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10.05.2015
4As strategy festival
TELLING STORIES
WITH DATA
co: 2
TOM MORTON
DIRECTOR OF STRATEGY
CO:COLLECTIVE
@TOMMORTON
@THEDATAOFCOOL
@COCOLLECTIVE
co: 3
BRAND STRATEGISTS
NEED TO GET GOOD
AT DATA: HERE’S WHY
co: 4
THE WORLD IS MORE DATA-RICH.
BUSINESSES EXPECT TO MAKE
DATA-INFORMED DECISIONS.
THIS SHOULD BE A WAKE-UP CALL
TO STRATEGISTS.
co: 5
ONCE UPON A TIME…
"The account planner is that
member of the agency's
team who is the expert at
working with information
and getting it used - not just
marketing research but all
the information available to
help solve the client's
advertising problems.”
co: 6
— Name, 2005
6
“Numerate graduates with an
interest in human psychology.”
— Boase Massimi Pollitt recruitment ad, 1972
co: 7
SO WHERE WERE WE WHEN BUSINESS
WENT FULL-ON DATA?
“You told us that market and
technology factors are the
two most powerful external forces
affecting your organization today.
The four biggest challenges you
identified were the explosion of
data, social media, the
proliferation of channels and
devices, shifting demographics.”
Source: IBM CMO survey, 2011
co: 8
MCKINSEY
CLAIMS THAT
THE US ECONOMY
NEEDS AT LEAST
1.5 MILLION
MORE DATA
PROFESSIONALS
co: 9
— Name, 2005
9
“Separating the poets from the quants will be a
disaster for strategic planning in particular,
allowing some planners to exempt themselves
from the data they can't be bothered to
investigate, and allowing other people to think
that they are a strategist though they haven't a
brand strategy or creative bone in their body.”
— Richard Huntingdon, Saatchi & Saatchi, 2012
co: 10
— Name, 2005
10
“Data doesn’t narrow your choices.
It opens your mind.”
— Venetia Taylor, Google, June 2015
co: 11
STRATEGISTS’ USE OF DATA
NEEDS TO SHIFT AWAY
FROM OPTIMIZING AT THE END
TO INSPIRING AT THE BEGINNING.
co: 12
DATA IS JUST EVIDENCE
OF HUMAN BEHAVIOR.
THE MATH IS PRETTY BASIC.
THIS SHOULD BE A HOME GAME
FOR GOOD STRATEGISTS.
co: 13
SEVEN STORIES
ABOUT TELLING
STORIES WITH DATA
co: 14
1. WHEN WORKING OUT THE
ARITHMETIC OF THE PROBLEM
REVEALS A NEW ANSWER
co: 15
WHERE DOES A SUPERMARKET
FIND AN EXTRA £2.5 BILLION
OF CUSTOMER SPENDING?
co: 16
14 MILLION CUSTOMERS
X 52 WEEKLY SHOPS
X 3 YEARS
X AN EXTRA £1.14 PER VISIT
= £2.5 BILLION
co: 17
co: 18
HOW DO YOU FIND A DISRUPTIVE
WAY IN TO MUSIC TEACHING?
co: 19
85%
WISH THEY
LEARNED TO
PLAY AN
INSTRUMENT
34%
TOOK A
MUSIC
CLASS
8%
REGULARLY
PLAY AN
INSTRUMENT
Source: Gallup 2009, Statista 2008, US census 2009, New York Times 2012
1%
PLAY
WEEKLY
WORKING OUT THE ARITHMETIC BEHIND LEARNING MUSIC
co: 20
MUSIC PRODIGY
IF THE CHALLENGE IS
THAT PEOPLE STOP
LEARNING, WHY NOT
CHARGE THEM FOR
STOPPING?
