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June 2015
Introduction to Analysys Mason’s expertise in m-payments
Contents
Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice
The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials
2
Introduction to Analysys Mason
▪ Analysys Mason is a trusted adviser on telecoms, media
and technology
– design winning strategies that deliver measurable
results
– make informed decisions based on
market intelligence and analytical rigour
– develop innovative propositions to gain competitive
advantage
– implement operational solutions to improve business
efficiency
▪ 230 staff in 12 offices worldwide
▪ Respected for our exceptional quality of work,
independence and flexibility
▪ For 30 years, we have been helping clients in more than
100 countries to maximise their opportunities
3Analysys Mason
Analysys Mason office locations
Offices located in Europe, the Middle East,
Africa, Asia and the Americas
We are uniquely positioned to provide consulting and research to the
telecoms, media and technology sector
4Analysys Mason
 Our focus is exclusively on the TMT sector
 We support multi-billion dollar investments, advise clients on
regulatory matters, provide spectrum valuation and auction
support, and advise on operational performance, business
planning and strategy
 We have developed rigorous methodologies that deliver
tangible results for clients around the world
 We analyse, track and forecast the different services
accessed by consumers and enterprises, as well as the
software, infrastructure and technology delivering those
services
 Research clients benefit from regular and timely intelligence
in addition to direct access to our team of expert analysts
 Our dedicated Custom Research team undertakes
specialised and bespoke projects for clients
Research
Consulting
Consumer
services
Enterprise
and M2M
Regional
markets
Network
technologies
Telecoms
software
Strategy
and planning
Transaction
support
Operational
consulting
Regulation
and policy
We have two in-house research programmes focusing on m-payments,
and also conduct bespoke projects in this area
 Key topics covered by our Digital Economy research
programmes are mobile wallets and payments, commerce,
financial services, identity management, advertising,
education and smart homes
 The following are some of our publications related to
m-payments that will be published in 2015:
 Mobile wallets and payments in MEA 2015-2020 (Forecast
report)
 Mobile commerce APAC forecasts 2015-2020 (Forecast
report)
 Mobile advertising worldwide forecasts 2015-2020
(Forecast report)
 Strategy report: Identity management: exploring operators’
emerging opportunities in identity management
 Digital Economy players: company strategy profiles
(Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Tencent, Alibaba,
eBay/PayPal)
 In addition to our ongoing research into market trends and
stakeholders’ strategies, we often conduct bespoke projects
commissioned by various players in the m-payments value
chain
5
Our Digital Economy research programmes
Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy practice
Source: Analysys Mason, 2015
Digital
Economy
research
Focuses on
software and
business unit
implementation
Focuses on the
‘what’ and ‘why’
of telco
involvement
Platforms Strategies
Contents
Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice
The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials
6
7
NFC-based proximity m-payments M-commerce Mobile financial services
▪ NFC-based proximity m-payments allow
mobile users to make payments by using
their mobile phones in-store. This service
requires the mobile device and the point-of-
sale (PoS) terminal to be NFC-enabled
▪ Mobile operators’ NFC-based offerings
store customers’ confidential data in the
secure element (SE) located in the SIM
card (Apple Pay stores the confidential data
in the SE embedded in the hardware of the
iPhone)
▪ Most other in-store m-payment solutions are
cloud-based; another technology competing
with NFC is QR codes, popular in Asia
▪ M-commerce allows for digital and physical
goods to be purchased on mobile devices
▪ Users’ e-money accounts enable payment
to be made without the money having to
enter a bank account
▪ M-commerce is often classified as a
remote
m-payment service
▪ Especially prevalent in emerging markets,
MFS is a group of m-payment services
typically targeting mobile customers that do
not have a bank account
▪ The service uses SMS to enable money to
be transferred between mobile customers,
and also supports a number of other
services (e.g. airtime top-up, bill payment,
etc.)
Key use cases:
▪ Buying goods in-store by touching an NFC-
enabled PoS terminal with an NFC-enabled
mobile phone
▪ NFC-based identification at an event (e.g.
conference)
▪ Ticketing (e.g. for transportation)
▪ Storage and use of loyalty and membership
cards and coupons.
Key use cases:
▪ Buying digital and physical goods online
using a mobile device such as a
smartphone or tablet
▪ Offline-to-online purchases – i.e. online or
mobile purchase of an item that has been
advertised offline (e.g. in a magazine)
▪ Using coupons and loyalty cards
Key use cases:
▪ Transferring money to another individual or
entity via SMS (nationally and
internationally)
▪ Airtime top-up
▪ Bill payment*
▪ Bulk payments, micro-loans, savings,
insurance, etc.
