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Getting It Right
How disinformation drives the immigration
debate and what you can do to fix it

Tucson Outlooks Conference
Todd Landfried
Arizona Employers for Immigration Reform




                                            1
“It's not what you don't know that
gets you into trouble. It's what you
know for sure that just ain't so.”
                               Mark Twain




                                            2
How’d We Get Here?




                     3
How’d We Get Here?
 Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue




                                                          3
How’d We Get Here?
 Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue

 Myths, distortions and outright lies are more common than fact




                                                                  3
How’d We Get Here?
 Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue

 Myths, distortions and outright lies are more common than fact

 Rhetoric makes scapegoats of employers, workers and the federal
 government, causing them to respond with fear and inaction




                                                                   3
How’d We Get Here?
 Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue

 Myths, distortions and outright lies are more common than fact

 Rhetoric makes scapegoats of employers, workers and the federal
 government, causing them to respond with fear and inaction

 Polarizes people on moral, ethnic and economic grounds




                                                                   3
How’d We Get Here?
 Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue

 Myths, distortions and outright lies are more common than fact

 Rhetoric makes scapegoats of employers, workers and the federal
 government, causing them to respond with fear and inaction

 Polarizes people on moral, ethnic and economic grounds

 A potent “third-rail” issue where real solutions aren’t an option




                                                                     3
Emotion Trumps Reason




                        4
Emotion Trumps Reason
 Groups with clear biases, outrageous claims and questionable
 research are cited as experts -- without challenge

  FAIR → CIS → NumbersUSA




                                                                4
Emotion Trumps Reason
 Groups with clear biases, outrageous claims and questionable
 research are cited as experts -- without challenge

  FAIR → CIS → NumbersUSA

 Solid academic research ignored because of alleged or
 manufactured “bias”




                                                                4
Emotion Trumps Reason
 Groups with clear biases, outrageous claims and questionable
 research are cited as experts -- without challenge

  FAIR → CIS → NumbersUSA

 Solid academic research ignored because of alleged or
 manufactured “bias”

 “On-the-ground” expertise and data are ignored




                                                                4
Emotion Trumps Reason
 Groups with clear biases, outrageous claims and questionable
 research are cited as experts -- without challenge

  FAIR → CIS → NumbersUSA

 Solid academic research ignored because of alleged or
 manufactured “bias”

 “On-the-ground” expertise and data are ignored

 Media, business, community leaders fail to hold proponents
 accountable - it is nothing short of a lack of courage


                                                                4
Why No Accountability?




                         5
Why No Accountability?
 They believe what they’re told, e.g., “Don’t question authority”

 They’re not aware they’re being lied to:

  Why? No access to alternative information or solutions to prove otherwise

 Intimidated into silence or complacency

 No intellectual curiosity: “where ignorance is bliss, ‘tis folly to be wise”

 Don’t want to know the truth




                                                                                5
“A salient characteristic of the
current debate on U.S.
immigration policy is the high
ratio of hot air to data.”
                           Dr. Douglas Massey
                Co-director, Mexican Migration Project
                                  Princeton University
                              mmp.opr.princeton.edu



                                                         6
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   7
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   8
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   8
“A lie gets halfway around the world
before the truth gets its boots on.”
                   Charles Haddon Spurgeon
                            19th Century Minister




                                                    9
Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   10
Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   10
Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12   10
PolitiFact Immigration Checks




Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 203   11
PolitiFact Immigration Checks
       Pants On                            Mostly                    Mostly
                          FALSE                          Half True            TRUE
         Fire                              False                      True
             19              56               33               41      31      23

           9.4%            27.6%           16.3%             20.25   15.3%    11.3%

                                      Wrong 88.7%                             11.3%




Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 203                    11
PolitiFact Immigration Checks
       Pants On                            Mostly                    Mostly
                          FALSE                          Half True            TRUE
         Fire                              False                      True
             19              56               33               41      31      23

           9.4%            27.6%           16.3%             20.25   15.3%    11.3%

                                      Wrong 88.7%                             11.3%




Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 203                    11
Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 1/18/12. N = 203   12
9 out of 10

Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 1/18/12. N = 203   12
o n
              r of 10
            W g
           9 out

Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 1/18/12. N = 203   12
AZ FactCheck: Immigration




Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 49   13
AZ FactCheck: Immigration
                             Mostly         Somewhat False
         FALSE                              Somewhat True          Mostly True   TRUE
                             False
            29                   4                  8                  4          4

