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SALT MARSH
LOSS IN THE
WESTPORT
RIVERS
MARCH 2017
Westport Fishermen’s
Association
The WFA raised concern about
the marsh loss, provided the
majority of funding for an
intern’s salary, and provided
access to the study sites.
In recent years, Westport residents noticed that the salt marsh islands in
the Westport Rivers, particularly in the West Branch, were disappearing
rapidly. Salt marsh islands are a characteristic feature of both branches of the
Westport Rivers. These productive coastal wetlands are important because
they protect properties from storm surges, remove nutrients from the water
and carbon from the atmosphere, and provide critical habitat for fish, shellfish,
and shorebirds.
In response, the Westport Fishermen’s Association, the Buzzards Bay
Coalition, the Marine Biological Laboratory Ecosystems Center, and the
Buzzards Bay National Estuary Program partnered to measure the rate of salt
marsh loss in the Westport Rivers and try to identify causes of this erosion.
There are several potential factors that could be affecting salt marsh loss
in the Westport Rivers, including sea level rise, hurricanes and storms, and
overgrazing of marsh plants by wildlife. Recent studies have shown that
nutrient over-enrichment (from nitrogen pollution) can also be a driver of salt
marsh loss. Both branches of the rivers suffer from nitrogen pollution primarily
from septic systems. Other sources of nitrogen in Westport are agricultural
runoff, stormwater, and lawn fertilizer.
This research project focused on defining the amount of salt marsh acreage
that has been lost in the Westport Rivers over the last 80 years and whether
those losses have accelerated in recent years. Field work was performed at six
salt marsh islands to determine what is causing the marshes to degrade.
PROJECT OVERVIEW
Buzzards Bay Coalition
The Coalition coordinated the
project, hired and managed
an intern, and provided
funding toward the intern’s
salary and aerial images.
Buzzards Bay National
Estuary Program
The BBNEP provided GIS
training, support, and detailed
analysis of aerial images.
Marine Biological
Laboratory Ecosystems Center
The MBL designed the field
protocol and provided training
and equipment for the field
and laboratory portion of
the project.
PROJECT PARTNERS
ON THE COVER
Portion of salt marsh
caving into the water at
Bailey Flat (July 2016)
THIS PAGE
Southern edge of Great Flat 12
separated by channel from northern
edge of Great Flat 11 (August 2016)
1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
•	 The Westport Rivers are losing salt marsh islands at a troubling
	 rate that has accelerated in recent years.
•	 At the six islands studied, marsh area has consistently declined
	 in the last 80 years by an average of 48%.
•	 Both sea level rise and nitrogen pollution contribute to marsh
	 loss in the Westport Rivers.
•	 Additional pressures that were not a focus of this study such
	 as storms, dredging, and crabs may also add to marsh loss.
SUMMARY CONCLUSION
2
WHAT COULD BE
MAKING THE MARSHES
DISAPPEAR?
4
STUDY SITES
6
RESULTS
12
CONCLUSION:
DISAPPEARING
MARSHES
13
MOVING FORWARD
TO SAVE THE
WESTPORT RIVERS’
SALT MARSHES
The salt marshes of the Westport River estuary are
part of a complex ecosystem. Multiple, often
inter-related, factors are likely involved in marsh loss.
Nitrogen
Water quality in the West Branch has steadily declined
over the past 25 years due to increased nitrogen
pollution. The concentration of nitrogen in the West
Branch exceeds the amount of nitrogen recommended
for healthy estuaries. Excess nitrogen can increase the
amount of marsh grass (like over-fertilizing your lawn),
but it can also cause the underground root network to
become sparse and weak (e.g., Deegan et al, 2012). This
low “roots to shoots” ratio can destabilize the marsh
and lead to marsh banks crumbling into the water.
Sea Level Rise
Salt marshes naturally expand and contract over time.
To persist, salt marshes must accumulate new sediment
in balance with sea level rise. If sea level increases
faster than a marsh can build up new sediment, or trap
sediment suspended in the water, then the marsh will
likely begin to drown.
Storms
Since 1934, there have been 42 storms that have caused
a storm surge that possibly inundated the marshes.
These storms include winter storms, tropical storms,
and hurricanes. Storms can move sediment in the water,
which can lead to erosion by changing the pattern of
flow around the marshes. Dredging can have similar
impacts on marshes.
What could be
making the marshes
disappear?
2
0
20
40
60
80
100
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
47
BAYHEALTHINDEXSCORE
Westport River, West Branch
Poor Fair Good
-0.5
-0.4
-0.2
0
-0.3
-0.1
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.5
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
SEALEVEL(METERS)
Sea Level in Woods Hole, MA
AS RECORDED BY NOAA
Monthly Mean Sea Level
with the average seasonal cycle removed
Linear Mean Sea Level Trend
HEALTHYDEGRADED
Crabs
The native purple marsh crab grazes on salt marsh grass.