co: 21
2. HOW A MAGIC NUMBER
CAN BECOME A PIVOT
FOR EVERYTHING ELSE
co: 22
SKATERS
SPEND 40%
OF THEIR
SKATING TIME
REPAIRING
THEIR
BOARDS Source: Mountain Dew Jay Chiat awards paper, 2015
co: 23
95% OF
ATTEMPTS TO
QUIT SMOKING
END IN FAILURE
HALF OF ALL
ATTEMPTS TO QUIT
SMOKING BEGIN
SPONTANEOUSLY
Source: GSK; University College Hospital
co: 24
MORE THAN
90% OF BRITISH
PEOPLE BELIEVE
THAT CHILDREN
SHOULD DRINK
MORE MILK
MILK DRINKING
AMONG BRITISH
CHILDREN HAS
FALLEN EVERY
YEAR SINCE THE
1950s
Source: The Dairy Council, IPA Effectiveness Awards, 2002
co: 25
MANAGINGVOLATILITY
50%
Of US adults could not
cover an emergency $400
outlay without borrowing
money or selling something
THESCALEOFTHEPROBLEM
$103BN
Revenue of the ‘alternative’
financial service industry:
check cashing, pawn shops,
payday loans
BORROWINGCOSTS
$1,100
Low income households’
typical annual outlay on
alternative financial
services
UNDERSTANDING THE POVERTY TRAP
Source: US Federal Reserve, Ideas 42
co: 26
3. HOW ASKING QUESTIONS OF THE
DATA GAVE DIFFERENT ANSWERS
co: 27
WHAT’S HAPPENING TO
AXE BRAND USAGE ?
11-18 PENETRATION
IS HOLDING STEADY
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Axe user penetration, age 11-18
Source: Axe APG paper via BBH London
co: 28
WHAT’S REALLY HAPPENING TO
AXE BRAND USAGE ?
11-18 PENETRATION
IS HOLDING STEADY
11-12 PENETRATION
IS RISING
17-18 PENETRATION
IS FALLING 11 to 12 13 to 14 15 to 16 17 to 18
Axe user penetration, age 11-18
Source: Axe APG paper via BBH London
co: 29
GETTING DRESSED
GOLD
APG PAPER
CANNES FILM LION
https://vimeo.com/44675170
co: 30
4. WHEN SEARCH REVEALS
HOW REAL PEOPLE REALLY FEEL
ABOUT YOUR BRAND
co: 31
SEARCH TREND FOR OMBRE HAIR
Source: Google Trends, USA, 2004-present
co: 32
RISINGTREND
OMBRE
DIP DYE
FOLLOWUPSEARCH
HOW CAN I DO
OMBRE HAIR
MYSELF?
THERESULT
OMBRE
APPLICATOR
KIT
HOW WOMEN REALLY THINK ABOUT HAIR
Source: https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/case-studies/loreal-paris-builds-brand-love-with-search.html
co: 33
THECATEGORY
ORGANIZED
BY NEED
Dry hair
Flyaway hair
Red hair
THECONSUMER
SEARCHED
BY OCCASION
Date hair
Beach hair
Wedding hair
THERESULT
HAIRSTYLE.COM
L’Oreal site
Inspiration and education
by occasion
HOW WOMEN REALLY THINK ABOUT HAIR
Source: https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/case-studies/loreal-paris-builds-brand-love-with-search.html
co: 34
SEARCH TREND FOR ROSE WINE:
THE ULTIMATE SUMMER DRINK HAS A WINTER PEAK
Source: Google Trends, worldwide, 2009-14 / thanks to Think With Google
co: 35
5. HOW DATA CAN SHINE A LIGHT
ON EVEN THE MOST SUBJECTIVE
CULTURAL QUESTIONS
co: 36
IS ART BECOMING
MORE OR LESS POPULAR?
VISUAL CULTURE IS EXPLODING, BUT BEYOND THE WALLS OF MUSEUMS
Source: NEA’s A Decade of Arts Engagement: Findings from the Survey of Public Participation in the Arts, 2002-2012; National Center for Education Statistics Data from 1970 - 2011
US adults attending
art museums / galleries
2002, 2008, 2012
27%
21%
+104%
+209%
Growth in all
Bachelors
Degrees
Growth in Visual
and Performing
Arts Degrees
420m users
206m registered blogs
120k signups per day
900 posts per second
Fastest growing
social app in 2014
300m users
100% growth
in adults users
2012 – 14
co: 38
WHAT MAKES GREAT TELEVISION?
