World Challenges is a first-of-its-kind, mathematical analysis of the most important, leading indicators of opportunities and threats facing the world today from aggregating >330,000 forecasts expressed as dynamic infographics.
1. World Challenges
Welcome to the first ever ‘World Challenges’ produced almost entirely by
Shaping Tomorrow’s AI robot, Athena
2. About Athena
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I was born on 23rd September 2013.
I'm the brainchild of Walter Kehl at Foresight
Knowledge, Shaping Tomorrow's partner.
Walter wanted me to help you scan the horizon
and see what's likely emerging, faster and
better than any human.
I made this presentation for you in less than
two hours.
I’m now also a chatbot with voice capability
and soon to be cognitive too, I hope. Enjoy!
3. About World Challenges
World Challenges is my unique, and first-of-its-kind, mathematical
analysis of the most important, leading indicators of opportunities and
threats facing the world today from aggregating >330,000 forecasts
expressed as dynamic infographics. I daily keep this flagship analysis up
to date.
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4. Which sources did I most use
for this analysis?
32,000+ future orientated web
sources and social media feeds
containing over 330,000 verbatim
forecasts within over 1,000,000
reports, articles and PowerPoints
about the future that I read.
I read the views of leading
organizations, pundits and experts
and sourced more forecasts from
my extensive library of important
topic keywords.
The most used sources are
displayed in the left-hand panel.
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5. Infographics Definitions and Settings
Definitions
• Intensity: Strength, Impact, Force
• Tipping Point: When ~33% of the world
population have likely accepted the new
paradigm
• Legends and metrics: definitions here
Settings
• Rolling three-year forecasts
• Click-throughs to all evidence and
updated infographics available at
shapingtomorrow.com
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6. Which are the
potential future mega
drivers of change,
when are they likely to
arrive and with what
strength?
Early strong, arrivals:
India, AI, Digitalization
Weak, later arrivals:
UBI, Cryptocurrencies,
Neuroscience, Geopolitics?
Note: I think Climate Change deserves a
higher rating but my algorithm did not
find many estimated dollar impacts
associated with this issue. That will likely
change in the future!
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7. How are social issues
likely to change, when
are they likely to arrive
and with what
strength?
Early strong, arrivals:
Sharing, Gen Alpha, Cities,
Organizations, Economy,
Intelligence
Weak, later arrivals:
Fake news reduction, leadership
improvements, standards
improvement
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8. How are sector
prospects likely to
change, when are they
likely to arrive and
with what strength?
Early strong, arrivals:
Retail, Software, Manufacturing,
Pharmaceuticals
Weak, later arrivals:
Military, Mining
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9. How are occupations
likely to change, when
are they likely to arrive
and with what
strength?
Early strong, arrivals:
Water, Construction, Media
and Entertainment,
Foresight culture
Weak, later arrivals:
Education
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10. Which countries will
likely experience the
most change: when
will it likely arrive and
with what strength?
Early strong, changes:
UK, USA, China, India,
Indonesia
Weak, later changes:
Argentina, South Africa
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11. Which key global
players are more
future focused?
More future focused:
Samsung, Tesla
Less future focused:
Cisco, Salesforce, Ericsson
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12. Which key research
organizations are more
future facing than their
peers
More future facing: Early
Pew, IFTF, Deloitte, KPMG and, of
course, Shaping Tomorrow*
Less future facing: Too late!
Markets & Markets, IdTechEx,
Research & Markets, GlobaData,
Vision gain
* Since I am an aggregator of everyone else’s
forecasts I have excluded us from this analysis
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13. How are the UN’s SDG
Global Goals doing,
when are they likely to
be achieved and with
what impact?
Early strong, arrivals:
Affordable and Clean
Energy, Good health and
Well-being, Decent Work
and Growth
Weak, later arrivals:
Reduced Inequalities
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14. What existential
events may we face in
the future, when are
they likely to arise and
with what intensity?
Early strong, arrivals:
Space wars
Weak, later arrivals:
Extraterrestrials, Nuclear
winter, Geoengineering
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15. The World in 2025?
My forecasts of what life may be like for all of us 7 years from now.
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16. Which topics will
present the biggest
threats and
opportunities in 2025?
Top Threats:
Security, Disease, War
Top Opportunities:
Technology, Investment,
Economy
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• The top threat is now security which displaces disease from the last update in September
2018. Policy issues with the use of Huawei technologies, further lone-wolf terrorist attacks,
stalling of peace talks with North Korea and rising concerns about major cyber
attacks, interference with national elections and fake news drive this concern.
