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Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
The Fourth Industrial Revolution,
Artificial Intelligence and Society
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Contents
• What is Artificial Intelligence?
• Learning: Neural Networks
• Optimization: Swarm intelligence, Ant Colony, Genetic Algorithms
• Applications
• Fourth Industrial Revolution
• Conclusions
KAIST Robot
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
KAIST Robot
• Learns
• Senses
• Reacts
• Sees
• Drives
• Walks
• Adapts
• Almost human
• It is artificially intelligent
• Does it commit a crime?
• Does it fall in love?
• Is it conscious?
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Nature is the best artist, learn
from it - Anonymous
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
What is artificial intelligence?
• Artificial: man-made
• Intelligence: the ability to make sense of information beyond the obvious
• Building machines that are able to do sophisticated tasks that are at least in
the domain of human capabilities.
• Artificial Intelligence is concerned with modeling complex systems with
computational tools.
• Algorithms are developed to mimic physiological systems such as the human
brain in order to carry out certain tasks.
• Mathematical models are used to build systems that exhibit advanced
intelligence in carrying out goals.
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
What is artificial intelligence?
• A machine is intelligent if when humans interact with it, they are not able
to know if they are interacting with a human being or a machine. (This is a
Turing test)
• Two types of intelligence: Individual versus group intelligence
• Individual intelligence: A single agent (single brain) learns on its own
• Group intelligence: Multiple agents (many brains) learn together
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Individual Versus Group
Intelligence
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Learning
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Neural Networks
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Neural Networks
• Building machines that are able to propagate input variables into
output variables
• This propagation is conducted using network weights (neurons)
• These weights are identified from observed data
• The process of identifying these weights is called optimization
• These networks are made to be able to think (generalize) as opposed to
remembering
• Deep learning = complicated network = network learning from big data
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Deep Learning
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Deep Learning
• Has multiple layers
• Is able to learn huge amounts of data
• Is able to learn the structure of the data
• Is expensive to learn and requires huge computational power
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Optimization
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Ant Colony Optimization
• From the Eugene Marais book Die Siel van die
Mier
• Ant movement leaves a trail of pheromones
on the way from one point to another
• More and more of these pheromones are
deposited because of the increased traffic
• The path with the strongest pheromones then
is the shortest path between one point to
another
• This method has found use in applications
such as scheduling
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Particle Swarm Optimization
• Each bird updates its position and
velocity based on:
• Local best known position (individual
intelligence)
• Global best known position (group
intelligence)
• This procedure can be put in a computer
and be used to optimize problems
• This method has been used to optimize
the utilization of computer memory, for
designing power lines etc
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Evolution
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
From Evolution to Genetic
Algorithm
• It is a computational procedure for
optimization which is based on Darwin’s
Theory of Evolution
• “It is not the strongest or the biggest that will
survive but it is that which is most adaptable
to the environment”
• It is driven by the following concepts
crossover, mutation and reproduction based on
the fitness function
• These concepts can be used to design better
solutions based on having multiple solutions
and getting them to crossover, mutate and
reproduce according to a fitness function
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Applications
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Knowledge only becomes education
when it is used for the benefit of
society
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can help prioritize patients
(triage)
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can map utilization of land
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can help control prosthesis
arm
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI is able to detect epilepsy
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can predict internet
instability
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can be able to replace voice
lost (artificial larynx)
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can recognize faces
of people
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can estimate missing data
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can make rational decisions
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can bluff
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Every object has something to say, we
should learn to listen and interpret its
message
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can monitor the condition
of structures
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can improve finite element
models
Courtesy: http://compmech.se/Structure.htm
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI can improve finite element
models
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI understands the economy
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI reduces information
asymmetry in the market
• Two used car salesmen one sells good cars
another bad cars but the customers don’t know
• The salesman who sells bad cars is willing to give
discount
• Customers don’t know which cars are good or
bad. This drives the good car salesman out of the
market
• This is called information asymmetry and (Stiglitz
et al – Nobel Prize)
• Substituting customers by artificial intelligent
machines which crawl the internet for
information (two salesman)
• This reduces information asymmetry
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
AI makes markets
more efficient
• When human traders are replaced by
artificially intelligent traders then
factors such as emotion are subtracted
from the markets
• Then decisions are made purely based on
data
• Because of this the markets become
more rational
• Rational markets become efficient.