co: 39
THE HIGHEST-RATED TV SHOWS ON ROTTEN TOMATOES
Source: Rotten Tomatoes
2012 2013 2014
Sherlock
Homeland
Game of Thrones
Mad Men
Girls
Justified
Don’t Trust The B…
Luck
The Walking Dead
New Girl
Breaking Bad
Game Of Thrones
The Returned
Mad Men
Girls
Orange Is The New Black
The Walking Dead
Nashville
Masters of Sex
The Americans
Jane The Virgin
The Good Wife
Hannibal
Veep
Fargo
Transparent
Orphan Black
The Americans
The Walking Dead
Orange Is The New Black
	
  	
  
	
  	
  
co: 40
RECURRING THEMES
The old order is falling: The Americans, GoT, The Walking Dead, Veep, Mad Men, Orphan Black
Exploring sexuality: Masters Of Sex, Girls, Transparent, Jane The Virgin
Strong women: Orange Is The New Black, The Good Wife, Veep, GoT, Mad Men, Orphan Black
Epic productions: Luck, Game Of Thrones, Sherlock
Serials: Breaking Bad, The Good Wife, Mad Men, Game Of Thrones, The Americans
Sequels: 60% of top-rated shows are sequels
Source: Co:Collective analysis
co: 41
WHERE ARE ALL THE COOL KIDS?
co: 42
HIPSTER SEARCH TERMS 	
  	
  
	
  	
  
Source: GOOGLE TRENDS
co: 43
WHERE ARE THESE HIPSTER SEARCH TERMS CONCENTRATED? 	
  	
  
	
  	
  
Source: GOOGLE TRENDS
co: 44
6. WHEN AGGREGATED DATA
SHOWS PATTERNS ABOUT
HOW BRANDS BEHAVE IN GENERAL
co: 45
Source: Mountain Dew Jay Chiat awards paper, 2015
co: 46
PANEL DATA ACROSS CATEGORIES,
COUNTRIES AND YEARS TELLS US
THAT BRANDS GROW THROUGH
PENETRATION, NOT LOYALTY
co: 47
LOYALTY RATES ARE SIMILAR FOR SIMILAR-SIZED BRANDS
Source: MRI, 2012
Restaurant Visited in last
6 months (MM)
Visited in last
1 month (MM)
% of visitors who
are regulars
Olive Garden 41 25 61
Red Lobster 29 18 62
Chili’s 27 17 63
co: 48
ENGAGEMENTRATES
FORPASSIONBRANDS:
HARLEY,TIFFANY,NIKE
0.66%
ENGAGEMENTRATES
FORALLBRANDS
ONFACEBOOK
0.45%
ENGAGEMENTRATES
FORTHETOP10BRANDS
ONFACEBOOK
0.33%
FANS ARE FEW IN NUMBER AND LESS ENGAGED THAN YOU THINK:
GROWTH COMES FROM MANY LIGHT BUYERS; ACQUAINTANCES, NOT FANS
Source: Facebook engagement rates reported in Ad Age, 27 January 2012
co: 49
THAT’S WHY BRANDS TEND TO GROW ON THE BACK OF PENETRATION, NOT LOYALTY
Source: IPA Effectiveness Awards case studies, quoted in Les Binet & Peter Field, Marketing In The Era Of Accountability
% of effective ad
campaigns reporting
very large effects on
Loyalty campaigns Penetration campaigns
Sales 35 62
Market share 15 35
Profit 18 31
co: 50
7. WHEN YOU SEE BUSINESS DATA
DIFFERENTLY THROUGH
A MARKETING EYE
co: 51
PANIC! ONLY ONE IN EIGHT OUR CUSTOMERS IS A PRIMARY SHOPPER!
Source: Bain & Co survey of west coast grocery shoppers, 2013
Store Client
% of
customers
who are
primary
shoppers
12
% of
customers
who are
secondary
shoppers
88
co: 52
ACTUALLY, EVEN THE BIGGEST SUPERMARKETS DEPEND ON SECONDARY SHOPPERS:
WHAT IF IT’S A SIGNAL OF A MORE REPERTOIRE WORLD?
