unison to
provide an umbrella cover for
guidelines, standards and legal
frame-works, best practises and
shared common goal to ensure
success leveraging the latest
developments. Time to re-start is
now and convert Digital Health’s
Hope, Hype and Halt to Hope ,
Heal and Health !
12Vol. 8 Issue III September 2019
HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT
www.hhmglobal.com
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2019-who-releases-first-guideline-on-digital-health-interventions.
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Digital Health From Hope to Heal

  • 1.
  • 2. PROF. RAJENDRA PRATAP GUPTA GLOBAL HEALTHCARE LEADER DIGITAL HEALTH FROM &HOPE, HYPE HALT TO HOPE, HEAL & HEALTH Prof. Rajendra Pratap Gupta is a global healthcare leader, served on the guideline’s development group for digital health at WHO, and a former Advisor to the Health Minister of India.
  • 3. Over the past 40 years, the healthcare community has been repeatedly excited by the hope of providing better care through the effective adoption of the technology. In the hope that digital health is going to be the game changer, an aura of hype has been created amongst the stakeholders of healthcare industry. However, digital health is yet to witness a large-scale adoption that could match the hope created about its utility. There does not exist an example where digital health has successfully transformed the health system of a geography and has demonstrated a net positive return on the initial investment. Owing to the lack of a positive business case, the initiatives pertaining to digital health are losing steam. Corporates are shutting down digital health labs, staunching investments in digital health, digital health conferences are consolidating, and governments are re-evaluating the funding regimes for such initiatives. For the technology to be able to create desired impact in this sector, the principle stakeholders namely governments, hospitals, insurers, tech developers, medical professionals, and patients need to participate equitably. The resources need to be focused on high impact areas like epidemiology surveys, legal and regulatory frameworks, geriatric care, and human resources training. For a new technology to thrive, the industry competitors and governments must work in unison to develop solutions that are pragmatic, solves the problems, reduce the cost of care delivery, and are sustainable in the long-term. Digital Health Champions also need to answer the key question; Who pays?What would the Digital Health financing model be? Digital health is not dead, but it is in a stage where its revival is an up-hill yet doable task, and above all is necessary. Dr. Rahul K. Garg is a management consultant with an experience of advising governments and corporations regarding digital health strategy and implementation. Dr. RAHUL K. GARG MANAGEMENT CONSULTANT
  • 4. Tech revolution: First, the world was changed by the invention of wheel. The second invention that matched the magnitude of impact of wheel is the electricity. The concept of electricity has existed for over 2,000 years, but its commercial supply for civilian use began in late nineteenth century. The adoption of electricity has been very steady since then and before the World War II, whole North America and Europe had access to electricity. The third invention in the league of wheel is the internet connectivity. Post World-War II, the world realized the need of effective flow of information. Internet has revolutionised the human civilization beyond the expectations of subject matter experts. The most significant contribution of internet is making the world flat. Internet has uncovered the change that is possible through the power of human interaction. Many industries have reaped the benefits of connected global markets through blockbuster products and borderless territories. The wheel, electricity, and internet form the backbone of the present-day infrastructure. The technology means productive man-hours, higher revenues, and targeted customer acquisition and convergence across sectors. Henry Ford used a combination of wheels and electricity to develop the assembly line concept. These assembly lines made cars so affordable, that it changed the way we commute today. Banks use cash counting machines, which are again a precise combination of wheels and electricity. These machines have saved millions of hours of human effort by making our cashiers more productive. Interestingly, internet and global market places are making cash redundant, another seismic shift. Cellular phones have made inter-human connectivity a fundamental service. Human behaviour has evolved significantly by the fact that we are connected to everyone, every time, everywhere. The role of technology is so ingrained in our lives, that any deviation from it is unimaginable. Every industry and sector has been revolutionized by the technology. The dependency of organizations on technology has reached to a point where the survival and competitive advantage of organizations depends upon technology. In 1950s, when the world was recovering from world wars, the digital technology was endeavouring to jump out of innovation labs into the real business world. Automation of simple and repetitive human jobs was the lowest hanging fruit plucked by digital technologies in 1950s and 60s. The governments, financial institutions, corporate organizations, and manufacturing industry were tempting to experiment with the idea that data generated can be used to break down the problems and substitute human efforts with mechanical or electronic interventions. As we see the history, military and financial institutions took a lead to transform the lab experiments into opportunities. NASA, for example, leveraged an IBM computer to put a man on moon (1). Banking industry created a business case for automated teller machines to reduce the dependency on human cashiers. This introduction marked the dawn of digital era in commercial world. The examples of uptake of digital technologies include self-service gas stations, supermarket billings, online shopping, real-time email communications, automated ticket dispensers, candy machines, traffic signals, and cyber warfare. All these examples were advanced features of their time, as well as, saved a lot of money for the public.