          59.2%               8.2%               16.3%                8.2%       8.2%

                                  Wrong 91.8%                                    8.2%




Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 49                        13
AZ FactCheck: Immigration
                             Mostly         Somewhat False
         FALSE                              Somewhat True          Mostly True   TRUE
                             False
            29                   4                  8                  4          4

          59.2%               8.2%               16.3%                8.2%       8.2%

                                  Wrong 91.8%                                    8.2%




Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 49                        13
Source: AZ Fact Check, Immigration list checked 1/18/11. N = 57   14
9 out of 10

Source: AZ Fact Check, Immigration list checked 1/18/11. N = 57   14
o n
              r of 10
            W g
           9 out

Source: AZ Fact Check, Immigration list checked 1/18/11. N = 57   14
Birthright Fallacy
      U.S. Citizen




     Citizen Child




Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service


                                                   15
Birthright Fallacy
      U.S. Citizen
                        Spouse              3 years

                 Minor Child                       7 years

                         Sibling                              22 years
     Citizen Child
                       Parents


                       Siblings


                                   0          6     12   18   24    30     36   42   48   54   60
                                                                   Years
Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service


                                                              15
Birthright Fallacy
      U.S. Citizen
                        Spouse              3 years

                 Minor Child                        7 years

                         Sibling                                     22 years
     Citizen Child
                       Parents                     Ineligible


                       Siblings                    Ineligible

                                   0          6        12       18   24    30     36   42   48   54   60
                                                                          Years
Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service


                                                                     15
Birthright Fallacy
      U.S. Citizen
                        Spouse              3 years

                 Minor Child                        7 years

                         Sibling                                     22 years
     Citizen Child
                       Parents                     Ineligible        Penalty


                       Siblings                    Ineligible        Penalty

                                   0          6        12       18   24        30   36   42   48   54   60
                                                                          Years
Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service


                                                                     15
Birthright Fallacy
      U.S. Citizen
                        Spouse              3 years

                 Minor Child                        7 years

                         Sibling                                     22 years
     Citizen Child
                       Parents                     Ineligible        Penalty        Wait


                       Siblings                    Ineligible        Penalty        Wait

                                   0          6        12       18   24        30     36   42   48   54   60
                                                                          Years
Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service


                                                                     15
Birthright Fallacy
      U.S. Citizen
                        Spouse              3 years

                 Minor Child                        7 years

                         Sibling                                     22 years
     Citizen Child
                       Parents                     Ineligible        Penalty        Wait   38 years

                       Siblings                    Ineligible        Penalty        Wait

                                   0          6        12       18   24        30     36   42   48    54   60
                                                                          Years
Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service


                                                                     15
Birthright Fallacy
      U.S. Citizen
                        Spouse              3 years

                 Minor Child                        7 years

                         Sibling                                     22 years
     Citizen Child
                       Parents                     Ineligible        Penalty        Wait   38 years

                       Siblings                    Ineligible        Penalty        Wait               53 years
                                   0          6        12       18   24        30     36   42   48    54   60
                                                                          Years
Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service


                                                                     15
Unemployment Fallacy




                       16
Unemployment Fallacy




Source: Kansas Dept. Of Labor
                                17
Unemployment Fallacy
2010 Census: Hispanic Population




                                   18
Unemployment Fallacy
December 2010 Unemployment Rate




                                  19
Agriculture Wage Fallacy
                                     Arizona Minimum Wage                            Arizona AEWR




Source: US Dept. Of Agriculture, http://www.usda.gov/oce/labor/Files/aewr_data.xls                  20
Agriculture Wage Fallacy
                                     Arizona Minimum Wage                              Arizona AEWR

  $11.00

  $10.00

   $9.00

   $8.00

   $7.00

   $6.00

   $5.00

   $4.00

   $3.00
        1990          1992       1994        1997        1998       2000        2002   2004   2006    2008   2010


Source: US Dept. Of Agriculture, http://www.usda.gov/oce/labor/Files/aewr_data.xls                                  20
Agriculture Wage Fallacy
                                     Arizona Minimum Wage                              Arizona AEWR

  $11.00

  $10.00

   $9.00

   $8.00

   $7.00

   $6.00

   $5.00

   $4.00

   $3.00
        1990          1992       1994        1997        1998       2000        2002   2004   2006    2008   2010


Source: US Dept. Of Agriculture, http://www.usda.gov/oce/labor/Files/aewr_data.xls                                  20
Economic Fallacies
Unauthorized       Claim        Reality   Difference


 Education Costs   $810M        $379M      +214%



  Health Costs     $400M         $24M      +1,600%



  Tax Payments     $257M        $2.84B     -1,100%




                           21
Economics of Population Loss
         Immigrant Pop.                Gross State                                                              Tax Revenue
                                                                Income Loss                    Job Loss
            Decline                   Product Loss                                                                  Loss

                  15%                       $8.3B                      $5.3B                     99,000           $636M

                  30%                      $14.4B                      $9.4B                    172,000           $1.27B

                  50%                       $20B                      $15.7B                    291,000           $2.11B

                 100%                      $48.8B                     $29.5B                    581,000           $4.22B




Source: "A Rising Tide or a Shrinking Pie," M. Fitz and R. Hinojosa, Immigration Policy Council, March, 2011.