An overabundance of purple marsh crabs has been
shown to be a critical factor in salt marsh degradation
in Narragansett Bay and on Cape Cod (e.g., Holdredge
et al, 2009).
To determine the influence of nitrogen pollution on marsh loss
in the West Branch, we collected field samples at six study sites.
At each site, we gathered core samples of the top 1 foot of
sediment along with the grass and plant species growing on top
of the core. The live roots in the core were separated
and weighed.
For each sample, we compared the density of roots in the core
to the amount of marsh grass growing above the sediment
core. We then compared the relative density of roots to above-
ground grass to the amount of nitrogen in the water near each
site, using the 25-year-long record of data collected through the
Buzzards Bay Coalition’s Baywatchers Program.
LOOKING AT THE MARSHES UP CLOSE
3
Collecting a marsh core
sample (July 2016)
Marsh core showing layer rich
in peat surrounded by more
sandy layers.
StudySites
1
2
3
4
5
6
4
1
NORTH OF SANFORD FLAT 3
The smallest site, located highest
upriver on the nutrient gradient,
but calmer currents.
2
SANFORD FLAT C
A larger site with higher elevation
relative to the other upriver sites.
3
GREAT FLAT 12
The second-smallest site,
in the upper portion of the
nutrient gradient.
4
GREAT FLAT 1
One of the largest sites, with a
network of smaller islands making
up the flat. This site is mid-way up
the nutrient gradient, and lies with a
natural channel on both sides.
5
WHITES FLAT
This site is slightly calmer than
Bailey Flat, but still very low on the
nutrient gradient.
6
BAILEY FLAT
The site closest to the mouth of
the river, with the most exposure to
currents and the least nutrients.
The project assigned names to all the salt marsh islands in the Westport Rivers.
Of those, six were selected as study sites. We focused on the West Branch, which
residents report is experiencing worse marsh losses.
All study sites were islands and had no major structures or ditches. Three of the
sites are relatively large islands and three are relatively small. We also took into
consideration the physical location of the islands. The West Branch has a higher
amount of nitrogen in the northern section, whereas closer to the river mouth there
is a lower concentration of nitrogen. The six sites lie along this gradient, which
helps us decipher differences among sites with various concentrations of nitrogen
pollution and wave activity.
5
Results
Nutrient over-enrichment has been shown to decrease
the ratio of underground roots to above-ground plant
material in some New England salt marshes (Deegan
et al, 2012; Watson et al, 2014). At all six study sites,
we found a relatively low ratio of “roots to shoots”
compared to a pristine salt marsh. This finding suggests
that all marsh islands in the Westport Rivers are
vulnerable to loss due to nitrogen pollution.
However, the differences between the six study
sites did not directly match the gradient of nitrogen
concentrations in the West Branch. Nitrogen pollution
typically increases as you move upriver from the mouth.
The site with the lowest ratio of roots to above-ground
plants was Great Flat 12, which is located midway up the
West Branch. It is also the site that has experienced the
greatest loss in area since 1938. Great Flat 1 and Sanford
Flat 3 also had “roots to shoots” ratios that were worse
than an artificially nitrogen over-enriched marsh, and are
also located midway up the river. At Bailey Flat, Whites
Flat, and North of Sanford Flat 3, the ratio fell between
that of an artificially nitrogen over-enriched marsh and a
pristine marsh.
RATIOOFROOTSTOABOVEGROUNDPLANTS
Average Below to Above Ground Plant Material
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Nitrogen-fertilized marsh
Pristine marsh
Bailey
Flat
Whites
Flat
Great
Flat1
Great
Flat12
Sanford
Flat
C
Northof
Sanford
Flat3
6
Salt marshes naturally change shape over time, decreasing in
some places and building in others. To understand how much the
salt marsh islands have changed in the past and whether they
are disappearing rapidly now, we analyzed aerial images of all six
study sites going back to the 1930s. Using specialized mapping
software (GIS), we determined how many acres of marsh existed
in each aerial image. At least nine aerial images were analyzed for
each site. The majority of the images were from the last 15 years,
when more aerial images have become available.
According to this analysis, every site has lost between 26
and 66% of its marsh area since 1938. Most troubling, the
rate of loss has dramatically increased since 2001. Marsh loss
frequently occurred along the marsh edges in low elevation
areas. Another common form of marsh loss was through tide
pools that form on top of the marsh and eventually connect
to the river, creating a channel through the middle of the
marsh. These channels expose new areas of salt marsh to tidal
fluctuations, which increases erosion.
