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Innovations for Poverty Action –
Generating and Using Evidence
Outline
 Introduction to Innovations for Poverty Action
 What we do and why
 Different Types of Evidence
 Process evaluation
 Qualitative data
 Experimental evidence
 Why research impact
 Determining and defining impact
 What can we use the results of RCTs for?
 Example: Primary School Deworming
 Conclusion
 Opportunities at Innovations for Poverty Action
Innovations for Poverty
Action
 Founded in 2002, we partner with academics
to design and evaluate potential solutions to
global poverty problems using randomized
evaluations.
 We also work to mobilize and support these
decisionmakers to use this evidence / these
solutions to build better programs and policies
at scale.
 In collaboration with over 250 leading
academics and implementing organizations,
we have evidence from over 175 completed
studies with over 225 in progress around the
Innovations for Poverty
Action
 Our Vision
 More Evidence, Less
Poverty
 Our Mission
 To discover and
promote effective
solutions to poverty
problems around the
world
Different Types of
Evidence
 We’ve been referring to ‘evidence’ but what we
mean might not be clear as there are many
different types of evidence
 Types of evidence include (but are not limited
to!)….
 Process Evaluation Data (Monitoring and
Evaluation)
 Qualitative Data
 Experimental Evidence
Process Evaluation
 Process evaluation analyzes the extent to which program
operations, implementation, and service delivery are being
implemented properly.
 When process evaluation is ongoing it is called program
monitoring (as in Monitoring and Evaluation: M&E).
 Process evaluations help us determine, for example:
 Whether services and goals are properly aligned
 Whether services are delivered as intended to the appropriate recipients
 How well service delivery is organized
 The effectiveness of program management
 How efficiently program resources are used
 Process evaluations are often used by managers as benchmarks to
measure success, for example: the distribution of chlorine tablets is
reaching 80% of the intended beneficiaries each week.
 These benchmarks may be set by program managers and
sometimes by donors.
Qualitative Data
 Qualitative data is data that is captured in a non-numerical
way.
 Collection can happen in many different ways, including:
 In-depth interviews
 One-on-one interviews with a participant with the purpose of probing
the thoughts, ideas, knowledge, etc. of the person being interviewed.
These will often be recorded and transcribed for analysis later.
 Focus groups
 Same as an in-depth interview, but includes multiple participants
 Direct observation (ethnography, etc.)
 This differs from interviewing as the person collecting the data does
not actively try to ask questions to the participant about the topic
being studied. They simply watch and observe, with the goal of
recording and interpreting what they say, their behaviour and
attitudes. Sometimes this involves recording (video and/or audio) or
writing notes about what they observe for analysis later.
 Etc…
Qualitative Data
 Qualitative data is useful to answer questions like:
 Does this intervention ‘make sense’ in this context?
 Is this intervention socially, politically, religiously
acceptable?
 How do people perceive / understand this intervention
and the problem(s) it is meant to solve?
 Hypothesis generation: what should we be studying /
collecting data on to better understand the intervention or
topic we’re interested in studying? Are we asking the
right questions?
Experimental Evidence –
Why Research Impact?
 Experimental evidence allows us to determine
impact. By impact, we mean changes / outcomes
that have happened because the intervention
happened.
 This let’s us know what interventions…..
 Are effective [How effective is it? In what context?
For what demographic(s)? At what cost?]
 Have no impact (Why wasn’t it effective? Was the
program implemented properly?)
 Are harmful (Even something that seems like
common sense can have devastating consequences;
see the ‘Campbell-Somerville Study’)
Why Research Impact –
Influencing Programs and
Policy
 We can use this information to try to influence
the decisions being made by governments,
NGOs, and other policymakers / program
implementers to make evidence-based
decisions
Determining Impact
 Different research methods yield
different types of evidence….
 Some of this evidence
demonstrates the impact of a
program
 Some evidence cannot be used to
demonstrate impact. in fact, it can
lead us to believing things that
aren’t true, even though the data
seems to support a certain
conclusion….
