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Looking into Vietnam
Mobile Market
Presented by: ALI Saghaeian
Chief Analyst & Consultant
Telecoms, IT, and MediaSaghaeian [at] gmail.com
Objectives
 Understanding the trends for
Mobile Subscription Data
 Tracking Vietnam's Market
Penetration
 Learning Operators'
Performance Indicators
 What are Online Activities of
Youngsters and Youth
2
 Finding mobile
operators’
positioning in the
local market
Exercise
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Agenda
 Vietnam Operator Subscription Trends
 Mobile Operators’ Market shares by subscriber
 Technology Trends in Asia Pacific
 Vietnam Mobile Technology Split
 Device Sales by Technology in Vietnam
 Vietnam Mobile ARPU and Revenue
 Information Technology Market in Vietnam
 Smartphone Connections Market Profile
 Mobile's share of website traffic
 Vietnam OTT Overview
3Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Top 10 Asia markets by net adds, 12 months to 2Q15
4
Source: Ovum, 2015
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Mobile Subscription Data
Asia maturing as subscription growth hits mid-single digits
3,390
3,557
3,758
3,935
4,092 4,219 4,326 4,417
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Millions
Subscriptions Penetration
1,406
1,277
416
170 166 165 153 131 106 62
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Millions
Top 10 countries by subscriptions, 2015 and 2020
2015 2020
5Source: Ovum, 2015 Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Vietnam Operator Subscription Trends
6Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Mobile Operators’ Market shares by subscriber
Source: ICT Viet Nam 2014
7
3G Providers
2G and 3G Providers
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Country Prepaid/Postpaid Subscriptions
8Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Vietnam Market Penetration
9Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
APAC MVNO matrix on regulation intervention and
market readiness
10Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Technology Trends in Asia Pacific
Data drivers: 3G and 4G dominate over long term, rising from one-third of
subscriptions in 2015 to over 80% by 2020
Top 10 3G countries December 2015 Top 10 3G countries December 2020
2,216 2,216 2,087 1,899 1,666
1,367
1,003
633
480 618
729
873
1,049
1,262
1,474
1,605
81
234 567 856 1,119 1,357 1,639 1,987
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016 Jan 2017 Jan 2018 Jan 2019 Jan 2020
Millions
Other
TDSCDMA
LTE
WCDMA
CDMA
GSM
China,
385,812,657
India,
159,417,844
Indonesia,
101,933,549
Thailand,
85,923,133
Japan,
50,350,063
Vietnam,
40,088,015
Philippines,
39,863,254
Pakistan,
22,481,662
Malaysia,
21,169,092
Taiwan,
19,863,982
India,
688,975,450
Indonesia,
247,070,787China,
221,567,242
Pakistan,
105,637,351
Vietnam,
105,144,396
Bangladesh,
89,274,112
Philippines,
74,782,939
Thailand,
62,392,791
Myanmar,
44,145,202
Sri Lanka,
21,915,187
11Source: Ovum, 2015
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Vietnam Mobile Technology Split
12Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Technology Forecast
Mobile narrow vs broadband users hit parity next year
2G (GSM/GPRS/EDGE, 1xRTT)
3G (WCDMA/EVDO Rev A/B/TDSCDMA)
4G (LTE)
-
500,000,000
1,000,000,000
1,500,000,000
2,000,000,000
2,500,000,000
3,000,000,000
3,500,000,000
4,000,000,000
4,500,000,000
5,000,000,000
Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec 2020
Asia subscriptions by technology generation
2G 3G 4G
Top 10 LTE countries 2020
1,032
348
160 111 61 47 43 36 28 23
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Millions
13
Source: Ovum, 2015
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Device Sales by Technology in Vietnam
14Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Vietnam ARPU in USD
15Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Vietnam Revenue in USDm
16Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Mobile Services Revenues
Source: ICT Viet Nam 2014
17Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Information Technology Market in Vietnam
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Total Revenue of IT Industry
(million USD)
Digital Content Industry
Software Industry
Hardware Industry
690
934
1165
1235
1407
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Revenue of Digital Content Industry
(million USD)
Source: ICT Viet Nam 2014
18Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Smartphone Connections Market Profile
19Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Device Use in Vietnam
DEVICE USED IN 2014 AND 2015
“Moving screen” such as Smartphone andTablet prove the highlight expansion from year to year,
in which remarkably change people’s behavior in Media consumption.