The next few pages describe the loss of salt marsh acres at each
of the six study sites.
ISLANDAREA(ACRES)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Island Marsh Area Over Time
7
N of Sanford 3
Sanford Flat C
Great Flat 12
Great Flat 1
Whites Flat
Bailey Flat
LOOKING AT THE MARSHES FROM AFAR
The smallest and northernmost island in this study, North
of Sanford Flat 3 has very few tide pools and channels.
North of Sanford Flat 3 historically had the slowest rate of
marsh loss of all six sites. But since 2012, the rate of marsh
loss has increased, and North of Sanford Flat 3 has lost
marsh at a faster rate than Bailey Flat or Great Flat 12. In
1938, North of Sanford Flat 3 was 1.3 acres; today, it’s 0.7
acres – about half the size.
NORTH OF SANFORD FLAT 3ACRESREMAININGFROM1938(%)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2020
Relative Island Marsh Area Over Time
2010
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
N of Sanford 3
Sanford Flat C
Great Flat 12
LEGEND
NOV 1934
DEC 1938
JUN 1942
APR 1954
MAY 1956
APR 1962
APR 1964
FEB 1974
JUN 1982
APR 1990
JUN 1994
APR 1996
APR 2001
JUN 2001
APR 2005
JUN 2005
APR 2009
SEPT 2009
APR 2010
AUG 2010
JUN 2012
JUN 2013
APR 2014
SEP 2014
MAY 2015
OCT 2016
8
Sanford Flat C is located just south of North of Sanford
Flat 3. It is one of the three large island sites. There is an
upland area at Sanford Flat C, with a few trees and brush.
The rest of the site is at a fairly low elevation, making it
susceptible to loss.
Since 1938, Sanford Flat C has been losing more acres
per year than any of the other study sites Overall, 43% of
the total 7.8 acres of marsh area in 1938 was lost. Sanford
Flat C is unique from the other islands because it lost a
large area of marsh in the interior of the site due to the
expansion of tide pools.
SANFORD FLAT C
Great Flat 12, another one of the small island sites, is
located approximately halfway up the West Branch. It has
the lowest elevation of all the sites, making it particularly
susceptible to sea level rise and storms.
Great Flat 12 had the largest percent loss we observed:
66% of its 2.2 acres of marsh area in 1938 has been
lost. Aerial images from 1982 and 1994 were not high
enough quality for interpretation with mapping software.
However, these images show a dramatic loss of land
between these two dates. It is possible that this was due
to Hurricane Bob, which passed through the area in 1990.
GREAT FLAT 12
9
Great Flat 1 is located where the West Branch widens and
intersects with the East Branch and the Buzzards Bay
inlet. It is the third-largest island we studied.
Out of the six study sites, Great Flat 1 had the second-
least marsh loss: 37% of the 1938 marsh area of 7.3 acres
has been lost. The areas of greatest loss were along the
tidal channel, where the elevation is also the lowest. Great
Flat 1 was quite stable between 2012 and 2015, but saw a
decrease in marsh area between 2015 and 2016.
GREAT FLAT 1ACRESREMAININGFROM1938(%)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2020
2010
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
Great Flat 1
Whites Flat
Bailey Flat
10
Relative Island Marsh Area Over Time
LEGEND
NOV 1934
DEC 1938
JUN 1942
APR 1954
MAY 1956
APR 1962
APR 1964
FEB 1974
JUN 1982
APR 1990
JUN 1994
APR 1996
APR 2001
JUN 2001
APR 2005
JUN 2005
APR 2009
SEPT 2009
APR 2010
AUG 2010
JUN 2012
JUN 2013
APR 2014
SEP 2014
MAY 2015
OCT 2016
Whites Flat is located southwest of Great Flat 1, near
where the East Branch intersects with the West Branch.
It is the largest of the six salt marsh islands studied.
Although it has the lowest total percent of marsh lost,
it’s now the island with the highest rate of loss.
Whites Flat was the most stable of the salt marsh
islands until four years ago, when the rate of marsh
loss accelerated dramatically.
Overall, Whites Flat lost 26% of its 9.1 acres of marsh area
since 1938. One of the main areas lost on Whites Flat was
near the middle, where a channel opened and separated
the southeastern portion of the flat from the rest of it.
The channel appeared abruptly in the 1950s; its straight
shape suggests that the channel may have been a result
of human dredging.
WHITES FLAT
Bailey Flat is the southernmost site in this study, located
near the inlet connecting the Westport Rivers to Buzzards
Bay. Bailey Flat had an area of 2.9 acres in 1938, making
it the largest of the three small island study sites. We
analyzed additional aerial images of Bailey Flat, which
provided a more detailed picture of marsh loss over the
last 80 years.
