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OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT


                                                                                                                                                             2Q09


ECONOMIC OVERVIEW                                                             ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                                                                                                                                        2007              2008           2009F
The unemployment rate for the Ottawa-Gatineau region rose four                Real GDP Growth                                       2.6%                  1.2%            0.2%
                                                                              CPI Growth                                            1.9%                  2.2%            0.5%
tenths of a percentage point in May to reach 5.9%. Although the local

                                                                              Retail Sales                                          4.3%                  5.0%            0.5%
economy lost approximately 3,800 jobs, this employment decrease was

                                                                              Personal Income per capita                       $40,578              $42,236             $42,804
the smallest number seen year-to-date and unemployment is well below
the national unemployment rate of 8.4%. On a less positive note, one
of the weakest segments was the local retail and wholesale sector, where      Population (‘000)                                     1,169             1,175               1,183
employment has decreased by approximately 13,000 jobs over the                Unemployment                                          5.2%                  4.8%            5.8%
                                                                              Source: Conference Board of Canada
course of 2009, bringing the number of people working in this sector in
May down to 72,000.


                                                                              KEY LEASING TRANSACTIONS
Construction commenced on a total of 369 residential units in May, a

                                                                              PROPERTY                                      TENANT                                SQUARE FEET
decrease of 45.5% from one year earlier, with both single-family and
                                                                              Orleans Place                                 No Frills                                   37,000
multiple unit construction reporting double digit decreases. However,
                                                                              Viewmount Centre                              HomeSense                                   28,500
this dismal picture brightens dramatically when examining the resale

                                                                              4338 Innes Road                               Sports Experts                              17,500
market. Confidence among local homebuyers and sellers is high, as
total sales rose 3.9% from May 2008 to 1,969 units, almost entirely due

                                                                              CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS
to the strength of the freehold segment. The average selling price also

                                                                              PROPERTY                                      TENANT                                SQUARE FEET
rose across all categories.
                                                                              Klondike Crossing                             Multiple                                    37,242
RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW
                                                                              Ottawa Train Yards                            CIBC                                         9,500
Despite the uncertain economic climate, it generally appears that retail
sales have remained fairly consistent. This is reflected in the city’s
overall vacancy rate of 2.8%, a one tenth of a percentage point decline       UNDER CONSTRUCTION
                                                                              PROPERTY                                      TENANT                                SQUARE FEET
                                                                              Hunt Club Place                               T&T Supermarket                             51,000
from year-end 2008. Most likely playing a role in the continuing low
vacancy this quarter were softening rental rates. The average asking rate
for the entire city decreased to $18.63 per square foot, with virtually all   Coliseum Ottawa                               Multiple                                    13,427
segments and sub-markets posting decreases from year-end 2008.
                                                                              KEY INVESTMENT TRANSACTIONS
                                                                              PROPERTY                                      KEY TENANT(S)                           SALE PRICE
Although there have been retail closures such as Linens N Things and
Outback Steakhouse, this has had no impact on vacancy. HomeSense              1 Stafford Road                               East Side Mario’s                     $7,750,000
and Value Village have moved into the spaces left vacant by Linens N

                                                                              VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES
Things, while the two Outback Steakhouse locations have been leased
by another restaurant chain and the Royal Bank. This demonstrates
                                                                                                              Rental R ate                 Vacancy Rate
that there continues to be strong interest in the Ottawa retail market,
                                                                                           $22.00                                                                4.0%
coming both from companies already located in the region and from
new companies looking to establish a presence here. IKEA has filed
plans with the city that, if approved, would turn their existing 100,000-                  $21.00                                                                3.0%
                                                                                ps f/y r




                                                                                           $20.00                                                                2.0%
square foot (sf) premises into a 400,000-sf location. This would make
the store the largest in Canada and one of the five largest IKEA stores
                                                                                           $19.00                                                                1.0%
in North America. This would require a redesign of the Pinecrest
Shopping Plaza, with existing tenants relocating to make room for the
new construction. Another mall that will be undergoing redevelopment                       $18.00                                                                0.0%