                                                                          22
Crime Fallacies
      Unauthorized                  Claim               Reality   Difference

     % in Federal Prison              35%                17.5%     +200%

      % in AZ Prisons*                33%                13.2%     +240%

       Violent Crime
                                     18.6%               15.2%     +122%
      Drop 3X US Avg.
         Hate Crime
                               Not a problem             +68%      +6,800%
       Increase ‘07-’10

        Identity Theft               100%                0.9%      -99.1%


* Includes green card and undocumented prisoners

                                                   23
Source: http://www.azcorrections.gov/data_info_081111.pdf   24
25
25
25
25
25
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   26
1,592

Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   26
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   27
162

Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   27
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   28
10%

Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   28
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   29
90%

Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   29
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   30
30

Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   30
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   31
5

Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   31
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   32
16%

Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   32
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   33
84%

Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary   33
“The greatest threat to democracy
is having a public that thinks it is
fully informed, but really isn’t very
well informed at all.”
                                 Linda Foley




                                               34
Been There, Done That
 Restrictive immigration laws are not new to our country

    Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882, The Gentleman’s Agreement of 1907, The
    Immigration Act of 1924, and Bracero Program of 1942

 In the last several years, restrictive laws have gained favor again

    All started with one sponsor at the city, county and state level

    All relied upon the same bad data we’ve just discussed

 So what were their results?




                                                                            35
Sound Good?




              36
Sound Good?
✓Shrinking workforce
✓Significant population loss
✓Significantly fewer consumers
✓Business layoffs & closures
✓Broad tax base decline
✓Foreclosures up, values down
✓Damage to business climate
✓Loss of investment interest

                                36
Impacts In Other Jurisdictions




                                 37
Impacts In Other Jurisdictions
 Prince William County, VA (2007) - $14.9M to train & enforce
 county officers, not county jurisdictional officers; foreclosure rate
 3X regional rate; business closures up 45%

 Farmer’s Branch, TX (2007) - $5M in lawsuit costs, increased
 vacancy rates, lower property values, businesses closed

 Hazelton, PA (2007) - $5M in lawsuit costs, increased foreclosure
 and vacancy rates, lower property values, businesses closed




                                                                       37
Impacts In Other Jurisdictions




Source: A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analysis of the Impact of the Oklahoma Taxpayer and Citizen Protection Act of 2007
                                                                                                                                    38
Impacts In Other Jurisdictions
                Oklahoma Taxpayer & Citizen Protection Act (2007) - Oklahoma
                Bankers Association study found the loss of 90,000 unauthorized
                workers/families resulted in net Gross State Product loss of $1.9B

                   Urban Institute found negligible impact on savings on public services
                   from departure of the undocumented because by law they’re ineligible
                   for those benefits in the first place




Source: A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analysis of the Impact of the Oklahoma Taxpayer and Citizen Protection Act of 2007
                                                                                                                                    38
State of Arizona




Source: Public Policy Institute of California. www.ppic.org/content/pubs/report/R_311MLR.pdf   39
State of Arizona
                    Impacts of Legal Arizona Workers Act (2007)

                       Has resulted in the hiring of fewer undocumented workers

                       Has reduced undocumented population by 92,000 unrelated to the
                       recession

                       BUT - a dramatic shift to cash-based, self-employment, thus
                       weakening the tax base

                       Reduced size of the labor pool in construction, retail, restaurant,
                       hospitality and agriculture businesses



Source: Public Policy Institute of California. www.ppic.org/content/pubs/report/R_311MLR.pdf   39
State of Arizona




                   40
State of Arizona
 Impacts of SB 1070 (2010)

  $5M+ to train law enforcement

  $186M in near-term convention and related tourism losses

  $14.4B loss in Arizona GSP with departure of 30% undocumented
  workers and families; $48.4B if they all leave