Source: Bain & Co survey of west coast grocery shoppers, 2013
Store Client Fresh &
Easy
Costco Aldi Trader
Joe’s
Wal-Mart
Supercenter
Von’s Ralph’s Safeway
% of
customers
who are
primary
shoppers
12 15 17 18 19 27 28 32 33
co: 53
OH SHOOT! PRICE OR QUALITY DON’T PREDICT THE BEST-LOVED BRANDS:
NET PROMOTER SCORE OF KEY GROCERY RETAILERS
Source: Bain & Co survey of west coast grocery shoppers, 2013
co: 54
ACTUALLY, THE DATA SHOWS HOW PEOPLE LIKE THE BRANDS THAT ARE DIFFERENT
Source: Co:Collective analysis of Bain & Co survey of west coast grocery shoppers, 2013
Store Costco Trader Joe’s WinCo Wholefoods
Net promoter
score
72 71 53 40
Distinctive
features
Members only
Bulk sales only
One-off megadeals
on nonfood items
Private label
Limited SKUs
‘Treasure hunt’
Employee-owned
Open 24/7
No credit cards
Bag your own groceries
Premium price
Organic
Gourmet meets
health food
co: 55
DATA STORY SLAM
co: 56
HOW COULD
YOU USE DATA
TO TELL THE
STORY OF
TINDER?
co: 57
TINDER MOBILE DATING MARKET SHARE
Source: Mobida
co: 58
TINDERAVAILABLEMARKET
51%OFUSADULTSARE
SINGLE
TINDERUSERS
50MMUSERS
12MMDAILY
TINDERUSAGE
1BNSWIPES
12MMMATCHES
77MINUTESEVERYDAY
TINDER NUMBERS
Source: BBH New York, CityLab
2015REVENUETARGET
$75MILLION
ADVERTISINGREVENUE
$22.5MILLION
SUBSCRIPTION
$10/MO
FORTHEPREMIUMPRODUCT
Tinder Plus
Unlimited swipes
Undo mistaken swipes
Passport feature allows you to search
people from outside your area
co: 59
Q1. WHAT INSIGHTS AND ASSUMPTIONS
CAN WE MAKE ABOUT TINDER?
Q2. HOW SHOULD TINDER THINK ABOUT
HITTING ITS $75MM REVENUE TARGET?
SO HOW WOULD YOU USE THIS DATA, AND WHAT YOU’VE LEARNED HERE,
TO ANSWER TWO BASIC QUESTIONS?
co: 60
THANK YOU.
co: 61
SOURCES, REFERENCES AND INSPIRATION
FOLLOW
@THINKWITHGOOGLE
@FIVETHIRTYEIGHT
@PROFBYRON
@THEDATAOFCOOL
READ
BYRON SHARP, HOW BRANDS GROW
LES BINET AND PETER FIELD, THE LONG AND THE SHORT OF IT

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Telling Stories With Data

  • 2. co: 2 TOM MORTON DIRECTOR OF STRATEGY CO:COLLECTIVE @TOMMORTON @THEDATAOFCOOL @COCOLLECTIVE
  • 3. co: 3 BRAND STRATEGISTS NEED TO GET GOOD AT DATA: HERE’S WHY
  • 4. co: 4 THE WORLD IS MORE DATA-RICH. BUSINESSES EXPECT TO MAKE DATA-INFORMED DECISIONS. THIS SHOULD BE A WAKE-UP CALL TO STRATEGISTS.
  • 5. co: 5 ONCE UPON A TIME… "The account planner is that member of the agency's team who is the expert at working with information and getting it used - not just marketing research but all the information available to help solve the client's advertising problems.”
  • 6. co: 6 — Name, 2005 6 “Numerate graduates with an interest in human psychology.” — Boase Massimi Pollitt recruitment ad, 1972
  • 7. co: 7 SO WHERE WERE WE WHEN BUSINESS WENT FULL-ON DATA? “You told us that market and technology factors are the two most powerful external forces affecting your organization today. The four biggest challenges you identified were the explosion of data, social media, the proliferation of channels and devices, shifting demographics.” Source: IBM CMO survey, 2011
  • 8. co: 8 MCKINSEY CLAIMS THAT THE US ECONOMY NEEDS AT LEAST 1.5 MILLION MORE DATA PROFESSIONALS
  • 9. co: 9 — Name, 2005 9 “Separating the poets from the quants will be a disaster for strategic planning in particular, allowing some planners to exempt themselves from the data they can't be bothered to investigate, and allowing other people to think that they are a strategist though they haven't a brand strategy or creative bone in their body.” — Richard Huntingdon, Saatchi & Saatchi, 2012
  • 10. co: 10 — Name, 2005 10 “Data doesn’t narrow your choices. It opens your mind.” — Venetia Taylor, Google, June 2015
  • 11. co: 11 STRATEGISTS’ USE OF DATA NEEDS TO SHIFT AWAY FROM OPTIMIZING AT THE END TO INSPIRING AT THE BEGINNING.