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Industrial Revolution
• 1st Industrial revolution (1784): steam engines, trains, mechanical machines for
production
• 2nd Industrial Revolution (1870): assembly line, electricity
• 3rd Industrial evolution (1969): transistor, electronics, automation, information
technology
• 4th Industrial revolution (Upon us): information, big data, cybernetics, AI
• Artificial Intelligence is the DNA of the 4th industrial revolution
• The 4th industrial revolution will result in the reduction in the participation of
people in the world of work
• 70% of the work that exists today will not exist in 50 years
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
It is inhumane to expect that which can
be done by a machine to be done by a
human being – Japanese Proverb
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Top 10 skills
2050
• Critical Thinking
• People Management
• Emotional Intelligence
• Judgement
• Negotiation
• Cognitive Flexibility
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
The end of labour is to gain
leisure - Aristotle
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Implications of 4th
Industrial Revolution
• Education: Online and blended learning enabled by Natural Language processing
• Transportation: Automated cars, trucks, buses, airplanes
• Cost of goods: The cost of goods will drop significantly
• Structure of the economy: Capital will count more than talent and inequality will
increase unless there is state intervention
• Jobs: New jobs will emerge and many tasks will become redundant
• Safety and security: robotic cops
• Medical health: Medical devices, Automated diagnosis
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Ethics and artificial Intelligence
• How do we ensure that machines do not harm humans?
• What ethical framework will guide the decision making of an Intelligent machine?
• For example: Faced with an accident, which life should a self-driving car save, That of the
passenger (owner of the car) or that of the group of pedestrians?
• How does a machine avoid statistical bias which could have dire social consequences e.g. AI in
mortgage applications?
• Machines will need to have a moral status: The ability to act in a manner that is considerate
towards humans and possibly other machines
• This relies on our ability to model a moral status…..Work in progress
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Reference
• http://www.frontrangeforum.org/courses/a-laymans-study-of-human-evolution/
• http://hochmanphotography.com/tag/swarm-of-birds/
• http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/chap1.html
• http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/chap6.html
• http://electrical-engineering-portal.com/purpose-and-maintenance-of-transformer-bushings
• http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-34532394
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BGOUSvaQcBs
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k-pmeWCHHmY
• http://www.briozone.com/living/human-body/human-brain10-interesting-facts-human-brain/
• http://wonderopolis.org/wonder/do-fish-swim-in-schools-in-the-summer/
• https://za.fotolia.com/?&utm_source=Google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=Fotolia_ZA_Free+Stock+Image&tmplaceref=ZA&tmad=c&tmcampid=7&gclid=Cj0KEQjwo5--BRCS8ceLjv-
XppUBEiQAGp15ECWEdBe7NtkGTnGiR56Gs9VB8tdmAqx2fjCSyZj-vpkaAlKd8P8HAQ
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tza09kC6Xnc
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K0LABzJxCg8
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GIGqp6_PG6k
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nrnxZVEHZCo
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL6RRIOZyCM
• Brian Wigdorowitz, David Rubin, Dan Golding, Meir Perez, Anthony Gidudu, Greg Hulley, Nadim Mohamed, Dhiresh Surajpal, Megan Russel, Sebastian Kaulitzki, Elbert Marais and other
postgraduate students
• The slide titles ethics and artificial intelligence was added by Dr Lufuno Marwala
Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg
Ngiya bonga...