  • 5. The proliferation of these innovations was organic in nature. Healthcare, however, has always been a shy cousin of these industries and fails to provide some strong examples of digitalization in that era. Healthcare has spent billions of dollars on committees and conferences to market the idea of digital health yet failing to find any mass adopters. For the purposes of this paper, digital health is defined as electronically connecting up the points of care so that health information can be shared securely (2). There is no denying in the fact that digital health has failed to deliver (3). Digital health is struggling to survive, and signs have begun to emerge that the era of legacy technologies will soon be gone. In 2012, the moratorium on all E-health and mobile health initiatives in Uganda was the signal that all is not well with digital health adoption and scaling up (4). Since then, the number of healthcare conferences on digital health have drastically reduced. More healthcare IT companies have gone bankrupt in past five years, than in two decades before that (5). The National Health Services (NHS) in England and, to some extent, Kaiser Permanent are trying to implement digital health on mass scale through the effective telemedicine and digital health records projects. For the rest of the world, there is no example of digital health being implemented at national level (6), (7). The industry is still struggling with rudimentary issues of interoperability, data privacy, legal frameworks, systemic acceptability, and project financing. On top of that, the changing the goal posts and direction towards robotics have created opaque lens to look through the past and future of digital health. 04Vol. 8 Issue II September 2019 HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT www.hhmglobal.com
  • 6. Back in 1950s, there existed one example of digital health in the form of telemedicine. The wealthy folks of that time could use their landline telephones to speak to a physician, describe their condition, book an appointment, or even request a home visit. In fact, in 1959, Mudaliar Committee referred to the use of police wireless communication for primary health centre staff (8). Disappointing it is, that by 1980s, it became almost impossible to get a physician on the phone and ridiculously expensive to request a physician home visit. However, technologies like internet and sensors provided a hope that healthcare would be accessible anywhere and anytime. There was a hope that some digital solution would move the epicenter of healthcare from hospital to patient. Medical staff hoped that they would have patients’ data available on fingertips. Hospitals hoped for an instant payment from the insurance companies using secure technology. Insurance providers hoped to use data and analytics in reducing frauds and save operational costs. Above all, patients hoped to get a better care they deserve. Everyone expected that digital technology was the missing link between “health-care” and “health-cure”. What came out was an entire conference industry built on digital health in hype of mass adoption of digital health. The IT infrastructure in the hospitals did not move beyond billing and administration!!! And the companies that still hold on to the digital health portfolio are cross-subsidizing the losses with their income from BFSI (Banking, Financial Services and Insurance) verticals. Electronic Medical Records (EMRs) were looked upon as the holy grail of digital health. Once all the patient data gets digitalized, infinite possibilities would open. Overtime, EMRs found it difficult to break into a physician’s office. For a considerable time, the myth prevailed that physicians are afraid of technology or physicians see technological advancements Health Digitization is a Magic Wand HOPE
  • 7. as their enemy. This myth loses its rationale when a physician’s office is loaded with technologies like digital stethoscopes, portable glucometers, latest Computed Tomography (CT) scan machines, Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) machines etc. Medical devices industry has exploded in past three decades. CT and MRI machines were made commercially available in 1970s. Within 20 years, there were at least 1 MRI and 2 CT machines per million population in the developed world. At present, there are more than 10 MRIs and 20 CT machines per million population (9), (10). These statistics are a proxy for physician’s acceptance to the new clinically proven technologies if they add to his knowledge of diagnosis/ treatment, add to his income, and saves time for ‘doing more’ in his practice. Knowledge, money, and time are the underlying benefits when it comes to DoI (Decision on investment) for digital health. Money chasing digital health: USA is paying around $50,000 to each physician for adopting EHRs. In 2009, the US Federal Government set aside $27 billion of the American tax payers’ funds to boost the