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Small Screen,
BIG Bet !!

                Satyajeet Singh   .
Internet Access
Mobile Phone Access
ECOSYSTEM
Market Share: OEMs

                                                                              Nokia
                                                                22.8
                                                                              Samsung
                    35.8                                                      LG
                                                                              Apple
                                                                              ZTE
                                                                              RIM
                                                                              HTC
                                                                       16.3
                                                                              Motorola
                           1.7                                                Huawei Device
                             2.1
                                2.4                       5.7                 Sony Ericsson
                                      2.6
                                            3   3   4.6


Aug 2011 -Gartner
Market Share: OS
                           1 1.6 1.9
                                         11.7

                                                       Others
                                                       Microsoft
                    43.4                               Bada
                                                18.2   RIM
                                                       iOS
                                                       Symbian
                                                       Android


                                  22.1


Aug 2011 -Gartner
Market Share: Browsers

                              12.5

                                            24.5

                        7.4
                                                     Opera
                                                     iPhone
                                                     Nokia
                                                     Android
                   19.8                              BlackBerry
                                                     Other
                                              22.6


                                     13.2



Nov 2011 -StatCounter
Future
                                    Mobile Internet Users           Desktop Internet Users

           2000


           1600


           1200


             800


             400


               0
                      2007   2008   2009   2010   2011E     2012E    2013E   2014E   2015E



Morgan Stanley Research
Mobile Web Usage
      7

      6

      5

      4

      3

      2

      1

      0
              2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011


StatCounter
Prediction

Smartphones, were boldly predicted to out-ship
the combined global market of
laptop, desktop, and notebook computers in
2012.


They did so in the last quarter of
              2010
Smart Phones

13% of total global handsets are
smartphones, but they make up 78% of total
handset traffic
- Cisco



1% increase in Smartphones increases the
data usage by 17%
- Bharti
Smart Phones Users

35% browse the mobile internet at least
daily, versus only 4% of feature phone owners

31% have accessed social networks using their
mobile browser, compared to only 7% of feature
phone users

70% have accessed email on their mobile
device, versus only 12% of feature phone users.
What’s happened in 2010!

In 2010,
visitors to web-based email sites declined
6%, but visitors accessing email with their
mobile devices grew by 36%

Traffic to mobile websites grew 600% after
tripling between 2009 and 2010
What’s happening Now !

50% of the Tweeps use a mobile device

1/3 of Facebook users access it via mobile
  and they are twice as active as their desktop
  counterparts

7%    of the mobile Yelp users are responsible
for 35% of all their searches
What’s happening Now !

200m videos are being watches on
YouTube from mobile devices everyday


30% of the 10m views of the ‘Kolavari di’
were from mobile
What are these guys doing on
          mobile ?
Where are they accessing it ?
80% during miscellaneous downtime
throughout the day
                 74% while waiting in lines
69% while shopping
                              64% at work
62% while watching TV (a different study
claims 84%)
                47% during their commute
When are they accessing it ?
User segmentation !
α) Repetitive now
     Checking for the same piece of information over and over
  again.



β) Bored now
     Who have time on their hands and are a lot more like casual
  Web surfers



γ) Urgent now
      They request to find something specific fast

                                                            - Google
In a nutshell

“Desktop behavior is ‘diving’
   while mobile is ‘snorkeling’

                - Rachel Hinman (Nokia)
2 Things…
Local

50% of the searches done on mobile
are local
                               - Google
35% were within 1mile of the
property
                          - Priceline
Urgent


 Wait time is as low as 6 seconds
                                    - HFI


 82% of the users booked for same day
                                    - Priceline
How to go Mobile
Browser vs App

WEB                               Native
Low Maintenance              Full access to hardware
Speed to Market              Easier Distribution
Known technologies           Easier testing
Cross Platform               Easier to start



Difficult to debug           App store review process
Limited access to Hardware   Longer update time
Difficult to monetize        Problem of discovery
Difficult to distribute
Browser vs App

Update
Frequency    WEB
Importance
of Reach



                         NATIVE
             Usage
             Frequency   Complexity of UI
The problems

Mobile Web
  Performance (is getting better)


Native
  Cross functionality (is getting worse)
but it’ll take time….

