Dr Sanjoy Sanyal, Surgeon, Medical Informatician, Neuroscience Professor and Course Director, takes existing published data from Intel(R) and graphically proves the validity of Moore's postulate and its derivatives and variants. An addendum has been added in the last slide mentioning 3 recent developments, as of 2014. Educational Value: It is an exercise in 'Geekism' :)

1. Statistical Validation of
Moore’s Law
Dr Sanjoy Sanyal; MBBS, MS, MSc (RCSEd), ADPHA
Professor, Course Director of Neuroscience,
Consultant Surgeon, Medical Informatician
(Originally published in 2009, updated in July 2014 with an addendum in last slide about
recent developments)

2. Co-founders of Intel®
Gordon E Moore Bob Noyce

3. Birth of Intel®
• Gordon E. Moore and Bob Noyce wanted
to name their new company ‘Moore Noyce’
• But it was already trademarked by a hotel
chain
• So they settled for ‘Intel’, acronym from
‘Integrated Electronics’
• Moore was at helm of Intel from 1975 to
1987
• The rest is history

4. Moor’sOriginal
GraphicalSketch

5. Moore’s Law
• “Moore’s Law” states the number of transistors
on a chip roughly doubles every two years
• “Moore’s Law” states that transistor density on
integrated circuits doubles about every two
years.
• Moore’s Law isn’t a law at all
• Moore’s prediction in 1965 popularly came to
be known as “Moore’s Law”
• It is a statement that microprocessor design is
going to carry on improving at a steady rate

6. Moore’s Law Philosophy
• Intel® executives have turned ‘Moore's Law’ into
a ‘mantra’.
• Intel® has hammered Moore’s Law into its
corporate culture
• It constantly provides a marketing buzzword
• It gives engineers ever-moving, tangible
standard to reach with each new model.
• That is the real genius behind the concept

7. In subsequent slides, one needs
to focus on the exponential
graphs and their respective
equations
But, first let us see some theoretical data, as postulated in Moore’s Law…

8. TheoreticalData

9. Based on Theoretical Data
(previous slide)

10. Based on Theoretical Data

11. DatafromIntel®

12. DatafromIntel®2004

13. Intel® 2004 Data (previous slide)

14. 2004 Data

15. Intel®2007Data

16. Based on Intel® 2007 Data
(previous slide)

17. Based on Intel® 2007 Data

18. Based on Intel® 2007 Data

19. Next 5 slides, also from Intel®
2007 data, highlight some
Moore’s Law variants
Focus on chip clock speed and chip manufacturing technology (chip thickness)

20. Based on Intel® 2007 Data

21. Based on Intel® 2007 Data

22. Based on Intel® 2007 Data

23. Based on Intel® 2007 Data

24. Based on Intel® 2007 Data

25. Next 5 slides have been sourced
from Wikipedia and Intel®
websites, to underscore their
similarity with previous derived
graphs

26. Wikipedia

27. Wikipedia

28. Wikipedia

29. Wikipedia

30. Intel®

31. Geek,Engineeringgenius,Executivegenius
Predictor,Legalsteamroller

32. Genius of Moore
• Genius of Moore’s Law concept
• Engineering genius and hardcore geek
• Moore was one of few people to earn the
respect from geeks and chief executives.
– Engineers and executives are often at
loggerheads.
– But Moore was an icon for both groups
– This truly underscores his genius

33. Moore’s Law Drinking Game
If you play the Moore’s Law Drinking Game
at an Intel Developer Conference you will
be unable to walk out by the end of the
session  

34. Addendum – Recent
Developments
• Since the last 1 year or so, computing power
has not increased exponentially
• Perhaps because transistors (and chips) have
reached their limit of miniaturization
• The next big step is likely to involve
–Graphene: Single atom thick layer of Carbon
to make chips
–Quantum Computing and Photons of Light