adoption of EHR. Billions of dollars were budgeted for training health information technology workers under the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health (HITECH) Act. “For physicians willing to adopt EHRs, the financial incentives offered by the federal government were substantial. The average physician with at least 30 percent of his or her patients covered by Medicare is eligible for up to $44,000 in total incentives. A physician with at least 30 percent of his or her patients covered by Medicaid is eligible for even more, up to $63,750. As of May 19th,2011 320 health care providers (including 283 physicians and 37 hospitals) had received a total of $75 million in Medicare incentive payments for demonstrating meaningful use of electronic health records. The relatively slow start was perhaps to be expected” as quoted in an article from the Commonwealth Fund (11). Despite this huge budgetary allocation, the digital adoption in American clinics and hospitals is far from ideal. Less surprisingly, fax machines have taken a refuge in American health system (12), (13). We need a deeper study as to how and why 95% of physician practices and hospitals in South Korea have transitioned to a fully digital state using EHRs without monetary support from the government. Almost all these EHRs provide some smart functionality like identifying drug interactions and patient communications, in addition to medical data storage (14). The USA policy is a classic case of dollars chasing EHRs, and not EHRs chasing dollars. If EHRs are beneficial in principle, the physician practices should be adopting it for their own profit. But the true value of EHRs has not been captured as of today. Additionally, this example sums up the success day of lobbyists in the Capitol Hill. The bottom line is, digital health, when looked holistically in terms of deployment and use, has not been resounding success. Picture 6 The positive side is, hope never dies. The narrative has shifted from e-health/telemedicine to fitness devices, machine learning, artificial intelligence, block-chain, and automation. The hope is that these technologies would bridge the gap in access to right care. Google, Apple, and Amazon are driving their success in healthcare through patient centered approach. The hope remains that automation would reduce errors in healthcare, as it did in manufacturing industry. The hope is patient data could travel instantly like money travels in financial sector. The hope is that every patient and disease condition is accounted for like items are tracked in Walmart. Patients have expressed consent to share their health data, if their hopes are rightfully met. 06Vol. 8 Issue II September 2019 HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT www.hhmglobal.com
  • 8. Back in 1970s, when automation, mechanization, and digitalization were sprouting up, another paradigm shift was being orchestrated by Walmart. Being a retailer, Walmart was very close to consumers. It understood their needs, communicated these needs to manufacturers, and delivered products which were consumer centric. Walmart made consumer the king. “Patient Centric Approach” became a hype phrase in healthcare conferences in no time. Ten years ago, the digital platforms created a hype that healthcare will undergo an overhaul in ten years. Ironically, nothing changed in those ten years. Healthcare conferences are a major source of useful information and unnecessary hype in this sector. In the digital health conferences, experts would talk about patient data privacy, data analysis, data portability, etc. Not many digital health providers discussed about patient itself. Top-down approach adopted by digital initiatives has landed on its face. Healthcare needs a bottom-up approach, where patients dictate their Digital Revolution is Knocking the Doors HYPE
  • 9. needs and providers improvise themselves to cater to these needs. Companies like Apple, Google, Facebook, and Amazon, who have deep access to consumers and their data, are positioned very well to make digital health a success. What happened to Nokia and Blackberry in the cellular industry, might happen to most of the digital health providers in near future. Dot com moment: During the hype phase of digital health, every corporation invested in building a healthcare division. Software veterans like Microsoft, Qualcomm, Siemens, Intel, Oracle, Cisco, BlackBerry, Nokia etc. invested billions of dollars in developing healthcare solutions. Manufacturing conglomerates invested in health tech to hedge their risks. Venture capitalist funding flow in healthcare increased exponentially. Healthcare organizations like Mayo Clinic and MD Anderson invested a significantly in digital health offerings. IT companies spent millions of dollars on healthcare conferences to get a tap on hype or build their client pipeline by getting leads. How long did this hype survive? Microsoft dropped down its HealthVault app (15). Google declared that “Google Health” has failed (16). Mayo clinic & Noaber Foundations Joint venture spins out their digital arm Vital Health and then sold it to Philips (17). MD Anderson ended contract with IBM Watson health, after losing over $62 million in digital health experiments (18). Even the ‘Digital Health conference’ industry is shrinking, losing momentum, and consolidating. mHealth summit was acquired by HIMSS. It is important to note that mHealth summit a leading conference on health and mobile based technologies was backed by National Institute of Health (NIH) and Fogarty International Center (19). The Connected Health Symposium organized by Partners HealthCare, merged with the Personal Connected Health Alliance’s (PCHA) ‘Connected Health Conference’ to stage a single conference since 2017 (20). Health 2.0 got acquired by HIMSS (21). The consolidation in the event organization space is an indicator to dwindling confidence in digital health events. The WHO trimmed their team in eHealth department drastically. In 2004, there were 22+ support staff at the WHO’s eHealth health unit. By 2008, it was reduced to about 14 and in Jan 2017, 3 people with no dedicated support staff, and in Dec 2017, the eHealth unit was left with just one staff. 98% of the digital health start- ups have failed to survive (22). No single healthcare start-up attains unicorn status (more than $1 billion valuation). There is not a single example, except National Health Services (NHS) and to some extent, Kaiser Permanente of a large-scale implementation of digital health solution. Smaller countries like South Korea and Estonia have made remarkable implementation of digital health solutions but the percentage of global population impacted by them is akin to a rounding error of numbers. These examples point in a direction that all the hype about digital health was based on speculation instead of facts. The result is, people lost time, corporations lost money, and health system have sustained inertia. Someone, somewhere has got something wrong in digitizing healthcare. 08Vol. 8 Issue II September 2019 HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT www.hhmglobal.com
  • 10. In 1990s, when digital technologies and platforms were going viral with software and websites, the protectors of healthcare invested their energies in building a strong wall to keep status quo intact. In a time when people could do banking from home, book tickets from anywhere, and get groceries delivered at home, hospitals are enjoying a romantic relationship with paper and fax. Less surprisingly, healthcare industry missed the digital wave. What is the reason behind digital phobia of healthcare industry? Despite all the hype created around digital health, there is a reason why the experts failed to declare digital health dead? Despite examples and comparisons with other industries, healthcare has not adopted technology to the level it should have. The need for Digital Health is far more than ever before; holding back the ubiquitous implementation of digital health is estimated to cost over a trillion dollars annually to the global population. A technology like digital health records would help physicians to better manage their operations, increase health access to the patients, and lower the long-term healthcare cost for the payer. Yet, EMRs failed to establish a rapport with physicians because the physicians cannot find the value-add worth their time and The Non-starter HALT
  • 11. money investment (23). The biggest reason for the failure of digital health is that more energies have been spent in developing policy manuals and organizing conferences, than developing a product, financial models and solve the interoperability issues that can demonstrate value to the user and demonstrate clinical evidence for better healthcare delivery. The hope that patients will get better healthcare with the help of technology is fading away. EMRs solved the issue of billing and data storage, not access and care. The EMRs failed because they were designed around hospitals and not for patients (24). The need is to design patient centered solutions. The digital health has not paid off to the investors, users, and the patients. This technology has not earned the value it promised for the governments, healthcare providers and the patient communities. A bigger focus was laid on the development of the business case. Digital health industry should have shifted focus from tuning business model towards fixing the service model. With most of the software being sold as a service, digital health should be viewed as a service to the key stakeholders of the healthcare industry. Going forward, the hype and promises should be driven by the magnitude of impact created, and not by the speculation of company valuations. It must be a game of ‘clinical value creation’ and not just ‘financial valuations for investors’. Electronic Medical Records (EMRs) were looked upon as the holy grail of digital health. Once all the patient data gets digitalized, infinite possibilities would open. Overtime, EMRs found it difficult to break into a physician’s office. For a considerable time, the myth prevailed that physicians are afraid of technology or physicians see technological advancements as their enemy. This myth loses its rationale when a physician’s office is loaded with technologies like digital stethoscopes, portable glucometers, latest Computed 10Vol. 8 Issue II September 2019 HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT www.hhmglobal.com
