5. Current Disruptors/Changes: Social
• High costs
– US: outstanding student debt > $1T
• Uncertain outcome
– Is studying worth the money?
– Insufficient jobs for qualification (76% of 2012
graduates had been able to find jobs)
• Uncertain qualifications
– Employers often not satisfied with qualification of
hired graduates
Carsten Ullrich: Education in 2020
6. 2020
• “Traditional” education
– Costs for top universities will have increased
• Highly valuable, due to networks
– Gap between top tier and remaining universities widens
– Courses offered via MOOCs
• “Education” 2.0
– Left-behind learners:
• take part in MOOCs, but worthless
• Learning in their spare time, in addition to job
– Shining exceptions: excellent Quora/Stack Overflow profile
• Less need for learning thanks to intelligent systems
Carsten Ullrich: Education in 2020
7. Questions
• In 2020,
– will there still be universities?
– when you hire, what kind of qualifications do you
require?
– will you send your kid to university?
– what device will we be using?
– do we still need to learn or will my glasses do
everything?
Carsten Ullrich: Education in 2020