Areas covered
We cover key m-payments areas: proximity m-payments, m-commerce and
mobile financial services
* Please note that there in an overlap between MFS and m-commerce. For instance bill-payment MFS
could be considered a type of m-commerce
Our analysts and consultants cover m-payments topics and often write
about various players in the m-payments value chain
8Our experts
Mobile financial servicesNFC proximity payments M-commerce
John Abraham
Enrique Velasco-Castillo
Google acquires Softcard mobile
payments joint venture
Apple Pay’s successful positioning
in the m-wallet market and CSP
strategic responses
Stela Bokun
Operators could still play a part in
the HCE-dominated m-payments
ecosystem
Patrick Rusby
Mobile point-of-sale solutions for
SMEs: strategies for mobile
operators and vendors
Mpho Moyo
Cross-border mobile financial
services in Africa: the next big
opportunity for mobile operators
Stela Bokun
M-money service providers should
encourage a more active usage of
basic m-money services
Karim Yaici
Airtel and MTN expand mobile
financial services in Sub-Saharan
Africa
Enrique Velasco-Castillo
Vodafone launches M-PESA in
Romania, where m-money services
have significant potential
Justin Van Der Lande
Direct carrier billing could help
operators to capture consumer
spending on mobile content
John Abraham
Payforit Summit 2013: direct carrier
billing gains momentum as
consumer and CSP interest grows
John Abraham
Telefónica announces plans to
monetise mobile content through
direct carrier billing
Tim Harrabin
Mobile financial services; the
evolution of payment
Nuno Afonso
Direct carrier billing has the
greatest potential for success in
emerging markets
Aris Xylouris
Facebook Messenger introduces
P2P money transfers to increase
user engagement on its platform
Aris Xylouris
Orange Polska and mBank’s joint
mobile banking service could be
successfully replicated elsewhere
Topics covered in recent research reports and articles (click to view articles)
Contents
Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice
The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials
9
We assist various stakeholders in the m-payments ecosystem
10Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Analysys
Mason’s
m-payments
clients
Mobile
operators
Govt.
agencies
and
financial
regulators
Content
publisher
s/mercha
nts
Banks or
other
financial
entities
M-wallet
platform
vendors
M-
payments
start-ups
We are an operator: How can Analysys Mason help us?
11Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Launching a new
mobile financial
service
Increasing usage
among registered
customers
Providing evidence
to support
discussions with
the regulator
Bundling MFS with
other services to
create a
“converged
m-wallet”
Understanding the
operator’s role in
the HCE*
dominated
m-payments
market
Mobile operators
* host card emulation
We are a regulator or other government agency*: How can Analysys
Mason help us?
12Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Assessing the risks
associated with
MFS business
models** and key
risk mitigation
strategies
Assessing the
relationship
between MFS
adoption and
financial inclusion
Comparative
analysis of MFS
interoperability
policies in a range
of countries
Best practices in
regulating new
MFS (e.g. cross-
border P2P
m-money transfer)
Best practices in
offering NFC-
enabled public
services
Government agencies
and financial regulators
* E.g. public transport operator, municipal body providing public services, etc.
** Including operator-led, bank-led and hybrid business models
We are a content publisher/merchant: How can Analysys Mason help us?
13Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Assessing the
potential of the
mobile channel and
best practices in
building an omni-
channel strategy
Choosing the
functionalities to
offer in the
merchant’s mobile
application*
Understanding the
benefits of
m-payments
services for your
customers
Assessment of the
available
m-payments
technologies and
their future**
Best practices in
offline-to-online
commerce
Content publishers or
merchants
* E.g. In-store product location, help function, product information, stock information etc.
**E.g. Bluetooth Low Energy – BLE, cloud, QR codes, near-field communication –NFC etc.
We are a bank or other financial entity : How can Analysys Mason help us?
14Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Sizing the
opportunity for a
mobile banking app
Assessing the
available
technologies,
business models
and partnership
options
Best practices in
bank-driven
m-wallet launches
Comparative
analysis of existing
payments solutions
Assessing the
market landscape
in P2P mobile
remittances
Banks or other financial
entities
We are an m-wallet platform vendor: How can Analysys Mason help us?
15Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Assessing the
potential of new
m-payments
features and
services
Support with
marketing: white
papers and
webinars
Assessing
investment
opportunities in
different
m-payments areas*
Assessing business
development
opportunities with
new clients and in
new markets
Providing evidence
in communications
with existing and
new clients
M-wallet platform
vendors
* E.g. In NFC-based proximity payments, m-commerce, mobile financial services or something
else.”
We are an m-payments start-up*: How can Analysys Mason help us?
16Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Assessing
opportunities in
new markets and
barriers to entry
Customer
segmentation and
pricing strategy
Support with
marketing: white
papers and
webinars
Assessing
competitive
landscape and
partnership options
Examination of
regulatory
requirements in
various markets
M-payments start-ups
* Application developers, mobile transfer organisations etc.
Market research
Market analysis
Market sizingBenchmarking
Marketing
Analysys Mason can help answer these questions through our unique
offering
17Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
▪ End-user surveys
▪ Focus groups
▪ Real-time browser-based
mobile surveys
▪ Interviews with stakeholders
▪ Regulatory landscape
▪ Competitive environment
▪ Technology
▪ Distribution channels, etc.