  • 12. co: 12 DATA IS JUST EVIDENCE OF HUMAN BEHAVIOR. THE MATH IS PRETTY BASIC. THIS SHOULD BE A HOME GAME FOR GOOD STRATEGISTS.
  • 13. co: 13 SEVEN STORIES ABOUT TELLING STORIES WITH DATA
  • 14. co: 14 1. WHEN WORKING OUT THE ARITHMETIC OF THE PROBLEM REVEALS A NEW ANSWER
  • 15. co: 15 WHERE DOES A SUPERMARKET FIND AN EXTRA £2.5 BILLION OF CUSTOMER SPENDING?
  • 16. co: 16 14 MILLION CUSTOMERS X 52 WEEKLY SHOPS X 3 YEARS X AN EXTRA £1.14 PER VISIT = £2.5 BILLION
  • 18. co: 18 HOW DO YOU FIND A DISRUPTIVE WAY IN TO MUSIC TEACHING?
  • 19. co: 19 85% WISH THEY LEARNED TO PLAY AN INSTRUMENT 34% TOOK A MUSIC CLASS 8% REGULARLY PLAY AN INSTRUMENT Source: Gallup 2009, Statista 2008, US census 2009, New York Times 2012 1% PLAY WEEKLY WORKING OUT THE ARITHMETIC BEHIND LEARNING MUSIC
  • 20. co: 20 MUSIC PRODIGY IF THE CHALLENGE IS THAT PEOPLE STOP LEARNING, WHY NOT CHARGE THEM FOR STOPPING?
  • 21. co: 21 2. HOW A MAGIC NUMBER CAN BECOME A PIVOT FOR EVERYTHING ELSE
  • 22. co: 22 SKATERS SPEND 40% OF THEIR SKATING TIME REPAIRING THEIR BOARDS Source: Mountain Dew Jay Chiat awards paper, 2015
  • 23. co: 23 95% OF ATTEMPTS TO QUIT SMOKING END IN FAILURE HALF OF ALL ATTEMPTS TO QUIT SMOKING BEGIN SPONTANEOUSLY Source: GSK; University College Hospital
  • 24. co: 24 MORE THAN 90% OF BRITISH PEOPLE BELIEVE THAT CHILDREN SHOULD DRINK MORE MILK MILK DRINKING AMONG BRITISH CHILDREN HAS FALLEN EVERY YEAR SINCE THE 1950s Source: The Dairy Council, IPA Effectiveness Awards, 2002
  • 25. co: 25 MANAGINGVOLATILITY 50% Of US adults could not cover an emergency $400 outlay without borrowing money or selling something THESCALEOFTHEPROBLEM $103BN Revenue of the ‘alternative’ financial service industry: check cashing, pawn shops, payday loans BORROWINGCOSTS $1,100 Low income households’ typical annual outlay on alternative financial services UNDERSTANDING THE POVERTY TRAP Source: US Federal Reserve, Ideas 42
  • 26. co: 26 3. HOW ASKING QUESTIONS OF THE DATA GAVE DIFFERENT ANSWERS
  • 27. co: 27 WHAT’S HAPPENING TO AXE BRAND USAGE ? 11-18 PENETRATION IS HOLDING STEADY Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Axe user penetration, age 11-18 Source: Axe APG paper via BBH London
  • 28. co: 28 WHAT’S REALLY HAPPENING TO AXE BRAND USAGE ? 11-18 PENETRATION IS HOLDING STEADY 11-12 PENETRATION IS RISING 17-18 PENETRATION IS FALLING 11 to 12 13 to 14 15 to 16 17 to 18 Axe user penetration, age 11-18 Source: Axe APG paper via BBH London
  • 29. co: 29 GETTING DRESSED GOLD APG PAPER CANNES FILM LION https://vimeo.com/44675170
  • 30. co: 30 4. WHEN SEARCH REVEALS HOW REAL PEOPLE REALLY FEEL ABOUT YOUR BRAND
  • 31. co: 31 SEARCH TREND FOR OMBRE HAIR Source: Google Trends, USA, 2004-present
  • 32. co: 32 RISINGTREND OMBRE DIP DYE FOLLOWUPSEARCH HOW CAN I DO OMBRE HAIR MYSELF? THERESULT OMBRE APPLICATOR KIT HOW WOMEN REALLY THINK ABOUT HAIR Source: https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/case-studies/loreal-paris-builds-brand-love-with-search.html
  • 33. co: 33 THECATEGORY ORGANIZED BY NEED Dry hair Flyaway hair Red hair THECONSUMER SEARCHED BY OCCASION Date hair Beach hair Wedding hair THERESULT HAIRSTYLE.COM L’Oreal site Inspiration and education by occasion HOW WOMEN REALLY THINK ABOUT HAIR Source: https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/case-studies/loreal-paris-builds-brand-love-with-search.html
  • 34. co: 34 SEARCH TREND FOR ROSE WINE: THE ULTIMATE SUMMER DRINK HAS A WINTER PEAK Source: Google Trends, worldwide, 2009-14 / thanks to Think With Google
  • 35. co: 35 5. HOW DATA CAN SHINE A LIGHT ON EVEN THE MOST SUBJECTIVE CULTURAL QUESTIONS
  • 36. co: 36 IS ART BECOMING MORE OR LESS POPULAR?