 Correlation does not imply
causation
Evidence that Pirates Prevent Global
Warming
Determining Impact
 Impact is captured by analyzing a comparison between:
1. the outcome some time after the program has been
introduced
2. the outcome at that same point in time had the
program not been introduced (the ”counterfactual”)
Impact: What is it?
Time
PrimaryOutcome
Impact
Intervention
Impact: What is it?
Time
PrimaryOutcome
Impact
Intervention
Constructing the
Counterfactual
 Counterfactual is often constructed by
selecting a group not affected by the
program
 Randomized:
 Use random assignment of the program to
create a control group which mimics the
counterfactual.
 Non-randomized:
 Argue that a certain excluded group mimics the
counterfactual.
Counterfactual
 The counterfactual represents the state of the
world that program participants would have
experienced in the absence of the program
(i.e. had they not participated in the program)
 Problem: Counterfactual cannot be observed
 Solution: We need to “mimic” or construct the
counterfactual
Non-Random Assignment
HQMonthly income, per
capita
1000
500
0
Treatment Control
1457
947
Demonstrating Impact through
RCTs
 RCTs are by far the most powerful research
methodology by allowing us to determine the
impact of a program by minimizing the
likelihood that the treatment and control
groups are meaningfully different from each
other
Random Assignment
Monthly income, per
capita
1000
500
0
Treatment Control
1257 1242
HQ
 An example from IPA…
What can we use RCT results
for?
Primary School
Deworming
 One of Innovations for Poverty Action’s most
famous studies, that is currently be scaled out
across the Kenya
Primary School
Deworming
 Principal Investigators: Michael Kremer and
Edward Miguel
 Partners:
 Investing in Children and their Societies (ICS)
 Location: Western Kenya
 Sample: 30,000+ primary school children, 6-
18 years old
 Timeline: 1997-2001
Primary School
Deworming
 Policy Issue
 Intestinal worms infect more than one in four
people worldwide and are particularly prevalent
among school-aged children in developing
countries.
 These intestinal worms are believed to have a
negative impact on education, hindering child
development as well as school attendance and
reducing income later in life.
Primary School
Deworming
 Context of the Evaluation
 Busia district is a poor and densely-settled
farming region in western Kenya adjacent to Lake
Victoria. It has some of the country’s highest
worm infection rates.
 One quarter of Kenyan student absenteeism is
attributed to abdominal pains which likely due to
intestinal worm infections. In addition, older
children may miss school to take care of siblings
who are sick with worm infections
Primary School
Deworming
 Details of the Intervention
 This study evaluated the Primary School Deworming
Project (PSDP), which was carried out by
International Child Support in cooperation with the
Busia District Ministry of Health.
 The program randomly divided 75 schools into three
equal groups which were phased into treatment over
three years.
 Within each group, a baseline parasitological survey
was administered to a random sample of pupils.
Schools with worm prevalence over 50% were mass
treated with deworming drugs every six months.
Primary School
Deworming
 Details of the Intervention
 In addition to medicine, treatment schools
received regular public health lectures, wall charts
on worm prevention, and training for one
designated teacher.
 The lectures and teacher training provided information
on worm prevention behaviors—including washing
hands before meals, wearing shoes and not swimming
in fresh water.
Primary School
Deworming
 Results and Policy Lessons:
Impact on Infection Intensity
 Deworming reduced serious worm infections by
half amongst children in the treatment groups.
 Pupils that received treatment reported being sick
significantly less often, had lower rates of severe
anemia, and showed substantial height gains,
averaging 0.5 centimeters.
Primary School
Deworming
 Results and Policy Lessons:
Impact on School Attendance
 Deworming increased school participation by at
least 7 percentage points, which equates to a
one-quarter reduction in school absenteeism.
 When younger children were dewormed, they
attended school 15 more days per year, while
older children attended approximately 10 more
school days per year.
Primary School
Deworming
 Results and Policy Lessons:
Treatment Spillover
 The entire community and those living up to 6
kilometers away from treatment schools benefited
from “spillovers” of the deworming treatment.
 Spillover effects occur because medical treatment
reduces the transmission of infections to other
community members.