The rate of marsh loss at Bailey Flat has generally been
quite steady over time, though the rate of marsh loss
has increased in the last 15 years. Bailey Flat had the
second-greatest marsh loss, with 65% of its total area
disappearing between 1938 and 2016. Most of this loss
was along the southern edge, which is likely due to heavy
wave action from the mouth of the river.
BAILEY FLAT
11
Conclusion:
Disappearing
Marshes
Over the last 80 years, the West Branch has lost over 12
acres of salt marsh at these six study sites alone. During
the past 15 years, salt marshes disappeared at a faster
rate than the previous 65 years.
It is difficult to assign a single cause to the accelerating
loss of marsh islands in the West Branch. Two key factors
that influence marsh health and stability are sea level rise
and nitrogen pollution.
Sea level rise is a natural phenomenon that has been
occurring since the last Ice Age but has been accelerating
in recent years due to climate change. Marshes have to
continue to build up new sediments so they don’t lose
their lowest-lying areas.
The marsh that lost the most acreage was the island with
the lowest elevation (Great Flat 12). The two islands that
experienced the least marsh loss (Whites Flat, Great Flat
1) have relatively high elevations, which helps protect
them from sea level rise.
The field work performed in this study showed that
nitrogen pollution is an additional pressure on these salt
marsh islands. The marshes generally had roots to above-
ground plant ratios that were similar to or less than an
artificially nutrient over-enriched marsh. This low root
density decreases the stability of the marsh and makes
it susceptible to erosion. The lowest ratios of roots to
above-ground plants were observed at Sanford Flat C
and Great Flat 12, two sites relatively far upriver where
nitrogen is high.
In conclusion, sea level rise is an important cause of salt
marsh loss for low-elevation marsh islands. Nitrogen
pollution likely exacerbates this problem. Additional
pressures such as grazing by purple marsh crabs, storm
surges, and dredging that were not a focus of this study
may also further marsh losses.
Island Marsh Area Over Time Compared to Sea Level
N of Sanford 3
Sanford Flat C
Great Flat 12
Great Flat 1
Whites Flat
Bailey Flat
Linear Mean Sea
Level Trend
Monthly Mean
Sea Level
12
ACRESREMAININGFROM1938(%)
100
80
60
40
20
0
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
MEANSEALEVEL(m)
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
Moving Forward
to Save the
Westport Rivers’
Salt Marshes
If this marsh loss continues at the accelerated rate
observed between 2012 and 2016, the marsh islands
studied could disappear in 15 to 58 years (average
33 years). Reducing nitrogen pollution to the
Westport Rivers will help salt marshes grow stronger,
healthier root systems and enhance the stability of
the marsh islands. Implementing nitrogen reduction
recommendations, particularly for residential septic
systems, should help improve the health and survival
of the rivers’ salt marsh islands.
For low-elevation marshes that are most susceptible
to sea level rise, the town of Westport could explore
the possibility of thin layer placement, a relatively new
and somewhat experimental technology that artificially
increases marsh height by placing new sediment
on top of the existing marsh. This approach has had
variable success in other places and needs further
testing before widespread application is considered.
REFERENCES
13
Deegan, L.A., Johnson, D.S., Warren, R.S.,
	 Peterson, B.J., Fleeger, J.W., Fagherazzi,
	 S. and Wollheim, W.M. (2012) Coastal
	 eutrophication as a driver of marsh loss.
	 Nature 490(7420): 388-392.
Holdredge, C., M.D. Bertness and A.
	 Altieri. (2009) Role of Crab Herbivory
	 in Die-Off of New England Salt Marshes.
	 Conservation Biology 23(3): 672-679.
Watson, E.B., Oczkowski, A.J., Wigand,
	 C., Hanson, A.R., Davey, E.W., Crosby,
	 S.C., Johnson, R.L., Andrews, H.M.
	 (2014) Nutrient enrichment and
	 precipitation changes do not enhance
	 resiliency of salt marshes to sea level
	 rise in the Northeastern U.S. Climatic
	 Change 125: 501–509.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This project was funded by the Westport Fishermen’s Association and the Buzzards Bay Coalition.
All fieldwork and initial GIS analysis was performed by Molly Weiner. GIS analyses were overseen
by Dr. Joe Costa at the Buzzards Bay National Estuary Program, who also conducted the analyses
for Bailey Flat and produced the maps in this report. Field analyses were overseen by Dr. Chris Neill
and Dr. Linda Deegan of the Marine Biological Laboratory Ecosystems Center. Data analysis was
overseen by Dr. Rachel Jakuba of the Buzzards Bay Coalition. Transport to field sites was made
possible by Jack Reynolds. Paul Curado provided aerial images via drone for 2016.