Source: Google, 2015
20Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Time Spending on Internet (TSOI)
At average,Vietnam Internet User spends about 5.2h on Mobile and 2.7h on PC
Source: GlobalWebIndex, Q4.2014
21Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
ONLINE ACTIVITIES OF 18-24 YEAR OLD USERS
Young People (18 – 24) spend most of time on connecting, entertaining or learning something new.
Moreover, they join in online activities mainly by their smartphone.
22
Online Activities of Youngsters
Source: Google, 2015
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Online Activities of Youth
ONLINE ACTIVITIES OF 25-34 YEAR OLD USERS
Social Network still be the main platform Internet User jump in besides Search and OnlineVideo.
Smartphone seems being their “must have screen”
23
Source: Google, 2015
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Mobile's share of website traffic
24
Source: GlobalWebIndex, 2014
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Vietnam OTT Overview
Number of OTT users in Vietnam
Zalo in Q3/2015 surpasses Facebook Messenger in number of User
Source: According to OTT Vendors, Moore Estimation, 2015
25Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Explosive Mobile Game Growth
26Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Taxi Booking Apps to Grow
27Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
An Emerging Cloud Divide
28Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
Any Questions?
29
ALI Saghaeian | saghaeian@gmail.com
Finding Operator’s positioning among competitors
Product
Price
Place
(Sales and
Distribution)
Promotion
(and Brand)
Customer
Care
Value proposition
components
Operator vs. local
competitors
Operator far better Operator far worseequal
Comments
• Limited products differentiation
• Competitors started to segment offer and
add product features
• Lack of price differentiation
• Competitive for heavy users
• Reactive “build it and they will come”
approach
• Competitors leveraging multiple direct and
indirect partners / channels
• Lack of basic marketing strategy
• Competitor heavily using promotions and
marketing tactics
• Lack of formal customer service
process
• Standard for care and after sales
support set by competition
Demonstrative!
Saghaeian [at] gmail.com

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Looking into Vietnam Mobile Market

  • 1. Looking into Vietnam Mobile Market Presented by: ALI Saghaeian Chief Analyst & Consultant Telecoms, IT, and MediaSaghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 2. Objectives  Understanding the trends for Mobile Subscription Data  Tracking Vietnam's Market Penetration  Learning Operators' Performance Indicators  What are Online Activities of Youngsters and Youth 2  Finding mobile operators’ positioning in the local market Exercise Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 3. Agenda  Vietnam Operator Subscription Trends  Mobile Operators’ Market shares by subscriber  Technology Trends in Asia Pacific  Vietnam Mobile Technology Split  Device Sales by Technology in Vietnam  Vietnam Mobile ARPU and Revenue  Information Technology Market in Vietnam  Smartphone Connections Market Profile  Mobile's share of website traffic  Vietnam OTT Overview 3Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 4. Top 10 Asia markets by net adds, 12 months to 2Q15 4 Source: Ovum, 2015 Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 5. Mobile Subscription Data Asia maturing as subscription growth hits mid-single digits 3,390 3,557 3,758 3,935 4,092 4,219 4,326 4,417 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Millions Subscriptions Penetration 1,406 1,277 416 170 166 165 153 131 106 62 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Millions Top 10 countries by subscriptions, 2015 and 2020 2015 2020 5Source: Ovum, 2015 Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 6. Vietnam Operator Subscription Trends 6Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 7. Mobile Operators’ Market shares by subscriber Source: ICT Viet Nam 2014 7 3G Providers 2G and 3G Providers Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 10. APAC MVNO matrix on regulation intervention and market readiness 10Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 11. Technology Trends in Asia Pacific Data drivers: 3G and 4G dominate over long term, rising from one-third of subscriptions in 2015 to over 80% by 2020 Top 10 3G countries December 2015 Top 10 3G countries December 2020 2,216 2,216 2,087 1,899 1,666 1,367 1,003 633 480 618 729 873 1,049 1,262 1,474 1,605 81 234 567 856 1,119 1,357 1,639 1,987 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016 Jan 