 Reductions in infection in non-treated children
resulted in an additional 3 to 4 days of schooling
per year.
Primary School
Deworming
 Results and Policy Lessons
 Including the spillover benefits of treatment, the
cost per additional year of school participation is
US$3.27, considerably less than the cost of many
alternative methods of increasing primary school
participation.
 Creation of the ‘National School-based
Deworming Program’ and ‘Deworm the World’
National School-Based
Deworming Programme
National School Health Programme
Ministry of Education
Science and
Technology
Ministry of Health
National School-Based
Deworming Programme
GOAL:
Treat 5 million children
each year for 5 years
TARGET:
Treat ALL at risk children
aged 2-14
Primary School
Deworming
 Scaling-up the Program
 Additionally, in 2007 the ‘Deworm the World
Initiative (DtW)’ was founded. It was managed
and operated through Innovations for Poverty
Action up until the end of 2013, when it our sister
organization, ‘Evidence Action’ spun off with the
goal of scaling evidence-based programs –
including DtW
 To date, DtW’s programs have reached 37 million
children in 27 countries
 Impact evaluation can and has had a profound
impact on the world
In Sum
 There are many types of evidence that one
can collect and use to better understand an
intervention or topic
 Experimental evidence generated by RCTs is
a powerful tool that we can use to promote
evidence-based development work by
influencing policymaking and program design.
Innovations for Poverty
Action Moving Forward
 Innovations for Poverty
Action is a rapidly growing
organisation with plans to
expand in Tanzania (we
currently have 1 project
here)
 We are always looking for:
 Talented, innovative
researchers to partner with
on new research studies
 For young researchers, this
typically means partnering
with a senior researcher to
allow for mentoring and
expert oversight
Innovations for Poverty
Action Moving Forward
 We are also looking for bright, eager people
interested in working in working on our research
projects as:
 Project Associates (entry-level managers with a
Bachelors degree + 0-2 years experience)
 Project Managers (early to mid-career professionals
with a Bachelors degree + 2-5 years experience)
 Research Managers (early to mid-career managers
with a Masters degree + 3-5 years of experience)
 For more information, visit:
 http://www.poverty-action.org/getinvolved/jobs

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Presentation by Rachel Steinacher, on IPA and RCTs

  • 1. Innovations for Poverty Action – Generating and Using Evidence
  • 2. Outline  Introduction to Innovations for Poverty Action  What we do and why  Different Types of Evidence  Process evaluation  Qualitative data  Experimental evidence  Why research impact  Determining and defining impact  What can we use the results of RCTs for?  Example: Primary School Deworming  Conclusion  Opportunities at Innovations for Poverty Action
  • 3. Innovations for Poverty Action  Founded in 2002, we partner with academics to design and evaluate potential solutions to global poverty problems using randomized evaluations.  We also work to mobilize and support these decisionmakers to use this evidence / these solutions to build better programs and policies at scale.  In collaboration with over 250 leading academics and implementing organizations, we have evidence from over 175 completed studies with over 225 in progress around the
  • 4. Innovations for Poverty Action  Our Vision  More Evidence, Less Poverty  Our Mission  To discover and promote effective solutions to poverty problems around the world
  • 5. Different Types of Evidence  We’ve been referring to ‘evidence’ but what we mean might not be clear as there are many different types of evidence  Types of evidence include (but are not limited to!)….  Process Evaluation Data (Monitoring and Evaluation)  Qualitative Data  Experimental Evidence
  • 6. Process Evaluation  Process evaluation analyzes the extent to which program operations, implementation, and service delivery are being implemented properly.  When process evaluation is ongoing it is called program monitoring (as in Monitoring and Evaluation: M&E).  Process evaluations help us determine, for example:  Whether services and goals are properly aligned  Whether services are delivered as intended to the appropriate recipients  How well service delivery is organized  The effectiveness of program management  How efficiently program resources are used  Process evaluations are often used by managers as benchmarks to measure success, for example: the distribution of chlorine tablets is reaching 80% of the intended beneficiaries each week.  These benchmarks may be set by program managers and sometimes by donors.