▪ Adoption, usage, revenue
trends and forecasts
▪ Customisation of
periodically updated
in-house m-payments
forecast models
▪ Operational benchmarking
and best-practice analysis
▪ Tariff benchmarking and
analysis
▪ Client-sponsored white
papers and webinars
▪ Client satisfaction
surveys
▪ Insight articles and social
media
Key benefits we deliver
to clients:
 Strong technical expertise
 Understanding of the market,
competitive and regulatory
issues
 Understanding of revenue,
gross margins and capex
projections and their key drivers
 Global coverage and
multilingual team
 Unmatched quality control
mechanisms
We conduct bespoke end-user research and interviews with
industry stakeholders
 We often conduct client-sponsored, bespoke end-user
research
 Furthermore, many of our projects involve extensive
interviews with industry stakeholders from all parts of the
m-payments value chain
 Finally, custom m-payments projects often rely on data on
the adoption and usage of m-payments services by end
users
 such data is collected by our syndicated research team on
a regular basis
 the sample illustrated on the right comes from our most
recent Connected Consumer Survey, conducted in July
and August 2014 in 15 countries in Africa, Asia, Europe,
the Middle East and North America. The survey had a
minimum of 1000 respondents in each country, and the
total sample size was 22 174
18
Likelihood of smartphone users purchasing items using
mobile devices, by device and item type
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Source: Analysys Mason, Connected Consumer Survey, 2015
0% 20% 40% 60%
I am not sure/I don’t know
No, I have no real interest in this
service
No, but I would be interested in
this service if it were available
Yes, occasionally (twice a month
or less)
Yes, regularly (roughly weekly or
more often)
Percentage of respondents
Non-Apple Apple
Non-Apple Apple
Digital items:
Physical items:
Questions: “Have you used your mobile phone to make a purchase of a physical
item, either online or at a point-of-sale, within the past 3 months? If so, how often?”
and “Have you used your mobile phone to make a purchase of a digital item – for
example, music, videos, apps or in-app purchases (such as upgrades)? This
excludes spend on subscription services such as Netflix or Spotify/Deezer.”; n = 700.
We offer robust and innovative market analysis and
competitor intelligence
19
Sample slides* from a project analysing the regulatory landscape in five markets in Africa
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
* Some content has been blurred as the research was delivered on a custom basis and sponsored by our client
Source: Analysys Mason Custom Research , 2015
We use in-house data, end-user surveys and third-party data
to develop market size estimates and forecasts
20
U-commerce breakdown into e-commerce, m-commerce
and TV-commerce (%)
Forecast of u-commerce sales in Malaysia (2014–2019)
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Some content has been blurred as the research was delivered on a custom basis and sponsored by our client
Source: Analysys Mason, 2015: a consulting project on the multi-channel or ubiquitous commerce (u-commerce) market in Malaysia
1.6
2019F
1.3
1.5
2.1
1.8
1.5
2.4
2018F
12.3
2017F
10.1
2016F
8.3
2015F
6.7
2014
5.3
Others
Toys & merchandise
FMCG
Movie/ event tickets
Fashion & accessories
Insurance
Education
Public transportation
Travel
Media
Electronics & appliances
5% 6% 7%
100%
2019F
64%
2017F2016F
66%
2018F
61%
30%29%
32%
27%
69%
2015F
26%
71%
2014
24%
73%
Cloud-based
services
Mobile
commerce and
advertising
Mobile
education
Mobile financial
services
Mobile health
Smart homes Venture capital –
accelerator
Cloud-based
services
Mobile
agriculture
Mobile
commerce and
advertising
Mobile
education
Mobile financial
services
Mobile health
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Averagereadinessscore
Percentage of operators active
DVAP EMAP
We carry out benchmarking analyses that enable clients to
evaluate their performance relative to their peers
21
Source: Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy Readiness Index (DERI), 2015
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Average readiness score and percentage of operators active in the digital economy, by vertical
 As with other projects, when conducting a benchmark analysis, we often customise existing in-house data to fit our client’s needs.
Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy Readiness Index (DERI) is an in-house tool that provides a good basis for many custom
research benchmarking m-payments projects
– DERI tracks 479 digital economy initiatives by 35 of the largest operators worldwide, and provides a ‘readiness score’ for the
initiatives. It presents a view of operators’ readiness to capitalise on emerging opportunities in the digital economy
 Mobile financial services and mobile health are the most widely addressed verticals, accounting for 47% of deployments.
We produce client-sponsored white papers, and promote them
via webinars, campaigns and through social media
22
Source: Analysys Mason, 2015
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
White paper on mobile financial services, sponsored by
Amdocs
Webinar on customer and network analytics, sponsored by
Huawei
Contents
Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice
The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts
Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition
Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials
23
24
Strategy report regarding
opportunities in the
Japanese and South
Korean m-payments
markets, developed for a
global m-payments
vendor
 We produced a study on m-payments market trends and operator strategies in Japan and South
Korea, to assist a global vendor in its business development in these markets
– The study provided an in-depth analysis of NFC-based proximity payments as well as the m-commerce
strategies of NTT DoCoMo, KDDI, SK Telecom and Korea Telecom
– We provided information on the services offered, their adoption and usage levels, and the revenues and
profits from these services. We also analysed operators’ m-wallet platform solutions(such as the one
provided by Gemalto), where these were not produced in-house. In Japan, we particularly focused on the
changes that the migration from FeliCa to NFC technologies has brought about
– Based on this information we advised our client on potential opportunities in the m-payments space in the
two countries
Analysis of the
regulatory landscape for
a mobile operator in
North Africa
 We assisted our client in its discussions with the central bank regarding the country’s regulatory
environment for mobile financial services (MFS)
– Our client plans to launch MFS in the near future, but the regulator is reluctant to allow non-banks to own e-
money licences, or to launch and manage MFS without banks having full control over the MFS value chain
– We were asked to produce a report that would allow the operator to argue in favour of an operator-led MSF