  • 12. The digital health is in a state of atrophy as suggested by the history its evolution. The nomenclature and the goal posts have kept changing over the past two decades, helping to rebrand the idea of IT in healthcare. We are back from “Hope, Hype to Halt” to hope again and it looks tough to take off. We need to galvanize the global efforts for deciding a roadmap as to what are the building blocks. We must take start at hurdle race once again, but the path and goals must be clearly articulated with evidence of impact documented as we go along. The role of the Government must evolve. Governments need to go beyond its current role of acting as a catalyst to derive consensus amongst stakeholders. Providing funding and operational support at national or global level is the need. For example, the Government of India is funding telemedicine as an integral service at Health & Wellness Centers and collaborating with private players to operate these centers (25). Three major developments in 2018-2019 could well give the much- needed boost as one last chance to lift the adoption of Digital Health. First major development is the mHealth resolution at the World Health Assembly proposed by the Indian Government and this resolution received global support (26). This resolution signals an increased focus on mHealth, but the rest is a grounds-up movement. The second major development was the launch of the Global Digital Health Index, which may play a role of a barometer for adoption and maturity of digital health (27). The index was launched alongside the World Health Assembly in May, 2018 (28). Third major development is the guidelines on digital interventions for health system Moment of Truth: A Call to Action The industry and the governments have begun to get the sense of the failing digital health initiatives. We can either declare the digital health as dead or initiate a resuscitation phase. Another truth is, the rules of the game have changed. Doctor is no longer the king of healthcare, patient is. Digital health is transforming from a standalone product to becoming a service to support clinical outcomes. As the businesses are driven by the profit motives, follow the money. Money in healthcare can be backtracked to insurance companies (payers) and patients. Health insurance providers would have larger role to play in digitizing health sector to save costs and gain competitive edge.
  • 13. strengthening launched on 17th April, 2019 (29). These guidelines would help the governments of the WHO member states to take decisions on deploying digital health solutions across the continuum of care. Governments must not miss this opportunity to take a stewardship role for digital health and all stakeholders must get together to ensure that it happens. The healthcare systems across the world are becoming unsustainable. Technology can help the health systems, but we must start with human interoperability before technical interoperability, human-ware before software or hardware. Challenges in healthcare are opportunities for digital health. Digital initiatives in other industries have worked the best when the implementation was orchestrated by the whole industry as a uniform effort. Aftermath 9/11, the initiative of developing a process to deposit cheques electronically was develop by big banks in a unison. Perhaps, this offers a cue to what is needed. It’s time that the industry takes the lead on patient centric and clinical outcome driven solutions. In this hurdle race between technology and medicine, the patient is the goal post, and healthcare will win by adoption of technology across the continuum of care. The government(s) takes the lead in catalysing integration of digital tools in delivery of care and the UN, WHO & ITU work in unison to provide an umbrella cover for guidelines, standards and legal frame-works, best practises and shared common goal to ensure success leveraging the latest developments. Time to re-start is now and convert Digital Health’s Hope, Hype and Halt to Hope , Heal and Health ! 12Vol. 8 Issue III September 2019 HOSPITAL & HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT www.hhmglobal.com