  • 7. Qualitative Data  Qualitative data is data that is captured in a non-numerical way.  Collection can happen in many different ways, including:  In-depth interviews  One-on-one interviews with a participant with the purpose of probing the thoughts, ideas, knowledge, etc. of the person being interviewed. These will often be recorded and transcribed for analysis later.  Focus groups  Same as an in-depth interview, but includes multiple participants  Direct observation (ethnography, etc.)  This differs from interviewing as the person collecting the data does not actively try to ask questions to the participant about the topic being studied. They simply watch and observe, with the goal of recording and interpreting what they say, their behaviour and attitudes. Sometimes this involves recording (video and/or audio) or writing notes about what they observe for analysis later.  Etc…
  • 8. Qualitative Data  Qualitative data is useful to answer questions like:  Does this intervention ‘make sense’ in this context?  Is this intervention socially, politically, religiously acceptable?  How do people perceive / understand this intervention and the problem(s) it is meant to solve?  Hypothesis generation: what should we be studying / collecting data on to better understand the intervention or topic we’re interested in studying? Are we asking the right questions?
  • 9. Experimental Evidence – Why Research Impact?  Experimental evidence allows us to determine impact. By impact, we mean changes / outcomes that have happened because the intervention happened.  This let’s us know what interventions…..  Are effective [How effective is it? In what context? For what demographic(s)? At what cost?]  Have no impact (Why wasn’t it effective? Was the program implemented properly?)  Are harmful (Even something that seems like common sense can have devastating consequences; see the ‘Campbell-Somerville Study’)
  • 10. Why Research Impact – Influencing Programs and Policy  We can use this information to try to influence the decisions being made by governments, NGOs, and other policymakers / program implementers to make evidence-based decisions
  • 11. Determining Impact  Different research methods yield different types of evidence….  Some of this evidence demonstrates the impact of a program  Some evidence cannot be used to demonstrate impact. in fact, it can lead us to believing things that aren’t true, even though the data seems to support a certain conclusion….  Correlation does not imply causation
  • 12. Evidence that Pirates Prevent Global Warming
  • 13. Determining Impact  Impact is captured by analyzing a comparison between: 1. the outcome some time after the program has been introduced 2. the outcome at that same point in time had the program not been introduced (the ”counterfactual”)
  • 14. Impact: What is it? Time PrimaryOutcome Impact Intervention
  • 15. Impact: What is it? Time PrimaryOutcome Impact Intervention
  • 16. Constructing the Counterfactual  Counterfactual is often constructed by selecting a group not affected by the program  Randomized:  Use random assignment of the program to create a control group which mimics the counterfactual.  Non-randomized:  Argue that a certain excluded group mimics the counterfactual.
  • 17. Counterfactual  The counterfactual represents the state of the world that program participants would have experienced in the absence of the program (i.e. had they not participated in the program)  Problem: Counterfactual cannot be observed  Solution: We need to “mimic” or construct the counterfactual
  • 18. Non-Random Assignment HQMonthly income, per capita 1000 500 0 Treatment Control 1457 947
  • 19. Demonstrating Impact through RCTs  RCTs are by far the most powerful research methodology by allowing us to determine the impact of a program by minimizing the likelihood that the treatment and control groups are meaningfully different from each other
  • 20. Random Assignment Monthly income, per capita 1000 500 0 Treatment Control 1257 1242 HQ
  • 21.  An example from IPA… What can we use RCT results for?
  • 22. Primary School Deworming  One of Innovations for Poverty Action’s most famous studies, that is currently be scaled out across the Kenya
  • 23. Primary School Deworming  Principal Investigators: Michael Kremer and Edward Miguel  Partners:  Investing in Children and their Societies (ICS)  Location: Western Kenya  Sample: 30,000+ primary school children, 6- 18 years old  Timeline: 1997-2001
  • 24. Primary School Deworming  Policy Issue  Intestinal worms infect more than one in four people worldwide and are particularly prevalent among school-aged children in developing countries.  These intestinal worms are believed to have a negative impact on education, hindering child development as well as school attendance and reducing income later in life.