                                                                                                      06     07        07          08         08     09
                                                                                                    4Q     2Q     4Q          2Q         4Q        2Q
is Herongate Mall. The plans call for tearing down the majority of the
current shopping centre and replacing it with a series of

OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09
                                                          1
OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09

                                                                        Community Malls and Smaller Power Centres –
                                                                        110,000 to 375,000 sf
retail stores around the perimeter. The redeveloped shopping area
would have a gross floor area of around 191,000 sf of retail space.
Over the past six months the city has continued to see                  Although there were numerous malls and smaller power centres
announcements of companies setting up new locations in Ottawa.          reporting slight increases in vacancy, the overall vacancy rate
The Athletic Club Group based in London, Ontario will be                remained virtually unchanged from the last six months of 2008,
commencing construction on three new aquatics centres and fitness       decreasing by one tenth of a percentage point to reach 2.5%. This
facilities. One will be built in the eastern suburb of Orleans along    was the result of one large transaction located at the Lincoln Fields
the busy retail corridor of Innes Road, one will be constructed in      Shopping Centre, where over 25,000 sf came off of the market.
the Ottawa Train Yards Power Centre and the other will be located       At the end of 2008 it was projected that there would be at least
in the western suburb of Kanata. Although Orleans will be losing a      two new developments that would be completed by the end of
new Costco store as the Athletic Club group purchased the land that     2009. One of these developments is a 145,000-sf power centre
had been earmarked for Costco, they will be gaining a Lowe’s            located in the south end of the city which is anchored by a T&T
sometime in the future. Lowe’s has purchased land, also located         Supermarket. This appears to be on track and the current
along Innes Road, that calls for a 142,000-sf store.                    expectation is that the first stages will be completed by late
                                                                        summer. The other development is located in Kanata and, when

SUBMARKET HIGHLIGHTS
                                                                        completed in its entirety, will be 300,000 sf. It was initially thought
                                                                        that the first phase of approximately 75,000 sf would be completed

Regional Malls and Large Power Centres – Over
                                                                        by July of this year. Although lead tenants have been confirmed,

375,000 sf
                                                                        such as Loeb and Shoppers Drug Mart, construction has yet to
                                                                        begin and the completion date is unknown.
Vacancy in this segment increased slightly over the first six months

                                                                        Neighbourhood Malls – 10,000 to 110,000 sf
of the year to reach 0.7%, virtually unchanged from the last six
months of 2008. This minimal climb in the vacancy rate was due to
slight increases in vacancy at the Place D’Orleans shopping mall,       Vacancy continued its march downwards and now sits at 5.4%, a
Kanata Centrum, and RioCan Marketplace. Overall, the centres            three tenths of a percentage point drop from year-end 2008 and
within this category continue to perform strongly, with the Rideau      half a percentage drop from one year ago. There were no drastic
Centre continuing to be the preferred destination for retailers new     changes in terms of vacancy over the past six months, although
to the city. Spanish clothing chain Zara will be opening a 12,000-sf    overall absorption did receive a boost from the completion of
location later in the year. Another trendy brand, Apple Inc., has       Phase 1 of Klondike Crossing located in Kanata. When complete
filed building permit plans to open a 7,000-sf location. Finally,       in 2010, the entire development will be just shy of 70,000 sf.
designer Michael Kors will be opening a location at the mall in the     There are numerous other projects in the pipeline, with the
near future.                                                            majority serving the suburbs of Kanata, Orleans, and Barrhaven.
                                                                        None of these potential developments have commenced
Place D’Orleans is also poised to have a successful 2009. The           construction, although it appears that one 60,000 sf development
General Manager of the shopping mall has stated in a local              located along March Road in Kanata, which is to be anchored by a
publication that the several new stores that have opened in the past    Sobey’s, is closer to realization. Although the developer hopes to
year continue to perform well and there continues to be interest        begin construction this summer, the Sobey’s will not open until the
from other retailers looking to open locations within the mall.         main thoroughfare along the development is widened to four lanes.