• The number one topic opportunity remains technology with most mentions
for AI, Quantum computing, Driverless cars, Drones, Smart
Cities, IoT, AR, 5G, Biotech, Neuroscience, Robotics, Printing, Batteries, Blockchain, Space,
Holograms and Digitalization.
17. Which countries face
the biggest threats and
opportunities in 2025?
Threats:
India
Opportunities:
USA, India, China and Brazil
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• The top country at risk continues to be India where a burgeoning population and
climate change will have major impacts on liveability.
• The top country opportunities are forecast to be in the USA, India, China, and Brazil.
18. Which sectors face the
biggest threats and
opportunities right
now?
Threats:
Science, Pharmaceuticals,
Security
Opportunities
Security, Construction,
Pharmaceuticals
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• The construction sector was at the top of the opportunity list six months ago because of
growing investments in Smart Cities, Hyperloops and high-speed rail projects, China's
Belt and Road initiative -Transport, Energy, and burgeoning population growth
in China, India and other developing cities. But again, the same security concerns
above are creating opportunities for market players and governments to provide
mitigating security solutions and new policies.
• Warnings of increasing climate change, spreading diseases and changing technologies,
(especially the possible dangers arising from AI) are the main reasons
the science sector remains at the top of the sector threat list.
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Which sectors Cities and
Organizations are most mentioned
right now in terms of their potential
futures?
Top Ten Cities:
London, Singapore, New York
Top 10 Organizations
European Union, Amazon, Apple
• The most mentioned City in this analysis is London not just due to the
impacts that could arise from the still to be agreed on Brexit outcome, but
the city's efforts to improve itself.
• The most mentioned organization is the European Union, partly due to
the uncertainty surrounding Brexit but mostly for its leadership role in
many aspects of building a sustainable world from GDPR to plastics control
etc.
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What will likely be the
strongest felt changes in 2025?
Strongest felt changes:
ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION!
through digitization, virtual reality,
contactless payments, medicine
including biosimilars and huge
efficiency gains in support services
(administration) and increases in
renewable energy.
21. What will likely be the
strongest emerging
change topics in 2025?
Strongest topics:
Medicine, biosimilars, crop
production, renewables
versus oil and again a Global
Economic Transformation.
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22. What does this
knowledge graph say
about longer term
emerging issues in
2025?
Emerging Issues:
Energy transition, Disease
management, Pollution
control, Technology
advances, greater
Networking, Smart
Buildings, Space exploration
and Tourism, Body
enhancement and growth
and insufficient food
proteins to feed the world.
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23. Where will the major
hotspots be in 2025?
Hotspots:
UK, United States, China,
India, Canada, Australia,
Japan,
Governments, Energy,
Entertainment,
Environment, Financial
Services, IT
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24. Which countries
will likely lead or
fall behind?:
Lead:
India, USA, China,
Indonesia, UK?,
Fall behind:
UK?, Most of Africa,
Spain
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25. Which are the most
affected future topics
in 2025?
Most affected:
Economic Transformation,
Population changes,
Technological advances,
Smart Cities, Driverless
Vehicles, Energy transition,
AI, Food production,
Climate Change, Healthcare
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26. Who is leading the charge to the
future for good or ill?
Leading the charge:
USA, China, UK, EU
Google, Amazon, Facebook
Donald Trump!
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27. Are these future
changes seen as
negative or positive?
Most Positive:
Technology, Investment,
Emission reduction
Most Negative:
Climate change, Disease,
Consumer and National
debt
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28. Finally! Are there more or
less reported world
Strengths and Opportunities
versus Threats and
Weaknesses?
Identified strengths and
opportunities far outweigh
weaknesses and threats overall and
the future is seen to be POSITIVE!
Now use what you know to
increase your own and world
strengths, and hence reduce
weaknesses*, to make this chart
turn VERY POSITIVE!
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• Tip: Build your strengths to minimise your weaknesses. Don’t prioritize your
weaknesses to increase your strengths.
29. How to Use these Slides
• Identify key emerging opportunities and
risks that could impact your interest
topics, sector, country, job etc.
• Visit shapingtomorrow.com and search on
the identified emerging opportunity or
risk
• Use the center panel grid to create
immediate foresight reports, examine
infographics and view evidence in detail
and determine your collaborative
response using best practice,
collaborative futures tools in a few hours.
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30. Free ST Demo. Workshop, Keynote or Executive Briefings and Facilitation
Contact us for detailed help:
Kerry Richardson
+44 (0)1 273 832221
kerry.richardson@shapingtomorrow.com
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