Non-profit
U.S. Postage Paid
New Bedford, MA
Permit No. 375
114 Front Street • New Bedford, Massachusetts 02740
(508) 999-6363
info@savebuzzardsbay.org
www.savebuzzardsbay.org

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RAPID SALT MARSH LOSS IN THE WESTPORT RIVERS

  • 1. SALT MARSH LOSS IN THE WESTPORT RIVERS MARCH 2017
  • 2. Westport Fishermen’s Association The WFA raised concern about the marsh loss, provided the majority of funding for an intern’s salary, and provided access to the study sites. In recent years, Westport residents noticed that the salt marsh islands in the Westport Rivers, particularly in the West Branch, were disappearing rapidly. Salt marsh islands are a characteristic feature of both branches of the Westport Rivers. These productive coastal wetlands are important because they protect properties from storm surges, remove nutrients from the water and carbon from the atmosphere, and provide critical habitat for fish, shellfish, and shorebirds. In response, the Westport Fishermen’s Association, the Buzzards Bay Coalition, the Marine Biological Laboratory Ecosystems Center, and the Buzzards Bay National Estuary Program partnered to measure the rate of salt marsh loss in the Westport Rivers and try to identify causes of this erosion. There are several potential factors that could be affecting salt marsh loss in the Westport Rivers, including sea level rise, hurricanes and storms, and overgrazing of marsh plants by wildlife. Recent studies have shown that nutrient over-enrichment (from nitrogen pollution) can also be a driver of salt marsh loss. Both branches of the rivers suffer from nitrogen pollution primarily from septic systems. Other sources of nitrogen in Westport are agricultural runoff, stormwater, and lawn fertilizer. This research project focused on defining the amount of salt marsh acreage that has been lost in the Westport Rivers over the last 80 years and whether those losses have accelerated in recent years. Field work was performed at six salt marsh islands to determine what is causing the marshes to degrade. PROJECT OVERVIEW Buzzards Bay Coalition The Coalition coordinated the project, hired and managed an intern, and provided funding toward the intern’s salary and aerial images. Buzzards Bay National Estuary Program The BBNEP provided GIS training, support, and detailed analysis of aerial images. Marine Biological Laboratory Ecosystems Center The MBL designed the field protocol and provided training and equipment for the field and laboratory portion of the project. PROJECT PARTNERS ON THE COVER Portion of salt marsh caving into the water at Bailey Flat (July 2016) THIS PAGE Southern edge of Great Flat 12 separated by channel from northern edge of Great Flat 11 (August 2016)
  • 3. 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS • The Westport Rivers are losing salt marsh islands at a troubling rate that has accelerated in recent years. • At the six islands studied, marsh area has consistently declined in the last 80 years by an average of 48%. • Both sea level rise and nitrogen pollution contribute to marsh loss in the Westport Rivers. • Additional pressures that were not a focus of this study such as storms, dredging, and crabs may also add to marsh loss. SUMMARY CONCLUSION 2 WHAT COULD BE MAKING THE MARSHES DISAPPEAR? 4 STUDY SITES 6 RESULTS 12 CONCLUSION: DISAPPEARING MARSHES 13 MOVING FORWARD TO SAVE THE WESTPORT RIVERS’ SALT MARSHES
  • 4. The salt marshes of the Westport River estuary are part of a complex ecosystem. Multiple, often inter-related, factors are likely involved in marsh loss. Nitrogen Water quality in the West Branch has steadily declined over the past 25 years due to increased nitrogen pollution. The concentration of nitrogen in the West Branch exceeds the amount of nitrogen recommended for healthy estuaries. Excess nitrogen can increase the amount of marsh grass (like over-fertilizing your lawn), but it can also cause the underground root network to become sparse and weak (e.g., Deegan et al, 2012). This low “roots to shoots” ratio can destabilize the marsh and lead to marsh banks crumbling into the water. Sea Level Rise Salt marshes naturally expand and contract over time. To persist, salt marshes must accumulate new sediment in balance with sea level rise. If sea level increases faster than a marsh can build up new sediment, or trap sediment suspended in the water, then the marsh will likely begin to drown. Storms Since 1934, there have been 42 storms that have caused a storm surge that possibly inundated the marshes. These storms include winter storms, tropical storms, and hurricanes. Storms can move sediment in the water, which can lead to erosion by changing the pattern of flow around the marshes. Dredging can have similar impacts on marshes. What could be making the marshes disappear? 2 0 20 40 60 80 100 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 47 BAYHEALTHINDEXSCORE Westport River, West Branch Poor Fair Good -0.5 -0.4 -0.2 0 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 SEALEVEL(METERS) Sea Level in Woods Hole, MA AS RECORDED BY NOAA Monthly Mean Sea Level with the average seasonal cycle removed Linear Mean Sea Level Trend HEALTHYDEGRADED Crabs The native purple marsh crab grazes on salt marsh grass. An overabundance of purple marsh crabs has been shown to be a critical factor in salt marsh degradation in Narragansett Bay and on Cape Cod (e.g., Holdredge et al, 2009).