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Bp lecture r5

  • 1. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg The Fourth Industrial Revolution, Artificial Intelligence and Society
  • 2. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Contents • What is Artificial Intelligence? • Learning: Neural Networks • Optimization: Swarm intelligence, Ant Colony, Genetic Algorithms • Applications • Fourth Industrial Revolution • Conclusions
  • 4. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg KAIST Robot • Learns • Senses • Reacts • Sees • Drives • Walks • Adapts • Almost human • It is artificially intelligent • Does it commit a crime? • Does it fall in love? • Is it conscious?
  • 5. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Nature is the best artist, learn from it - Anonymous
  • 6. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg What is artificial intelligence? • Artificial: man-made • Intelligence: the ability to make sense of information beyond the obvious • Building machines that are able to do sophisticated tasks that are at least in the domain of human capabilities. • Artificial Intelligence is concerned with modeling complex systems with computational tools. • Algorithms are developed to mimic physiological systems such as the human brain in order to carry out certain tasks. • Mathematical models are used to build systems that exhibit advanced intelligence in carrying out goals.
  • 7. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg What is artificial intelligence? • A machine is intelligent if when humans interact with it, they are not able to know if they are interacting with a human being or a machine. (This is a Turing test) • Two types of intelligence: Individual versus group intelligence • Individual intelligence: A single agent (single brain) learns on its own • Group intelligence: Multiple agents (many brains) learn together
  • 8. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Individual Versus Group Intelligence
  • 9. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Learning
  • 10. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Neural Networks
  • 11. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Neural Networks • Building machines that are able to propagate input variables into output variables • This propagation is conducted using network weights (neurons) • These weights are identified from observed data • The process of identifying these weights is called optimization • These networks are made to be able to think (generalize) as opposed to remembering • Deep learning = complicated network = network learning from big data
  • 12. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Deep Learning
  • 13. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Deep Learning • Has multiple layers • Is able to learn huge amounts of data • Is able to learn the structure of the data • Is expensive to learn and requires huge computational power
  • 14. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Optimization
  • 15. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Ant Colony Optimization • From the Eugene Marais book Die Siel van die Mier • Ant movement leaves a trail of pheromones on the way from one point to another • More and more of these pheromones are deposited because of the increased traffic • The path with the strongest pheromones then is the shortest path between one point to another • This method has found use in applications such as scheduling
  • 16. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Particle Swarm Optimization • Each bird updates its position and velocity based on: • Local best known position (individual intelligence) • Global best known position (group intelligence) • This procedure can be put in a computer and be used to optimize problems • This method has been used to optimize the utilization of computer memory, for designing power lines etc
  • 17. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Evolution
  • 18. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg From Evolution to Genetic Algorithm • It is a computational procedure for optimization which is based on Darwin’s Theory of Evolution • “It is not the strongest or the biggest that will survive but it is that which is most adaptable to the environment” • It is driven by the following concepts crossover, mutation and reproduction based on the fitness function • These concepts can be used to design better solutions based on having multiple solutions and getting them to crossover, mutate and reproduce according to a fitness function
  • 19. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Applications
  • 20. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Knowledge only becomes education when it is used for the benefit of society
  • 21. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can help prioritize patients (triage)
  • 22. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can map utilization of land
  • 23. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can help control prosthesis arm
  • 24. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI is able to detect epilepsy
  • 25. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can predict internet instability
  • 26. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can be able to replace voice lost (artificial larynx)
  • 27. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can recognize faces of people
  • 28. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can estimate missing data
  • 29. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can make rational decisions
  • 30. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can bluff
  • 31. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Every object has something to say, we should learn to listen and interpret its message
  • 32. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can monitor the condition of structures
  • 33. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can improve finite element models Courtesy: http://compmech.se/Structure.htm
  • 34. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI can improve finite element models
  • 35. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI understands the economy
  • 36. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI reduces information asymmetry in the market • Two used car salesmen one sells good cars another bad cars but the customers don’t know • The salesman who sells bad cars is willing to give discount • Customers don’t know which cars are good or bad. This drives the good car salesman out of the market • This is called information asymmetry and (Stiglitz et al – Nobel Prize) • Substituting customers by artificial intelligent machines which crawl the internet for information (two salesman) • This reduces information asymmetry
  • 37. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg AI makes markets more efficient • When human traders are replaced by artificially intelligent traders then factors such as emotion are subtracted from the markets • Then decisions are made purely based on data • Because of this the markets become more rational • Rational markets become efficient.