Downtown Core – Over 10,000 sf
There continues to be minimal vacancy within the downtown core,
with vacancy currently sitting at 1.2%, a decline of four tenths of a
percentage point from year-end 2008. Looking ahead to the
remainder of 2009, it is expected that there will be little change in
vacancy, although absorption will receive a boost when 17,000 sf of
fully leased retail space is included in the next survey, courtesy of
the new office tower that will have been completed.




OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09                                                                                                       2
OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09




OTTAWA STATISTICAL SUMMARY
                                                  VACANCY RATE            VACANCY RATE                         YTD                 AVERAGE                      AVERAGE
MARKET SEGMENT                INVENTORY            MID-YEAR 2009          YEAR-END 2008                 ABSORPTION                 NET RENT                    TAX & OPS
Regional Malls &              5,930,967                     0.7%                    0.6%                     (8,898)                     N/A                         N/A
Large Power Centres

Community Malls &             6,408,183                     2.5%                    2.6%                      4,537                  $20.51                        $9.46
Smaller Power
Centres

Downtown Core                   631,166                     1.2%                    1.6%                      2,845                  $28.00                       $22.08

Ottawa East                     480,083                    6.2%                    6.0%                      (1,267)                 $16.69                        $8.77
Gloucester                      304,994                    4.9%                    6.8%                        3,500                 $15.23                       $11.84
Orleans                         819,980                    4.3%                    3.7%                      (5,411)                 $20.22                        $9.67
Ottawa South                    927,134                    4.2%                    3.6%                      (4,657)                 $17.94                       $10.97
Kanata/Stittsville              988,685                    4.6%                    5.2%                      40,808                  $18.41                       $11.49
Bell’s Corners                  296,828                   16.6%                   15.6%                      (3,000)                 $15.67                        $9.81
Nepean (Merivale)               657,301                    2.5%                    3.3%                        4,819                 $24.21                       $12.28
Nepean (Other)                  680,862                    7.5%                    8.5%                        6,965                 $24.13                       $10.69
Ottawa West                     669,781                    5.0%                    6.3%                        8,575                 $20.64                       $12.20
Neighbourhood Malls           5,825,648                    5.4%                    5.7%                      50,332                  $18.34                       $10.88

Total                        18,795,964                     2.8%                    2.9%                     48,816                  $18.63                       $10.94




                      For industry-leading intelligence to support your   This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by Cushman
                      real estate and business decisions, go to Cushman   & Wakefield Ottawa on the basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman & Wakefield
                      & Wakefield’s Knowledge Center at                   Ottawa accepts no responsibility if this should prove not to be the case. No warranty or
                      www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge                  representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information
                                                                          contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or
                      Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa                          other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our
                      99 Bank Street, Suite 700                           principals.
                      Ottawa, ON K1P 1K6                                  ©2009 Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa All rights reserved.
                      (613) 236-7777

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Q2 2009 Retail Marketbeat Report