  172,000 related job losses

  $40.7M loss in state tax revenues




                                                                  40
They Did It
Anyway
Alabama
Indiana
Georgia
South Carolina
Utah




                 41
Georgia: Following AZ’s Lead




                               42
Georgia: Following AZ’s Lead
 Ignoring history and evidence of policy failures, GA bill was signed
 on May 12, 2011

 Georgia felt the impact within days

  Farmers lost field workers during prime spring harvest season and the
  state’s Farm Bureau projected immediate losses at $330M

  Gov. Deal called for impact study 14 days AFTER the law was passed

  “Pilot” probationer employment program for agriculture failed miserably:
  needed 11,000 and 14 showed up and two remained a week later



                                                                             42
Prison Farm Labor?




                     43
Prison Farm Labor?
How many support giving prison laborers this knife?




                                                      43
Prison Farm Labor?
How many support giving prison laborers this knife?




                          12”


                                                      43
Alabama: Following AZ’s Lead




                               44
Alabama: Following AZ’s Lead
 Alabama’s law signed on June 9, 2011

 Alabama felt the impact within days

  Construction industry stalled as workers leave, slowing down
  rebuilding process following spring tornado storms

  Many businesses will lay off workers or close because they have no
  expectation that “American” workers will do the work

  Long-term growers of crops that are hand-picked are switching to
  crops that can be mechanized



                                                                       44
Quiz
 Doing the same thing over and over and
 expecting a different result is the definition of...




                                                       45
Quiz
 Doing the same thing over and over and
 expecting a different result is the definition of...


           INSANITY


                                                       45
Quiz
 Doing the same thing over and over and
 expecting a different result is the definition of...


           INSANITY


                                                       45
This Doesn’t Work
 Non-federal immigration laws have not worked anywhere

 No study exists that shows positive impacts of any state-level
 immigration law

 All studies show negative economic and social consequences

 Successful Russell Pearce recall shows sensible immigration
 reform can be a winning campaign issue

 Federal reform is impossible without state and local pressure



                                                                  46
Taking Charge of Change
 Other solutions exist that can address the immigration problem

  Ellis Island Centers on the border

  Maricopa C.A. Bill Montgomery’s S.A.N.E. Immigration plan

 No need to grant amnesty

 Focus on addressing labor and security issues at the same time

 Solving the labor issue makes security more feasible more quickly




                                                                     47
Taking Charge of Change
 Stop believing everything you hear - 9 times out of 10 it’s wrong

 Stop remaining silent - demand changes to bad laws

  Business, faith, legal, and community leaders must speak out
  together

 Start demanding state and federal candidates talk about their
 solutions and demand specific timelines for action

 Get involved in business coalitions like AZEIR, Real Arizona, etc.




                                                                      48
Getting Involved Works!
 The approach of speaking out, building coalitions, education,
 proactive media use and legislative interaction works:

  Utah - - along with the Utah Compact (another coalition effort),
  defeated HB 70 and spawned creation of innovative guest worker
  programs in 2011 and retries in 2012

  Kansas - defeated Kris Kobach’s copycats in 2011 & 2012

  Texas - defeated copycat bills in regular and special legislative session

  Arizona - defeated five SB1070 follow-on bills in 2011



                                                                              49
Take-aways
 Bad data + fear + anger = bad policy and bad laws

 Misinformation, distortions, half-truths, lies and fear are driving the
 debate and are justifying extreme and exaggerated actions