business model. Our report provided a comparative analysis and case studies of MFS regulation in five
African markets
– The report demonstrated that operators are better able to scale MFS than banks, and can do this with low
risk to the integrity of the financial system. We also showed that some central banks have allowed
operators to launch MFS when the bank-led model previously championed by the banks had yielded
disappointing results
Recent project experience
We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments
players across the entire value chain [1/3]
25
Strategy report for a
global m-payments
vendor
 We helped a global m-payments vendor prioritise its investments in the MFS, NFC and m-commerce
segments, and advised on global trends in m-payments and relevant future developments
– Our study examined m-payments in both emerging and developed markets. Services in emerging markets
include peer-to-peer m-money transfer, airtime top-up, bill payment, savings and insurance products. In
developed markets services include NFC-based services (including proximity payments) and m-commerce
– We also looked at the importance of m-payments services for omni-channel retailers. We provided in-depth
case studies of Alipay, Apple Pay and Buyster
Strategy workshop and
report for a large South
Asian operator
 We helped a South-East Asian OpCo within a major Asian group to conceptualise its commercial and
technical digital payment strategy, covering e-commerce, m-payments and digital currency
– The technical strategy was built on the commercial strategy, supported by market research and hypotheses
– We conducted an ‘as-is’ review of the operator’s technical payment systems, channels and
methods/processes, in addition to other technical transformation and systems upgrade projects. This
allowed us to develop a comprehensive view of the technical landscape of the operator
– After developing a commercial strategy and numerous technical use cases for e-payments and m-payments
we proposed an independent payment platform architecture, and produced a high-level roadmap for the
client to move from its current technical systems to the new platform
Market review of DCB for
a private equity firm
 For a private equity firm considering an investment, we reviewed the market for direct carrier billing
(DCB), and assessed the target company
– We assessed the market potential for DCB and identified the risks and opportunities for the target company.
We also conducted interviews with industry stakeholders (e.g. operators, merchants, vendors) and
incorporated the findings in the report
– We identified three possible strategies, as well as the corresponding benefits and disadvantages. The
findings allowed our client to improve its understanding of the DCB market, and fed into its assessment of
the target company. Our report was the key input into the client’s investment decision
Recent project experience
We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments
players across the entire value chain [2/3]
26
Assessment of
m-payments
opportunities for a
global financial services
provider
 For a global financial services provider, we assessed the m-payments opportunities in a selection of
emerging markets in Russia, Ukraine, South Africa and the Middle East
– The study covered a broad range of services, including m-banking, m-wallets and NFC-based payments,
with a view to analysing market evolution, key players, entry routes and potential partners
– We carried out interviews with stakeholders including mobile operators, payment platform providers and
financial institutions. This work, supported by desk research and market-size modelling, provided our client
with a comprehensive view of the opportunities in each market, and our results were used to support the
client’s business development activity.
Strategy report for a
large pay-TV service
provider in Asia
 We determined the size of the u-commerce market in Malaysia, and assessed future growth and trends
in the market
– Our report covered the following areas: (a) overview and outlook of the retail market in Malaysia; (b) current
state of the u-commerce market; and (c) growth forecast of the u-commerce market over 2014–2019
– Having gained a detailed understanding of the retail and u-commerce markets in Malaysia, we then
identified and assessed opportunities for the client in the u-commerce market
Annual market
landscape report for
PhonepayPlus
 We were hired by PhonepayPlus, the regulator of premium-rate services in the UK, to produce a study
on micropayment services
– The study was based on a large survey of UK users of premium-rate services and a set of focus groups
– The research focused specifically on the role of vulnerable consumers in the premium-rate market
– PhonepayPlus made the study publicly available on its website
Recent project experience
We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments
players across the entire value chain [3/3]
We keep our clients’ objectives at the centre of our work and are ready to
go the extra mile to exceed clients’ expectations
27Client testimonials
From the beginning, I felt I was in good, professional
hands, and I knew that my needs were fully understood,
and that I would receive the best analysis that can be
gotten in the field
Delivered a complex model suited to our needs in time
and scope, was flexible and “went the extra mile” in
response to new and changing requirements
Very helpful input outside the scope of the main project,
alerting me to wider developments and sharing their
perspective on them Communication was very good, Analysys Mason did not
make any promises that they could not deliver;
timescales were consistently met, which was especially
appreciated given that we had a very tight schedule
Regulator in the Middle East
Integrated operator in Asia
Content developer and
broadcaster in W. Europe
Regulator of premium-
rate services in W. EuropeAnalysys Mason was selected due to: “Good mix of qual
and quant research … to provide statistical robustness
and wider contextual narrative; other bids didn't to the
same degree. The cost was very reasonable and honest”
Thank you
28
Stela Bokun
Manager, Custom Research
stela.bokun@analysysmason.com
0)1223 460866
Cambridge
Tel: +44 (0)1223 460600
Fax: +44 (0)1223 460866
cambridge@analysysmason.com
Dubai
Tel: +971 (0)4 446 7473
Fax: +971 (0)4 446 9827
dubai@analysysmason.com
Dublin
Tel: +353 (0)1 602 4755
Fax: +353 (0)1 602 4777
dublin@analysysmason.com
Johannesburg
Tel: +27 (0)10 596 8000
Fax: +27 (0)86 504 4764
johannesburg@analysysmason.com
London
Tel: +44 (0)20 7395 9000
Fax: +44 (0)20 7395 9001
london@analysysmason.com
Madrid
Tel: +34 91 399 5016
Fax: +34 91 451 8071
madrid@analysysmason.com
Milan
Tel: +39 02 76 31 88 34
Fax: +39 02 36 50 45 50
milan@analysysmason.com
New Delhi
Tel: +91 124 4501860
newdelhi@analysysmason.com
Paris
Tel: +33 (0)1 72 71 96 96
Fax: +33 (0)1 72 71 96 97
paris@analysysmason.com
Singapore
Tel: +65 6493 6038
Fax: +65 6720 6038