  • 5. To determine the influence of nitrogen pollution on marsh loss in the West Branch, we collected field samples at six study sites. At each site, we gathered core samples of the top 1 foot of sediment along with the grass and plant species growing on top of the core. The live roots in the core were separated and weighed. For each sample, we compared the density of roots in the core to the amount of marsh grass growing above the sediment core. We then compared the relative density of roots to above- ground grass to the amount of nitrogen in the water near each site, using the 25-year-long record of data collected through the Buzzards Bay Coalition’s Baywatchers Program. LOOKING AT THE MARSHES UP CLOSE 3 Collecting a marsh core sample (July 2016) Marsh core showing layer rich in peat surrounded by more sandy layers.
  • 7. 1 NORTH OF SANFORD FLAT 3 The smallest site, located highest upriver on the nutrient gradient, but calmer currents. 2 SANFORD FLAT C A larger site with higher elevation relative to the other upriver sites. 3 GREAT FLAT 12 The second-smallest site, in the upper portion of the nutrient gradient. 4 GREAT FLAT 1 One of the largest sites, with a network of smaller islands making up the flat. This site is mid-way up the nutrient gradient, and lies with a natural channel on both sides. 5 WHITES FLAT This site is slightly calmer than Bailey Flat, but still very low on the nutrient gradient. 6 BAILEY FLAT The site closest to the mouth of the river, with the most exposure to currents and the least nutrients. The project assigned names to all the salt marsh islands in the Westport Rivers. Of those, six were selected as study sites. We focused on the West Branch, which residents report is experiencing worse marsh losses. All study sites were islands and had no major structures or ditches. Three of the sites are relatively large islands and three are relatively small. We also took into consideration the physical location of the islands. The West Branch has a higher amount of nitrogen in the northern section, whereas closer to the river mouth there is a lower concentration of nitrogen. The six sites lie along this gradient, which helps us decipher differences among sites with various concentrations of nitrogen pollution and wave activity. 5
  • 8. Results Nutrient over-enrichment has been shown to decrease the ratio of underground roots to above-ground plant material in some New England salt marshes (Deegan et al, 2012; Watson et al, 2014). At all six study sites, we found a relatively low ratio of “roots to shoots” compared to a pristine salt marsh. This finding suggests that all marsh islands in the Westport Rivers are vulnerable to loss due to nitrogen pollution. However, the differences between the six study sites did not directly match the gradient of nitrogen concentrations in the West Branch. Nitrogen pollution typically increases as you move upriver from the mouth. The site with the lowest ratio of roots to above-ground plants was Great Flat 12, which is located midway up the West Branch. It is also the site that has experienced the greatest loss in area since 1938. Great Flat 1 and Sanford Flat 3 also had “roots to shoots” ratios that were worse than an artificially nitrogen over-enriched marsh, and are also located midway up the river. At Bailey Flat, Whites Flat, and North of Sanford Flat 3, the ratio fell between that of an artificially nitrogen over-enriched marsh and a pristine marsh. RATIOOFROOTSTOABOVEGROUNDPLANTS Average Below to Above Ground Plant Material 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Nitrogen-fertilized marsh Pristine marsh Bailey Flat Whites Flat Great Flat1 Great Flat12 Sanford Flat C Northof Sanford Flat3 6
  • 9. Salt marshes naturally change shape over time, decreasing in some places and building in others. To understand how much the salt marsh islands have changed in the past and whether they are disappearing rapidly now, we analyzed aerial images of all six study sites going back to the 1930s. Using specialized mapping software (GIS), we determined how many acres of marsh existed in each aerial image. At least nine aerial images were analyzed for each site. The majority of the images were from the last 15 years, when more aerial images have become available. According to this analysis, every site has lost between 26 and 66% of its marsh area since 1938. Most troubling, the rate of loss has dramatically increased since 2001. Marsh loss frequently occurred along the marsh edges in low elevation areas. Another common form of marsh loss was through tide pools that form on top of the marsh and eventually connect to the river, creating a channel through the middle of the marsh. These channels expose new areas of salt marsh to tidal fluctuations, which increases erosion. The next few pages describe the loss of salt marsh acres at each of the six study sites. ISLANDAREA(ACRES) 10 8 6 4 2 0 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Island Marsh Area Over Time 7 N of Sanford 3 Sanford Flat C Great Flat 12 Great Flat 1 Whites Flat Bailey Flat LOOKING AT THE MARSHES FROM AFAR