 Arizona’s approach has been tried before and failed everywhere

 Stop being complacent and get involved

 Demand better solutions - our economic future depends on it




                                                                           50
Thank You
Todd Landfried
Arizona Employers for Immigration Reform
Email: todd@azeir.org

www.azeir.org




                                           51

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Tucson Outlooks Talk

  • 1. Getting It Right How disinformation drives the immigration debate and what you can do to fix it Tucson Outlooks Conference Todd Landfried Arizona Employers for Immigration Reform 1
  • 2. “It's not what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so.” Mark Twain 2
  • 3. How’d We Get Here? 3
  • 4. How’d We Get Here? Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue 3
  • 5. How’d We Get Here? Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue Myths, distortions and outright lies are more common than fact 3
  • 6. How’d We Get Here? Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue Myths, distortions and outright lies are more common than fact Rhetoric makes scapegoats of employers, workers and the federal government, causing them to respond with fear and inaction 3
  • 7. How’d We Get Here? Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue Myths, distortions and outright lies are more common than fact Rhetoric makes scapegoats of employers, workers and the federal government, causing them to respond with fear and inaction Polarizes people on moral, ethnic and economic grounds 3
  • 8. How’d We Get Here? Partisanship, ideology and fear are driving this issue Myths, distortions and outright lies are more common than fact Rhetoric makes scapegoats of employers, workers and the federal government, causing them to respond with fear and inaction Polarizes people on moral, ethnic and economic grounds A potent “third-rail” issue where real solutions aren’t an option 3
  • 10. Emotion Trumps Reason Groups with clear biases, outrageous claims and questionable research are cited as experts -- without challenge FAIR → CIS → NumbersUSA 4
  • 11. Emotion Trumps Reason Groups with clear biases, outrageous claims and questionable research are cited as experts -- without challenge FAIR → CIS → NumbersUSA Solid academic research ignored because of alleged or manufactured “bias” 4
  • 12. Emotion Trumps Reason Groups with clear biases, outrageous claims and questionable research are cited as experts -- without challenge FAIR → CIS → NumbersUSA Solid academic research ignored because of alleged or manufactured “bias” “On-the-ground” expertise and data are ignored 4
  • 13. Emotion Trumps Reason Groups with clear biases, outrageous claims and questionable research are cited as experts -- without challenge FAIR → CIS → NumbersUSA Solid academic research ignored because of alleged or manufactured “bias” “On-the-ground” expertise and data are ignored Media, business, community leaders fail to hold proponents accountable - it is nothing short of a lack of courage 4
  • 15. Why No Accountability? They believe what they’re told, e.g., “Don’t question authority” They’re not aware they’re being lied to: Why? No access to alternative information or solutions to prove otherwise Intimidated into silence or complacency No intellectual curiosity: “where ignorance is bliss, ‘tis folly to be wise” Don’t want to know the truth 5
  • 16. “A salient characteristic of the current debate on U.S. immigration policy is the high ratio of hot air to data.” Dr. Douglas Massey Co-director, Mexican Migration Project Princeton University mmp.opr.princeton.edu 6
  • 17. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 18. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 19. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 20. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 21. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 22. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 23. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 24. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 25. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 26. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 7
  • 27. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 8
  • 28. Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 8
  • 29. “A lie gets halfway around the world before the truth gets its boots on.” Charles Haddon Spurgeon 19th Century Minister 9
  • 30. Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 10
  • 31. Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 10
  • 32. Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12 10
  • 33. PolitiFact Immigration Checks Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 203 11
  • 34. PolitiFact Immigration Checks Pants On Mostly Mostly FALSE Half True TRUE Fire False True 19 56 33 41 31 23 9.4% 27.6% 16.3% 20.25 15.3% 11.3% Wrong 88.7% 11.3% Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 203 11
  • 35. PolitiFact Immigration Checks Pants On Mostly Mostly FALSE Half True TRUE Fire False True 19 56 33 41 31 23 9.4% 27.6% 16.3% 20.25 15.3% 11.3% Wrong 88.7% 11.3% Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 203 11
  • 36. Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 1/18/12. N = 203 12
  • 37. 9 out of 10 Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 1/18/12. N = 203 12
  • 38. o n r of 10 W g 9 out Source: PolitiFact.com immigration topic, updated 1/18/12. N = 203 12
  • 39. AZ FactCheck: Immigration Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 49 13
  • 40. AZ FactCheck: Immigration Mostly Somewhat False FALSE Somewhat True Mostly True TRUE False 29 4 8 4 4 59.2% 8.2% 16.3% 8.2% 8.2% Wrong 91.8% 8.2% Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 49 13