singapore@analysysmason.com
Boston
Tel: +1 202 331 3080
Fax: +1 202 331 3083
boston@analysysmason.com
Manchester
Tel: +44 (0)161 877 7808
Fax: +44 (0)161 877 7810
manchester@analysysmason.com

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Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

  • 1. June 2015 Introduction to Analysys Mason’s expertise in m-payments
  • 2. Contents Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials 2
  • 3. Introduction to Analysys Mason ▪ Analysys Mason is a trusted adviser on telecoms, media and technology – design winning strategies that deliver measurable results – make informed decisions based on market intelligence and analytical rigour – develop innovative propositions to gain competitive advantage – implement operational solutions to improve business efficiency ▪ 230 staff in 12 offices worldwide ▪ Respected for our exceptional quality of work, independence and flexibility ▪ For 30 years, we have been helping clients in more than 100 countries to maximise their opportunities 3Analysys Mason Analysys Mason office locations Offices located in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia and the Americas
  • 4. We are uniquely positioned to provide consulting and research to the telecoms, media and technology sector 4Analysys Mason  Our focus is exclusively on the TMT sector  We support multi-billion dollar investments, advise clients on regulatory matters, provide spectrum valuation and auction support, and advise on operational performance, business planning and strategy  We have developed rigorous methodologies that deliver tangible results for clients around the world  We analyse, track and forecast the different services accessed by consumers and enterprises, as well as the software, infrastructure and technology delivering those services  Research clients benefit from regular and timely intelligence in addition to direct access to our team of expert analysts  Our dedicated Custom Research team undertakes specialised and bespoke projects for clients Research Consulting Consumer services Enterprise and M2M Regional markets Network technologies Telecoms software Strategy and planning Transaction support Operational consulting Regulation and policy
  • 5. We have two in-house research programmes focusing on m-payments, and also conduct bespoke projects in this area  Key topics covered by our Digital Economy research programmes are mobile wallets and payments, commerce, financial services, identity management, advertising, education and smart homes  The following are some of our publications related to m-payments that will be published in 2015:  Mobile wallets and payments in MEA 2015-2020 (Forecast report)  Mobile commerce APAC forecasts 2015-2020 (Forecast report)  Mobile advertising worldwide forecasts 2015-2020 (Forecast report)  Strategy report: Identity management: exploring operators’ emerging opportunities in identity management  Digital Economy players: company strategy profiles (Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Tencent, Alibaba, eBay/PayPal)  In addition to our ongoing research into market trends and stakeholders’ strategies, we often conduct bespoke projects commissioned by various players in the m-payments value chain 5 Our Digital Economy research programmes Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy practice Source: Analysys Mason, 2015 Digital Economy research Focuses on software and business unit implementation Focuses on the ‘what’ and ‘why’ of telco involvement Platforms Strategies
  • 6. Contents Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials 6
  • 7. 7 NFC-based proximity m-payments M-commerce Mobile financial services ▪ NFC-based proximity m-payments allow mobile users to make payments by using their mobile phones in-store. This service requires the mobile device and the point-of- sale (PoS) terminal to be NFC-enabled ▪ Mobile operators’ NFC-based offerings store customers’ confidential data in the secure element (SE) located in the SIM card (Apple Pay stores the confidential data in the SE embedded in the hardware of the iPhone) ▪ Most other in-store m-payment solutions are cloud-based; another technology competing with NFC is QR codes, popular in Asia ▪ M-commerce allows for digital and physical goods to be purchased on mobile devices ▪ Users’ e-money accounts enable payment to be made without the money having to enter a bank account ▪ M-commerce is often classified as a remote m-payment service ▪ Especially prevalent in emerging markets, MFS is a group of m-payment services typically targeting mobile customers that do not have a bank account ▪ The service uses SMS to enable money to be transferred between mobile customers, and also supports a number of other services (e.g. airtime top-up, bill payment, etc.) Key use cases: ▪ Buying goods in-store by touching an NFC- enabled PoS terminal with an NFC-enabled mobile phone ▪ NFC-based identification at an event (e.g. conference) ▪ Ticketing (e.g. for transportation) ▪ Storage and use of loyalty and membership cards and coupons. Key use cases: ▪ Buying digital and physical goods online using a mobile device such as a smartphone or tablet ▪ Offline-to-online purchases – i.e. online or mobile purchase of an item that has been advertised offline (e.g. in a magazine) ▪ Using coupons and loyalty cards Key use cases: ▪ Transferring money to another individual or entity via SMS (nationally and internationally) ▪ Airtime top-up ▪ Bill payment* ▪ Bulk payments, micro-loans, savings, insurance, etc. Areas covered We cover key m-payments areas: proximity m-payments, m-commerce and mobile financial services * Please note that there in an overlap between MFS and m-commerce. For instance bill-payment MFS could be considered a type of m-commerce
  • 8. Our analysts and consultants cover m-payments topics and often write about various players in the m-payments value chain 8Our experts Mobile financial servicesNFC proximity payments M-commerce John Abraham Enrique Velasco-Castillo Google acquires Softcard mobile payments joint venture Apple Pay’s successful positioning in the m-wallet market and CSP strategic responses Stela Bokun Operators could still play a part in the HCE-dominated m-payments ecosystem Patrick Rusby Mobile point-of-sale solutions for SMEs: strategies for mobile operators and vendors Mpho Moyo Cross-border mobile financial services in Africa: the next big opportunity for mobile operators Stela Bokun M-money service providers should encourage a more active usage of basic m-money services Karim Yaici Airtel and MTN expand mobile financial services in Sub-Saharan Africa Enrique Velasco-Castillo Vodafone launches M-PESA in Romania, where m-money services have significant potential Justin Van Der Lande Direct carrier billing could help operators to capture consumer spending on mobile content John Abraham Payforit Summit 2013: direct carrier billing gains momentum as consumer and CSP interest grows John Abraham Telefónica announces plans to monetise mobile content through direct carrier billing Tim Harrabin Mobile financial services; the evolution of payment Nuno Afonso Direct carrier billing has the greatest potential for success in emerging markets Aris Xylouris Facebook Messenger introduces P2P money transfers to increase user engagement on its platform Aris Xylouris Orange Polska and mBank’s joint mobile banking service could be successfully replicated elsewhere Topics covered in recent research reports and articles (click to view articles)