  • 14. 1. IBM. The Apollo Missions. IBM 100 Icons of Progress. [Online] IBM, 2018. [Cited: 04 30, 2018.] http://www- 03.ibm.com/ibm/history/ibm100/us/en/icons/apollo/. 2. Australian Digital Health Agency. What is digital health? https://www.digitalhealth.gov.au/. [Online] 2015-19. https://www.digitalhealth.gov.au/get-started-with-digital-health/what-is-digital- health. 3. Joseph C. Kvedar, Alexander L. Fogel. Why Real-World Results Are So Challenging for Digital Health. NEJM Catalyst. July 10, 2017. 4. GSMA. mHealth Country Feasibility Report: Uganda. [Online] 2015. https://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/wp- content/uploads/2017/05/mHealth_Uganda_R.pdf. 5. Becker's Hospital Review. 98% of digital health startups fail — here's why. Becker's Hospital Review E-weekly. May 18, 2016. 6. Cruickshank, John. Healthcare without walls: A framework for delivering. s.l. : 2020health.org, 2010. 7. Galewitz, Phil. Kaiser: Your doctor will see you now – in this telemedicine kiosk. [Online] June 20, 2016. [Cited: April 30, 2018.] https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2016/06/18/kaiser-how-far- telemedicine-has-come/86084092/. 8. Gupta, Rajendra P. Healthcare reforms in India: Making up for the Lost Decades. Healthcare reforms in India: Making up for the Lost Decades. New Delhi : Elsevier India, 2016, p. 190. 9. OECD Data. Computed tomography (CT) scanners. [Online] Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, 2017. [Cited: April 30, 2018.] https://data.oecd.org/healtheqt/computed-tomography-ct- scanners.htm#indicator-chart. 10. Data, OECD. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) units. [Online] Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, 2017. [Cited: April 30, 2018.] https://data.oecd.org/healtheqt/magnetic-resonance-imaging-mri- units.htm#indicator-chart. 11. Schilling, Brian. The Federal Government Has Put Billions into Promoting Electronic Health Record Use: How Is It Going? The Commonwealth Fund Newsletter. [Online] https://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/newsletter-article/federal- government-has-put-billions-promoting-electronic-health. 12. Reece, Richard. Why Doctors Don't Like Electronic Health Records. MIT Technology Review. September 27, 2011. 13. Yaraghi, Niam. Going Digital: Here's why more physicians are going to be adopting electronic health records. US News and World Report. September 24, 2015. 14. Current Status of Electronic Medical Record Systems in Hospitals and Clinics in Korea. Young-Taek Park, Dongwoon Han. 3, 2017, Healthc Informatics Research, Vol. 23, pp. 189–198. 15. Foley, Mary Jo. Microsoft to drop its HealthVault Insights apps. ZDNet. January 2018. 16. Rao, Leena. Google Shuts Down Medical Records ad Health Data Platform. TechCrunch. June 24, 2011. 17. Cohen, Jessica Kim. Philips acquires Mayo Clinic spinout VitalHealth. Becker's Hospital Review E-weekly. December 8, 2017. 18. Herper, Matthew. MD Anderson Benches IBM Watson In Setback For Artificial Intelligence In Medicine. Forbes. February 19, 2017. 19. Barr, Paul. HIMSS buys mHealth Summit. Modern Healthcare. Februry 17, 2012. 20. Cusano, Donna. Connected Health Symposium to merge with PCHAlliance conference. [Online] Telehealth and Telecare Aware, October 21, 2016. [Cited: April 30, 2018.] http://telecareaware.com/connected-health-symposium-to- merge-with-pchalliance-conference/. 21. Sullivan, Tom. HIMSS acquires Health 2.0 conferences. Health IT News. April 19, 2017. 22. Chase, Dave. Why 98% of Digital Health Startups Are Zombies And What They Can Do About It. Forbes. May 18, 2016. 23. Minor, Lloyd. Doctors are burning out because electronic medical records are broken. QUARTZ. Auguat 25, 2017. 24. Gur-Arie, Margalit. EMRs Were Designed for Billing and Not Optimized for Patient Care. [Online] HIT Consultant Media, March 6, 2013. [Cited: April 30, 2018.] https://hitconsultant.net/2013/06/03/emrs-were-designed-for-billing- and-not-optimized-for-patient-care/. 25. Press Trust of India. Government launches telemedicine initiative 'Sehat' . The Economic Times. August 25, 2015. 26. Digital Health. Organization, World Health. Geneva : s.n., 2018. SEVENTY- FIRST WORLD HEALTH ASSEMBLY. A71/A/CONF./1. 27. Cella, Gina. Health Leaders Announce Global Digital Health Index to Track and Improve How Countries Around the World Use Digital Technology for Health. [Online] Personal Connected Health Alliance , September 21, 2017. [Cited: May 8, 2018.] http://www.pchalliance.org/news/health-leaders-announce-global- digital-health-index-track-and-improve-how-countries-around. 28. GDHI. GLOBAL DIGITAL HEALTH INDEX. [Online] 2018. https://www.digitalhealthindex.org. 29. World Health Organization. WHO releases first guideline on digital health interventions. WHO Newsletter. [Online] World Health Organization, April 17, 2019. [Cited: April 21, 2019.] https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/17-04- 2019-who-releases-first-guideline-on-digital-health-interventions. 30. Health Survey & Planning Committee - Mudaliar Committee . Health Survey & Planning Committee. Ministry of Health , Government of India. Delhi : Govt. of India, 1959. References