1. Space Debris, a Threat to GNSS and its
Applications to Civil Aviation
By Thibaut LABARRE
Student from the ENAC
Current Situation
Threat to Satellites
Influence on GNSS Reliability
Solutions
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 1
2. History of Collisions
24 July 1996:
Cerise Ariane V16 (debris)
17 January 2005:
Thor (Stage) rocket CZ4 (debris)
December 1991 (collision identified in 2005):
Cosmos 1934 Cosmos 926 (debris)
12 February 2009:
Iridium Cosmos 2251
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 2
3. Current Situation (1/4)
Evolution of the number of debris (>10 cm) from
1960 to 2008
(1 centimeter = 0.393700787 inch)
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 3
5. Current Situation (3/4)
Since 1957 :
4000 launches
More than 200 fragmentations of orbiting objects
• 12,000 objects bigger than 10 cm
(referenced)
• 200,000 objects sizing between 1 and 10 cm
(not referenced)
fragments
• 35,000,000 objects smaller than 1 cm operating satellites
(not referenced) unoperating satellites
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S superior stages 5
operational debris
7. Threat to Satellites (1/3)
Probability of collision depends on
Size of satellite
Time spent in space
Collision probabilities for one year
Flux of debris >0.1 mm >1 mm >1 cm >10 cm
Space Station (h=400 km, S=500 1 1 10-2 2 10-4
m2)
SPOT (h=800 km, S=20 m2) 1 0,5 3 10-3 2 10-4
Constellation (h=1,500 km,S=16 m2) 1 3 10-1 10-3 10-4
GALILEO (h=23,222 km,S=3 m2 body
+ 16 m2 solar arrays)
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 7
8. Threat to Satellites (2/3)
Consequences of an impact
Caracteristics of a space impact
Kinetic energy is linked to speed
Orbital speeds are very high
Aluminium sphere at 10kmps
A 1mm chip → an average .22 long rifle bullet at gunpoint
A peasized ball → 180 kg safe travelling at 100 kmph
A tennis ballsized sphere → 25 sticks of dynamite
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 8
10. Influence on GNSS Reliability (1/4)
What is GNSS?
Global Navigation Satellite System
Allows users to determine precisely where they are
on earth
What are its applications to Civil Aviation?
Free Flight
Landing procedures
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 10
12. Influence on GNSS Reliability (3/4)
MEO (GNSS orbits) still relatively spared
Payloads Rocket Bodies Operational Debris Breakup Debris Anomalous Debris Totals
LEO 1612 758 651 3232 119 6372
MEO 126 28 2 0 0 156
GEO 587 116 1 2 0 706
Elliptical 249 515 135 167 0 1066
Unknown 171 120 185 0 0 476
Totals 2745 1537 974 3401 119 8776
But debris will accumulate
Operating lifespan of satellites : around 10 years
Orbiting lifespan of satellites : millions of years
Exponential growth due to fragmentation
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 12
13. Influence on GNSS Reliability (4/4)
Civil aviation imperatives for GNSS
Accuracy
Availability
Continuity
Orbital debris endanger the last 2 imperatives
ABAS technologies require more satellites to work
The loss of a satellite during a critical phase of a
flight can have catastrophic consequences
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 13
14. Solutions (1/3)
Armor for GNSS satellites
Pros
Enhances lifespan of satellites
Cons
Expensive (in terms of weight)
Covers only a fraction of the risk
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 14
15. Solutions (2/3)
Dodging the debris
Pros
Enhances lifespan of satellites
Cons
Every debris trajectory has to be tracked
Fuel consumption increases
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 15
16. Solutions (3/3)
Disposal orbits for failed GNSS satellites
Pros
Technically feasible
Cheap
Applicable to previous satellites
Cons
GPS, GLONASS, GALILEO, COMPASS will all have
different orbits
Disposal orbits may vary and become elliptical (due to
influence from the sun and the moon), interfering with
operating satellite orbits
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 16
17. Conclusion
All the solutions are only partial and will not
solve the problem
Cooperation: IADC, COPUOS, ISO
RAeS 17/02/2009 Thibaut Labarre IENAC08S 17