  • 41. AZ FactCheck: Immigration Mostly Somewhat False FALSE Somewhat True Mostly True TRUE False 29 4 8 4 4 59.2% 8.2% 16.3% 8.2% 8.2% Wrong 91.8% 8.2% Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 49 13
  • 42. Source: AZ Fact Check, Immigration list checked 1/18/11. N = 57 14
  • 43. 9 out of 10 Source: AZ Fact Check, Immigration list checked 1/18/11. N = 57 14
  • 44. o n r of 10 W g 9 out Source: AZ Fact Check, Immigration list checked 1/18/11. N = 57 14
  • 45. Birthright Fallacy U.S. Citizen Citizen Child Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service 15
  • 46. Birthright Fallacy U.S. Citizen Spouse 3 years Minor Child 7 years Sibling 22 years Citizen Child Parents Siblings 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Years Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service 15
  • 47. Birthright Fallacy U.S. Citizen Spouse 3 years Minor Child 7 years Sibling 22 years Citizen Child Parents Ineligible Siblings Ineligible 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Years Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service 15
  • 48. Birthright Fallacy U.S. Citizen Spouse 3 years Minor Child 7 years Sibling 22 years Citizen Child Parents Ineligible Penalty Siblings Ineligible Penalty 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Years Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service 15
  • 49. Birthright Fallacy U.S. Citizen Spouse 3 years Minor Child 7 years Sibling 22 years Citizen Child Parents Ineligible Penalty Wait Siblings Ineligible Penalty Wait 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Years Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service 15
  • 50. Birthright Fallacy U.S. Citizen Spouse 3 years Minor Child 7 years Sibling 22 years Citizen Child Parents Ineligible Penalty Wait 38 years Siblings Ineligible Penalty Wait 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Years Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service 15
  • 51. Birthright Fallacy U.S. Citizen Spouse 3 years Minor Child 7 years Sibling 22 years Citizen Child Parents Ineligible Penalty Wait 38 years Siblings Ineligible Penalty Wait 53 years 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Years Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service 15
  • 54. Unemployment Fallacy 2010 Census: Hispanic Population 18
  • 55. Unemployment Fallacy December 2010 Unemployment Rate 19
  • 56. Agriculture Wage Fallacy Arizona Minimum Wage Arizona AEWR Source: US Dept. Of Agriculture, http://www.usda.gov/oce/labor/Files/aewr_data.xls 20
  • 57. Agriculture Wage Fallacy Arizona Minimum Wage Arizona AEWR $11.00 $10.00 $9.00 $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 1990 1992 1994 1997 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Source: US Dept. Of Agriculture, http://www.usda.gov/oce/labor/Files/aewr_data.xls 20
  • 58. Agriculture Wage Fallacy Arizona Minimum Wage Arizona AEWR $11.00 $10.00 $9.00 $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 1990 1992 1994 1997 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Source: US Dept. Of Agriculture, http://www.usda.gov/oce/labor/Files/aewr_data.xls 20
  • 59. Economic Fallacies Unauthorized Claim Reality Difference Education Costs $810M $379M +214% Health Costs $400M $24M +1,600% Tax Payments $257M $2.84B -1,100% 21
  • 60. Economics of Population Loss Immigrant Pop. Gross State Tax Revenue Income Loss Job Loss Decline Product Loss Loss 15% $8.3B $5.3B 99,000 $636M 30% $14.4B $9.4B 172,000 $1.27B 50% $20B $15.7B 291,000 $2.11B 100% $48.8B $29.5B 581,000 $4.22B Source: "A Rising Tide or a Shrinking Pie," M. Fitz and R. Hinojosa, Immigration Policy Council, March, 2011. 22
  • 61. Crime Fallacies Unauthorized Claim Reality Difference % in Federal Prison 35% 17.5% +200% % in AZ Prisons* 33% 13.2% +240% Violent Crime 18.6% 15.2% +122% Drop 3X US Avg. Hate Crime Not a problem +68% +6,800% Increase ‘07-’10 Identity Theft 100% 0.9% -99.1% * Includes green card and undocumented prisoners 23
  • 63. 25
  • 64. 25
  • 65. 25
  • 66. 25
  • 67. 25
  • 68. Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 26
  • 69. 1,592 Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 26
  • 70. Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 27
  • 71. 162 Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 27
  • 72. Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 28
  • 73. 10% Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 28
  • 74. Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 29
  • 75. 90% Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 29
  • 76. Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 30
  • 77. 30 Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 30
  • 78. Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 31
  • 79. 5 Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 31
  • 80. Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 32
  • 81. 16% Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 32
  • 82. Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 33
  • 83. 84% Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary 33
  • 84. “The greatest threat to democracy is having a public that thinks it is fully informed, but really isn’t very well informed at all.” Linda Foley 34
  • 85. Been There, Done That Restrictive immigration laws are not new to our country Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882, The Gentleman’s Agreement of 1907, The Immigration Act of 1924, and Bracero Program of 1942 In the last several years, restrictive laws have gained favor again All started with one sponsor at the city, county and state level All relied upon the same bad data we’ve just discussed So what were their results? 35