        …….Till then
HYBRID ?
that is the Next Session !!
Thanks !   satyajeet.singh@gmail.com
           @satyajeet

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Mobile - Small Screen Big Bet !

  • 1. Small Screen, BIG Bet !! Satyajeet Singh .
  • 4. Market Share: OEMs Nokia 22.8 Samsung 35.8 LG Apple ZTE RIM HTC 16.3 Motorola 1.7 Huawei Device 2.1 2.4 5.7 Sony Ericsson 2.6 3 3 4.6 Aug 2011 -Gartner
  • 5. Market Share: OS 1 1.6 1.9 11.7 Others Microsoft 43.4 Bada 18.2 RIM iOS Symbian Android 22.1 Aug 2011 -Gartner
  • 6. Market Share: Browsers 12.5 24.5 7.4 Opera iPhone Nokia Android 19.8 BlackBerry Other 22.6 13.2 Nov 2011 -StatCounter
  • 7. Future Mobile Internet Users Desktop Internet Users 2000 1600 1200 800 400 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E Morgan Stanley Research
  • 8.
  • 9. Mobile Web Usage 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 StatCounter
  • 10. Prediction Smartphones, were boldly predicted to out-ship the combined global market of laptop, desktop, and notebook computers in 2012. They did so in the last quarter of 2010
  • 11. Smart Phones 13% of total global handsets are smartphones, but they make up 78% of total handset traffic - Cisco 1% increase in Smartphones increases the data usage by 17% - Bharti
  • 12. Smart Phones Users 35% browse the mobile internet at least daily, versus only 4% of feature phone owners 31% have accessed social networks using their mobile browser, compared to only 7% of feature phone users 70% have accessed email on their mobile device, versus only 12% of feature phone users.
  • 13. What’s happened in 2010! In 2010, visitors to web-based email sites declined 6%, but visitors accessing email with their mobile devices grew by 36% Traffic to mobile websites grew 600% after tripling between 2009 and 2010
  • 14. What’s happening Now ! 50% of the Tweeps use a mobile device 1/3 of Facebook users access it via mobile and they are twice as active as their desktop counterparts 7% of the mobile Yelp users are responsible for 35% of all their searches
  • 15. What’s happening Now ! 200m videos are being watches on YouTube from mobile devices everyday 30% of the 10m views of the ‘Kolavari di’ were from mobile
  • 16. What are these guys doing on mobile ?
  • 17.
  • 18. Where are they accessing it ?
  • 19. 80% during miscellaneous downtime throughout the day 74% while waiting in lines 69% while shopping 64% at work 62% while watching TV (a different study claims 84%) 47% during their commute
  • 20. When are they accessing it ?
  • 21.
  • 23. α) Repetitive now Checking for the same piece of information over and over again. β) Bored now Who have time on their hands and are a lot more like casual Web surfers γ) Urgent now They request to find something specific fast - Google
  • 24. In a nutshell “Desktop behavior is ‘diving’ while mobile is ‘snorkeling’ - Rachel Hinman (Nokia)
  • 26. Local 50% of the searches done on mobile are local - Google 35% were within 1mile of the property - Priceline
  • 27. Urgent Wait time is as low as 6 seconds - HFI 82% of the users booked for same day - Priceline
  • 28. How to go Mobile
  • 29. Browser vs App WEB Native Low Maintenance Full access to hardware Speed to Market Easier Distribution Known technologies Easier testing Cross Platform Easier to start Difficult to debug App store review process Limited access to Hardware Longer update time Difficult to monetize Problem of discovery Difficult to distribute
  • 30. Browser vs App Update Frequency WEB Importance of Reach NATIVE Usage Frequency Complexity of UI
  • 31. The problems Mobile Web Performance (is getting better) Native Cross functionality (is getting worse)
  • 32. but it’ll take time…. …….Till then
  • 34. that is the Next Session !!
  • 35. Thanks ! satyajeet.singh@gmail.com @satyajeet