  • 9. Contents Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials 9
  • 10. We assist various stakeholders in the m-payments ecosystem 10Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Analysys Mason’s m-payments clients Mobile operators Govt. agencies and financial regulators Content publisher s/mercha nts Banks or other financial entities M-wallet platform vendors M- payments start-ups
  • 11. We are an operator: How can Analysys Mason help us? 11Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Launching a new mobile financial service Increasing usage among registered customers Providing evidence to support discussions with the regulator Bundling MFS with other services to create a “converged m-wallet” Understanding the operator’s role in the HCE* dominated m-payments market Mobile operators * host card emulation
  • 12. We are a regulator or other government agency*: How can Analysys Mason help us? 12Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Assessing the risks associated with MFS business models** and key risk mitigation strategies Assessing the relationship between MFS adoption and financial inclusion Comparative analysis of MFS interoperability policies in a range of countries Best practices in regulating new MFS (e.g. cross- border P2P m-money transfer) Best practices in offering NFC- enabled public services Government agencies and financial regulators * E.g. public transport operator, municipal body providing public services, etc. ** Including operator-led, bank-led and hybrid business models
  • 13. We are a content publisher/merchant: How can Analysys Mason help us? 13Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Assessing the potential of the mobile channel and best practices in building an omni- channel strategy Choosing the functionalities to offer in the merchant’s mobile application* Understanding the benefits of m-payments services for your customers Assessment of the available m-payments technologies and their future** Best practices in offline-to-online commerce Content publishers or merchants * E.g. In-store product location, help function, product information, stock information etc. **E.g. Bluetooth Low Energy – BLE, cloud, QR codes, near-field communication –NFC etc.
  • 14. We are a bank or other financial entity : How can Analysys Mason help us? 14Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Sizing the opportunity for a mobile banking app Assessing the available technologies, business models and partnership options Best practices in bank-driven m-wallet launches Comparative analysis of existing payments solutions Assessing the market landscape in P2P mobile remittances Banks or other financial entities
  • 15. We are an m-wallet platform vendor: How can Analysys Mason help us? 15Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Assessing the potential of new m-payments features and services Support with marketing: white papers and webinars Assessing investment opportunities in different m-payments areas* Assessing business development opportunities with new clients and in new markets Providing evidence in communications with existing and new clients M-wallet platform vendors * E.g. In NFC-based proximity payments, m-commerce, mobile financial services or something else.”
  • 16. We are an m-payments start-up*: How can Analysys Mason help us? 16Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Assessing opportunities in new markets and barriers to entry Customer segmentation and pricing strategy Support with marketing: white papers and webinars Assessing competitive landscape and partnership options Examination of regulatory requirements in various markets M-payments start-ups * Application developers, mobile transfer organisations etc.
  • 17. Market research Market analysis Market sizingBenchmarking Marketing Analysys Mason can help answer these questions through our unique offering 17Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition ▪ End-user surveys ▪ Focus groups ▪ Real-time browser-based mobile surveys ▪ Interviews with stakeholders ▪ Regulatory landscape ▪ Competitive environment ▪ Technology ▪ Distribution channels, etc. ▪ Adoption, usage, revenue trends and forecasts ▪ Customisation of periodically updated in-house m-payments forecast models ▪ Operational benchmarking and best-practice analysis ▪ Tariff benchmarking and analysis ▪ Client-sponsored white papers and webinars ▪ Client satisfaction surveys ▪ Insight articles and social media Key benefits we deliver to clients:  Strong technical expertise  Understanding of the market, competitive and regulatory issues  Understanding of revenue, gross margins and capex projections and their key drivers  Global coverage and multilingual team  Unmatched quality control mechanisms
  • 18. We conduct bespoke end-user research and interviews with industry stakeholders  We often conduct client-sponsored, bespoke end-user research  Furthermore, many of our projects involve extensive interviews with industry stakeholders from all parts of the m-payments value chain  Finally, custom m-payments projects often rely on data on the adoption and usage of m-payments services by end users  such data is collected by our syndicated research team on a regular basis  the sample illustrated on the right comes from our most recent Connected Consumer Survey, conducted in July and August 2014 in 15 countries in Africa, Asia, Europe, the Middle East and North America. The survey had a minimum of 1000 respondents in each country, and the total sample size was 22 174 18 Likelihood of smartphone users purchasing items using mobile devices, by device and item type Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Source: Analysys Mason, Connected Consumer Survey, 2015 0% 20% 40% 60% I am not sure/I don’t know No, I have no real interest in this service No, but I would be interested in this service if it were available Yes, occasionally (twice a month or less) Yes, regularly (roughly weekly or more often) Percentage of respondents Non-Apple Apple Non-Apple Apple Digital items: Physical items: Questions: “Have you used your mobile phone to make a purchase of a physical item, either online or at a point-of-sale, within the past 3 months? If so, how often?” and “Have you used your mobile phone to make a purchase of a digital item – for example, music, videos, apps or in-app purchases (such as upgrades)? This excludes spend on subscription services such as Netflix or Spotify/Deezer.”; n = 700.