  • 1. OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ECONOMIC INDICATORS 2007 2008 2009F The unemployment rate for the Ottawa-Gatineau region rose four Real GDP Growth 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% CPI Growth 1.9% 2.2% 0.5% tenths of a percentage point in May to reach 5.9%. Although the local Retail Sales 4.3% 5.0% 0.5% economy lost approximately 3,800 jobs, this employment decrease was Personal Income per capita $40,578 $42,236 $42,804 the smallest number seen year-to-date and unemployment is well below the national unemployment rate of 8.4%. On a less positive note, one of the weakest segments was the local retail and wholesale sector, where Population (‘000) 1,169 1,175 1,183 employment has decreased by approximately 13,000 jobs over the Unemployment 5.2% 4.8% 5.8% Source: Conference Board of Canada course of 2009, bringing the number of people working in this sector in May down to 72,000. KEY LEASING TRANSACTIONS Construction commenced on a total of 369 residential units in May, a PROPERTY TENANT SQUARE FEET decrease of 45.5% from one year earlier, with both single-family and Orleans Place No Frills 37,000 multiple unit construction reporting double digit decreases. However, Viewmount Centre HomeSense 28,500 this dismal picture brightens dramatically when examining the resale 4338 Innes Road Sports Experts 17,500 market. Confidence among local homebuyers and sellers is high, as total sales rose 3.9% from May 2008 to 1,969 units, almost entirely due CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS to the strength of the freehold segment. The average selling price also PROPERTY TENANT SQUARE FEET rose across all categories. Klondike Crossing Multiple 37,242 RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW Ottawa Train Yards CIBC 9,500 Despite the uncertain economic climate, it generally appears that retail sales have remained fairly consistent. This is reflected in the city’s overall vacancy rate of 2.8%, a one tenth of a percentage point decline UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTY TENANT SQUARE FEET Hunt Club Place T&T Supermarket 51,000 from year-end 2008. Most likely playing a role in the continuing low vacancy this quarter were softening rental rates. The average asking rate for the entire city decreased to $18.63 per square foot, with virtually all Coliseum Ottawa Multiple 13,427 segments and sub-markets posting decreases from year-end 2008. KEY INVESTMENT TRANSACTIONS PROPERTY KEY TENANT(S) SALE PRICE Although there have been retail closures such as Linens N Things and Outback Steakhouse, this has had no impact on vacancy. HomeSense 1 Stafford Road East Side Mario’s $7,750,000 and Value Village have moved into the spaces left vacant by Linens N VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES Things, while the two Outback Steakhouse locations have been leased by another restaurant chain and the Royal Bank. This demonstrates Rental R ate Vacancy Rate that there continues to be strong interest in the Ottawa retail market, $22.00 4.0% coming both from companies already located in the region and from new companies looking to establish a presence here. IKEA has filed plans with the city that, if approved, would turn their existing 100,000- $21.00 3.0% ps f/y r $20.00 2.0% square foot (sf) premises into a 400,000-sf location. This would make the store the largest in Canada and one of the five largest IKEA stores $19.00 1.0% in North America. This would require a redesign of the Pinecrest Shopping Plaza, with existing tenants relocating to make room for the new construction. Another mall that will be undergoing redevelopment $18.00 0.0% 06 07 07 08 08 09 4Q 2Q 4Q 2Q 4Q 2Q is Herongate Mall. The plans call for tearing down the majority of the current shopping centre and replacing it with a series of OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09 1
  • 2. OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09 Community Malls and Smaller Power Centres – 110,000 to 375,000 sf retail stores around the perimeter. The redeveloped shopping area would have a gross floor area of around 191,000 sf of retail space. Over the past six months the city has continued to see Although there were numerous malls and smaller power centres announcements of companies setting up new locations in Ottawa. reporting slight increases in vacancy, the overall vacancy rate The Athletic Club Group based in London, Ontario will be remained virtually unchanged from the last six months of 2008, commencing construction on three new aquatics centres and fitness decreasing by one tenth of a percentage point to reach 2.5%. This facilities. One will be built in the eastern suburb of Orleans along was the result of one large transaction located at the Lincoln Fields the busy retail corridor of Innes Road, one will be constructed in Shopping Centre, where over 25,000 sf came off of the market. the Ottawa Train Yards Power Centre and the other will be located At the end of 2008 it was projected that there would be at least in the western suburb of Kanata. Although Orleans will be losing a two new developments that would