  • 10. The smallest and northernmost island in this study, North of Sanford Flat 3 has very few tide pools and channels. North of Sanford Flat 3 historically had the slowest rate of marsh loss of all six sites. But since 2012, the rate of marsh loss has increased, and North of Sanford Flat 3 has lost marsh at a faster rate than Bailey Flat or Great Flat 12. In 1938, North of Sanford Flat 3 was 1.3 acres; today, it’s 0.7 acres – about half the size. NORTH OF SANFORD FLAT 3ACRESREMAININGFROM1938(%) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2020 Relative Island Marsh Area Over Time 2010 2000 1990 1980 1970 1960 1950 1940 1930 N of Sanford 3 Sanford Flat C Great Flat 12 LEGEND NOV 1934 DEC 1938 JUN 1942 APR 1954 MAY 1956 APR 1962 APR 1964 FEB 1974 JUN 1982 APR 1990 JUN 1994 APR 1996 APR 2001 JUN 2001 APR 2005 JUN 2005 APR 2009 SEPT 2009 APR 2010 AUG 2010 JUN 2012 JUN 2013 APR 2014 SEP 2014 MAY 2015 OCT 2016 8
  • 11. Sanford Flat C is located just south of North of Sanford Flat 3. It is one of the three large island sites. There is an upland area at Sanford Flat C, with a few trees and brush. The rest of the site is at a fairly low elevation, making it susceptible to loss. Since 1938, Sanford Flat C has been losing more acres per year than any of the other study sites Overall, 43% of the total 7.8 acres of marsh area in 1938 was lost. Sanford Flat C is unique from the other islands because it lost a large area of marsh in the interior of the site due to the expansion of tide pools. SANFORD FLAT C Great Flat 12, another one of the small island sites, is located approximately halfway up the West Branch. It has the lowest elevation of all the sites, making it particularly susceptible to sea level rise and storms. Great Flat 12 had the largest percent loss we observed: 66% of its 2.2 acres of marsh area in 1938 has been lost. Aerial images from 1982 and 1994 were not high enough quality for interpretation with mapping software. However, these images show a dramatic loss of land between these two dates. It is possible that this was due to Hurricane Bob, which passed through the area in 1990. GREAT FLAT 12 9
  • 12. Great Flat 1 is located where the West Branch widens and intersects with the East Branch and the Buzzards Bay inlet. It is the third-largest island we studied. Out of the six study sites, Great Flat 1 had the second- least marsh loss: 37% of the 1938 marsh area of 7.3 acres has been lost. The areas of greatest loss were along the tidal channel, where the elevation is also the lowest. Great Flat 1 was quite stable between 2012 and 2015, but saw a decrease in marsh area between 2015 and 2016. GREAT FLAT 1ACRESREMAININGFROM1938(%) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2020 2010 2000 1990 1980 1970 1960 1950 1940 1930 Great Flat 1 Whites Flat Bailey Flat 10 Relative Island Marsh Area Over Time LEGEND NOV 1934 DEC 1938 JUN 1942 APR 1954 MAY 1956 APR 1962 APR 1964 FEB 1974 JUN 1982 APR 1990 JUN 1994 APR 1996 APR 2001 JUN 2001 APR 2005 JUN 2005 APR 2009 SEPT 2009 APR 2010 AUG 2010 JUN 2012 JUN 2013 APR 2014 SEP 2014 MAY 2015 OCT 2016
  • 13. Whites Flat is located southwest of Great Flat 1, near where the East Branch intersects with the West Branch. It is the largest of the six salt marsh islands studied. Although it has the lowest total percent of marsh lost, it’s now the island with the highest rate of loss. Whites Flat was the most stable of the salt marsh islands until four years ago, when the rate of marsh loss accelerated dramatically. Overall, Whites Flat lost 26% of its 9.1 acres of marsh area since 1938. One of the main areas lost on Whites Flat was near the middle, where a channel opened and separated the southeastern portion of the flat from the rest of it. The channel appeared abruptly in the 1950s; its straight shape suggests that the channel may have been a result of human dredging. WHITES FLAT Bailey Flat is the southernmost site in this study, located near the inlet connecting the Westport Rivers to Buzzards Bay. Bailey Flat had an area of 2.9 acres in 1938, making it the largest of the three small island study sites. We analyzed additional aerial images of Bailey Flat, which provided a more detailed picture of marsh loss over the last 80 years. The rate of marsh loss at Bailey Flat has generally been quite steady over time, though the rate of marsh loss has increased in the last 15 years. Bailey Flat had the second-greatest marsh loss, with 65% of its total area disappearing between 1938 and 2016. Most of this loss was along the southern edge, which is likely due to heavy wave action from the mouth of the river. BAILEY FLAT 11