  • 19. We offer robust and innovative market analysis and competitor intelligence 19 Sample slides* from a project analysing the regulatory landscape in five markets in Africa Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition * Some content has been blurred as the research was delivered on a custom basis and sponsored by our client Source: Analysys Mason Custom Research , 2015
  • 20. We use in-house data, end-user surveys and third-party data to develop market size estimates and forecasts 20 U-commerce breakdown into e-commerce, m-commerce and TV-commerce (%) Forecast of u-commerce sales in Malaysia (2014–2019) Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Some content has been blurred as the research was delivered on a custom basis and sponsored by our client Source: Analysys Mason, 2015: a consulting project on the multi-channel or ubiquitous commerce (u-commerce) market in Malaysia 1.6 2019F 1.3 1.5 2.1 1.8 1.5 2.4 2018F 12.3 2017F 10.1 2016F 8.3 2015F 6.7 2014 5.3 Others Toys & merchandise FMCG Movie/ event tickets Fashion & accessories Insurance Education Public transportation Travel Media Electronics & appliances 5% 6% 7% 100% 2019F 64% 2017F2016F 66% 2018F 61% 30%29% 32% 27% 69% 2015F 26% 71% 2014 24% 73%
  • 21. Cloud-based services Mobile commerce and advertising Mobile education Mobile financial services Mobile health Smart homes Venture capital – accelerator Cloud-based services Mobile agriculture Mobile commerce and advertising Mobile education Mobile financial services Mobile health 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Averagereadinessscore Percentage of operators active DVAP EMAP We carry out benchmarking analyses that enable clients to evaluate their performance relative to their peers 21 Source: Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy Readiness Index (DERI), 2015 Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Average readiness score and percentage of operators active in the digital economy, by vertical  As with other projects, when conducting a benchmark analysis, we often customise existing in-house data to fit our client’s needs. Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy Readiness Index (DERI) is an in-house tool that provides a good basis for many custom research benchmarking m-payments projects – DERI tracks 479 digital economy initiatives by 35 of the largest operators worldwide, and provides a ‘readiness score’ for the initiatives. It presents a view of operators’ readiness to capitalise on emerging opportunities in the digital economy  Mobile financial services and mobile health are the most widely addressed verticals, accounting for 47% of deployments.
  • 22. We produce client-sponsored white papers, and promote them via webinars, campaigns and through social media 22 Source: Analysys Mason, 2015 Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition White paper on mobile financial services, sponsored by Amdocs Webinar on customer and network analytics, sponsored by Huawei
  • 23. Contents Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials 23
  • 24. 24 Strategy report regarding opportunities in the Japanese and South Korean m-payments markets, developed for a global m-payments vendor  We produced a study on m-payments market trends and operator strategies in Japan and South Korea, to assist a global vendor in its business development in these markets – The study provided an in-depth analysis of NFC-based proximity payments as well as the m-commerce strategies of NTT DoCoMo, KDDI, SK Telecom and Korea Telecom – We provided information on the services offered, their adoption and usage levels, and the revenues and profits from these services. We also analysed operators’ m-wallet platform solutions(such as the one provided by Gemalto), where these were not produced in-house. In Japan, we particularly focused on the changes that the migration from FeliCa to NFC technologies has brought about – Based on this information we advised our client on potential opportunities in the m-payments space in the two countries Analysis of the regulatory landscape for a mobile operator in North Africa  We assisted our client in its discussions with the central bank regarding the country’s regulatory environment for mobile financial services (MFS) – Our client plans to launch MFS in the near future, but the regulator is reluctant to allow non-banks to own e- money licences, or to launch and manage MFS without banks having full control over the MFS value chain – We were asked to produce a report that would allow the operator to argue in favour of an operator-led MSF business model. Our report provided a comparative analysis and case studies of MFS regulation in five African markets – The report demonstrated that operators are better able to scale MFS than banks, and can do this with low risk to the integrity of the financial system. We also showed that some central banks have allowed operators to launch MFS when the bank-led model previously championed by the banks had yielded disappointing results Recent project experience We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments players across the entire value chain [1/3]