be completed by the end of new Costco store as the Athletic Club group purchased the land that 2009. One of these developments is a 145,000-sf power centre had been earmarked for Costco, they will be gaining a Lowe’s located in the south end of the city which is anchored by a T&T sometime in the future. Lowe’s has purchased land, also located Supermarket. This appears to be on track and the current along Innes Road, that calls for a 142,000-sf store. expectation is that the first stages will be completed by late summer. The other development is located in Kanata and, when SUBMARKET HIGHLIGHTS completed in its entirety, will be 300,000 sf. It was initially thought that the first phase of approximately 75,000 sf would be completed Regional Malls and Large Power Centres – Over by July of this year. Although lead tenants have been confirmed, 375,000 sf such as Loeb and Shoppers Drug Mart, construction has yet to begin and the completion date is unknown. Vacancy in this segment increased slightly over the first six months Neighbourhood Malls – 10,000 to 110,000 sf of the year to reach 0.7%, virtually unchanged from the last six months of 2008. This minimal climb in the vacancy rate was due to slight increases in vacancy at the Place D’Orleans shopping mall, Vacancy continued its march downwards and now sits at 5.4%, a Kanata Centrum, and RioCan Marketplace. Overall, the centres three tenths of a percentage point drop from year-end 2008 and within this category continue to perform strongly, with the Rideau half a percentage drop from one year ago. There were no drastic Centre continuing to be the preferred destination for retailers new changes in terms of vacancy over the past six months, although to the city. Spanish clothing chain Zara will be opening a 12,000-sf overall absorption did receive a boost from the completion of location later in the year. Another trendy brand, Apple Inc., has Phase 1 of Klondike Crossing located in Kanata. When complete filed building permit plans to open a 7,000-sf location. Finally, in 2010, the entire development will be just shy of 70,000 sf. designer Michael Kors will be opening a location at the mall in the There are numerous other projects in the pipeline, with the near future. majority serving the suburbs of Kanata, Orleans, and Barrhaven. None of these potential developments have commenced Place D’Orleans is also poised to have a successful 2009. The construction, although it appears that one 60,000 sf development General Manager of the shopping mall has stated in a local located along March Road in Kanata, which is to be anchored by a publication that the several new stores that have opened in the past Sobey’s, is closer to realization. Although the developer hopes to year continue to perform well and there continues to be interest begin construction this summer, the Sobey’s will not open until the from other retailers looking to open locations within the mall. main thoroughfare along the development is widened to four lanes. Downtown Core – Over 10,000 sf There continues to be minimal vacancy within the downtown core, with vacancy currently sitting at 1.2%, a decline of four tenths of a percentage point from year-end 2008. Looking ahead to the remainder of 2009, it is expected that there will be little change in vacancy, although absorption will receive a boost when 17,000 sf of fully leased retail space is included in the next survey, courtesy of the new office tower that will have been completed. OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09 2
  • 3. OTTAWA RETAIL REPORT 2Q09 OTTAWA STATISTICAL SUMMARY VACANCY RATE VACANCY RATE YTD AVERAGE AVERAGE MARKET SEGMENT INVENTORY MID-YEAR 2009 YEAR-END 2008 ABSORPTION NET RENT TAX & OPS Regional Malls & 5,930,967 0.7% 0.6% (8,898) N/A N/A Large Power Centres Community Malls & 6,408,183 2.5% 2.6% 4,537 $20.51 $9.46 Smaller Power Centres Downtown Core 631,166 1.2% 1.6% 2,845 $28.00 $22.08 Ottawa East 480,083 6.2% 6.0% (1,267) $16.69 $8.77 Gloucester 304,994 4.9% 6.8% 3,500 $15.23 $11.84 Orleans 819,980 4.3% 3.7% (5,411) $20.22 $9.67 Ottawa South 927,134 4.2% 3.6% (4,657) $17.94 $10.97 Kanata/Stittsville 988,685 4.6% 5.2% 40,808 $18.41 $11.49 Bell’s Corners 296,828 16.6% 15.6% (3,000) $15.67 $9.81 Nepean (Merivale) 657,301 2.5% 3.3% 4,819 $24.21 $12.28 Nepean (Other) 680,862 7.5% 8.5% 6,965 $24.13 $10.69 Ottawa West 669,781 5.0% 6.3% 8,575 $20.64 $12.20 Neighbourhood Malls 5,825,648 5.4% 5.7% 50,332 $18.34 $10.88 Total 18,795,964 2.8% 2.9% 48,816 $18.63 $10.94 For industry-leading intelligence to support your This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by Cushman real estate and business decisions, go to Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa on the basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman & Wakefield & Wakefield’s Knowledge Center at Ottawa accepts no responsibility if this should prove not to be the case. No warranty or www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our 99 Bank Street, Suite 700 principals. Ottawa, ON K1P 1K6 ©2009 Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa All rights reserved. (613) 236-7777