  • 87. Sound Good? ✓Shrinking workforce ✓Significant population loss ✓Significantly fewer consumers ✓Business layoffs & closures ✓Broad tax base decline ✓Foreclosures up, values down ✓Damage to business climate ✓Loss of investment interest 36
  • 88. Impacts In Other Jurisdictions 37
  • 89. Impacts In Other Jurisdictions Prince William County, VA (2007) - $14.9M to train & enforce county officers, not county jurisdictional officers; foreclosure rate 3X regional rate; business closures up 45% Farmer’s Branch, TX (2007) - $5M in lawsuit costs, increased vacancy rates, lower property values, businesses closed Hazelton, PA (2007) - $5M in lawsuit costs, increased foreclosure and vacancy rates, lower property values, businesses closed 37
  • 90. Impacts In Other Jurisdictions Source: A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analysis of the Impact of the Oklahoma Taxpayer and Citizen Protection Act of 2007 38
  • 91. Impacts In Other Jurisdictions Oklahoma Taxpayer & Citizen Protection Act (2007) - Oklahoma Bankers Association study found the loss of 90,000 unauthorized workers/families resulted in net Gross State Product loss of $1.9B Urban Institute found negligible impact on savings on public services from departure of the undocumented because by law they’re ineligible for those benefits in the first place Source: A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analysis of the Impact of the Oklahoma Taxpayer and Citizen Protection Act of 2007 38
  • 92. State of Arizona Source: Public Policy Institute of California. www.ppic.org/content/pubs/report/R_311MLR.pdf 39
  • 93. State of Arizona Impacts of Legal Arizona Workers Act (2007) Has resulted in the hiring of fewer undocumented workers Has reduced undocumented population by 92,000 unrelated to the recession BUT - a dramatic shift to cash-based, self-employment, thus weakening the tax base Reduced size of the labor pool in construction, retail, restaurant, hospitality and agriculture businesses Source: Public Policy Institute of California. www.ppic.org/content/pubs/report/R_311MLR.pdf 39
  • 95. State of Arizona Impacts of SB 1070 (2010) $5M+ to train law enforcement $186M in near-term convention and related tourism losses $14.4B loss in Arizona GSP with departure of 30% undocumented workers and families; $48.4B if they all leave 172,000 related job losses $40.7M loss in state tax revenues 40
  • 98. Georgia: Following AZ’s Lead Ignoring history and evidence of policy failures, GA bill was signed on May 12, 2011 Georgia felt the impact within days Farmers lost field workers during prime spring harvest season and the state’s Farm Bureau projected immediate losses at $330M Gov. Deal called for impact study 14 days AFTER the law was passed “Pilot” probationer employment program for agriculture failed miserably: needed 11,000 and 14 showed up and two remained a week later 42
  • 100. Prison Farm Labor? How many support giving prison laborers this knife? 43
  • 101. Prison Farm Labor? How many support giving prison laborers this knife? 12” 43
  • 103. Alabama: Following AZ’s Lead Alabama’s law signed on June 9, 2011 Alabama felt the impact within days Construction industry stalled as workers leave, slowing down rebuilding process following spring tornado storms Many businesses will lay off workers or close because they have no expectation that “American” workers will do the work Long-term growers of crops that are hand-picked are switching to crops that can be mechanized 44
  • 104. Quiz Doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result is the definition of... 45
  • 105. Quiz Doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result is the definition of... INSANITY 45
  • 106. Quiz Doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result is the definition of... INSANITY 45
  • 107. This Doesn’t Work Non-federal immigration laws have not worked anywhere No study exists that shows positive impacts of any state-level immigration law All studies show negative economic and social consequences Successful Russell Pearce recall shows sensible immigration reform can be a winning campaign issue Federal reform is impossible without state and local pressure 46
  • 108. Taking Charge of Change Other solutions exist that can address the immigration problem Ellis Island Centers on the border Maricopa C.A. Bill Montgomery’s S.A.N.E. Immigration plan No need to grant amnesty Focus on addressing labor and security issues at the same time Solving the labor issue makes security more feasible more quickly 47
  • 109. Taking Charge of Change Stop believing everything you hear - 9 times out of 10 it’s wrong Stop remaining silent - demand changes to bad laws Business, faith, legal, and community leaders must speak out together Start demanding state and federal candidates talk about their solutions and demand specific timelines for action Get involved in business coalitions like AZEIR, Real Arizona, etc. 48
  • 110. Getting Involved Works! The approach of speaking out, building coalitions, education, proactive media use and legislative interaction works: Utah - - along with the Utah Compact (another coalition effort), defeated HB 70 and spawned creation of innovative guest worker programs in 2011 and retries in 2012 Kansas - defeated Kris Kobach’s copycats in 2011 & 2012 Texas - defeated copycat bills in regular and special legislative session Arizona - defeated five SB1070 follow-on bills in 2011 49
  • 111. Take-aways Bad data + fear + anger = bad policy and bad laws Misinformation, distortions, half-truths, lies and fear are driving the debate and are justifying extreme and exaggerated actions Arizona’s approach has been tried before and failed everywhere Stop being complacent and get involved Demand better solutions - our economic future depends on it 50
  • 112. Thank You Todd Landfried Arizona Employers for Immigration Reform Email: todd@azeir.org www.azeir.org 51