  • 25. 25 Strategy report for a global m-payments vendor  We helped a global m-payments vendor prioritise its investments in the MFS, NFC and m-commerce segments, and advised on global trends in m-payments and relevant future developments – Our study examined m-payments in both emerging and developed markets. Services in emerging markets include peer-to-peer m-money transfer, airtime top-up, bill payment, savings and insurance products. In developed markets services include NFC-based services (including proximity payments) and m-commerce – We also looked at the importance of m-payments services for omni-channel retailers. We provided in-depth case studies of Alipay, Apple Pay and Buyster Strategy workshop and report for a large South Asian operator  We helped a South-East Asian OpCo within a major Asian group to conceptualise its commercial and technical digital payment strategy, covering e-commerce, m-payments and digital currency – The technical strategy was built on the commercial strategy, supported by market research and hypotheses – We conducted an ‘as-is’ review of the operator’s technical payment systems, channels and methods/processes, in addition to other technical transformation and systems upgrade projects. This allowed us to develop a comprehensive view of the technical landscape of the operator – After developing a commercial strategy and numerous technical use cases for e-payments and m-payments we proposed an independent payment platform architecture, and produced a high-level roadmap for the client to move from its current technical systems to the new platform Market review of DCB for a private equity firm  For a private equity firm considering an investment, we reviewed the market for direct carrier billing (DCB), and assessed the target company – We assessed the market potential for DCB and identified the risks and opportunities for the target company. We also conducted interviews with industry stakeholders (e.g. operators, merchants, vendors) and incorporated the findings in the report – We identified three possible strategies, as well as the corresponding benefits and disadvantages. The findings allowed our client to improve its understanding of the DCB market, and fed into its assessment of the target company. Our report was the key input into the client’s investment decision Recent project experience We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments players across the entire value chain [2/3]
  • 26. 26 Assessment of m-payments opportunities for a global financial services provider  For a global financial services provider, we assessed the m-payments opportunities in a selection of emerging markets in Russia, Ukraine, South Africa and the Middle East – The study covered a broad range of services, including m-banking, m-wallets and NFC-based payments, with a view to analysing market evolution, key players, entry routes and potential partners – We carried out interviews with stakeholders including mobile operators, payment platform providers and financial institutions. This work, supported by desk research and market-size modelling, provided our client with a comprehensive view of the opportunities in each market, and our results were used to support the client’s business development activity. Strategy report for a large pay-TV service provider in Asia  We determined the size of the u-commerce market in Malaysia, and assessed future growth and trends in the market – Our report covered the following areas: (a) overview and outlook of the retail market in Malaysia; (b) current state of the u-commerce market; and (c) growth forecast of the u-commerce market over 2014–2019 – Having gained a detailed understanding of the retail and u-commerce markets in Malaysia, we then identified and assessed opportunities for the client in the u-commerce market Annual market landscape report for PhonepayPlus  We were hired by PhonepayPlus, the regulator of premium-rate services in the UK, to produce a study on micropayment services – The study was based on a large survey of UK users of premium-rate services and a set of focus groups – The research focused specifically on the role of vulnerable consumers in the premium-rate market – PhonepayPlus made the study publicly available on its website Recent project experience We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments players across the entire value chain [3/3]
  • 27. We keep our clients’ objectives at the centre of our work and are ready to go the extra mile to exceed clients’ expectations 27Client testimonials From the beginning, I felt I was in good, professional hands, and I knew that my needs were fully understood, and that I would receive the best analysis that can be gotten in the field Delivered a complex model suited to our needs in time and scope, was flexible and “went the extra mile” in response to new and changing requirements Very helpful input outside the scope of the main project, alerting me to wider developments and sharing their perspective on them Communication was very good, Analysys Mason did not make any promises that they could not deliver; timescales were consistently met, which was especially appreciated given that we had a very tight schedule Regulator in the Middle East Integrated operator in Asia Content developer and broadcaster in W. Europe Regulator of premium- rate services in W. EuropeAnalysys Mason was selected due to: “Good mix of qual and quant research … to provide statistical robustness and wider contextual narrative; other bids didn't to the same degree. The cost was very reasonable and honest”
  • 28. Thank you 28 Stela Bokun Manager, Custom Research stela.bokun@analysysmason.com 0)1223 460866 Cambridge Tel: +44 (0)1223 460600 Fax: +44 (0)1223 460866 cambridge@analysysmason.com Dubai Tel: +971 (0)4 446 7473 Fax: +971 (0)4 446 9827 dubai@analysysmason.com Dublin Tel: +353 (0)1 602 4755 Fax: +353 (0)1 602 4777 dublin@analysysmason.com Johannesburg Tel: +27 (0)10 596 8000 Fax: +27 (0)86 504 4764 johannesburg@analysysmason.com London Tel: +44 (0)20 7395 9000 Fax: +44 (0)20 7395 9001 london@analysysmason.com Madrid Tel: +34 91 399 5016 Fax: +34 91 451 8071 madrid@analysysmason.com Milan Tel: +39 02 76 31 88 34 Fax: +39 02 36 50 45 50 milan@analysysmason.com New Delhi Tel: +91 124 4501860 newdelhi@analysysmason.com Paris Tel: +33 (0)1 72 71 96 96 Fax: +33 (0)1 72 71 96 97 paris@analysysmason.com Singapore Tel: +65 6493 6038 Fax: +65 6720 6038 singapore@analysysmason.com Boston Tel: +1 202 331 3080 Fax: +1 202 331 3083 boston@analysysmason.com Manchester Tel: +44 (0)161 877 7808 Fax: +44 (0)161 877 7810 manchester@analysysmason.com