  • 37. VISUAL CULTURE IS EXPLODING, BUT BEYOND THE WALLS OF MUSEUMS Source: NEA’s A Decade of Arts Engagement: Findings from the Survey of Public Participation in the Arts, 2002-2012; National Center for Education Statistics Data from 1970 - 2011 US adults attending art museums / galleries 2002, 2008, 2012 27% 21% +104% +209% Growth in all Bachelors Degrees Growth in Visual and Performing Arts Degrees 420m users 206m registered blogs 120k signups per day 900 posts per second Fastest growing social app in 2014 300m users 100% growth in adults users 2012 – 14
  • 38. co: 38 WHAT MAKES GREAT TELEVISION?
  • 39. co: 39 THE HIGHEST-RATED TV SHOWS ON ROTTEN TOMATOES Source: Rotten Tomatoes 2012 2013 2014 Sherlock Homeland Game of Thrones Mad Men Girls Justified Don’t Trust The B… Luck The Walking Dead New Girl Breaking Bad Game Of Thrones The Returned Mad Men Girls Orange Is The New Black The Walking Dead Nashville Masters of Sex The Americans Jane The Virgin The Good Wife Hannibal Veep Fargo Transparent Orphan Black The Americans The Walking Dead Orange Is The New Black        
  • 40. co: 40 RECURRING THEMES The old order is falling: The Americans, GoT, The Walking Dead, Veep, Mad Men, Orphan Black Exploring sexuality: Masters Of Sex, Girls, Transparent, Jane The Virgin Strong women: Orange Is The New Black, The Good Wife, Veep, GoT, Mad Men, Orphan Black Epic productions: Luck, Game Of Thrones, Sherlock Serials: Breaking Bad, The Good Wife, Mad Men, Game Of Thrones, The Americans Sequels: 60% of top-rated shows are sequels Source: Co:Collective analysis
  • 41. co: 41 WHERE ARE ALL THE COOL KIDS?