  • 38. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Industrial Revolution • 1st Industrial revolution (1784): steam engines, trains, mechanical machines for production • 2nd Industrial Revolution (1870): assembly line, electricity • 3rd Industrial evolution (1969): transistor, electronics, automation, information technology • 4th Industrial revolution (Upon us): information, big data, cybernetics, AI • Artificial Intelligence is the DNA of the 4th industrial revolution • The 4th industrial revolution will result in the reduction in the participation of people in the world of work • 70% of the work that exists today will not exist in 50 years
  • 39. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg It is inhumane to expect that which can be done by a machine to be done by a human being – Japanese Proverb
  • 40. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Top 10 skills 2050 • Critical Thinking • People Management • Emotional Intelligence • Judgement • Negotiation • Cognitive Flexibility
  • 41. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg The end of labour is to gain leisure - Aristotle
  • 42. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Implications of 4th Industrial Revolution • Education: Online and blended learning enabled by Natural Language processing • Transportation: Automated cars, trucks, buses, airplanes • Cost of goods: The cost of goods will drop significantly • Structure of the economy: Capital will count more than talent and inequality will increase unless there is state intervention • Jobs: New jobs will emerge and many tasks will become redundant • Safety and security: robotic cops • Medical health: Medical devices, Automated diagnosis
  • 43.
  • 44. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Ethics and artificial Intelligence • How do we ensure that machines do not harm humans? • What ethical framework will guide the decision making of an Intelligent machine? • For example: Faced with an accident, which life should a self-driving car save, That of the passenger (owner of the car) or that of the group of pedestrians? • How does a machine avoid statistical bias which could have dire social consequences e.g. AI in mortgage applications? • Machines will need to have a moral status: The ability to act in a manner that is considerate towards humans and possibly other machines • This relies on our ability to model a moral status…..Work in progress
  • 45. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Reference • http://www.frontrangeforum.org/courses/a-laymans-study-of-human-evolution/ • http://hochmanphotography.com/tag/swarm-of-birds/ • http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/chap1.html • http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/chap6.html • http://electrical-engineering-portal.com/purpose-and-maintenance-of-transformer-bushings • http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-34532394 • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BGOUSvaQcBs • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k-pmeWCHHmY • http://www.briozone.com/living/human-body/human-brain10-interesting-facts-human-brain/ • http://wonderopolis.org/wonder/do-fish-swim-in-schools-in-the-summer/ • https://za.fotolia.com/?&utm_source=Google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=Fotolia_ZA_Free+Stock+Image&tmplaceref=ZA&tmad=c&tmcampid=7&gclid=Cj0KEQjwo5--BRCS8ceLjv- XppUBEiQAGp15ECWEdBe7NtkGTnGiR56Gs9VB8tdmAqx2fjCSyZj-vpkaAlKd8P8HAQ • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tza09kC6Xnc • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K0LABzJxCg8 • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GIGqp6_PG6k • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nrnxZVEHZCo • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL6RRIOZyCM • Brian Wigdorowitz, David Rubin, Dan Golding, Meir Perez, Anthony Gidudu, Greg Hulley, Nadim Mohamed, Dhiresh Surajpal, Megan Russel, Sebastian Kaulitzki, Elbert Marais and other postgraduate students • The slide titles ethics and artificial intelligence was added by Dr Lufuno Marwala
  • 46. Professor Tshilidzi Marwala l University of Johannesburg Ngiya bonga...