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Hype Cycle 2015
Source: Gartner 2015
Autonomous 

Vehicles
time
expectations
Peak of 

Inflated 

Expectations
Source: Gartner 2015
time
expectations
Autonomous 

Vehicles
Peak of 

Inflated 

Expectations
Hype Cycle 2015
The road to „robots“
Driver
only
Assistance
systems
Partly
autonomous
Highly
autonomous
Fully
autonomous
Driver
less
today 2020 2030 2040since 1958

„Cruise Control“
The road to „robots“
since 1958

„Cruise Control“
today 2020 2030 2040
Driver
only
Assistance
systems
Partly
autonomous
Highly
autonomous
Fully
autonomous
Driver-
less
„Shelley“ 2009
„Shelley“ - Pikes Peak 2010
„James“ - Nevada 2012
„Bobby“ - Hockenheim 2014
„Jack“ - Las Vegas 2015
„Robby“ - Sonoma 2015
More safety
>90% of all accidents are caused by human error.
More efficiency
Self-driving cars will use space and energy in a more efficient way.
More flexibility
Mobility grids of self-driving cars will reduce waiting times for taxis.
More comfort
Piloted driving will reduce the passengers stress level significantly.
More fun
Piloted driving feels like a rollercoaster ride.
Today we spend 1hour
per day operating a car
Leisure &
Relaxation: 

45%
Source: Audi Research
Work: 

30%
Source: Audi Research
Entertainment:
25%
Source: Audi Research
Source: Audi Research
The extra hour
Daily increase of
media consumption
by >10%work in progress
Transportation
is next on the
disruptors list
The extra hour
Transportation
is next on the
disruptors list
drive
sleep
drive
sleep
The extra hour
Moreover:
work in progress
>95% of the day cars 

remain unused
The extra hour
Our cars will do
other things
Piloted driving
will become the
heartbeat of our
future economy
The extra hour
Piloted driving
will become the
heartbeat of our
future economy
PILOTED
DRIVING
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
TIME
USER BENEFIT
MORE
FUN
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
TIME
USER BENEFIT
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
TIME
USER BENEFIT
MORE
FUN
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
TIME
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
USER BENEFIT
MORE
FUN
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
TIME
USER BENEFIT
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
USER BENEFIT
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
PUBLIC
SECTOR
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
PUBLIC
SECTOR
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
FINANCE/
INSURANCE
MORE
FUN
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
PUBLIC
SECTOR
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
PRODUCTION
AFTER-
MARKET
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
EXPECTED CHANGE
FINANCE/
INSURANCE
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
PUBLIC
SECTOR
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
RENTALS/

MOBILITY
DELIVERY
SERVICES
REMOVER
TAXIS
PRODUCTION
AFTER-
MARKET
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
EXPECTED CHANGE
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
FINANCE/
INSURANCE
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
NURSING
HOMES
PUBLIC
SECTOR
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
RENTALS/

MOBILITY
DELIVERY
SERVICES
REMOVER
TAXIS
PRODUCTION
AFTER-
MARKET
INSURANCES
FINANCING
HEALTH
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
EXPECTED CHANGE
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
FINANCE/
INSURANCE
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
NURSING
HOMES
PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
ENERGY
SUPPLY
INFRA-
STRUCTURE
PUBLIC
SECTOR
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
RENTALS/

MOBILITY
DELIVERY
SERVICES
REMOVER
TAXIS
PRODUCTION
AFTER-
MARKET
INSURANCES
FINANCING
HEALTH
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
EXPECTED CHANGE
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
FINANCE/
INSURANCE
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
NURSING
HOMES
PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
ENERGY
SUPPLY
INFRA-
STRUCTURE
PUBLIC
SECTOR
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
SHOPPING
RENTALS/

MOBILITY
DELIVERY
SERVICES
DOMESTIC
FLIGHTS
BUSINESS
HOTELS
REAL
ESTATE
MEDIAREMOVER
TAXIS
PRODUCTION
AFTER-
MARKET
INSURANCES
FINANCING
HEALTH
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
EXPECTED CHANGE
MORE
FUN
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
FINANCE/
INSURANCE
MORE
FUN
PILOTED
DRIVING
MORE
EFFICIENCY
MORE
SAFETY
MORE
COMFORT
MORE
TIME
MORE
FLEXIBILITY
NURSING
HOMES
PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
ENERGY
SUPPLY
INFRA-
STRUCTURE
PUBLIC
SECTOR
FINANCE/
INSURANCE
TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT/

LOGISTICS
RETAIL
INDUSTRY
SHOPPING
RENTALS/

MOBILITY
DELIVERY
SERVICES
–
DOMESTIC
FLIGHTS
BUSINESS
HOTELS
REAL
ESTATE
MEDIAREMOVER
TAXIS
PRODUCTION
AFTER-
MARKET
INSURANCES
FINANCING
HEALTH
–
–
–
–
–
USER BENEFIT
AFFECTED INDUSTRY
EXPECTED CHANGE
OPPORTUNITY AREAS
How we will
live
@Nils_Wollny
nils.wollny@audi.de

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