Editor's Notes

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  20. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  21. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  22. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  23. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  24. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  25. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  26. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  27. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  28. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  29. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  30. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
  31. An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
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  61. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  62. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  63. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  64. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  65. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  66. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  67. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  68. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  69. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  70. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  71. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  72. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  73. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  74. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  75. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  76. EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
  77. Example #5 - Jobs fallacy\n\nThese next two slides tell an amazing tale. We’re told to believe that wherever there are immigrant workers, there is high unemployment. These maps shows that simply isn’t the case. \n
  78. http://www.dol.ks.gov/LMIS/newsrel/pr1013/map.html\n\nThe other question this begs is what happens to those jobs in the processing plants if ill-conceived immigration laws are passed? What the business owners are telling the legislature and their trade associations, is they will close the plants and move them to where they can get the labor, most likely Mexico. So what impact with THAT decision have on the Kansas economy?\n
  79. \n
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  81. Farm wages in agriculture are higher than the state minimum wage and often include piece-work rates that can add significantly to workers wages.\n
  82. Farm wages in agriculture are higher than the state minimum wage and often include piece-work rates that can add significantly to workers wages.\n
  83. Farm wages in agriculture are higher than the state minimum wage and often include piece-work rates that can add significantly to workers wages.\n
  84. EXAMPLE #4: How exaggerating data distorts public perceptions of the problem.\n\nThis table highlights some of the more egregious falsehoods told on a daily basis about immigrants in Arizona. The data for Texas is similar, but all highlight the problems of rhetoric of "hot air."\n\nPrison population data: http://www.azcorrections.gov/adc/reports/Zoya_ethnic.aspx\nEducation costs data: Estimates based on larger estimate of http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/statistics/publications/ois_ill_pe_2010.pdf or http://www.migrationinformation.org/DataHub/charts/MPIDataHub-Children-in-immigrant-families.xls (12.2% or 61,507 undocumented population <=17 yrs x $6,170 = $379,498,190)\nHealth care costs data: Illegal Immigration: Perceptions and Realities, ASU Morrison Inst.\nTax Payments data: “A Rising Tide or a Shrinking Pie,” CAP, http://www.immigrationpolicy.org/special-reports/rising-tide-or-shrinking-pie \n\n\n
  85. SB1070 has had a brutal impact on Arizona’s economy already, but what would happen if all aspects of SB1070 were passed into law? \n\nSuffice it to say, the economic and jobs damage would be enormous. If SB1070 is fully implemented, the impacts on Arizona’s economy would be worse than during the last recession by doubling the numbers of lost jobs (275,000 to 581,000) and reducing Gross State Product by $48.8B and tax revenues by $4.2B. \n\nThere has to be a better way and there are better ways. What’s important is that you hear about them.\n\nSource: http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/03/rising_tide.html \n
  86. EXAMPLE #4 continued: How exaggerating data distorts public perceptions of the problem.\n\nCrime statistics claims don’t match up with reality.\n\nFederal Prison data: http://www.bop.gov/news/quick.jsp#2 \nAZ Prison data: http://www.azcorrections.gov/adc/reports/Zoya_ethnic.aspx\nViolent crime data: http://www.azdps.gov/About/Reports/Crime_In_Arizona/\nHate crime data: http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/ucr#hate\nID Theft data: http://www.adc.state.az.us/BudgetHearings2012.pdf\n
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  92. The number of immigration-related bills introduced in 2011\n
  93. The number of immigration-related bills passed in 2011\n
  94. The success rate of immigration-related bills passed in 2011\n
  95. The percentage of immigration-related bills failed in 2011.\n
  96. The percentage of immigration-related bills failed in 2011.\n
  97. The number of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills introduced in 2011\n
  98. The number of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills passed in 2011\n
  99. The percentage of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills passed in 2011\n
  100. The percentage of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills failing in 2011\n
  101. The percentage of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills failing in 2011\n
  102. The greatest threat to Democracy is having a public that thinks it is fully informed, but really isn’t very well informed at all. Too often in this digital age, we jump right to the debate without having the facts. We need good, quality journalism so we the citizens of the United States, who live in a very complex world are able to say “These are the facts. I know what the facts are and I’m going to make my decision as an informed citizen.”\n\nThree things you need to know about this presentation\nParty and ideology have nothing to do with this presentation. It’s only intent is to present facts. \nIt’s purpose is to challenge false beliefs and preconceived notions.\nThe information presented herein are based on verifiable public data obtained from recognized sources with sources listed at the bottom of each slide.\n
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