  • 14. Conclusion: Disappearing Marshes Over the last 80 years, the West Branch has lost over 12 acres of salt marsh at these six study sites alone. During the past 15 years, salt marshes disappeared at a faster rate than the previous 65 years. It is difficult to assign a single cause to the accelerating loss of marsh islands in the West Branch. Two key factors that influence marsh health and stability are sea level rise and nitrogen pollution. Sea level rise is a natural phenomenon that has been occurring since the last Ice Age but has been accelerating in recent years due to climate change. Marshes have to continue to build up new sediments so they don’t lose their lowest-lying areas. The marsh that lost the most acreage was the island with the lowest elevation (Great Flat 12). The two islands that experienced the least marsh loss (Whites Flat, Great Flat 1) have relatively high elevations, which helps protect them from sea level rise. The field work performed in this study showed that nitrogen pollution is an additional pressure on these salt marsh islands. The marshes generally had roots to above- ground plant ratios that were similar to or less than an artificially nutrient over-enriched marsh. This low root density decreases the stability of the marsh and makes it susceptible to erosion. The lowest ratios of roots to above-ground plants were observed at Sanford Flat C and Great Flat 12, two sites relatively far upriver where nitrogen is high. In conclusion, sea level rise is an important cause of salt marsh loss for low-elevation marsh islands. Nitrogen pollution likely exacerbates this problem. Additional pressures such as grazing by purple marsh crabs, storm surges, and dredging that were not a focus of this study may also further marsh losses. Island Marsh Area Over Time Compared to Sea Level N of Sanford 3 Sanford Flat C Great Flat 12 Great Flat 1 Whites Flat Bailey Flat Linear Mean Sea Level Trend Monthly Mean Sea Level 12 ACRESREMAININGFROM1938(%) 100 80 60 40 20 0 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 MEANSEALEVEL(m) 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4
  • 15. Moving Forward to Save the Westport Rivers’ Salt Marshes If this marsh loss continues at the accelerated rate observed between 2012 and 2016, the marsh islands studied could disappear in 15 to 58 years (average 33 years). Reducing nitrogen pollution to the Westport Rivers will help salt marshes grow stronger, healthier root systems and enhance the stability of the marsh islands. Implementing nitrogen reduction recommendations, particularly for residential septic systems, should help improve the health and survival of the rivers’ salt marsh islands. For low-elevation marshes that are most susceptible to sea level rise, the town of Westport could explore the possibility of thin layer placement, a relatively new and somewhat experimental technology that artificially increases marsh height by placing new sediment on top of the existing marsh. This approach has had variable success in other places and needs further testing before widespread application is considered. REFERENCES 13 Deegan, L.A., Johnson, D.S., Warren, R.S., Peterson, B.J., Fleeger, J.W., Fagherazzi, S. and Wollheim, W.M. (2012) Coastal eutrophication as a driver of marsh loss. Nature 490(7420): 388-392. Holdredge, C., M.D. Bertness and A. Altieri. (2009) Role of Crab Herbivory in Die-Off of New England Salt Marshes. Conservation Biology 23(3): 672-679. Watson, E.B., Oczkowski, A.J., Wigand, C., Hanson, A.R., Davey, E.W., Crosby, S.C., Johnson, R.L., Andrews, H.M. (2014) Nutrient enrichment and precipitation changes do not enhance resiliency of salt marshes to sea level rise in the Northeastern U.S. Climatic Change 125: 501–509.
  • 16. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This project was funded by the Westport Fishermen’s Association and the Buzzards Bay Coalition. All fieldwork and initial GIS analysis was performed by Molly Weiner. GIS analyses were overseen by Dr. Joe Costa at the Buzzards Bay National Estuary Program, who also conducted the analyses for Bailey Flat and produced the maps in this report. Field analyses were overseen by Dr. Chris Neill and Dr. Linda Deegan of the Marine Biological Laboratory Ecosystems Center. Data analysis was overseen by Dr. Rachel Jakuba of the Buzzards Bay Coalition. Transport to field sites was made possible by Jack Reynolds. Paul Curado provided aerial images via drone for 2016. Non-profit U.S. Postage Paid New Bedford, MA Permit No. 375 114 Front Street • New Bedford, Massachusetts 02740 (508) 999-6363 info@savebuzzardsbay.org www.savebuzzardsbay.org