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From Maker to Mogul:
The Future of the Maker Movement in Business

                                Tim O’Reilly

                               May 15, 2012
              Hardware Innovation Workshop
We started out as a computer book publisher
What We Really Do At O'Reilly
 Find interesting technologies and people
  innovating from the edge

 Amplify their effectiveness by spreading the
  information needed for others to follow them.

 Our goal: “Changing the world by spreading the
  knowledge of innovators.”
O’Reilly Radar Methodology
 We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the
  futures they are already living in
 We then look for trend data that tells us that a
  particular future is becoming mainstream
 We do our best to think about possible
  consequences
O’Reilly Radar Methodology
 We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the
  futures they are already living in
 We then look for trend data that tells us that a
  particular future is becoming mainstream
 We do our best to think about possible
  consequences
O’Reilly Media Hardware books circa 2004
Great things begin with smart people having fun...
but they don’t end there
Innovation as a four-cylinder engine




  Image source: http://www.musicombustion.com/engineering.html
1. Have fun: How cool would it be to FLY?!!??
Have fun! OMG, I could have my own computer!
2. Think big: “A PC on every desk and in every home.”
Think big: “Access to all the world’s information”
3. Figure out how to actually build a business
4. The power of platforms: Create value for others
4. The power of platforms: Create value for others




            4
http://www.google.com/economicimpact/
Create more value than you capture
The Firing Order of the Innovation Engine
 First cylinder: Have fun!
 Second cylinder: “Hey, we can change the world!”
 Third cylinder: Build products, business models,
  companies, and entire industries
 Fourth cylinder: Maintain your ecosystem: Create
  more value than you capture
So where are people having fun today?
Jeff Han, NYU, Perceptive Pixel, at ETech, March 2006
iPhone: June 2007
2005: Seven Miles in Seven Hours
2011: Hundreds of thousands of miles in ordinary traffic
Simple stress monitor becomes much more
“It’s easier to invent the future
than it is to predict it.”

                         - Alan Kay
For More Information
   Twitter: @timoreilly, @oreillymedia, @make
   Blog: http://radar.oreilly.com
   My personal archive: http://tim.oreilly.com
   Maker Movement: http://makezine.com

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Hardware innovation (keynote file)

  • 1. From Maker to Mogul: The Future of the Maker Movement in Business Tim O’Reilly May 15, 2012 Hardware Innovation Workshop
  • 2. We started out as a computer book publisher
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. What We Really Do At O'Reilly  Find interesting technologies and people innovating from the edge  Amplify their effectiveness by spreading the information needed for others to follow them.  Our goal: “Changing the world by spreading the knowledge of innovators.”
  • 7. O’Reilly Radar Methodology  We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the futures they are already living in  We then look for trend data that tells us that a particular future is becoming mainstream  We do our best to think about possible consequences
  • 8. O’Reilly Radar Methodology  We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the futures they are already living in  We then look for trend data that tells us that a particular future is becoming mainstream  We do our best to think about possible consequences
  • 9. O’Reilly Media Hardware books circa 2004
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Great things begin with smart people having fun... but they don’t end there
  • 13. Innovation as a four-cylinder engine Image source: http://www.musicombustion.com/engineering.html
  • 14. 1. Have fun: How cool would it be to FLY?!!??
  • 15. Have fun! OMG, I could have my own computer!
  • 16. 2. Think big: “A PC on every desk and in every home.”
  • 17. Think big: “Access to all the world’s information”
  • 18. 3. Figure out how to actually build a business
  • 19. 4. The power of platforms: Create value for others
  • 20. 4. The power of platforms: Create value for others 4
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Create more value than you capture
  • 25. The Firing Order of the Innovation Engine  First cylinder: Have fun!  Second cylinder: “Hey, we can change the world!”  Third cylinder: Build products, business models, companies, and entire industries  Fourth cylinder: Maintain your ecosystem: Create more value than you capture
  • 26. So where are people having fun today?
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. Jeff Han, NYU, Perceptive Pixel, at ETech, March 2006
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. 2005: Seven Miles in Seven Hours
  • 39. 2011: Hundreds of thousands of miles in ordinary traffic
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. Simple stress monitor becomes much more
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. “It’s easier to invent the future than it is to predict it.” - Alan Kay
  • 48. For More Information  Twitter: @timoreilly, @oreillymedia, @make  Blog: http://radar.oreilly.com  My personal archive: http://tim.oreilly.com  Maker Movement: http://makezine.com

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  49. You see, back in 2005, when a car named Stanley won the DARPA Grand Challenge, it went seven miles in seven hours.\n
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