The document summarizes a presentation given by Innovaro and Shell GameChanger about identifying potential 20-year growth opportunities through technology futures. It discusses who the presenters were, why they are interested in future growth, how Shell uses technology futures to explore innovation areas, what future insights and catalysts were highlighted. Some of the future insights presented included that by 2020 China will have 150 million cars and that water scarcity may cause future wars. The document also lists several potential innovation areas and catalysts over the short, medium, and long term like carbon markets, biofuels, and water desalination.

2. Possibility vs. Probability Technology Futures: Identifying 20 Year Growth Opportunities Future Trends 2007, Miami Tim Jones – Principal, Innovaro Leo Roodhart – VP Group GameChanger, Shell

4. Who? Innovaro / Gamechanger

6. Why? Future Growth

11. How? Shell Technology Futures

18. What? Future View

23. What? Insights and Catalysts

25. Avian Flu is the biggest threat to humanity – far greater than global warming, nuclear terrorism and natural disasters

26. People are already being tracked through their mobile phones – even when they are turned off.

27. In the USA today more people die from misprescriptions than from road accidents

28. Twenty five percent of corn is now used for ethanol production

29. It takes 400000 litres of water to build a car and 29 litres to make a single Starbucks cappuccino

31. Ford has only ever produced 90 million cars. By 2020 China will have 150 million cars.

32. The entire transport fuel needs of the USA can be supplied by advanced biofuels using a piece of land the size of Texas

33. The 2025 environment is being planned and built today.

34. By 2020 medical tourism will have extended beyond nip and tuck vacations to include recreational modification

35. Implants are here today in niche areas: By 2025 the outsiders will be those without an implant

36. Our identity will be based on our individual DNA profiles

37. Solitude will be a luxury – maybe a traded commodity

38. Water, not oil, is our key resource – we don’t have enough: Wars will be fought over it - consumption must change

42. Where? Docking Points

43. Docking Points

44. Africa: Mobile Payments

45. India: Low cost cataract operations

46. Singapore: Economic water desalination

47. Thank You