  • 25. Primary School Deworming  Context of the Evaluation  Busia district is a poor and densely-settled farming region in western Kenya adjacent to Lake Victoria. It has some of the country’s highest worm infection rates.  One quarter of Kenyan student absenteeism is attributed to abdominal pains which likely due to intestinal worm infections. In addition, older children may miss school to take care of siblings who are sick with worm infections
  • 26. Primary School Deworming  Details of the Intervention  This study evaluated the Primary School Deworming Project (PSDP), which was carried out by International Child Support in cooperation with the Busia District Ministry of Health.  The program randomly divided 75 schools into three equal groups which were phased into treatment over three years.  Within each group, a baseline parasitological survey was administered to a random sample of pupils. Schools with worm prevalence over 50% were mass treated with deworming drugs every six months.
  • 27. Primary School Deworming  Details of the Intervention  In addition to medicine, treatment schools received regular public health lectures, wall charts on worm prevention, and training for one designated teacher.  The lectures and teacher training provided information on worm prevention behaviors—including washing hands before meals, wearing shoes and not swimming in fresh water.
  • 28. Primary School Deworming  Results and Policy Lessons: Impact on Infection Intensity  Deworming reduced serious worm infections by half amongst children in the treatment groups.  Pupils that received treatment reported being sick significantly less often, had lower rates of severe anemia, and showed substantial height gains, averaging 0.5 centimeters.
  • 29. Primary School Deworming  Results and Policy Lessons: Impact on School Attendance  Deworming increased school participation by at least 7 percentage points, which equates to a one-quarter reduction in school absenteeism.  When younger children were dewormed, they attended school 15 more days per year, while older children attended approximately 10 more school days per year.
  • 30. Primary School Deworming  Results and Policy Lessons: Treatment Spillover  The entire community and those living up to 6 kilometers away from treatment schools benefited from “spillovers” of the deworming treatment.  Spillover effects occur because medical treatment reduces the transmission of infections to other community members.  Reductions in infection in non-treated children resulted in an additional 3 to 4 days of schooling per year.
  • 31. Primary School Deworming  Results and Policy Lessons  Including the spillover benefits of treatment, the cost per additional year of school participation is US$3.27, considerably less than the cost of many alternative methods of increasing primary school participation.  Creation of the ‘National School-based Deworming Program’ and ‘Deworm the World’
  • 32. National School-Based Deworming Programme National School Health Programme Ministry of Education Science and Technology Ministry of Health
  • 33. National School-Based Deworming Programme GOAL: Treat 5 million children each year for 5 years TARGET: Treat ALL at risk children aged 2-14
  • 34. Primary School Deworming  Scaling-up the Program  Additionally, in 2007 the ‘Deworm the World Initiative (DtW)’ was founded. It was managed and operated through Innovations for Poverty Action up until the end of 2013, when it our sister organization, ‘Evidence Action’ spun off with the goal of scaling evidence-based programs – including DtW  To date, DtW’s programs have reached 37 million children in 27 countries  Impact evaluation can and has had a profound impact on the world
  • 35. In Sum  There are many types of evidence that one can collect and use to better understand an intervention or topic  Experimental evidence generated by RCTs is a powerful tool that we can use to promote evidence-based development work by influencing policymaking and program design.
  • 36. Innovations for Poverty Action Moving Forward  Innovations for Poverty Action is a rapidly growing organisation with plans to expand in Tanzania (we currently have 1 project here)  We are always looking for:  Talented, innovative researchers to partner with on new research studies  For young researchers, this typically means partnering with a senior researcher to allow for mentoring and expert oversight
  • 37. Innovations for Poverty Action Moving Forward  We are also looking for bright, eager people interested in working in working on our research projects as:  Project Associates (entry-level managers with a Bachelors degree + 0-2 years experience)  Project Managers (early to mid-career professionals with a Bachelors degree + 2-5 years experience)  Research Managers (early to mid-career managers with a Masters degree + 3-5 years of experience)  For more information, visit:  http://www.poverty-action.org/getinvolved/jobs