1. Guided By-
Dr. Swaroop Reddy & Mr. V. R. Sudindra
Team No. 11
Sushovit Rout
Siva Babu B
Sowjanya M
ISME PGDM 2015-2017
2. Introduction
Current Economic Scenario
Forecast India 2020
Late Dr. Abdul Kalam’s Vision India 2020
Late Dr. C.K. Prahalad’s India 2020
SWOT Analysis
Conclusion
ISME PGDM 2015-2017
3. The Economy of India the 7th largest in the world (nominal GDP) $2.308 Trillion
(2015)
The 3rd largest Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) $ 7.997 Trillion (2015)
World's fastest growing major economy last quarter 2014, replacing China's.
The financial capital of India Mumbai, Maharashtra
Currency Indian rupee (INR) ( ) = 100 Paise
Fiscal Year 1st April – 31st March
Trade Organizations WTO, SAFTA, G-20 and others.
ISME PGDM 2015-2017
4. Present GDP Growth Rate 8.8%
GDP by sector Agriculture (17%)
Industry (18%)
Services (65%)
Manufacturing Growth Rate 18.5%
IT Software & Hardware (Indian IT/ITES industry maintain growth of 13-15%
FY2015)
Power & Energy (The gross electricity generated by utilities is 1106 TWh
(1106,000GWh)
Population BPL (21.9%) out of 1.2 billion live below $1.25 per day.ISME PGDM 2015-2017
7. First in Population in 2050
First in Science Production
Labor Productivity
Increased GDP Growth rate
Amazing Indian Education
Global Agri-technology
ISME PGDM 2015-2017
8. GDP Actual (US Bn $) 2020 (US Bn $)
GDP 2066.90 2486
GDP growth Rate 2.06 1.24
GDP annual growth Rate 7.00 6.8
GDP constant prices 27129.98 42864
GDP Per Capita 1262.64 2374
GDP Per Capita(PPP) 5565.65 6947
GDP from Agriculture 4637.96 4941
GDP from Construction 2377.80 1991
GDP from Manufacturing 5407.38 4476
GDP from Mining 774.93 686
GDP from Public
Administer
3914.00 3027
GDP from Utilities 738.95 582
Price Actual (US Bn $) 2020 (US Bn $)
Inflation Rate 3.78 4.2
Consumer Price
Index
123.70 129
GDP Deflator 117.80 131
Produced Prices 177.50 172
Producer Price
Change
-1.47 2.35
Export Prices 312.00 437
Import Prices 518.00 570
Food Inflation 2.15 6.1
Inflation Rate Mon 0.60 0.62
ISME PGDM 2015-2017
9. Markets Actual (US Bn $) 2020 (US Bn $)
Currency (per US 1 $) 66.69 50
Stock Market 25201.90 29329
Government Bond Loy 7.75 7.4
Labour Actual 2020
Unemployment 4.90 5.4
Employed Persons 29650.00 34683
Unemployed Persons 44.79 51.82
Population 1238.89 1299
Money Actual (US Bn $) 2020 (US Bn $)
Interest Rate 7.25 4.5
Inter Bank rate 7.44 4.9
Central Bank
Balance Sheet
13942.64 18624
Foreign Exchange
Reserves
351920.00 358897
Loan Growth 9.50 7
Cash Reserve Ratio 4.00 2.75
Trade Actual (US Bn $) 2020 (US Bn $)
Balance of Trade -12812.46 -11421
Exports 23137.26 38179
Imports 35949.72 49600
Tourist Arrivals 633000 663000
Gold Reserves 557.74 558
Crude Oil
Production
751 757
Capital Flows -212.67 8.06
Government Actual (US Bn $) 2020 (US Bn $)
Budget -4.50 -3.5
Debt to GDP 65.50 64.09
Budget Value -3851.03 -4109
Spending 3100.18 2855
Credit Rating 47.12 -
Fiscal Expenditure 4309.93 8376
Government
Revenue
1412.04 3856
ISME PGDM 2015-2017
10. Business Actual 2020
Business Confidence 54.40 55
Industrial Production 3.80 7
Manufacturing Production 4.60 5.34
Competitiveness Index 4.20 5.2
Competitiveness Rank 71.00 64
Mining Production 2.80 3.33
Consumer Actual (US Million $) 2020 (US Million $)
Consumer Spending 15928.06 21901
Disposable Personal
Income
127880080 200761852
Personal Savings 22124.14 33253
Bank Lending Rate 10.00 9.95
Housing Construction Output
Construction Output 1.10 4.84
Housing Index 238.00 210
Taxes Actual 2020
Corporate 34.61 30
Personal
Income Tax
Rate
33.99 33.99
Sales Tax
Rate
12.36 12.36
Social
Security
Rate
24 24
Social
Security
Rate for
Companies
12 12
Social
security
Rate
Employees
12 12
ISME PGDM 2015-2017
14. India 2020 Initially documented by
Technology Information Forecasting and
Assessment Council (TIFAC) chairmanship of
Dr. Kalam & 500 experts.
Five Visions:
Agriculture and food processing.
Infrastructure with reliable and quality electric
power.
Education & Healthcare.
Information and Communication Technology.
Technologies and strategic industries.
15. Fortune At The Bottom Of The
Pyramid
ISME PGDM 2015-2017
18. Agriculture Based Economy.
Huge pool of labour force.
Huge English speaking population.
Third largest reservoir of engineers.
Rapid growth of IT and BPO sector.
High percentage of workforce in
agriculture contributing to only 17.2% of
GDP.
Quarter of a population below the poverty
line
High unemployment rate
Huge population scarcity of resources
Low literacy rates
19. Scope for entry of private firms in various
sectors for business
Inflow of FDI in many sectors
Huge population of Indian Diaspora in
foreign countries (NRIs)
Huge domestic market: Opportunity for
MNCs
High fiscal deficit
Threat of government intervention in some
states
Volatility in crude oil prices across the
world
Population explosion,
Agriculture excessively dependent on
monsoon