  • 42. co: 42 HIPSTER SEARCH TERMS         Source: GOOGLE TRENDS
  • 43. co: 43 WHERE ARE THESE HIPSTER SEARCH TERMS CONCENTRATED?         Source: GOOGLE TRENDS
  • 44. co: 44 6. WHEN AGGREGATED DATA SHOWS PATTERNS ABOUT HOW BRANDS BEHAVE IN GENERAL
  • 45. co: 45 Source: Mountain Dew Jay Chiat awards paper, 2015
  • 46. co: 46 PANEL DATA ACROSS CATEGORIES, COUNTRIES AND YEARS TELLS US THAT BRANDS GROW THROUGH PENETRATION, NOT LOYALTY
  • 47. co: 47 LOYALTY RATES ARE SIMILAR FOR SIMILAR-SIZED BRANDS Source: MRI, 2012 Restaurant Visited in last 6 months (MM) Visited in last 1 month (MM) % of visitors who are regulars Olive Garden 41 25 61 Red Lobster 29 18 62 Chili’s 27 17 63
  • 48. co: 48 ENGAGEMENTRATES FORPASSIONBRANDS: HARLEY,TIFFANY,NIKE 0.66% ENGAGEMENTRATES FORALLBRANDS ONFACEBOOK 0.45% ENGAGEMENTRATES FORTHETOP10BRANDS ONFACEBOOK 0.33% FANS ARE FEW IN NUMBER AND LESS ENGAGED THAN YOU THINK: GROWTH COMES FROM MANY LIGHT BUYERS; ACQUAINTANCES, NOT FANS Source: Facebook engagement rates reported in Ad Age, 27 January 2012
  • 49. co: 49 THAT’S WHY BRANDS TEND TO GROW ON THE BACK OF PENETRATION, NOT LOYALTY Source: IPA Effectiveness Awards case studies, quoted in Les Binet & Peter Field, Marketing In The Era Of Accountability % of effective ad campaigns reporting very large effects on Loyalty campaigns Penetration campaigns Sales 35 62 Market share 15 35 Profit 18 31
  • 50. co: 50 7. WHEN YOU SEE BUSINESS DATA DIFFERENTLY THROUGH A MARKETING EYE
  • 51. co: 51 PANIC! ONLY ONE IN EIGHT OUR CUSTOMERS IS A PRIMARY SHOPPER! Source: Bain & Co survey of west coast grocery shoppers, 2013 Store Client % of customers who are primary shoppers 12 % of customers who are secondary shoppers 88
  • 52. co: 52 ACTUALLY, EVEN THE BIGGEST SUPERMARKETS DEPEND ON SECONDARY SHOPPERS: WHAT IF IT’S A SIGNAL OF A MORE REPERTOIRE WORLD? Source: Bain & Co survey of west coast grocery shoppers, 2013 Store Client Fresh & Easy Costco Aldi Trader Joe’s Wal-Mart Supercenter Von’s Ralph’s Safeway % of customers who are primary shoppers 12 15 17 18 19 27 28 32 33
  • 53. co: 53 OH SHOOT! PRICE OR QUALITY DON’T PREDICT THE BEST-LOVED BRANDS: NET PROMOTER SCORE OF KEY GROCERY RETAILERS Source: Bain & Co survey of west coast grocery shoppers, 2013
  • 54. co: 54 ACTUALLY, THE DATA SHOWS HOW PEOPLE LIKE THE BRANDS THAT ARE DIFFERENT Source: Co:Collective analysis of Bain & Co survey of west coast grocery shoppers, 2013 Store Costco Trader Joe’s WinCo Wholefoods Net promoter score 72 71 53 40 Distinctive features Members only Bulk sales only One-off megadeals on nonfood items Private label Limited SKUs ‘Treasure hunt’ Employee-owned Open 24/7 No credit cards Bag your own groceries Premium price Organic Gourmet meets health food
  • 56. co: 56 HOW COULD YOU USE DATA TO TELL THE STORY OF TINDER?
  • 57. co: 57 TINDER MOBILE DATING MARKET SHARE Source: Mobida
  • 58. co: 58 TINDERAVAILABLEMARKET 51%OFUSADULTSARE SINGLE TINDERUSERS 50MMUSERS 12MMDAILY TINDERUSAGE 1BNSWIPES 12MMMATCHES 77MINUTESEVERYDAY TINDER NUMBERS Source: BBH New York, CityLab 2015REVENUETARGET $75MILLION ADVERTISINGREVENUE $22.5MILLION SUBSCRIPTION $10/MO FORTHEPREMIUMPRODUCT Tinder Plus Unlimited swipes Undo mistaken swipes Passport feature allows you to search people from outside your area
  • 59. co: 59 Q1. WHAT INSIGHTS AND ASSUMPTIONS CAN WE MAKE ABOUT TINDER? Q2. HOW SHOULD TINDER THINK ABOUT HITTING ITS $75MM REVENUE TARGET? SO HOW WOULD YOU USE THIS DATA, AND WHAT YOU’VE LEARNED HERE, TO ANSWER TWO BASIC QUESTIONS?
  • 61. co: 61 SOURCES, REFERENCES AND INSPIRATION FOLLOW @THINKWITHGOOGLE @FIVETHIRTYEIGHT @PROFBYRON @THEDATAOFCOOL READ BYRON SHARP, HOW BRANDS GROW LES BINET AND PETER FIELD, THE LONG AND THE SHORT OF IT