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Towards a Global Brain
                                             Tim O’Reilly
                                           O’Reilly Media

                         Warburg Pincus TMT CEO Retreat
                                         October 11, 2011




Monday, October 24, 11
“The skill of writing is to
                          create a context in which
                          other people can think.”

                                  -Edwin Schlossberg




Monday, October 24, 11
The Google Autonomous Vehicle




Monday, October 24, 11
The extraordinary convergence
                         of computing and human potential




Monday, October 24, 11
Towards a global brain




Monday, October 24, 11
The advent of global consciousness?




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
A few key assertions
    § We are building a network-mediated global mind
    § It is not skynet
    § It is us, augmented




Monday, October 24, 11
“global consciousness is
                         that thing responsible for
                         deciding that pots
                         containing decaffeinated
                         coffee should be orange”

                         – Danny Hillis (via Jeff Bezos)




                         –   http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/a/network/2005/03/16/etech_3.html




Monday, October 24, 11
Artificial Intelligence




                          “the science and engineering
                         of making intelligent machines”
                                   -John McCarthy, 1956


Monday, October 24, 11
Intelligence Augmentation




        “One cannot hope thus to equal the speed and flexibility with which the mind
        follows an associative trail, but it should be possible to beat the mind
        decisively in regard to the permanence and clarity of the items resurrected
        from storage.
        Consider a future device for individual use, which is a sort of mechanized
        private file and library. It needs a name, and, to coin one at random, "memex"
        will do.”
          – Vannevar Bush, As We May Think, 1945




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
A device that knows
                   where I am better than I
                   do, a knowing assistant
                   telling me where to go
                   and how to get there.




Monday, October 24, 11
Beyond information
                    retrieval: real time
                    connection with other
                    people and what they
                    know.




Monday, October 24, 11
Man-Computer Symbiosis


        “The hope is that, in not too many years, human
        brains and computing machines will be coupled
        together very tightly, and that the resulting
        partnership will think as no human brain has ever
        thought and process data in a way not approached by
        the information-handling machines we know today.”

           – Licklider, J.C.R., "Man-Computer Symbiosis", IRE Transactions on
             Human Factors in Electronics, vol. HFE-1, 4-11, Mar 1960. Eprint




Monday, October 24, 11
Harnessing Collective Intelligence




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
wikipedia




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
A device with eyes and
                   ears, with a sense of
                   place, and motion, and
                   proximity, with memory
                   of what it’s seen and
                   where it’s been, senses
                   sharper than our own.




Monday, October 24, 11
The spread of sensors
    § sensor platform slide




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
2005: Stanley Wins the DARPA Grand Challenge




Monday, October 24, 11
The “intelligent” devices of the future are cloud-connected
        “We don’t have better algorithms. We just have more
        data.” - Peter Norvig, Chief Scientist, Google




Monday, October 24, 11
Government as Platform




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
Vending Machine Government




                                 Vending Machine Gov concept from Donald Kettl:
                                 The Next Government of the United States


Monday, October 24, 11
We Need to Do More Than Shake the Vending Machine!




                         http://image06.webshots.com/6/2/57/50/190125750NgQXwu_ph.jpg


Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
The global brain is us,
                         connected and augmented




Monday, October 24, 11
Algorithmic Regulation




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
for profit colleges




Monday, October 24, 11
“Would you be willing to cross
                         the street with information that
                             was five minutes old?”
                                               -Jeff Jonas


Monday, October 24, 11
Vannevar Bush’s Memex - 1945




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
“Your job as a parent is to prepare
                             your child for the future.”




Monday, October 24, 11
If the global brain is still a child,
                          what should we be teaching it?
                           How should we be rearing it?




Monday, October 24, 11
Predictive analytics in information applications
                               mirrors human learning




Monday, October 24, 11
Our algorithms and the goals we set for them
                            mirror human vices and virtues




Monday, October 24, 11
We are all Khaled Said




Monday, October 24, 11
“Access to all the world’s information”

                            “How can applications be better
                               when they are social?”

                           “Changing the world by spreading
                             the knowledge of innovators”




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
How can we make the emerging global
                           consciousness not only smarter
                          and more resilient, but more moral?




Monday, October 24, 11
"The best minds of my generation are thinking
                         about how to make people click ads."
                                                  -Jeff Hammerbacher




Monday, October 24, 11
“Virtue is remembering what you really want”
                                                  -James O’Reilly




Monday, October 24, 11
Monday, October 24, 11
We’ve got one world. We’d better get it right.




Monday, October 24, 11

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