2017 Jan 2018 Jan 2019 Jan 2020 Millions Other TDSCDMA LTE WCDMA CDMA GSM China, 385,812,657 India, 159,417,844 Indonesia, 101,933,549 Thailand, 85,923,133 Japan, 50,350,063 Vietnam, 40,088,015 Philippines, 39,863,254 Pakistan, 22,481,662 Malaysia, 21,169,092 Taiwan, 19,863,982 India, 688,975,450 Indonesia, 247,070,787China, 221,567,242 Pakistan, 105,637,351 Vietnam, 105,144,396 Bangladesh, 89,274,112 Philippines, 74,782,939 Thailand, 62,392,791 Myanmar, 44,145,202 Sri Lanka, 21,915,187 11Source: Ovum, 2015 Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 12. Vietnam Mobile Technology Split 12Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 13. Technology Forecast Mobile narrow vs broadband users hit parity next year 2G (GSM/GPRS/EDGE, 1xRTT) 3G (WCDMA/EVDO Rev A/B/TDSCDMA) 4G (LTE) - 500,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,500,000,000 2,000,000,000 2,500,000,000 3,000,000,000 3,500,000,000 4,000,000,000 4,500,000,000 5,000,000,000 Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec 2020 Asia subscriptions by technology generation 2G 3G 4G Top 10 LTE countries 2020 1,032 348 160 111 61 47 43 36 28 23 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Millions 13 Source: Ovum, 2015 Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 14. Device Sales by Technology in Vietnam 14Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 15. Vietnam ARPU in USD 15Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 16. Vietnam Revenue in USDm 16Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 17. Mobile Services Revenues Source: ICT Viet Nam 2014 17Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 18. Information Technology Market in Vietnam 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Revenue of IT Industry (million USD) Digital Content Industry Software Industry Hardware Industry 690 934 1165 1235 1407 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Revenue of Digital Content Industry (million USD) Source: ICT Viet Nam 2014 18Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 19. Smartphone Connections Market Profile 19Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 20. Device Use in Vietnam DEVICE USED IN 2014 AND 2015 “Moving screen” such as Smartphone andTablet prove the highlight expansion from year to year, in which remarkably change people’s behavior in Media consumption. Source: Google, 2015 20Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 21. Time Spending on Internet (TSOI) At average,Vietnam Internet User spends about 5.2h on Mobile and 2.7h on PC Source: GlobalWebIndex, Q4.2014 21Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 22. ONLINE ACTIVITIES OF 18-24 YEAR OLD USERS Young People (18 – 24) spend most of time on connecting, entertaining or learning something new. Moreover, they join in online activities mainly by their smartphone. 22 Online Activities of Youngsters Source: Google, 2015 Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 23. Online Activities of Youth ONLINE ACTIVITIES OF 25-34 YEAR OLD USERS Social Network still be the main platform Internet User jump in besides Search and OnlineVideo. Smartphone seems being their “must have screen” 23 Source: Google, 2015 Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 24. Mobile's share of website traffic 24 Source: GlobalWebIndex, 2014 Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 25. Vietnam OTT Overview Number of OTT users in Vietnam Zalo in Q3/2015 surpasses Facebook Messenger in number of User Source: According to OTT Vendors, Moore Estimation, 2015 25Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 26. Explosive Mobile Game Growth 26Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 27. Taxi Booking Apps to Grow 27Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 28. An Emerging Cloud Divide 28Saghaeian [at] gmail.com
  • 29. Any Questions? 29 ALI Saghaeian | saghaeian@gmail.com
  • 30. Finding Operator’s positioning among competitors Product Price Place (Sales and Distribution) Promotion (and Brand) Customer Care Value proposition components Operator vs. local competitors Operator far better Operator far worseequal Comments • Limited products differentiation • Competitors started to segment offer and add product features • Lack of price differentiation • Competitive for heavy users • Reactive “build it and they will come” approach • Competitors leveraging multiple direct and indirect partners / channels • Lack of basic marketing strategy • Competitor heavily using promotions and marketing tactics • Lack of formal customer service process • Standard for care and after sales support set by competition Demonstrative! Saghaeian [at] gmail.com