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THE FUTURE OF RETAIL
APOCALYSE
LET’S FACE IT — THE OLD RETAIL
MODEL IS DYING
Image: Brian Sozzi / Belus Capital Advisors
LATEST VICTIM OF AMAZON
1. Subpar of e-commerce site since 2003
2. BRICKS 4 CLICK
Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/
09/23/trouble-toy-town-time-grow-toys-r-
us-lego/
ARE THESE THE CURES?
1. Shoppable Showroom: Bonobos (Walmart-owned)
2. AR Tech: Ikea (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vDNzTasuYEw) &
Lego (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BUDIduApeLI)
3. Discovery Centers : Lego
Why?
Reduced real estate cost
Smaller inventory cost
More service time with customers
OR… JUST GO
SAME AMZ GO HAPPENS IN CHINA
& ALIBABA
vs.ONLINE
OffLINE
WHERE ARE SHOPPERS GOING?
THE SHIFT TO ONLINE RETAIL IS GLOBALLY
Image: Reuters
WITH NO BORDERS (CROSS-BORDERS)
Image: Reuters
HOW ABOUT VIETNAM?
Private Label
Current Players Potential Players
OfflineopensECarm
Grocer
y
Electronics
B2C &
B2B2C
C2C
Classifieds
REMEMBER THIS?
THE BIGGEST E-COMMERCE COUNTRY IS…?
Image: Reuters
HENCE WORLD’S BIGGEST ONLINE
SALES EVENT IS…?
Image: Reuters
WORLD’S BIGGEST E-COMMERCE COUNTRIES
Image: Reuters
IN ANOTHER VIEW,
WORLD’S BIGGEST E-COMMERCE COMPANIES
Image: Reuters
RING A BELL?
BY REGION, ASIA-PACIFIC IS #1
Image: Reuters
OF WHICH, CHINA IS #1
WITH ALIBABA LEADING THE MARKET, BUT JD IS CATCHING UP
WHO’S SECOND-RUNNER UP IN ASIA?
Image: Reuters
JAPAN’S LANDSCAPE (#2 IN ASPAC)
WITH LOCAL RAKUTEN ALMOST 1/3 OF THE MARKET
REMEMBER THIS? WAIT, WHERE IS INDIA?
STILL E-COMMERCE IS TAKING OFF IN INDIA TOO
FASTEST IN ASIA
SOUTHEAST ASIA IS ALSO BIG
FURTHER ZOOM IN VIETNAM
IN U.S., AMAZON CONTINUES GROWING VERY QUICKLY
BUT OTHER RETAILERS ARE ALSO GROWING ONLINE SALES
EVEN THE LAST CONTENDER GET PASSED BY
BUT HOLD ON… THE BATTLE JUST BEGINS
Image: Reuters
MEDIA SPEND IN VN
NOW, BACK TO AD SPEND AND REVENUE
MOST PROFITABLE E-COMMERCE SECTOR
LESS PRINT MORE TV
BIG BRANDS SPEND LESS
GLOBAL BIG NAMES MARKETING SPEND
5.31%
THIS IS JD.COM
& AMAZON
SPEND LESS, EARN MORE
MEDIA IS STILL THE TOP E-COMMERCE CATEGORY
WHICH MEDIUM IS TRENDY
(MOST POSITIVE GROWTH)?
MEDIA SALES ARE GOING DIGITAL
WHERE TO INVEST IN DIGITAL?
EVEN THE GIANT IS NO
EXCEPTION…
so is APPLE & ETSY
BENEFITING APPLE AND AMAZON
MOBILE IS OUTGROWING ALL NON-MOBILE E-
COMMERCE TRAFFIC …
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Am
azon
eBay
W
al-M
art
Apple
Target
BestBuy
The
Hom
e
Depot
Ticketm
aster
Etsy
Low
es
(Millions)
Source: comScore
Leading Retailers' Digital Audience Popula on
By Device
Desktop Only Desktop + Mobile Mobile Only
RETAILERS ARE FINDING HUGE AUDIENCES ON
MOBILE …
THOUGH NOT GENERATE
AS MUCH CASH
MOBILE STILL POTENTIAL
IN CHINA
IN ANOTHER WAY
(E-WALLET)
IN CHINA
IN ANOTHER WAY
(E-WALLET)
INDIA IS NO EXCEPTION
NOR INDONESIA
SO YOU KNOW WHERE TO SPEND OR MAKE MONEY, YEAH?
IT’S A MOBILE-FIRST SHOPPING TIME
WAL-MART’S ADVANTAGE IS STILL IN
PHYSICAL RETAIL
GIVING IT WITHIN 10 MILES OF 90%
CUSTOMERS IN THE US
Vs. AMZ 140 FCs + 460 WF SUPERMARKET
STILL 44% OF AMZ CUSTOMERS IN THE US
ARE WITHIN 20 MILES
BUT THIS COULD CHANGE WHEN KOHL'S TO ACCEPT AMAZON
RETURNS STARTING OCTOBER
ONLINE IS STILL JUST 3% OF WALMART’S TOTAL
SALES
BI INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATESBUT IT’S CATCHING UP
WALMART OUTGROWS AMAZON
FOR THE FIRST TIME
AND WALMART IS INVESTING IN SOCIAL AND MOBILE
TECH R&D
AMAZON IS LEADING THE RUN IN SALES
AND ITS FULLY-DEVELOPED
ECOSYSTEM
56
AND ITS STRONGEST WEAPON:
CUSTOMER LOYALTY
HOW AMAZON PRICES USING ALGORITHM?
CHEAPER WITH POPULAR ITEMS
PRICIER WITH NOT SO POPULAR ONES
HOW AMAZON PRICES USING ALGORITHM?
BASICALLY AMZ CHANGES PRICE
EVERY 2 MINS DURING PEAK SEASON
HOW AMAZON EXCEL @ SUPPLY CHAIN
HOW AMAZON EXCEL @ WAREHOUSING
CHAOTIC IS BETTER
WHY BETTER?
• Flexibility
• Space
• Accuracy
• Simplicity
• Optimization
AMZ PERFORMANCE VS. OTHERS
YET WALMART STILL BEATS AMAZON IN TOTAL RETAIL REVENUE
AND YES IT HAS LOTS OF CASH TO INVEST…
EVEN WITH AMZ NEWLY-ACQUIRED WHOLE FOODS
WALMART SEEMS TO HAVE ADVANTAGE OF WINNING FUTURE
CUSTOMERS WITH RECENT ACQUISITIONS
BUT AMAZON ALWAYS HAVE THIS A VERY LONG, LONG TIME AGO
WALMART’S ANSWER TO AMZ IN TECH. HOW ABOUT GROCERY?
NO QUEUE, SERIOUSLY NO (WALMART GO)
GO-MART VS. ALEXA, THE NEXT BIG THING IS VOICE COMMERCE?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BUDIduApeLI
E-WALMART, NOT JUST STOP THERE?
DISCOUNTS FOR CUSTOMERS TO CLICK-AND-COLLECT IN-STORE
BY PASSING LAST-MILE COST SAVING TO CUSTOMERS
+MOBILE EXPRESS RETURN FOR CUSTOMERS WITH QR CODE FOR ONLINE
THEN IN-STORE AND 3P ORDERS
THE BATTLE NOW DOWN TO THIS
WILL 90% + 77% BEAT 88%?
Time to STOP & THINK
SO WHAT’S YOUR VISION OF FUTURE OF TECH AND E-
COMMERCE?
& WHAT IS THE FUTURE FOR KPMG?

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Ecommerce deck a glance at amz and vn