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Investing for
the Future
@rossdawson
Who will we become?
What changes and what stays the same?
Acceleration
Arxiv (preprint open source journal)
Monthly submissions
Ideas connecting and procreating
Positive feedback loops and winner take most markets
Source: Google
Human-designed
Neural net
AI-designed
Neural net
AI designs AI
Heteroskedastic markets
Modular economy
Brain Internet
Applications
Organisations Industries
Proteins Actors
Society
PoliticsContagion
Networks everywhere
The rise of platforms
Machine-to-Machine (M2M) ecosystems
The development of the agent economy
Coevolutionary arms races
The economic networks come alive and evolve
Post-capitalism
Accounting for externalities
Wealth Haves Have nots
Values Globalism Nationalism
Power Individuals Institutions
Openness Expansion Constraint
Healthcare Inclusive Exclusive
Technology Embrace Disengage
Humanity Original Transhuman
Work Elites Insecurity
Image: Marcu Ioachim
Social polarisation
Source: Economic Policy Institute, US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Who gets the value?
New forms of income distribution
Shared prosperity
Augmentation
Source: Electronic Frontier Foundation
Exceeding human performance
Cognitive offloading
Interface
Model
quality
Transparency
Data
quality
Assessment
Decision
factors
ConfidenceFormat
Visual
presentation
Human
Ethics
Synthesis Sense-making Judgment
Context Strategy
AI
Defined decisions
Text analysis
Pattern discovery
Trading signals
Humans + AI
Source: Grau et al/ PLOS
Brain-to-brain communication
Towards collective intelligence?
Vision
Efficient markets for capital
Transparency is essential
Measuring more than money
Disaggregation of company reporting
Capital flows to where it creates the most value
Creating the future

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Keynote slides: Asset Management - Investing for the Future