Barangay Council for the Protection of Children (BCPC) Orientation.pptx
Causes and Effects of Conflict Traps
1. Olivia Devoti, Ava Di Leo, Francesca Druback, Kim Geissler,
Vanessa Gutzeit, Danica Pagulayan, Kelly Zdanowicz
2. PROVEN CAUSES:
1) Low income
2) Slow growth
3) Dependence on
primary commodity
exports
Others:
Donations from despotic
communities
Geography
Those who have recently had
conflict (Within 10 years)
DISPROVEN CAUSES:
Political repression
Particular racial/ethnic
groups are repressed
Intergroup hatreds
Income inequality
Colonial history
Ethnic diversity
3. Other Problems
Caused by Increased
Conflict
•Longer conflict
causes:
•Lower income
•Exports to
become more
valuable
•Wartime economy
traps country in a
spending cycle
•Military
spending has to
remain increased
after conflict has
ended
4. REASONS FOR JOINING
CONFLICT:
Hopes of attaining wealth
Lives or families lives are
threatened
Kidnapped
Young/Uneducated
Ex: Lord’s Resistence Army
EFFECTS:
Original rebellion cause is
harder to follow because of
young and uneducated
group
Children loose education
and therefore hinder the
countries future of rising
out of conflict trap
5.
6. Bottom billion at 1/6 risk of falling into trap
Two Scenarios:
Conflict right after independence or previous conflict
Long peace and then conflict
Both cause:
All growth made in peace time to be lost
Increases risk of further war
Legacy of organized killing
Armies are not longer trusted
▪ ex: Republic of Congo
Trap:
Growth decrease from war and cost of war move countries right back
into conflict because this keeps them with the 3 causes
After conflict countries have 50% chance of re-entering into conflict
and need approximately half a decade to make up growth lost,
making it almost impossible to ever make up lost growth because they
continue to fall into conflict
8. Caused by:
Low income
Low growth
Once a country
has a coup they
are more likely to
have more coups
Cause the country
to be more afraid
of their own
military
coup d'etat - the violent overthrow or
alteration of an existing government by a
small group
9. Allow foreign countries to come and take
command of the country that is in jeopardy
Because
Foreign intervention ends a conflict by:
•helping one side defeat the other
•acting as a mediator
•creating a peaceful settlement between the warring parties