The paper will unveil three major driving forces: an evolution of governance, design technology and a paradigm shift in epistemology of public administration as a backdrop of this transformation. Although there is a proposal to suggest think tanks, a de facto track II player as an intermediary between the governmental agencies (track I) and grassroots organizations (track III), as an important actor in policy circle should adjust itself to capture the changing phenomenon into a modern modification called Think Tank 2.0 or for short TT2.0 such as to equip itself with post-positivist research methodology, it should also consider scenario planning to be its major alternative. (Please see correspondent paper at https://www.academia.edu/43344952/Scenario_Planning_An_Instrument_for_Modern_Public_Administration

1. Scenario Planning
and
Inclusive Policy Design (IPD)
June 2, 2020
by
Kan Yuenyong

3. “The Greeks had an appropriate term for
‘Things’: πράγµατα (pragmata) – that is to say,
that which one has to do with in one’s concernful
dealings (πρᾶξις: Praxis). But ontologically, the
specifically ‘pragmatic’ character of the πράγµατα
is just what the Greeks left in obscurity; they
thought of these ‘proximally’ as ‘mere Things’.
We shall call those entities which we encounter in
concern “equipment”. In our dealings we come
across equipment for writing, sewing, working,
transportation, measurement. The kind of Being
which equipment possesses must be exhibited.
The clue for doing this lies in our first defining
what makes an item of equipment—namely, its
equipmentality.” (Heidegger, 1962: 96-97)

4. Three emerging trends
• Epistemology: post positivism and post normal-
science
• Design Technology (deliberative design)
• Evolution of Governance

12. Varieties of Participation in Complex Governance by Archon Fung, 2006.

13. Varieties of Participation in Complex Governance by Archon Fung

14. Example of scenario
schedule
• Check In (Introduce yourself + your recent feeling)
• Chatham house rule & regulations / group work
• Deep / group meditation
• Deep listening & conversation (co-sensing)
• Enacting emerging futures
• Check out (your conclusion)

15. Three types of scenario
plannings
• Transformative Scenario Planning (both socio-
economic transformation and management
basis)
• Scientific Scenario Planning
• “Limited System” Scenario Methodology

19. Research methodology
Literature review
Expert interview
Scenario Workshop
Final Paper
Policy Implication?

29. Activity #1
• Find your partner
• Asking about work and profession of each other
• Asking how your partner see the problem
“dilemma” in ASEAN from his/her standpoint

30. Activity #2
• Discuss the dynamics in ASEAN
• Identify the STEEP

31. Activity #3
• Reviewing the STEEP
• Input more STEEP
• Grouping the driving force
• Identify the impact / uncertainty

32. STEEP

33. Activity #4
• Drawing the scenario
• Drawing the logics

34. Activity #5
• Presentation
• Feed back process

36. Li, Ya. “Deliberative policy analysis: towards a methodological orientation”, in Policy Studies, 40:5, 437-455, 2019.

38. Li, Ya. "Think tank 2.0 for deliberative policy analysis," in Policy Sciences, Springer; Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 48(1),
pages 25-50, March 2015.

42. Conclusion
• TT1.0 (GEN 1 Think Tank): Policy Advocacy
• TT2.0 (GEN 2 Think Tank): Scenario Planning,
Participatory and inclusive policy framework
• TT3.0 (GEN 3 Think Tank): Big Data + Quantum
computing & AGI and Geopolitics

44. “To take a leap of faith”

45. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MGv8MMi8QO0

46. END